Wednesday, April 30, 2008

WARM AND WINDY THURSDAY

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

THE WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY WARM THURSDAY ACROSS THE KRBC VIEWING AREA. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS TO OUR NORTH IS HELPING INCREASE WIND SPEEDS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD HAVE NO TROUBLE REACHING 90-95 AGAIN THURSDAY. SNYDER AND SWEETWATER BOTH RECORDED 95 WEDNESDAY.

THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN IN OUR AREA WHEN IT ARRIVES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN IS A SLIGHT 20% CHANCE FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL STAY CLOSE TO 80 FRIDAY, SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: CLEAR AND MILD, 64. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20.

THURSDAY: FIRE WEAHTER WATCH - SUNNY AND WARM, 90-95. SOUTHWEST AND WEST WIND 15 TO 25 WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

THURSDAY NIGHT: A COLD FRONT DROPS TEMPS TO THE LOW 50'S.

FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY, UPPER 80'S.

Red Flag Warning Today:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO THE WEST OF A LINE FROM HASKELL TO ABILENE TO SAN ANGELO. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE 10 TO 15 PERCENT...WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH AT THE 20 FOOT LEVEL...ALONG WITH HOT TEMPERATURES.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONSARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OFSTRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILLCREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.


KRBC Forecast:

Today: Partly Cloudy, Warm & Windy. Red Flag Warning
Highs: 87-90
Wind: S 20-30
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Tonight: A Few Clouds & Windy
Low: 62-65
Wind: S 20-35
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Thursday: Partly Cloudy, Warmer & Windy
High: 90-94
Wind: SW 20-35
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

It's Getting Warmer

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

A NEAR PICTURE PERFECT DAY TODAY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND CENTRAL TEXAS. ONLY A FEW PASSING CLOUDS, OUR USUAL SPRING GUSTY WIND BUT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. MORE OF THE SAME CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM A LITTLE HIGHER THAN TODAY FOLLOWED BY A SIMILAR DAY ON THURSDAY WHICH WILL LIKELY BE OUR WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK.

THE NEXT COLD FRONT ARRIVES THURSDAY NIGHT BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BRING ANY RAIN TO OUR AREA. THE NEXT RAIN IN THE FORECAST IS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

THE FIRE DANGER REMAINS HIGH WITH GUSTY WIND AND LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES SO PLEASE DO NOT DO ANY OUTDOOR BURNING.

TONIGHT: CLEAR AND 57. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15.
WEDNESDAY: SUNNY AND 87. GUSTY SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLEAR AND 64 WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS.
THURSDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND 90 WITH GUSTY WIND.

Fire Weather Watch Today, Warm & Windy:

Good Morning From Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Fire Weather Watch for Callahan, Taylor, Nolan, Mitchell, Scurry, Fisher, Jones, Shackelford, Haskell, Throckmorton & Knox County for this afternoon and into the evening

* Dry pattern continues with a warming trend for West Central Texas the next several days. Winds will pick up which will elevate the fire danger across our area. A cold front will move in on Thursday night and begin a cooling trend as we head into the weekend. Another system is due in over the weekend and will bring the only rain chances into the forecast period for Sunday and into Monday.

Today: Partly Cloudy, Warm & Windy. Fire Weather Watch
Highs: 80-84
Wind: SW 15-25
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Tonight: A Few Clouds & Breezy
Low: 53-56
Wind: S 15-20
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Friday: Partly Cloudy, Warmer & Windy
High: 86-90
Wind: SW 20-35
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Monday, April 28, 2008

Warm and Windy

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

ABILENE SET A NEW RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE MONDAY MORNING WHEN WE REACHED 37 DEGREES. HOWEVER, THE SAME DRY AIR WARMED UP QUICKLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

OUR WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. NO RAIN IN THE FORECAST RIGHT NOW FOR THE WORK WEEK BUT I HAVE ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS SUNDAY.

AS YOU MIGHT EXPECT, THE WIND WILL PICK UP AS WE GO THROUGH THE WEEK. A FIRE WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WIND.

MONDAY NIGHT : CLEAR AND 50 WITH A LIGHT SOUTH WIND.
TUESDAY: SUNNY AND 83 WITH SOUTH WIND 15 TO 20.
TUESDAY NIGHT: CLEAR AND 58.
WEDNESDAY: SUNNY AND 85.

Pleasant Weather To Start The New Week:

Good Morning From Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* As I write this about 20 minutes until 4:00 AM... Abilene Regional Airport sits at 39 degrees which ties the record low for this day of 39 from back in 1997. It is a pretty safe bet this record will fall this morning, as will the temperatures another few degrees...

* Sunny and pleasant weather for all of West Texas today as an area of high pressure sits over the Big Bend region. The weather looks quiet for the week. A cold front will drop southward the next few days but the model runs show this front running out of gas along the Red River and slowly falling apart thanks to the high pressure that will drift across south Texas and keep the front stuck to the north.

Today: Sunny & Warmer
Highs: 76-79
Wind: SW 5-15
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Tonight: Mostly Clear & Not as Cold
Low: 48-53
Wind: SW 5-15
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Friday: Mostly Sunny
High: 82-85
Wind: SW 10-15
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Sunday, April 27, 2008

NICE WEATHER TO BEGIN THE WEEK

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

THE RAIN IS OVER FOR A WHILE HERE IN THE BIG COUNTRY TONIGHT. STORMS WHICH DEVELOPED ALONG AND BEHIND A COLD FRONT LAST NIGHT CARRIED INTO MID-DAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE BIG COUNTRY. RAIN AMOUNTS VARY CONSIDERABLY FROM A QUARTER INCH TO SEVERAL INCHES. SOME OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN FELLFROM SWEETWATER TO ROBERT LEE TO BALLINGER AND SOUTHERN COLEMAN COUNTY WHILE THE LIGHTEST RAINS TENDED TO BE NORTH OF I-20.

