Monday, October 31, 2005

Chilly Halloween Night

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

After a rainy, windy start, Halloween ended very pleasant with a definate chill to the air. The strong cold front that pushed through the Big Country this morning moved in enough dry air to allow temperatures to drop tonight into the mid to upper 30s.

Unfortunately for cool weather lovers, this cool snap won't last long. With high pressure controlling our weather through the next five days, sunny skies will allow afternoon highs to quickly rise back into the low 80s by Thursday. With those same clear skies, we will see decent cooling at night with lows ranging from the mid 40s to lower 50s. This week will definately be "open-window" weather across the area.

Our next cold front looks to affect the Big Country Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Don't forget, Thursday night at 10p.m. we will have another installment of "Weather Made Easy", send me a question at ccarnesi@krbc.tv and I'll answer it live during the newscast.

Please, go out and make it a GREAT day!

A Cool Halloween With Rain Early

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

A cold front is moving through the Big Country this morning bringing with it showers and thunderstorms. Most of the rain should take place during the morning and early afternoon hours. The chance for rain is 40%. It will be windy today with winds from the north-northwest at 15 to 25 mph. Higher gusts are expected. A lake wind advisory is in effect for most of the area today, so you might want to postpone your trip to the lake. Highs will likely be in the mid 60s at best today, and that should occur this morning before the cold front moves through.

The rain and clouds are expected to clear out in time for all you trick-or-treaters out there. If you don't have a warm costume, you might want to take the jacket since it will be cool evening with winds from the north-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. Lows should be in the upper 30s to low 40s.

The weather is looking great for Tuesday through Friday. Mostly sunny skies are expected. Highs should be in the 70s on Tuesday and Wednesday. By Thursday and Friday, highs will likely be in the low 80s. So it looks like temperatures will be swinging back above average for the majority of the work week.

Have a safe and happy Halloween!

Sunday, October 30, 2005

Rain Chances For Halloween

Cloudy skies were around for much of the afternoon today, yet there has been clearing skies this evening. Clouds and a 20% chance for thunderstorms will come back tonight, and during the daylight hours of Monday(50% chance Monday); thunderstorms should come to an end by sunset for the Big Country. So for any trick-or-treaters, you should not have a problem with rain, yet temperatures will be dropping fast Monday night with the passage of a cold front. There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across eastern Texas on Monday, yet severe storms should stay more to our east.
Tuesday into next weekend looks great with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-t0-upper 70s as high pressure and upper level ridging takes control.

Tropical Storm Beta made landfall in Nicaragua as a category 2 hurricane with 110 mph winds....making landfall around 8 a.m. Sunday. Beta was the 13th hurricane of the season, a new record!
As of the 7 p.m. National Hurricane Advisory, T.S. Beta has winds sustained near 40 mph with higher gusts. Beta's movement is to the west at 7 mph. Flooding rains will be a problem for Nicaragua and eastern Honduras, with 10-15" of rain, and isolated amounts up to 25".

Have a great week!

Saturday, October 29, 2005

Showers and Thunderstorms....Hurricane Beta Strengthens

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

Showers and thunderstorms have developed across the Big Country giving Haskell and Throckmorton counties rainfall amounts near a third of an inch. Storms are moving to the east-northeast at 35-40 mph and should come to an end by midnight. Clouds will stay with us overnight...yet we should see the sun at times on Sunday, giving us partly cloudy skies.

Hurricane Beta is now a category 2 hurricane with winds at 105 mph gusting up to 125 mph. Hurricane Beta's movement is to the west at 5 mph, and could become a category three hurricane before making landfall on Sunday in Nicaragua. Hurricane Beta would become a category three hurricane if sustained winds reach 111 mph; a hurricane is considered a major hurricane once it becomes a category three.

Enjoy the rest of the weekend!

Rain Chances For Halloween....Hurricane Beta Update

From meteorologist Jason Myers.......

After cloudy skies this morning, the sun came out for the afternoon helping temperatures to warm to a high of 74 degrees in Abilene. Sunday will be another mild day with a high of 77 degrees. Breezy conditions will be staying with us, with a south-southwest wind from 10-20 mph. A cold front will be approaching the Big Country giving us a 20% chance of rain late Sunday night. Rain chances will continue throughout the day Monday, with a 40% chance of rain. A few isolated showers will be possible for Halloween night, so it would be a good idea to have the umbrella with you just in case. Tuesday through next weekend look nice with temperatures in the 70s and mostly sunny skies.

