Sunday, September 30, 2007

Sunday Evening Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz.....

Warm and breezy conditions continued today across the area as afternoon high temperatures remained about 5 or 6 degrees above normal. Cooler air is not far away however, as a cool front has pushed into the panhandle of Texas. This front will unfortunately have a difficult time making it all the way through the Big Country so we will have to wait a little longer for all that cooler weather to make its way into our neck of the woods.

The front will provide a focal point for showers and thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon and evening primarily to the north of the city of Abilene and the I-20 corridor. Humidity levels will continue to remain high as southerly winds bring in more moisture from the Gulf in advance of the front. As a result, overnight lows will not fall too far below the 70 degree mark areawide.

Chances of rain will continue into Tuesday and Wednesday as another front takes aim at west central Texas. This front appears to have a better shot of making it through the Big Country so the best chance of rain will most likely be on Tuesday night as the front makes it through.

Late in the week, models are indicating that an even stronger push of cold air will move into the area bringing another slight chance of rain on Saturday. If this scenario plays out, we may be looking at high temperatures much closer to normal or possibly even below normal next weekend.

Have a great start to the month of October tomorrow!!!!

Friday, September 28, 2007

Friday Afternoon Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz....

After some severe weather in our northern counties last night, we have had a very quiet day across the Big Country this afternoon. Over the couple of days we will continue to have a break from all the shower and thunderstorm activity, only to encounter more chances of rain late in the weekend and into early next week. Right now, it appears an upper level trough will move out into the plains on Sunday morning. This trough will remain far enough to the north that we will only introduce a slight chance of rain on Sunday and Monday.

Throughout the week, afternoon highs will hover within a few degrees of the 90 degree mark with overnight lows holding in the mid to upper 60's.

Two cold fronts will try to approach the area this upcoming week: one on Sunday and the other on Tuesday. As of right now, computer models are showing that these fronts will stall in the panhandle of Texas and will not be able to push south into our area. It is possible, however, that rain chances may need to be increased if these fronts do decide to move further south at the beginning of this upcoming week.

Have a great weekend!!!

Friday Forecast

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

We saw popcorn thunderstorms yesterday afternoon with the strongest storms staying in our northern counties. Overnight the storms died and we saw very clear skies with temperatures starting off in the upper 60’s.

To kick off our weekend we will see partly sunny skies with the chance for afternoon hit or miss storms. With enough moisture, outflow boundaries from yesterday storms and instability from the heating of the day the best time will in the afternoon and early evening. It will also be a bit breezier with winds gusting to 20 mph. Tonight we should be able to push away the storms just in time for the Friday night football games with lows dipping to the mid 60’s.

High pressure ridge builds in for Saturday and we will dry things back out with warm temperatures in the mid 80’s, perfect weather for the Balloon Festival at Red Bud Park. By Sunday rain chances will return as a cold front looms close to the Big Country. We will also keep them in to kick off our work week. Temperatures stay steadily in the mid 80’s with lows in the upper 60’s.

Have a wonderful weekend!

Thursday, September 27, 2007

Thursday Afternoon Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz....

For the third day in a row now, there is some shower and thunderstorm development here in the Big Country. Last night a complex of thunderstorms moved over portions of west central Texas from Snyder and Rotan over to Anson and the city of Abilene. Similar to last night, any thunderstorm that does develop with have the potential to produce winds around 40 - 45 mph and brief heavy rainfall, as well as cloud-to-ground lightning.

Tomorrow it looks as if we will finally see a break from the thunderstorm activity and warm and dry conditions will continue through at least Saturday. Afternoon high temperatures will remain about 5 degrees above seasonal normals with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60's.

On Sunday and into Sunday night, a cold front will drop down into north Texas and will be close enough to add a slight chance of rain on Sunday. Right now it appears that the bulk of the shower activity will remain well off to the north and east but we will continue to keep an eye on the situation.

Have a great start to your weekend tomorrow!!!

Thursday Morning Forecast

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

The rain arrived in the Big Country in the later evening last night when everyone was in catching there new premieres. In Abilene it rolled through just around Midnight causing some rumblings but didn’t add much in the rain bucket with barely a tenth of an inch falling. This activity was thanks to the disturbance that passed through in our upper levels.

We have quieted down for our morning commute off with just a few clouds, mid 60’s and pretty muggy conditions. Today we will see partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the upper 80’s and winds light winds out of the south southeast. We could still see a few isolated showers and thunderstorms with our best shot in our northern counties. The front that passed through Tuesday is north of our area around the Red River Valley area but will be pushing more south through the day and eventually end up around I-10. It could spark some storms along with outflow boundaries and a disturbance in upper levels. So don’t put away the umbrellas just yet.

By the weekend high pressure will build in and begin to take over with partly cloudy skies with temperatures mid 80’s.

Have a great day!

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Thursday Afternoon Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz.......

After rain and thunderstorms roamed across the Big Country yesterday, warm and dry conditions prevailed across the area today. Afternoon high temperatures were a little warmer today than they were yesterday due to temperatures being held down a bit yesterday as a result of rainfall in the area.

Tonight, a few thunderstorms are currently moving in to the western portions of the area around Snyder and north to just west of Aspermont. These storms have surprisingly continued well after sunset and will continue to pose a threat of brief heavy rainfall to mainly the western portions of the viewing area.

For the rest of the week, temperatures will warm up to a few degrees above their seasonal normals to around 90 each day with overnight lows in the mid 60's.