NEXT COMES SOME VERY COOL TEMPERATURES TO GREET US TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. LOWS TONIGHT DROP TO AROUND 40 DEGREES WHICH IS ABOUT 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. THURSDAY IS THE NEXT MAJOR SYSTEM BUT AS OF NOW ALL SIGNS POINT TO THE RAIN STAYING NORTHEAST OF US BUT WE'LL KEEP AN EYE ON THAT. BY NEXT SUNDAY, MORE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

TONIGHT: CLEAR AND VERY COOL, AROUND 40 WITH LIGHT WIND.
MONDAY: SUNSHINE AND 77 WITH SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15.
MONDAY NIGHT: CLEAR AND 51.

Saturday, April 26, 2008

T-Storm Watch Until 1:00 AM Sunday

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 1:00 AM Sunday for the following counties:

(4/26/2008 6:06:14 PM) iembot: SJT issues Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Fisher, Haskell, Irion, Jones, Kimble, Mason, McCulloch, Menard, Nolan, Runnels, San Saba, Schleicher, Shackelford, Sterling, Sutton, Taylor, Throckmorton, Tom Green [TX] till 1:00 AM CDT

(4/26/2008 6:04:53 PM) iembot: MAF issues Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Borden, Dawson, Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Mitchell, Reagan, Scurry, Terrell [TX] till 1:00 AM CDT

Friday, April 25, 2008

Stormy Weather Late Saturday & Saturday Night

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

ONE COLD FRONT CAME THROUGH TODAY BUT THE MAIN COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD RAIN WON'T ARRIVE UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT.

DURING THE DAY SATURDAY, WE'LL SEE CLOUDS GATHERING AND YOU'LL NOTICE THE SOUTHEAST WIND INCREASING. LATE DAY SATURDAY, A DRY LINE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST WHILE THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. A FEW STORMS, WHICH COULD TURN SEVERE, ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE KRBC VIEWING AREA.

THEN, SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES, MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS, SOME SEVERE, WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT. YOU ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER CLOSELY SATURDAY NIGHT FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE STORMS. THE COLD FRONT WILL ALSO BRING A FEEL OF FALL-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY AS HIGHS DROP BACK INTO THE 60'S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS DROP INTO THE LOW 40'S.

FRIDAY NIGHT: CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY, LOW NEAR 52. EAST WIND 5 TO 15.

SATURDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY, HIGH 77, SOUTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 AND GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT A FEW LATE DAY STORMS, SOME SEVERE, BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS SATURDAY NIGHT.

SATURDAY NIGHT: RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY, SOME SEVERE, LOW IN THE MIDDLE 40'S WITH GUSTY NORTH WIND.

SUNDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY TO BEGIN THE DAY, TURNING SUNNY LATE, COOL, IN THE MID TO UPPER 60'S.

Storm Chances This Weekend:

Good Morning From Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* A cold front will move into the area today and bring slightly cooler air to West Central Texas. The front may kick off a few storms that could be strong in our eastern and southeastern counties this afternoon... mainly along a line from Eastland to Santa Anna to Brady and points eastward. Highs will be back into the lower to middle 80s today. Lows tonight will be cooler as well into the middle 50s.

* Quiet weather for most of Saturday with highs in the middle to upper 70s. The front that moves through on Friday will stall in South Texas and lift northward as a warm front and interact with a storm system moving into West Texas and kick off a good chance for thunderstorms Saturday night and into Sunday. The best severe weather threat looks to be centered over the Concho Valley, but the slight risk of severe weather runs roughly along and South of US 180 in the Big Country and south into the heart of West Central Texas.

Today: Partly Cloudy, Breezy & Slightly Cooler.
Isolated Storms in Eastern Counties
Highs: 79-84
Wind: NW 15-25
Rain Chance: 20% (East)
Severe Weather Risk: Slight- East (SPC Outlook)

Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Breezy & Slightly Cooler
Lows: 53-55
Wind: S# 15-20
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Saturday: Partly Cloudy. A Few Isolated Thunderstorms Late Afternoon
Highs: 76-79
Wind: SE 15-20
Rain Chance: 20%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Sat. Night: Showers & Thunderstorms. Some Storms Severe
Lows: 45-48
Wind: SW 10-15
Rain Chance: 70%
Severe Weather Threat: Slight (SPC Outlook)

* Have a Great Weekend... More on your forecast and the severe weather threat late this weekend coming up here on West Texas Today and with Nathan Motz this evening on KRBC News.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

MORE CHANCES FOR STORMS

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

THE STORMS STAYED AWAY TODAY BUT THEY ARE STILL IN THE FORECAST FOR LATE FRIDAY, LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT THANKS TO TWO COLD FRONTS COMING OUR WAY.

HIGHS TODAY TOUCHED 90 ALL AROUND THE AREA BUT WE SHOULD SEE 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER ON FRIDAY THANKS TO A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. AS IT DOES SO IN THE AFTERNOON, AREAS MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF ABILENE STAND A CHANCE TO SEE SOME THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP, STORMS WHICH COULD BE SEVERE.

ON THE HEELS OF THE FIRST FRONT IS ANOTHER FRONT LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THAT FRONT HAS A BETTER CHANCE OF CAUSING STORMS AND RAIN ACROSS THE KRBC VIEWING AREA. AS ALWAYS THIS TIME OF YEAR, ANY STORM WHICH DEVELOPS MAY BECOME SEVERE.