Yesterday, there was tropical storm Beta, and as of 2 a.m. Beta is now a hurricane. Hurricane Beta has winds at 90 mph with gusts up to 105 mph as of the 5 p.m. advisory. Hurricane Beta, a category 1 hurricane, could easy get winds up to 96 mph sustained, making it a category 2 hurricane.....landfall looks to occur on Sunday in Nicaragua, with the hurricane's westward movement at 5 mph.

From the National Hurricane Center:

HURRICANE BETA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WITH TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS...NICARAGUA...SAN ANDRES...AND PROVIDENCIA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...13.8 N... 82.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.

Have a great weekend!

Friday, October 28, 2005

Nice Weekend....Rain Chances For Halloween

From meteorologist Jason Myers.....

A nice day across the Big Country with a high temperature of 71 degrees at 3:59 p.m. The mostly sunny skies helped temperatures warm up after a chilly start this morning with a low temperature of 47 degrees at 3:44 a.m. Temperatures will continually be warm Saturday and Sunday with highs in the mid-to-upper 70s and partly cloudy skies. A cold front is set to move through West Central Texas Sunday night into Monday, giving us a 30% chance of rain. The rain looks to come to an end by Monday night for any trick-or-treaters, however it will be cool with an overnight low of 47 degrees.
Tuesday and Wednesday look to be nice with highs in the mid-70s and mostly sunny skies.

Tropical Storm Beta has not become a hurricane yet. Winds are at 65 mph with gusts up to 75 mph....0nce sustained winds reach 74 mph, Beta will be a hurricane. T.S. Beta is moving to the north at 5 mph, and looks to strengthen into a hurricane before making landfall in Nicaragua Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Nice Weekend On Tap For Us

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off this morning with some patchy fog across the area. Temperatures were in the upper 30s to low 50s. It will be a pleasant afternoon with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 70s. It looks like the weather will be great for the crosstown showdown between Abilene High and Cooper as well as the other high school football games in the area tonight. With cool temperatures expected, you'll probably want to take a jacket with you if you are going out tonight. Lows should be in the upper 40s to low 50s. Saturday and Sunday look nice with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 70s. It may be a little breezy this weekend.

Another upper level low may move near the Big Country Sunday night and Monday. We could see some showers and thunderstorms develop during that time period. For now, rain chances are 20%. If you're doing any trick-or-treating on Monday, it looks like you might need to carry the umbrella with you. Tuesday should be dry with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 70s.

Tropical Storm Beta continues to move slowly in the Carribean Sea. According to the 5 a.m. EDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Beta has maximum sustained winds of 65 mph and is moving north at 3 mph. The latest projections have the storm strengthening to a hurricane later today. If it does become a hurricane, it would be the 13th of the season and would set a new record for most hurricanes in a year. The current record is 12 set back in 1969. It still looks like Beta will make landfall late Saturday night or early Sunday morning in Nicaragua with 10 to 15 inches of rain possible. We'll continue to keep you updated with the latest.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, October 27, 2005

Nice Weather For The Weekend

From meteorologist Jason Myers.......

A messy day across the Big Country. The Abilene Regional Airport reported 0.39" of rain for today, with other areas seeing more. Thunderstorms came through early this morning and showers lasted throughout the afternoon. Thunderstorms and showers will diminish overnight along with the mostly cloudy skies, giving us partly cloudy skies on Friday. Tonight's low temperature will be 49 degrees, and Friday's high temperature will be 70 degrees. Friday night looks good for high school football games. It will feel a little chilly at the game, so take a jacket along with you. At kickoff temperatures will be in the lower 60s, and by the end of the game temperatures should drop into the upper 50s. Saturday and Sunday look good with partly cloudy skies and highs in the mid-70s. Don't forget to set your clock back one hour before going to bed Saturday night.
A cold front will move through on Monday, giving a 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms....so the kids that plan on going "trick-or-treating" may need to take an umbrella along.

Tropical Storm Beta has winds at 60 mph moving to the north at 3 mph. T.S. Beta looks to become a hurricane in the next 24 hours. It's been a crazy hurricane season, with 12 hurricanes so far this season....on average there are only six hurricanes each year. T.S. Beta is putting down a lot of rain on Central America with it's slow movement. Beta looks to turn to the west into Nicaragua this weekend. With it's slow movement, 10 to 15 inches of rain is expected in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and Honduras.

We'll keep you up to date with the latest!