Chances of rain will be too slight to mention although a cold front moving near the area late this week will bear watching just in case it moves a little bit closer.

Have a great week!!!

Wednesday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

Just in time for the evening commute we saw the liquid sunshine. Showers and thunderstorms popped up along the front that made it through Abilene and has stalled out just south of the city. With the front temperatures dropped near 10 degrees. Overnight we have seen the temperatures get into the low 60’s with very muggy conditions leading to some fog forming across the area.

For today we will quickly warm the temperatures to above seasonal averages. High will get into the mid 80’s. We will keep in a 20% chance of some showers and storms as this front washes out but also because a disturbance should pass over our area through the day.

Tomorrow we begin to return to a quiet weather pattern with partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80’s with lows in the mid 60’s. We will still keep the slight chance showers tomorrow but we will remove them for the weekend just in time for the balloon festival at Red Bud park.

Have a great day!

Tuesday, September 25, 2007

Tuesday Evening Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was a warm day here in the Big Country with highs in the low 80s to low 90s. The reason for the differences in temperatures was due to the arrival of a cold front. It didn't arrive in some locations until late in the afternoon, and that is where temperatures were the warmest. Showers and thunderstorms developed along the front this afternoon. We had one thunderstorm reach severe limits on the Fisher and Nolan county line. It was capable of producing penny size hail and winds in excess of 60 mph. The majority of the rain will come to an end later tonight as the front moves south of the area. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue overnight.

The cold front is expected to stall and wash out south of the area the next couple of days. We will still be close enough to it to keep a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast Wednesday and Thursday. Highs look to be in the mid to upper 80s.

Friday and the weekend should be dry with highs in the upper 80s under partly cloudy skies.

Another cold front may clip the area on Monday. For now, it looks to be a dry frontal passage. That could change, however, so stay tuned. Highs are expected to be in the mid 80s.

We have two storms of interest in the tropics right now. Tropical Storm Karen is still well east of the Windward and Leeward Islands. It is expected to remain out in the Atlantic and does not look to affect the United States at this time. Tropical Depression 13 is in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. It also is not expected to affect the United States. The projected path with this storm is to the south-southwest which would take it into Mexico. We'll continue to keep you updated about these storms.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Cold Front Arrives

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

A disturbance in the upper level sparked a few showers and thunderstorms late yesterday afternoon but that was only before temperatures rose into the upper 80’s to low 90’s. Yes it is fall, even though the warmth in the afternoon makes it still feel like summer.

This morning is quit pleasant with temperatures in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. For the rest of today temperatures will vary from low to upper 80’s. A front is pushing in from the northwest and should pass through our northern counties in the afternoon helping to keep there temperatures just a few degrees cooler then our southern counties. This system will also help to ignite some showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country. It is a fairly weak system so it will only drop our temperatures back a few degrees. Overnight lows will stick in the mid 60’s. The front should pass through all our area by the morning and be on its way down to I-10. Tomorrow we will keep in a chance for showers and thunderstorms thanks to the front and also another disturbance that will push in from the west in the upper levels.

For the rest of the week the forecast will be dry with temperatures in the mid 80’s.

Have a great day!

Monday, September 24, 2007

Monday Afternoon Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The work week got off to a pleasant start today with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. Highs were in the mid 80s to low 90s which is a little above average for this time of year. Some isolated showers and thunderstorms developed late this afternoon due to a weak upper level disturbance moving into and across the area. We will continue to see a 20% chance for more showers and thunderstorms this evening.

A cold front is expected to move through the area tomorrow. This will increase our chance for rain to 30%. Any storm that develops is capable of producing heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds. Highs should cool down into the low to mid 80s.

There is a slight chance of rain on Wednesday for lingering showers and thunderstorms behind the front. Highs should be in the mid 80s.

Thursday through Sunday look to be dry right now with zonal flow aloft. This means we should see a tranquil weather pattern for the second half of the week. Highs will be in the upper 80s.

There are four areas of concern in the tropics right now. Tropical Depression Jerry is well out in the Atlantic Ocean and moving away from the United States. It is not expected to affect the country at all and will dissapte over the next 24 hours. Two tropical disturbances, one around the Windward and Leeward Islands and the other even further to the east, have the potential to become tropical depressions over the next couple of days. They are not an immediate threat to the U.S., but we will be keeping an eye on them. Another tropical disturbance is in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. It is drifting slowly northward and could also become a tropical depression over the next couple of days. It looks like it will move more toward Louisiana than Texas over the the coming days. We will keep a close watch on this storm and let you know where it is going.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday Morning Forecast

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

The morning air felt like fall had finally come but by the afternoon summer will still be holding on. Temperatures started off in the 60’s but afternoon highs will reach the upper 80’s.

As the high pressure ridge begins to break down we are seeing subtropical moisture being plumed into west Texas sparking showers and thunderstorms in the Big Bend and Panhandle. In our area we should see a few scattered showers and thunderstorms in our western and northern counties. Everyone should begin to see more mid and upper level cloud cover but limited moisture in the lower levels has kept dew points in the 50’s. This moisture will increase as well and help everyone for rain chances by tomorrow.

A weak front pushing through the plains will arrive in our area tomorrow afternoon and put a rain chances for the area at 30%. This front is fairly weak and will knock temperatures back just a few degrees.

For the rest of the week we will stay in a zonal flow aloft which means west to east. This should keep our weather quiet with temperatures in the mid 80’s and partly cloudy skies.