ONCE THE RAIN MOVES EAST ON SUNDAY, WE SHOULD SEE A DRIER PATTERN WITH SLOWLY WARMING TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK. SPEAKING OF TEMPERATURES, DOWNRIGHT COOL FEELING SUNDAY IN THE UPPER 60'S WHICH IS WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

TONIGHT: AN ISOLATED STORM, OTHERWISE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY, LOW OF 62. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 20.
FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A COLD FRONT ARRIVING. HIGH AROUND 80 WITH A 20% CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON STORMS.
FRIDAY NIGHT: PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOL, LOW 50'S, AN ISOLATED STORM POSSIBLE.
SATURDAY: MOST OF THE DAY PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM BUT LATE DAY AND INTO SATURDAY NIGHT LOOK FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE AROUND THE AREA. HIGH SATURDAY NEAR 80.
SUNDAY: COOLER WITH MORNING SHOWERS, HIGHS MID TO UPPER 60'S SUNDAY.

Warmer Today, Rain Chances Return:

Good Morning From Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Areas that saw rain on Wednesday picked up a good soaking. Abilene officially picked up 1.31" of rain, while Doppler Radar estimates show that areas along US 180 from the Snyder to Breckenridge corridor picked up 2 to 3 inches of rain.

* Expect much warmer weather today as breezy southwesterly winds will impact the area today. The dryline will mix into our the western portions of the Big County this afternoon and could kick off a very isolated storm ahead of the dryline... mainly from about a Haskell to Abilene to Ballinger and points eastward line. Highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s today and lows tonight in the low to middle 60s.

* Another cold front will push across the area on Friday and will help kick off a few thunderstorms. Severe weather threat looks low, with the best chance of severe storms east of our area. Another storm system will impact West Texas on Sunday. There is a slight risk of severe weather outlined by the SPC for West Central Texas on Sunday for this event.

Today: Partly Cloudy, Breezy & Warmer. A Very Isolated PM Storm
Highs: 88-92
Wind: SW 15-25
Rain Chance: 10%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Tonight: Partly Cloudy & Breezy. An Isolated Evening Storm
Low: 62-65
Wind: SW 15-25
Rain Chance: 10%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Friday: Partly to Mostly Cloudy. A Few Isolated Thunderstorms
High: 78-82
Wind: SW/NW 15-20
Rain Chance: 20%
Severe Weather Risk: None

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Strong to Severe Storms Today & Tonight:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Severe thunderstorms are likely across the Big County, Heartland and Northern Concho Valley today and tonight as both a dryline and an upper level storm system move into West Central Texas. Given the instability and wind shear likely, storms that do develop may quickly reach severe levels. Although all of West Central Texas will see a threat of severe storms, there is an enhanced threat area along and north of a San Angelo to Brownwood line or roughly along and north of US 67. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threat. However, especially in the enhanced threat area, there will be the potential for very large hail perhaps golfball to baseball size and isolated tornadoes as well.

* KRBC Forecast:

Today: Mostly Cloudy with Scattered T-Storms. Some Storms Severe
Highs: 80-83
Wind: SE 15-25
Rain Chance: 40%
Severe Weather Threat: Slight (SPC Outlook)

Tonight: Showers & T-Storms. Some Storms Severe
Lows: 64-67
Wind: S 15-25
Rain Chance: 60%
Severe Weather Threat: Slight (SPC Outlook)

Thursday: Rain Ending Early, Decreasing Clouds & Warmer
Highs: 87-90
Wind: SW 15-25
Rain Chance: None
Severe Weather Threat: None

* Stay with KRBC throughout the day for the lastest on the severe weather threat and of course I will have an complete forecast this morning on West Texas Today...

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Slight Risk for Severe T-Storms Wednesday

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ...

TEMPERATURES SOARED ONCE AGAIN TODAY MAKING IT FEEL MORE LIKE SUMMER THAN SPRING. ALL SIGNS STILL POINT TO SOME THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

I'LL PUT THE RAIN CHANCE AT 40% WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT, BUT THAT'S NOT THE ONLY SHOT AT RAIN IN MY SEVEN DAY FORECAST.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND BY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, IT IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE AT LEAST A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA. I'LL LEAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS IN THE FORECAST ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS WELL.
AS FAR SEVERE WEATHER, THE KRBC VIEWING AREA IS INCLUDED IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. IT APPEARS THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY, AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20, STAND THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE MORE STORMS WHICH WOULD MORE LIKELY BECOME SEVERE SO WE'LL WATCH THAT FOR YOU CLOSELY ON WEDNESDAY.

TONIGHT: TURNING CLOUDY WITH AN ISOLATED STORM POSSIBLE BY MORNING, LOW OF 67.
WEDNESDAY: MAINLY CLOUDY WITH A 40% CHANCE FOR STORMS, HIGH NEAR 80. SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE FOR STORMS, LOW NEAR 64.
THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM, NEAR 90 AGAIN.

SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS FRIDAY WITH A 30% CHANCE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

One More Warm Day... Rain Chances Return:

Good Tuesday Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* One more warm and humid day across West Central Texas before changes take place. Highs again will approach and exceed 90 in the area today as the dryline mixes into our western counties and humid conditions continue across the rest of the Big County, Heartland, and Concho Valley.

* There is an islolated chance for a storm today and tonight, but the best chance will come on Wednesday as a weak cold front will push southward and give lift to the very moist and humid air across our area to get a few showers and thunderstorms going. The cap is holding decently, but I think the front will give enough lift to get a few storms developing. It will be "cooler" on Wednesday with highs back into the lower 80s.

* Isolated rain chances will continue to at least Saturday with highs remaining in the 80s and overnight lows in the upper 50s and 60s.