Have a great day!

Saturday, September 22, 2007

Saturday Evening Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz......

Another warm day today will be followed by several more warm days as summer tries to hold on through the first week of the fall season. Afternoon high temperatures will hold in the upper 80's to near 90 with no chance for rain until Wednesday.

By midweek, the upper level ridge that is responsible for all of this warm weather will begin to break down and slide off to the east. This in response to a digging upper level trough of low pressure crossing over the Rocky Mountains which will try to bring a cool front near the area on Wednesday into Thursday. Rain chances right now appear marginal, we'll go with 20% on Wednesday, only a slight chance rain on your Thursday.

Towards next weekend, drier air will push into the area and this will allow over night low temperatures to decrease a few degrees, and also our high temperatures to increase after the brief mid week cooldown.

Have a great weekend!!!

Friday, September 21, 2007

Beautiful Weekend Ahead

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

An upper level high pressure ridge continued to dominate over the area today. This kept us dry and very warm. Highs were in the mid 80s to low 90s under mostly sunny skies.

The ridge should stay in place through the weekend. Pleasant conditions are expected for our area. Highs look to be in the low 90s on Saturday, the final day of summer. Fall begins on Sunday at 4:51 a.m. and we should see highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. This is above average for this time of year.

On Monday, the ridge is expected to begin breaking down. This will allow a weak cold front to move close to or possibly through the area on Tuesday. Highs for the start of the work week will be in the mid to upper 80s. With a front in our area, there is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms.

A few lingering showers are possible on Wednesday. The chance for rain is slight. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s.

Thursday and next Friday look dry for now with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s.

The low pressure system that we have been watching in the Gulf of Mexico developed tropical characteristics today. It is now Tropical Depression Number 10 and has the potential to be Tropical Storm Jerry before landfall tomorrow around the Mississippi or Alabama coastline. This storm will not affect us, but what is left of the storm after landfall could bring some rain to east Texas on Sunday and Monday.

Have a super Saturday!

Last Friday of Summer

Good Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

It was a wonderful day yesterday with temperatures reaching the upper 80’s but with plenty of fair weather clouds we saw a shady breaks from the sunshine. Overnight has stayed calm with lows in the upper 60’s to 70’s.

Today the upper level high pressure ridge will continue to bring quiet weather to the Big Country and should last through the weekend. With high pressure we see sinking air which brings less cloud cover and warm temperatures as the air sinks, compresses and warms. Today’s highs will hit just around the low 90’s and stay there through the weekend. Our weekend will consist of mostly sunny skies light winds and above average temperatures. We officially kick off fall on Sunday morning but the afternoon temperatures may not make it feel that October is just around the corner.

Next week we should see our next front make it though the area which will drop highs back to the mid 80’s. Right now rain chances look slim with a better chance north of our area.

The Low pressure system around 100 miles off the coast of the Florida peninsula will continue to move through the warm gulf waters with strengthening likely. The best chance of landfall will be somewhere between Mobile Bay, Alabama to Beaumont, Texas. This system will bring more rain to the gulf coast and could be a named storm by later today.

Have a great weekend!

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Thursday Afternoon Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

An upper level high pressure ridge that has been to our east much of this week began building back into the Lone Star State today. This led to us seeing no rain in the Big Country this afternoon which was a change from the past couple of days. Highs were in the mid 80s to low 90s.

The ridge looks to be in control over the region through the weekend. This will keep us dry with temperatures above average for this time of year. Highs are expected to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.

On Monday, the ridge will likely begin breaking down. We should still be dry with slightly cooler temperatures. Highs look to be in the upper 80s.

A cold front is expected to get close to us late Monday night and possibly move through the area on Tuesday. This will bring us a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs should be in the mid 80s.

We may see some post-frontal rain on Wednesday, so a 20% chance of precipitation will continue. Highs will remain in the mid 80s.

The hurricane hunters checked out the low pressure system that is in the eastern Gulf of Mexico today. It has a well defined center of circulation, but no tropical characteristics. There aren't that many thunderstorms with it either. This system could still become a tropical cyclone over the next day or two. It should stay well east of our area. However, if you have any travel plans that take you anywhere from the upper Texas coast to the Florida panhandle this weekend, be sure to stay tuned for the latest information as this low could strengthen.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday Morning Forecast

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

Around dinner time thunderstorms made it into the Abilene area with a beautiful rainbow setting up in the sky. Outflow boundaries from previous storms led to the activity that began across the Big Country in the afternoon mainly staying in our central counties.

For today we will leave in the slight chance for and afternoon isolated storms however the chance is just slight as the high pressure ridge continues to build in and eventually sit over the Lone Star state for the next several days. With the ridge in control we will see warm and dry conditions for our weekend with highs in the low 90’s and lows in the upper 60’s.

In the tropics we are still watching a low pressure off the west coast of Florida and will eventually move through the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. This system could strike somewhere along the gulf coast this weekend. The exact location will depend on the location of the high pressure if the high stays over Texas the most likely landfall will be in the Louisiana/Alabama area.

Next week our next cold front could arrive and knock temperatures a few degrees back by mid week.

Have a great day!

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Wednesday Afternoon Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms moved through portions of the Big Country this afternoon. The majority of the rain was in the central part of the viewing area. The storms were not severe, but they did produce heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds. Highs were in the mid 80s to low 90s which is at and a little above average for this time of year.

The chance for rain will only be slight tomorrow as an upper level high pressure ridge that shifted to our east builds back into the Lone Star State. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.

That ridge looks to be in control over the region this weekend. This will lead to dry conditions and above average temperatures for us. Highs are expected to be in the low 90s.

The ridge should break down a bit early next week. Highs will likely cool down a into the upper 80s for Monday through next Wednesday.

We continue to keep an eye on a low pressure system off the east coast of Florida. It still looks like this system will make its way into the Gulf of Mexico over next couple of days. With warm waters in that area, it could develop into our next tropical depression or storm. We will have to wait and see.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Tuesday Afternoon Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We continued to see above average temperatures here in the Big Country today. Highs were in the upper 80s to low 90s. Showers and thunderstorms moved across the northern portions of the viewing area this morning. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms developed in Coke, Mitchell, Runnels, Coleman and Throckmorton counties this afternoon. The storms were mainly strong, but one did reach severe limits in northwestern Coke county. It was capable of producing quarter size hail and winds in excess of 60 mph. All of the showers and thunderstorms should weaken after sunset tonight due to the loss of daytime heating.

Showers and thunderstorms will once again be possible tomorrow. An upper level high pressure ridge should remain far enough to our east to allow an upper level disturbance or two to move across the region. Our chance for rain is 30%. Once again some of these storms could be strong and possibly severe. Highs should be in the mid 80s to around 90.

The upper level high pressure ridge to our east is expected to shift back to the west and build into the area for the second half of the week. This will keep us dry and cause our temperatures to remain above average. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s Thursday through Sunday.

The ridge is expected to break down early next week. This should cause our temperatures to cool down a few degrees. Highs for Monday and next Tuesday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

We are keeping our eye on a tropical wave that is off the east coast of Florida. The latest computer models show this system moving across Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico late in the work week. The water in the Gulf is warm and will be the fuel for this system. This means it could become our next named storm. We will be keeping a close on this system over the coming days. Stay tuned for updates.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday Morning Forecast

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

It was a beautiful start to our work week with highs in the upper 80's and plenty of sunshine. Most of us saw fair weather clouds however a few isolated showers and thunderstorms made it into our western and northern counties.

Today a trough northwest of the panhandle will spark more showers and thunderstorms. The best chance for us will be again in our northern and western counties. This trough will stick around till tomorrow so we will keep a slight chance in through Wednesday. Along with the rain we will stay humid with dew points in the mid 60’s and breezy conditions. Temperatures with more cloud cover will stay in the mid 80's with lows in the upper 60's.

In the upper levels the high that has been dominating our weather has shifted to the east but should be pushing back to the west by tomorrow. This will bring back the sunshine and warm temperatures in upper 80’s to low 90’s.

By end of the weekend rain may return to east Texas thanks to another surface low, we will keep an eye on this scenario and how it may affect our weather.

Have a great day!

Monday, September 17, 2007

Monday Afternoon Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Partly to mostly cloudy skies dominated the Big Country throughout the day. Highs were in the mid 80s to low 90s. The upper level high pressure ridge which had been in control over the area this weekend began its shift to the east today. Showers and thunderstorms developed to our west and northwest along an upper level disturbance. Some of this activity did make it into Scurry county this afternoon.

More showers and thunderstorms will be possible tonight for the western half of the viewing area. The further west you are, the better you chance for rain tonight. That chance for rain in our area ranges from 20% to 30%. Lows look to be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

The upper level high pressure ridge is expected to shift further eastward tomorrow. This should allow an upper level disturbance to move through much of the region. The chance for showers and thunderstorms is 30%. Some of these storms could be strong and possibly severe. We could also see heavy rain with the stronger storms. Highs should be in the mid to upper 80s.

The chances for rain go away beginning Wednesday as the upper level high pressure ridge builds back into the area. It is expected to stay through at least the end of the week. This will keep us dry with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s for the second half of the week.

Looking at the tropics, the only named storm we have is Tropical Depression Ingrid. It is expected to continue dissipating near the Leeward Islands. The National Hurricane Center is no longer sending updates on this storm unless it regenerates.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

We had a warm and humid day across the big country this weekend and that will continue through the day today.

Temperatures this morning are in the low 70's fairly mild for this time of year. With high pressure still dominating our picture we will see a nice day with scattered clouds and highs in the upper 80's. This upper level high pressure will continue to slide to the east through the day and with that we will see an upper level trough begin to dip into the southwest. On the surface a trough will develop on the east side of the Rockies and move closer to our area. This in combination with a disturbance in the upper levels which will brush the panhandle will bring our next chance of rain. The best shot will be tomorrow but will keep in a slight chance for Wednesday. Our northern and western counties will see the most likely activity.

Behind this system the upper level high should retrograde back and clear out the rain chances. We will see partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80’s for the last weekend of summer.

Have a great day!

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Sunday Evening Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz.....

More beautiful weather is in store for west central Texas this week as high pressure continues to dominate the area. The only exception may be on Tuesday as a weak disturbance passes just to the north of the area with an associated cold front. This system will not be able to make it completely into the Big Country and so there will be only a slight chance of rain for Tuesday afternoon. As the upper level disturbance/cold front pass to the north and east of the area, there will certainly be a few clouds around on Tuesday which will hold temperatures a degree or two cooler than they have been the last couple of days.

Breezy conditions will continue tomorrow as well and those southerly winds will continue to bring a warm, humid air mass northward into the area. As a result, overnight lows will warm up to right around 70 degrees for much of the upcoming work-week.