Today: Morning Clouds, then Partly Cloudy & Warm, Isolated Storms
Highs: 89-91
Wind: SW/SE 10-15
Rain Chance: 10%

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Thunderstorms
Low: 64-66
Wind: SW 5-15
Rain Chance: 20%

Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Storms, Some Could Be Severe
High: 80-83
Wind: SW 15-20
Rain Chance: 40%
Severe Weather Risk: Slight (SPC Outlook)

Have a great Tuesday...

Monday, April 21, 2008

Nice & Warm To Start The Week...

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Not much happening in the forecast the next few days other than the heat. Low clouds have developed to our south this morning and will drift north so expect overcast for a while this morning then as we get into the late morning the sky becoming partly cloudy. Although the dryline will be situated across our western counties, the cap should hold so I don't expect any storms. Highs the next two days will be in the lower 90s and overnight lows will be in the lower 60s.

* Rain chances return by mid-week as a couple of disturbances make their way into West Texas. It looks as if Wednesday is the best shot for rain, while the end of the week looks to be only slight chances.

Today: Morning Clouds, then Partly Cloudy & Warm
High: 91
Wind: SW 10-15

Tonight: Mostly Clear, A Few Clouds By Daybreak
Low: 62
Wind: S 5-15

Tueday: Partly Cloudy & Warm
High: 92
Wind: SW 15-20

Have a great Monday...

Friday, April 18, 2008

Dry & Slightly Cooler Friday:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

Quiet weather this morning across West Texas as high pressure has built in behind the front that passed through last night. As I write this, temperatures at 5:00 AM are ranging from 37 in Synder to 46 in Brownwood. Dry and cool airmass in place so highs today will be cooler and another cool night in store.

A warming trend will back in store over the weekend with highs climbing into the upper 80s and lower 90s into early next week. The dryline will make its way back and forth across the area over the weekend so an isolated storm could pop... but for now I will keep things dry. The next changes of rain (about 20%) come at the middle of the week.


Today: Sunny & Slightly Cooler
High: 75
Wind: NW 5-15

Tonight: Clear & Chilly
Low: 48
Wind: SW 10-15

Saturday: Sunny & Warmer
High: 83
Wind: SW 15-25

Have a great weekend...

Thursday, April 17, 2008

GREAT WEEKEND WEATHER AHEAD

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

STORMS STRUCK THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN BIG COUNTRY THURSDAY NIGHT BUT QUICKLY PUSHED TO THE EAST. SOME STORMS PRODUCED HAIL AND HIGH WIND. COOL NORTH WIND WILL BLOW THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING MAKING FOR A CHILLY START TO THE DAY BUT MILD TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURES WILL REALLY WARM UP THIS WEEKEND WELL INTO THE 80'S WITH EVEN A FEW 90'S.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO BE NEXT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THANKS FOR STOPPING BY, HOPE YOU HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND !!

Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10:00pm

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10:00PM THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN BIG COUNTRY. RESIDENTS OF THROCKMORTON, SHACKELFORD, STEPHENS, EASTLAND AND CALLAHAN COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER FOR UPDATES. HERE IS A COMPLETE LIST OF COUNTIES ...

CALLAHAN CLAYCOLLIN COOKE DALLAS DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH GRAYSON HOOD JACK JOHNSON MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT THROCKMORTON WISE YOUNG

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

The Wind Machine Works Overtime

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

I FEEL YOUR PAIN AND HAVE HAD ALL THE WIND I WANT. HOWEVER, THE PERSISTENT GUSTY WIND WON'T BE GOING AWAY ANYTIME SOON.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE ROCKIES IS CAUSING OUR WIND TO GUST BUT THE SAME SYSTEM WILL ALSO SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH, YOU GUESSED IT, EVEN MORE GUSTY WIND, ONLY FROM A NORTHERLY DIRECTION.

CAN THE FRONT CAUSE ANY STORMS? POSSIBLY, BUT A SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES OF THE KRBC VIEWING AREA - TOWNS LIKE THROCKMORTON, BRECKENRIDGE, CISCO, EASTLAND, COLEMAN, BROWNWOOD AND COMANCHE MAY SEE AN ISOLATED STORM LATE DAY THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.

AFTER THAT, WARM, SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND!

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

MORE WIND THAN THE LAW ALLOWS

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ...

ARE YOU FED UP WITH THE PERSISTENT GUSTY WIND? TWO MORE DAYS OF IT BEFORE IT SHOULD CALM SOME.

AS FORECAST, THE WIND BLEW STRONG TODAY AND WILL DO THE SAME ON WEDNESDAY. A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE ROCKIES IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE INCREASE IN WIND SPEED. THE DOWN SIDE IS THE GUSTY CONDITIONS, THE UP SIDE IS WARM TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL RETURN TOMORROW.

A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE DURING THE DAY THURSDAY, LOOKS LIKE MID-DAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL BRING WITH IT COOLER TEMPERATURES SO INSTEAD OF HIGHS IN THE 80'S, HIGHS CLOSER TO 70 LOOK REASONABLE ON THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A COOL TEMPERATURE NEAR 40 TOMORROW.

RAIN LOOKS TO BE HARD TO COME BY WHEN THE FRONT ARRIVES BUT IF ANY RAIN DEVELOPS IT WILL ONLY AFFECT OUR EASTERN COUNTIES.

TONIGHT: TURNING PARTLY CLOUDY BY MORNING, LOW 58 WITH SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20.
WEDNESDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND WINDY, HIGH 82. SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WIND 25 TO 35.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: PARTLY CLOUDY AND 61.
THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY, HIGH NEAR 70 OR A LITTLE ABOVE BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES.