Remember that this is the last full week of summer as fall officially begins at 4:51 AM Sunday morning (9/23).

Have a great week!!!

Saturday, September 15, 2007

Saturday Afternoon Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz.......

After starting out with mostly cloudy skies and even a little fog this morning, temperatures area wide warmed up into the mid 80's with a few scattered cumulus clouds developing as well. For the rest of the weekend and also for most of the upcoming week, the weather scenario looks to stay the same: high temps in the upper 80's to near 90, lows in the upper 60's and little to no chance for rain.

Late next week, there is a possibility that some upper level disturbances could begin to affect mainly the western and southwestern part of the Big Country. For right now, it appears that the chances for rain will remain too small to mention in the forecast but the situation will continue to be monitored should any changes take place.

Enjoy the last weekend of summer!!

Friday, September 14, 2007

Friday Afternoon Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had above average temperatures across the Big Country today as highs were in the upper 80s to low 90s. A prefrontal trough is triggering some showers and thunderstorms in the Concho Valley. A few showers and storms formed briefly in Runnels county this afternoon.

A cold front is still expected to move through the area later tonight. There hasn't been much in the way of rain along this front as it has made its way towards us. A stray shower or thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out. Therefore, our chance for rain tonight is less than slight. Lows should be in the low to mid 60s.

Tomorrow looks to be pleasant with highs in the mid to upper 80s under partly cloudy skies. It may feel a bit more comfortable with dewpoints down a little bit.

An upper level high pressure ridge is expected to develop and move into the area Sunday and Monday. This means dry conditions and warmer temperatures for us. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.

The ridge should shift to our east beginning Tuesday and continue to sit in the southeast U.S. through most of next week. An upper level trough will be to our west. If this is able to make its way close enough to the area, we could see some rain due some disturbances. For now I'm keeping it dry next week, but that may change depending on how the trough develops and moves as we get closer to that time period. Highs for Tuesday through next Friday look to be in the mid to upper 80s.

Have a super Saturday!

Friday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

It was a warm afternoon across the Big Country with lots of sunshine and highs in some areas hitting 90 degrees. Although we had the third wettest summer on record it seems we may be keeping September dry for a few more days.

Today we will see lots of sunshine with temperatures again topping off at 89 degrees. A cold front that is draped over the panhandle will continue to track south however it should stall just to the North of our area. It will bring us some cloud cover overnight but shouldn’t affect our Saturday afternoon temperatures. Through the night we will increase the clouds with the approaching front and decrease the clouds through the morning. There will be the possibility of an isolated shower to our North however this system has been fairly dry.

For the beginning of next week an upper level ridge sets up, keeping us high and dry. Temperatures will top off in the upper 80’s with lows in the mid 60’s. By end of a next week a strong low to the west will track east and this will bring us our next chance of rain. Models have been slowing the system down and not pushing it in our area until near the weekend so we may see our third week in September a dry one.

Have a great day!

Thursday, September 13, 2007

Thursday Evening Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The warming trend continued for us here in the Big Country. Highs were mainly in the upper 80s to low 90s. It didn't feel quite as comfortable as dewpoints were in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Friday looks to be similar to today. It will be another beautiful day to be out at the West Texas Fair and Rodeo. Highs should be in the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies.

A cold front is still expected to move through the area overnight Friday night into Saturday morning. The chance for rain is only slight because we will probably not have enough moisture in place for a lot of rain. Also, there hasn't been much rain along the front as it has made its way southward today. If you are going to be out at a football game tomorrow night, it looks like it will be dry and you will not need the rain gear. Highs on Saturday should be in the mid 80s.

An upper level high pressure ridge is expected to build into the region Sunday and Monday. This will lead to warm temperatures and dry conditions. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.

The ridge will likely shift to the east for Tuesday through next Thursday. We should still be on the edge of it so dry conditions look to continue during that time period. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s.

Tropical Storm Humberto became a hurricane just two hours before making landfall this morning in High Island, Texas. This storm went from a tropical depression to a category 1 hurricane in just 14 hours which is unprecidented. It is the first U.S. hurricane landfall in two years.

Tropical Depression number 8 remains disorganized in the Atlantic Ocean. It is still east of the Windward and Leeward Islands. It is moving slowly to the west-northwest. We will continue to keep you updated on this storm. If it strengthens to tropical storm status, it will be named Ingrid.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly...

Another quiet and comfortable day across the Big Country yesterday as highs stayed in the lower 80's. We started off chilly yesterday morning as lows dipped into the lower 50's. The thermometer isn't reaching that cool this morning but we are still below average.

The low 60's this morning will give away to mid 80's by the afternoon. With plenty of sunshine it will still be a perfect afternoon to get outdoors for your favorite activity. Tomorrow our highs should finally hit near 90 degrees but a bit of cloud cover will return as our next front makes its approach. The football games should be in the clear as it shouldn’t pass through till the early morning. We could see an isolated shower associated with the system.

Behind the front we will remove the rain chances and bring back the sunshine as a ridge sets up.

This morning Hurricane Humberto was upgraded before it made landfall around 2 am just east of High Island, Texas. It packed winds of 85 mph and is now moving northeast around 8 mph. It will continue to impact the Texas/Louisiana coast with two to three inches likely.

Have a great day!

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Tuesday Evening Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The pleasant conditions continued for us here in the Big Country today. Highs were in the upper 70s to low 80s. Dewpoints were in the 40s and 50s which made it feel comfortable.

Warmer temperatures and higher dewpoints look to return to the area tomorrow. High pressure should still be control so skies will be mostly sunny. Highs look to be in the mid to upper 80s. With light winds from the south, dewpoints are expected to begin rising back towards the 60s. This means it won't feel quite as comfortable.

A cold front will move through the area Friday night into early Saturday morning. There is a slight chance of rain as the front passes, but we may not have enough moisture in place to see that much precipitation. Highs look to be in the upper 80s on Friday before cooling down to the low 80s for Saturday.

The front may stall to our south on Sunday. It could be just close enough to cause a few showers and thunderstorms in the southern portions of the viewing area. The chance for rain is slight. Highs will be in the mid 80s.

The early part of next week looks dry with highs in the upper 80s under partly cloudy skies.

Tropical Storm Humberto formed in the Gulf of Mexico today. It is expected to make landfall along the upper Texas coast later tonight. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect from Port O'Connor, Texas to Intracoastal City, Louisiana. Rainfall amounts look to be 5 to 15 inches along the track of the storm. It will not affect the Big Country.

Have a terrific Thursday!

A Chilly Start

Good Morning everyone from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly...

Yesterday started off cool with a cold front punching through the Big Country but by the afternoon the clouds began to finally break and we made into the upper 70's.

This morning is even cooler with the coldest temperatures we have seen this season. Before sunrise temperatures dipped into the mid 50's. You will want to make sure the jacket is on the little ones as they get out for school. With drier air still in place and temperatures warming up a few more degrees then yesterday it will be a great afternoon to hit the fair or to play a game of golf. The high pressure that is just off to the northeast will cause only pleasant weather until Friday night where our third front of the week marches on through. Before the front we should see prefrontal warming which means we could see highs hit 90 degrees.

Behind the front we are returning rain chances to the forecast. The front should pass early Saturday and return cooler air to our area. Highs should drop to the low 80's with overnight lows in the low 60's. This front should then return on Sunday as a warm front bringing back the warmer temperatures and also plenty of moisture.

Have a great day!

Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Hello Cooler Temperatures

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was a beautiful afternoon across the Big Country today thanks to the cold front that moved through overnight and early this morning. Clouds were on the decrease due to drier air moving into the region. Dewpoints have reached comfortable levels again. Highs today were in the mid 70s to low 80s.

Wednesday and Thursday should be pleasant as well with high pressure in control over the area. Highs look to be in the 80s under mostly sunny skies.

Another cold front is still expected to move through the area late Friday night into early Saturday morning. There is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms during this time period. The reason the chance or rain is so small is due to the question of how much moisture will have built back into the area. Highs on Friday will be in the upper 80s, but on Saturday they will be in the low 80s.

Sunday through next Tuesday look to be dry with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday Morning Forecast

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly...

When you walk out the door this morning you will remember the calender now says September. Although the official beginning of Fall is still a week and half away it sure feels like it has arrived. Our temperatures are starting in the low to mid 60's and with much drier air around it feels like a complete 180 from just 24 hours ago when we woke up extremely muggy.

Our second front pushed through overnight sparking a few showers and thunderstorms with the strongest activity staying to our west. The front which is currently draped over the I 10 corridor will continue to push southward and keep the activity isolated to Southern Texas. Along with it we will see decreasing clouds with sunshine by the afternoon.

Temperatures will stay near 10 degrees below average reaching the upper 70's. With clear skies and light winds overnight temperatures will drop to the coolest we have seen this year reaching the upper 50's. It will be a comfortable evening to leave the windows open.

With High pressure settling in we will see less clouds cover the next couple days with gradually warming temperatures Wednesday and Thursday. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80's. By Friday our next front will arrive however with limited moisture we should only see an isolated shower. Temperatures will drop again to the upper 70's to low 80's but quickly rebound by the beginning of next week to the mid 80's.

Have a great day!

Monday, September 10, 2007

Cooler and Drier Conditions Are On The Way

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We saw plenty of cloud cover and some rain here in the Big Country today. A slow moving cold front finally exited the region this evening. That front brought scattered showers and thunderstorms to the area yesterday and today. Highs this afternoon were mainly in the upper 70s to low 80s. Brownwood and the southern portions of the viewing area were able to make it into the upper 80s and low 90s before the front arrived.

Another stronger cold front will move through the area tonight into tomorrow morning. This means we have a chance for more showers and thunderstorms. That chance is 60% tonight and 20% for tomorrow morning. All of the rain should be over by early afternoon on Tuesday. Highs look to be in the mid to upper 70s with clouds decreasing throughout the day.

Wednesday and Thursday are expected to be wonderful and terrific. Highs should be in the 80s with mostly sunny skies. It will feel a lot more comfortable with dewpoints in the 50s. Basically, conditions look to be picture perfect for the West Texas Fair and Rodeo on these days.

Another cold front may move through the area Friday night. Our chance for rain right now is only 20%. We may not have enough moisture back in the region in order for us to see showers and thunderstorms. Highs for Friday should be in the upper 80s, but cool down into the upper 70s on Saturday.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday Morning Forecast

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly...

Overnight a weak front has moved through our area bring with it scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly north of I 20. We will continue to see activity for at least the beginning of the weak but drier air will be moving in by mid week.

We will keep rain chances at 50 percent today as the front will wash out over the Big Country. With a mostly cloudy sky and rain cooled air temperatures will be cooler with highs in the mid 80's. Tonight we will see a stronger front push through bringing more activity and even cooler temperatures in the low 60's.