Monday, April 14, 2008

Turning Warmer and WINDY

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

YOU COULDN'T ASK FOR A NICER DAY THAN WHAT WE HAD TODAY, IF YOU DIDN'T MIND THOSE CHILLY TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING. WE GOT AS COOL AS 38 THIS MORNING IN ABILENE WHILE BROWNWOOD ACTUALLY HIT 30 DEGREES FOR A SHORT TIME AROUND SIX MONDAY MORNING.

THE COOL WEATHER IS BEHIND US, TEMPERATURES ARE SET TO RETURN TO A MORE SEASONABLE SITUATION. I'M LOOKING FOR LOWS TONIGHT TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 40'S BUT HIGHS TOMORROW NEAR 79. WEDNESDAY'S HIGH SHOULD BE AROUND 80.

THE GUSTY WIND IS GOING TO BE OUR BIG STORY THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE ROCKIES AND OUR SOUTHEAST WIND RESPONDS AND BECOMES GUSTY TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. WITH OUR DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING, THE FIRE DANGER WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THURSDAY BUT OUR MOISTURE SUPPLY IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED SO THE BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN STAYS TO OUR EAST.

MONDAY NIGHT: CLEAR AND 49.
TUESDAY: SUNNY AND WINDY, HIGH NEAR 79. SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 AND GUSTY.
TUESDAY NIGHT: CLEAR AND 58.
WEDNESDAY: SUNNY AND 80 WITH WINDY CONDITIONS.

Monday Forecast:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

*** See Below For Information on Frost Advisories***

Today: Frost Advisory Until 9 AM
Sunny & Warmer
High: 74
Wind: S 5-15

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Not as Cold
Low: 49
Wind: SE 10-15

Tuesday: Mostly Sunny
High: 76
Wind: SE 10-15

Frost Advisories Until Mid-Morning:

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
SAN ANGELO TX
1044 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

...FROST AGAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS....

LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...COMBINED WITH DRY AIR AND CLEARSKIES...WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 32 TO 36 DEGREE RANGE TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD. TEMPERATURES IN THIS RANGE WILL ENHANCE THEPOTENTIAL FOR FROST TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.

TOM GREEN-CONCHO-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...ELDORADO...SONORA...COLEMAN...BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON

1044 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM CDT MONDAY...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM CDT MONDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 32 TO 36 DEGREE RANGE TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY...HEARTLAND...CONCHO VALLEY...AND NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU REGIONS...ESPECIALLY IN THE RIVER VALLEYS.

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1048 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT MONDAY...

A SIGNIFICANT FROST IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNINGAS A COLD HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SETTLES INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 30S ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT DUE TO VERY LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES.

WHILE AIR TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING AT MOSTLOCATIONS...FROST CAN FORM AT AIR TEMPERATURES AS WARM AS 38 DEGREES UNDER THE RIGHT CONDITIONS.FROST CAN DAMAGE OR KILL COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION THAT HAS NOT BEEN PROTECTED. RESIDENTS SHOULD PROTECT ANY TENDER PLANTS THATHAVE RECENTLY BLOOMED OR BEEN PLANTED. COVERING THEM WITH A LIGHT BLANKET OR MOVING THEM BENEATH A COVERED PORCH SHOULD PROVIDEENOUGH PROTECTION FROM THIS LATE SEASON COLD SPELL.

Sunday, April 13, 2008

Frosty Weather to Begin the Week

FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM CDT MONDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A FROSTADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM CDT MONDAY.TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 32 TO 36 DEGREE RANGETONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY...HEARTLAND...CONCHOVALLEY AND NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU REGIONS...ESPECIALLY IN THERIVER VALLEYS.A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOORPLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Weekend Forecast - Breckenridge Tornado Damage Survey

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

I'LL BREAK THIS INTO TWO PARTS - YOUR SHORT WEEKEND FORECAST AND A SUMMARY OF THE TORNADO DAMAGE AT BRECKENRIDGE.

WEEKEND WEATHER WILL BE GREAT - MORNINGS WILL BE COOL, HOWEVER, A FROST IS EVEN POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNING BUT AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE AROUND 70. IT SHOULD BE SUNNY ALL WEEKEND.

NOW TO THE BRECKENRIDGE TORNADO DAMAGE. AN INVESTIGATIVE TEAM FROM THE FORT WORTH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPENT THURSDAY LOOK AT THE DAMAGE AND DISCOVERED TWO SEPARATE TORNADO PATHS.

#1 - RATED AN EF 0 ON THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE - WINDS WERE ESTIMATED 80-85MPH. IT DEVELOPED ALONG FM 576 EAST OF THE EOLIAN COMMUNITY, STAYED ON THE GROUND 2.3 MILES AND HAD AN AVERAGE PATH WIDTH OF 75 YARDS.

#2 - RATED AN UPPER END EF 1 WITH WINDS NEAR 110MPH. THE DAMAGE STARTED 1/2 MILES WEST OF U.S. 183 AND SOUTH OF FM 2231. DID LOTS OF DAMAGE ALONG COUNTY ROAD 150, WAS THE TORNADO THAT HIT THE AIRPORT AND DAMAGED MANY HOMES ON AIRPORT ROAD. IT CONTINUED FOR 7.1 MILES BEFORE LIFTING. AVERAGE PATH WIDTH WAS 400 YARDS.

Wednesday, April 09, 2008

TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8PM

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MOST OF THE KRBC VIEWING AREA IN A TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8:00PM TONIGHT. HERE ARE THE COUNTIES ...

BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN COMANCHECONCHO CORYELL CROCKETTEASTLAND ERATH FISHERGLASSCOCK HAMILTON HASKELLHOOD HOWARD IRIONJACK JONES KIMBLELAMPASAS MASON MCCULLOCH MENARD MILLS MITCHELL MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO PARKER REAGAN RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SCURRY SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL STEPHENS STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WISE YOUNG

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN TEXAS SURROUNDING THE HIGHEST RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTH TEXAS NORTH AND EAST INTO PARTS OF KANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...ARKANSAS AND LOUISIANA.

A VERY STRONG HIGH-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM NOW OVER ARIZONA AND NEVADA...WITH 120 MPH JET STREAM WINDS...WILL SWEEP EAST INTO FAR WEST TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO EARLY THURSDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...A SURFACE LOW THAT WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA THURSDAY MORNING. SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS ARE ALREADY SPREADING VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL INTO NORTHERN TEXAS. THESE WINDS WILL INCREASE IN STRENGTH AND BREADTH THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AS THE NEW MEXICO LOW HEADS EASTWARD. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID AIR NEAR THE SURFACE...WITH THE FAST JET STREAM FLOW ALOFT...WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUSTAINED ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS CALLED SUPERCELLS FROM CENTRAL TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. SCATTERED STORMS WITH HAIL MAY OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.

MORE SIGNIFICANT STORMS...HOWEVER...LIKELY WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FROM WEST CENTRAL TEXAS NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL AND NORTH TEXAS...THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES...HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WILL CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

THIS THREAT WILL ALSO EXPAND NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE OZARKS INTO A LARGE PART OF THE MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER TENNESSEE VALLEYS LATER THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

Stay Alert to Severe Weather Threat Through Tonight

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

WE'RE STILL EXPECTING A WIDESPREAD OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER. THE KRBC WEATHER TEAM IS MONITORING THE SITUATION AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH MID-DAY TOMORROW - THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SHOULD BE THE GREATEST THREAT TIME FOR OUR AREA. BELOW IS A DISCUSSION FROM THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER ..

TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED SOON FOR PARTS OF SW INTO CENTRAL AND N TX. EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A WARM FRONT CONTINUING TO SPREAD NWD...AND CURRENTLY EXTENDED ENEWD FROM THE MAF AREA TO THE ERN PART OF THE DAL/FTW METROPLEX INTO SERN OK AND SRN AR. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED ALONG AND S OF WRN EXTENT OF THE WARM FRONT.

ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING AND INCREASING CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY PER OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SUGGESTS NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE LIKELY BETWEEN 1:00 PM AND 3:00PM AS SURFACE BASED INHIBITION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR VALUES WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS.

Severe Weather Threat Today & Tonight:

From Meteorologist Chris Whited in the KRBC Triple Doppler Weather Center...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
SAN ANGELO TX
503 AM CDT WED APR 9 2008

FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...HASKELL...
THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN
...ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...
COLEMAN...BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA
...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON

503 AM CDT WED APR 9 2008

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERNUNITED STATES WILL MOVE INTO NORTH TEXAS THURSDAY MORNING. A WARMFRONT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT THIS MORNING AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS TO THE NORTH. WITH AWARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS WEST CENTRALTEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODEVELOP AS THE DRYLINE MOVES INTO THE WESTERN POSITIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOMESEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES. ALSO...A FEW STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND NORTHERN HEARTLAND. AS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO TEXAS TONIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE....MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THEBIG COUNTRY AND THE HEARTLAND.

LISTEN TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION.

Tuesday, April 08, 2008

STORMS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..


THUNDERSTORMS, SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE, ARE BACK IN THE FORECAST AND COULD START AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE KRBC VIEWING AREA.

WE HAVE SEVERAL FACTORS TO CONSIDER. FIRST IS THE ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE WHICH WILL RETURN TO THE REGION TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WHICH PASSED THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WILL RETURN NORTH AS A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY, ANOTHER FOCUS FOR STORMS. COMBINE A DRY LINE PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST AND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA FROM THE WEST AND THE STAGE IS SET FOR POTENTIAL RAPID STORM DEVELOPMENT ANYTIME FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT, PROBABLY SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STORMS BY THE TIME IT'S ALL SAID AND DONE.

THE STORMS WILL POTENTIALLY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND AND COULD ALSO SPIN UP A TORNADO OR TWO.
RANDY'S FORECAST - LET'S PLAN ON A FEW STORMS TO BE UNDERWAY TOMORROW MORNING FOLLOWED BY A BREAK DURING THE MID-DAY THEN A REKINDLING OF STORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. I DON'T THINK WE'LL SEE THE END OF THE STORMY WEATHER UNTIL MID-DAY THURSDAY. WATCH KRBC FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

LOW TONIGHT - 53 UNDER CLOUDY SKIES AND STORMS POSSIBLE BY MORNING.
HIGH TOMORROW - 77 WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS, SOME SEVERE.
LOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT 54 WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY, SOME SEVERE.

Forecast:

Good Morning From KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited...

***See Blog Post Below For Details On Severe Weather Threat Tomorrow***

* A cold front will move through West Texas today and bring slightly cooler air. The front will work on some moisture in place over the eastern areas and may kick off an isolated storm or two.

* The front will lift back north tonight and tomorrow as a warm front and also keep isolated storms in the forecast.

* Tomorrow looks to be an active day with isolated severe storms possible along the warm front as it lifts northward. A dryline will mix to the east late in the afternoon and evening and will help fire strong storms. A cold front will move in later in the evening. The warm, moist airmass and dryline/cold front combo will set the parameters for a severe weather threat from Wednesday into early Thursday.