Tomorrow we will see lingering activity through the morning with decreasing clouds by the afternoon. With the cooler air mass in place temperatures will only reach upper 70's to low 80's.

Wednesday and Thursday will be the best days to hit the fair this week, with no rain chances and highs in the mid 80's with plenty of sunshine. The jacket may be required for the late night rides as lows will drop to the mid 60's.

Our next front which could be the coldest air we see this season will surge in and arrive Friday night. This brings back the rain chances and cooler temperatures. Highs from the mid 80's Friday will drop to the upper 70's Saturday. Best rain chances will be late night Friday through Saturday morning.

Have a great week!

Sunday, September 09, 2007

Sunday Afternoon Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz......

Showers & thunderstorms are currently developing to the north and northeast of Abilene across primarily Shackelford & Throckmorton counties. Isolated showers continue to pop up elsewhere including one that tried to push into the western part of Abilene around Dyess AFB. These showers & storms will push off to the northeast throughout the evening and most will die out around sunset.

Tomorrow night, a cold front will enter west central Texas and bring a better chance of rain and also below normal temperatures for Tuesday and Wednesday. Overnight lows will also drop off into the lower 60's.

After a brief warm up on Wednesday and Thursday, a slight chance of rain will return into the forecast on Friday and Saturday as another front moves in from the north. Early indications are that this front could bring down some much cooler air for next weekend but that is still speculation at this point and the situation for next weekend will continue to be monitored closely.

Have a great start to your work week!!

Saturday, September 08, 2007

Saturday Afternoon Update

From Meterologist Nathan Motz....

We've had some pretty nice weather across the Big Country the last couple of days with temperatures right around to slightly below their seasonal averages. However, later this weekend and especially early next week, a cool surge of air will approach the area and bring with it a chance for rain. The best chance for rain will be Monday afternoon and Monday night as the cool front pushes on through. Tuesday will be a beautiful day as it will feel a little more like fall with a high temperature of only 80 degrees. Overnight lows will also drop off into the lower 60's as drier air from the north replaces all of the humidity that we have become accustomed to in the evenings here in west central Texas.

The rain will push out quickly on Tuesday morning and temperatures will begin to warm up as we dry out during the middle of the week. We will still probably remain a few degrees below normal through Friday afternoon.

As we head into next weekend, weather computer models are forecasting a stronger push of cold air coming south this Saturday. High temperatures are shown to only reach the upper 60's by next Saturday, however, it is much more likely that the models are overdoing it just a bit and we'll go with a high in the upper 70's to near 80. Chances for rain reappear as well and depending on how strong the front is , we may have to increase those rain chances as we head into the weekend.

Have a great weekend!!!!

Friday, September 07, 2007

Chance of Rain This Weekend

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We saw high temperatures this afternoon in the upper 80s to mid 90s which is at and just above average for this time of year. Showers and thunderstorms have developed to our west and north this afternoon. Some of the storms have been strong to severe. It is possible for some of this activity to make its way into our area later tonight. The best shot for rain in the viewing area will be in the western and northern portions. The showers and storms should be weaker when and if they get here later tonight due to a loss of daytime heating. The atmosphere should be a little more stable in our area.

We will have a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms this weekend due to a cold front that will stall north of us on Saturday and then drift into at least part of the area on Sunday. Some of the moisture this front is feeding off of is the remnants of Hurricane Henriette. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.

A stronger cold front should move through the area Monday night into Tuesday morning. This front is expected to have significantly colder and drier air behind it. Our chance for rain is 30% on Monday and then increases to 40% Monday night and Tuesday due to the front being in the area. Highs for the first day of the work week will be in the upper 80s, but will fall to the upper 70 for Tuesday.

Dry conditions are expected for Wednesday through next Friday with highs in the low to mid 80s.

Have a super Saturday!

Thursday, September 06, 2007

Thursday Evening Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Warm to hot temperatures were experienced in the Big Country today with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms developed during the day. Strong thunderstorms have formed and remain to our north and west this evening. Most of this activity should stay out of the area. However, some rain could make it into the western and northern portions of the viewing area later tonight.

A cold front is expected to stall north of us in the Texas panhandle and southern Oklahoma tomorrow through the weekend. The remnants of Hurricane Henriette are expected to move along this front during that time period. The chance for showers and thunderstorms is 30% with the best chance being in the northern communties. Highs look to be in the upper 80s.

A stronger cold front is expected to move through the region Monday night into early Tuesday. This will bring us a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms. It is possible for us to see some severe weather with this front. The air behind it looks to be significantly cooler and drier so it will be clashing with the warm and moist air ahead of it. Highs on Monday should be in the upper 80s, but cool down to upper 70s and low 80s on Tuesday.

Wednesday and next Thursday look to be dry with highs in the low to mid 80s under mostly sunny skies.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Wednesday, September 05, 2007

Wednesday Evening Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Mostly cloudy skies dominated much of the Big Country today. This helped keep our highs in the mid 80s to 90 which is a little below average for this time of year. There were a few showers in the extreme southern and southeastern portions of the viewing area this afternoon.

Hurricane Henriette will be making a second landfall in mainland Mexico this evening. The storm is expected to move north into New Mexico tomorrow. Some of the moisture from Henriette will likely end up in our area. We can expect the muggy conditions and mostly cloudy skies to continue. With the moisture from this storm in the region, we could see some isolated showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. The chance for rain is 20%. Highs look to be in the mid to upper 80s.

A cold front looks to move close to us this weekend. It is expected to stall around the Red River area. What is left of Henriette could move along this front. The chance for rain Saturday and Sunday is 30%. Highs look to be in the mid to upper 80s.

Another cold front is expected by to arrive in the area Monday into early Tuesday. This will keep our chance for rain at 30%. Temperatures should be a little cooler with highs in the low to mid 80s.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Tuesday, September 04, 2007

Tuesday Evening Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We continued to see plenty of cloud cover across the Big Country today. Some showers and thunderstorms moved through the eastern half of the viewing area as well. This is all due to an upper level low pressure trough that is making its way east-northeastward across the state. Highs today were in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible once again tomorrow. The chance of rain is 40%. Highs should be in the low to mid 80s under mostly cloudy skies.

The chance for rain on Thursday and Friday will only be slight due to the trough moving out of the area. However, we are keeping an eye on Hurricane Henriette. It made landfall in the Baja California area today. This storm is expected to move to the north and should be in Arizona and New Mexico by Friday. We should see some of the moisture from this system in our area. This will give us some more cloud cover and help keep us muggy. The storm itself should remain well to our west, but sometimes these storms shift tracks so we will keep you updated. Highs for the second half of the shortened work week will be in the low 90s.

A cold front is expected to make its way towards us this weekend. It doesn't look to get here until late Sunday or possibly Monday. Rain chances will be back on the increase because of this. For now, the chance is 20% for Saturday and 30% for Sunday and Monday. Highs for Saturday should be around 90. Sunday and Monday will likely be cooler with highs in the mid 80s.

Weather history was made today when Hurricane Felix made landfall in Nicaragua as a Category 5 storm. It was the first time in recorded history (since 1886) that two Category 5 hurricanes made landfall in the same season. Hurricane Dean was a Category 5 when it made landfall in Mexico last month. Felix is expected to move over Central America this week and will not be affecting our weather.

Have a wonderul Wednesday!

Monday, September 03, 2007

Monday Afternoon Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz.......

Triple Doppler Radar is beginning to show a few showers out there across Brown and Eastland counties this afternoon and thats only the beginning. All of the rain down in south central Texas will be headed our direction by tomorrow afternoon. Isolated storms will continue to be possible throughout this afternoon and evening but the best chance will hold out until tomorrow.

Temperatures will continue to be below their seasonal average until Thursday with a high tomorrow of only 82 degrees. Overnight low's will remain in the upper 60's to near 70 throughout the week.

After a break from the rain on Thursday, a slight chance of rain will be introduced on Friday with a better chance on Saturday as a cold front pushes south across west central Texas. As mentioned in previous posts, there is the potential for more heavy rain on Saturday which may pose a problem depending on how much rain we receive tomorrow afternoon. In addition, moisture from a tropical system in the Pacific may begin to feed into west central Texas, increasing the chances of heavy rain even further.

As you all know, we have already received more than enough rainfall across the Big Country this summer and any additional heavy rainfall may cause the potential for flooding of low lying areas.
Please stay tuned to KRBC for future updates as heavy rainfall continues to be a possibility across west central Texas.

Have a great Labor Day!!!

Sunday, September 02, 2007

Sunday Afternoon Update

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz....

More of the same across west central Texas this afternoon, widely scattered t-storms have developed across western Nolan and Mitchell counties as well as just to the east of the Big Country in Erath and Palo Pinto counties. Just like yesterday, these storms will diminish right around sunset.

As for your Labor Day forecast, it could be a little wet so if you have any outdoor plans, make sure that you bring the rain gear and have a backup plan ready. It shouldn't be a wash out at all, but any storm that develops tomorrow will have the potential to produce brief heavy rainfall.

Chances of rain will increase to 30% tomorrow and up to 40% on Tuesday as the upper level trough slides to the west into a more favorable location. As it does, it will allow moisture from the Gulf of Mexico to stream northward across the Big Country and showers and t-storms will become more numerous. By Tuesday, it does appear that there is at least a chance for some small scale flooding of low-lying areas due to the fact that we have already received so much rain this year. Be sure to watch the forecast tomorrow at 6 and 10 on KRBC as we will continue to provide further updates.

For the rest of the week, chances of rain decrease a little Wednesday through Friday but never really go away completely. By Saturday, it appears that we may be dealing with a cold front stalling in the area and chances of rain will probably need to be increase for next weekend as well.

Temperatures will remain a couple of degrees below seasonal normals throughout this upcoming week with high's in the upper 80's to near 90 and lows in the upper 60's.

Have a great day!!!

Saturday, September 01, 2007

Saturday Afternoon Update.....

From Meteorologist Nathan Motz......

Isolated showers & a few t-storms did develop today mostly across the southern and eastern portions of the viewing area in Coleman, Runnels, and Eastland counties. These showers will most likely die out around sunset only to redevelop tomorrow afternoon. Chances of rain will remain low for the latter part of this Labor Day weekend at 20% or less but any storm that does develop will have the potential to produce isolated heavy rain and frequent lightning.

As we head into the middle part of the week, chances of rain taper off slightly but we will have to watch a cold front that could impact west central Texas next weekend and chances of rain may have to be increased as we approach the latter part of this week.

Afternoon high temperatures will remain close to normal for the first week of September in the upper 80's to near 90, and overnight low's will stay in the mid to upper 60's.

Have a great weekend!!

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