* Quickcast:
- Today: Partly Cloudy, Breezy, Isolated Storms (East)
High: 77 Wind: SW/N 15-20

- Tonight: Increasing Clouds, Breezy, Isolated Storms
Low: 52 Wind: N 15-20

-Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy, Thunderstorms, Some Severe
High: 78 Wind: Se 10-15

Moderate - Slight Risk For Severe Weather From Wednesday - Thursday AM:

SPC Day 2 (Wednesday) Outlook
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER
NORMAN OK
1253 AM CDT TUE APR 08 2008

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TX AND SOUTHERN OK...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/ARKLATEX/OZARKS...

...MUCH OF TX/OK INTO THE ARKLATEX/OZARKS...
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 00Z NAM/GFS/ECMWF AND 21Z SREF GUIDANCE SUGGEST A MID/UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS DURING THE DAY...TAKING ON A NEUTRAL TO NEGATIVE TILT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WITH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /60S F DEWPOINTS/ RETURNING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS TX. STALLING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND NORTH/CENTRAL TX ON DAY 1 IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTH TX DURING THE DAY...AND INTO OK DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT.

THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO FOR SURFACE BASED RMS/SUPERCELLS DURING THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL TX AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW/DRYLINE AND NEAR THE WARM FRONT INTERSECTION. AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT EASTWARD...50 KT MID LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ATOP SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL YIELD STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS. AMPLE HEATING/INCREASINGLY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN CONJUNCTION WITH 60S F DEWPOINTS ACROSS TX WILL LEAD TO MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON...WITH MLCAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG. THE SUPERCELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES /A FEW POTENTIALLY STRONG/...WITH AN APPRECIABLE SEVERE RISK CONTINUING WELL INTO THE NIGHT. IN ADDITION TO THE OTHER RISKS...A DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY INCREASE DURING THE LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTH/CENTRAL TX IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE EASTWARD SURGING DRYLINE/PACIFIC FRONT.

FARTHER NORTH ACROSS NORTHWEST TX/WESTERN OK INTO SOUTHERN KS...A LEAD IMPULSE MAY LEAD TO SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON WITHIN THE ELEVATED BAROCLINIC ZONE. A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WOULD RESULT IN AT LEAST SOME LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL. ALTHOUGH POSSIBLY IMPACTED BY ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS TX...THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE LIFTING NORTHWARD FROM NORTH TX INTO OK DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT. AT LEAST A LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF THE NIGHT ACROSS OK INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF KS/MO/AR. HOWEVER...A SURFACED BASED SEVERE THREAT /INCLUDING TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS/ CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OK DURING THE NIGHT.

Monday, April 07, 2008

Isolated Storms Monday Evening

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

AFTERNOON HEATING AND THE DRY LINE MAY SPARK A THUNDERSTORM THIS EVENING ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY. ANY STORM WHICH DEVELOPS MAY RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE. THE MAJORITY OF THE STORM ACTIVITY SHOULD STAY NORTH OF OUR AREA ALONG THE RED RIVER BUT WE'LL MONITOR LOCALLY FOR THE CHANCE FOR STORMS.SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE TUESDAY WITH A COLD FRONT IN THE AREA.WEDNESDAY, THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT, WE'LL HAVE OUR BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS, SOME WHICH COULD BE SEVERE.

TONIGHT: ISOLATED EVENING STORMS, OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY, LOW 63. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20.

TUESDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY, ISOLATED LATE DAY STORM, UPPER 70'S WITH NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20.

TUESDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE FOR STORMS, LOW 53.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT: A 50% CHANCE FOR STORMS.

Fire Danger For Western Big Country, Front Tomorrow, Severe Weather Mid-Week:

* From the KRBC Weather Center...

- Red Flag Warning for Scurry and Mitchell Counties This Afternoon.
- Fire Weather Watch for Nolan, Fisher, & Haskell Counties Today

* Good morning... Quiet morning across West Texas today as a front has stalled just across our southern counties. This front will retreat northward today as a warm front helping warm highs today into the middle 80s. The dryline will drift into our western counties and will elevate the fire danger this afternoon.

* Tomorrow a cold front will move across the area and will bring a slight chance for storms across the eastern areas where there will be the best moisture content. Highs tomorrow will drop back into the middle and upper 70s.

* Severe Weather Mid-Week: A strong system will swing through West Texas on Wednesday helping develop showers and thunderstorms across the area. The Storm Prediciton Center has the entire Big Country, the Northern Concho Valley, and the Heartland outlined for the Slight Risk of severe weather on Wednesday. The long range outlook from the SPC has suggestion for some severe weather Thursday... mainly early in the morning as the system moves out of our area. We will watch this system take shape and sharpen our forecast accordingly.

* Quickcast:
-Today: Partly Cloudy, Warm, Windy High: 85-87 Winds: S 15-25 mph
-Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Mild, Windy Low: 58-61 Winds: S 15-25 mph
-Tuesday: Partly Cloudy, WarmHigh: 77-79Winds: S 15/NW 15

* Have a Good Monday...

-KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited

Sunday, April 06, 2008

Dry Through Tuesday, Then Rain Mid-Week

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ...

HARD TO COMPLAIN ABOUT THE WEATHER WE ENJOYED THIS WEEKEND - WARM SUNSHINE AND PLENTY OF IT. WE WILL KICK OFF THE WORK AND SCHOOL WEEK WITH SIMILAR WARM AND DRY WEATHER BUT CHANGES START TO TAKE PLACE AS SOON AS TUESDAY NIGHT.

WE'RE EXPECTING A COLD FRONT TO ARRIVE TUESDAY NIGHT AND LINGER WEDNESDAY WHICH MEANS WE HAVE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS TIME OF YEAR, A FEW OF THOSE COULD BE SEVERE. WE LOSE THE CHANCE FOR RAIN DURING THE DAY THURSDAY AND RETURN TO DRY WEATHER WITH NICE CONDITIONS FOR YOUR NEXT WEEKEND.

TONIGHT: MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A LOW NEAR 55.
MONDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND 84.
MONDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A LOW NEAR 59
TUESDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY, HIGH OF 79.
WEDNESDAY: A 40% CHANCE FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS, HIGH 65.

Thursday, April 03, 2008

Tornado Watch Issued:

* From Meteorologist Chris Whited in the KRBC Weather Center...

The Storm Predicition Center has issued a Tornado Watch until 9:00 PM for
the following counties: Taylor, Callahan, Nolan, Fisher, Haskell, Shackelford,
Jones, Stephens, Throckmorton, and Eastland

* Stay with KRBC for the latest weather information from Chief Meteorologist
Randy Turner this evening and myself...

Severe Weather Threat This Afternoon & Tonight:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
406 AM CDT THU APR 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHTISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OFF A DRYLINE LATE AFTERNOON...FROM IRAAN TO STERLING CITY TO SWEETWATER...MAY BECOME SEVERE AS THEY MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY THIS EVENING. A SECOND ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH MAY HAVE THE MORE INTENSE SEVERE WEATHER... IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOPAS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH INTO THE BIG COUNTRY TOWARD MIDNIGHTAND THROUGH THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BY DAYBREAK. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS EAST OF AN ALBANY... ABILENE...SAN ANGELO... JUNCTION LINE TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILLALL BE POSSIBLE.

...SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

Wednesday, April 02, 2008

Severe Weather Expected Thursday

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST ..

Consider this your "Heads Up" for the potential for severe weather late Thursday and Thursday night across the Big Country. The Storm Prediction Center has placed all the KRBC viewing area in a Slight Risk for severe storms while from Abilene northeast toward Breckenridge and Throckmorton the risk is greater, in the Moderate category. Damaging hail, high wind and isolated tornadoes will all be possible Thursday and Thursday night. Heavy rain will also fall from many of the storms. Once the storms push east Thursday night, a strong cold front blows through making for windy and cooler weather Friday. Weekend weather, however, still looks nice.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy to partly cloudy, highs middle 80's, gusty south wind with a 40% chance of late storms.

Thursday Night: Severe thunderstorms likely areawide, more prominent from Abilene east and south. Low 45.

Friday: Gusty north wind, partly cloudy, middle 60's.

Weekend: Sunny and warm, middle 70's.

Moderate Risk For Severe Weather Thursday:


* Mostly cloudy conditions will continue across West Central Texas for today with a slight chance for isolated thunderstorms. Highs will reach the middle 60s. Same story for tonight with isolated storms possible. Lows should be around 60.

* Tomorrow: The Storm Prediction Center has place most of the Big Country under a Moderate Risk For severe weather on Thursday afternoon, evening and early Friday. Here is the NWS/San Angelo Hazardous Weather Outlook:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
550 AM CDT WED APR 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS

..DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE BIGCOUNTRY AS A WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME

..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAYAFTERNOON AND NIGHT...IN THE BIG COUNTRY FROM HASKELL TO ANSON TO ABILENE...AND FOR AREAS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THESE CITIES. ASLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS EXTENDS ACROSS THE REST OF WEST CENRALTEXAS. AN UPPER DISTURBANCE FROM THE WEST WILL DESTABILIZE THEATMOSPHERE. A DRYLINE IN WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY AND BIG COUNTRY WILL BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENTDURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COLD FRONT LATE EVENING AND AFTER MIDNIGHT WILL THEN BE AN ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR STRONG TOSEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAINTHREATS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE..SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

Tuesday, April 01, 2008

CLOUDY WEATHER TONIGHT, GRADUAL WARMING

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

OUR SPRING ROLLER COASTER RIDE CONTINUES IN TERMS OF TEMPERATURE AND IN SPEED OF WEATHER SYSTEMS RAPIDLY COMING AND GOING THROUGH THE AREA.

NEXT ON TAP IS A WARM FRONT WHICH WILL COME FROM THE SOUTH AND THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. SOME DRIZZLE AND FOG IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS THE COOL AIR NEAR THE GROUND IS OVERRUN BY THE WARMER AIR ABOUT A MILE ABOVE THE GROUND. THERE COULD BE AN ISOLATED T-STORM ON WEDNESDAY BUT CHANCES AREN'T THAT GREAT AND FAVOR MAINLY THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY.

WE'LL WATCH AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON THURSDAY. ONCE AGAIN, AREAS NORTH OF I-20 ARE FAVORTED TO SEE SOME THUNDERSTORMS ALTHOUGH I DON'T THINK WE'LL SEE A LARGE NUMBER OF STORMS ON THURSDAY. ANY THAT DEVELOP, HOWEVER, WILL BE CAPABLE OF BECOMING SEVERE. IT APPEARS TO ME THAT THURSDAY NIGHT MAY BE THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS AREAWIDE WITH YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT ARRIVING SHORTLY THEREAFTER. WEATHER FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND LOOKS WARM AND DRY.

TONIGHT: TURNING CLOUDY, MIDDLE 40'S, DRIZZLE AND FOG POSSIBLE.
WEDNESDAY: A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED STORMS, HIGH NEAR 65 AS SOUTH WINDS GRADUALLY RETURN.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: BECOMING HUMID, LOW NEAR 60.
THURSDAY: A 20% CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS, HIGH 84.
FRIDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND 68.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY: SUN AND CLOUDS WITH 78-83 FOR HIGHS.

Blog Archive