Have The Rain Gear Handy

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The upper level low we have been talking about for the past few days will be moving across the state today. Showers and thunderstorms have already begun moving across the Big Country this morning. The rain should continue off and on through most of the day. With mostly cloudy skies and rain today, highs will only make it to the upper 60s to maybe the low 70s at best. By tonight, the upper level low should be pulling out of the area. There is only a slight chance of rain for tonight during the evening hours. Lows will likely be in the upper 40s to low 50s.

The weather is looking nice and pleasant for tomorrow with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 70s. The crosstown showdown and other Friday night football games are expected to be dry. It should be a little cool once the sun goes down, so you might want to take a jacket with you. Saturday and most of Sunday also look to be nice with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 70s.

A cold front is expected to arrive late Sunday into Monday, so rain chances will return. Right now, there is a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms Sunday night and Monday. It looks like it could be a little wet across portions of the area for trick-or-treating on Halloween. Highs on Monday should be in the upper 60s.

We have our 23rd named storm of the season. We have already broken the record for most storms in a season and have run out of names on the regular list. The storms are now being named using the Greek alphabet, which has never happened before. Tropical Storm Beta is located in the Carribean Sea. According to the 11 a.m. EDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Beta has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and is drifting to the north. The latest projections have the storm strengthening to a hurricane by tomorrow and making landfall in Nicaragua sometime on Sunday. It looks like Beta will not be affecting the United States. We'll continue to keep you updated with the latest.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, October 26, 2005

Tropical Depression Twenty-Six Forms at 10 p.m. CDT

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

A low pressure system in the southwestern caribbean sea has been upgraded to a tropical depression as of 10 p.m. CDT. This is Tropical Depression 26 and is located near latitude 11.1 north, longitude 81.5 west, about 170 miles east-southeast of Bluefields, Nicaragua. T.D. 26 is moving to the northwest at 3 mph with maximum sustained winds at 35 mph, not far from tropical storm status. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb.

The main problem with T.D. 26 looks to be flooding rains in Central America due to the storm's slow movement. In fact 10 to 15 inches across western Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua is possible....with some isolated areas receiving up to 20 inches of rain.


Big Country Weather Update.........

At 10:45 p.m. in the Big Country, showers and thunderstorms are continuing to move in from the west and northwest. These scattered storms are moving to the east at 15 mph. Rainfall amounts between a few hundreths to near fifteen hundreths of an inch will be possible.

Rain Chances In The Forecast

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

Another nice day across Texas. With high pressure in control, skies have stayed mostly sunny today. After a chilly start of 44 degrees at 7:15 a.m., temperatures warmed up to 77 degrees at 3:13 p.m.
A low pressure system is currently just west of Amarillo and will be moving closer to the Big Country as we go into the overnight hours. There is a slight chance of rain tonight with a low of 52. Tomorrow will be cooler with a high of 66 degrees, mostly cloudy skies, and a 30% chance of rain. So you will probably want a light jacket with you Thursday, along with an umbrella. Rain will mainly be scattered. Rain will begin to diminish Thursday night, with a low of 50 degrees. Friday looks nice with partly cloudy skies and a high temperature of 70 degrees. Friday night looks to be nice for the "Crosstown Showdown" with temperatures in the lower to mid 60s at kickoff. Saturday will be partly cloudy with a high of 72. Sunday will be a lot like Saturday, yet increasing clouds Sunday evening and night. A cold front will move through on Monday bringing a chance of rain for Halloween Day. Monday's high will be 65 with a 20% chance of rain.

Also, don't forget Saturday night to turn your clock BACK one hour before you go to bed Saturday night.

Keep The Umbrella Close

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off cool this morning with most locations reporting temperatures in the mid 40s to low 50s. It was a little colder in Brownwood with a morning low in the mid 30s. This afternoon we will see seasonable temperatures with highs in the mid 70s and mostly sunny skies.

An upper level disturbance or two is expected to move close to the Big Country tonight through early Friday morning. This means we will see a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Right now, there is a 20% to 30% chance of rain during that time period. With mostly cloudy skies and a chance for rain tomorrow, highs should be in the upper 60s. The rain is expected to be gone by Friday afternoon, so the crosstown showdown here in Abilene and other football games in the area should be dry Friday night. Saturday looks nice with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 70s.

A cold front is expected to arrive either late Sunday or Monday. Yesterday, the computer models were indicating Sunday, now it looks like it might be Monday. So, for now, I will leave a slight chance of rain for Sunday and highs in the mid 70s. There is a possibility that we could see some rain on Halloween. We'll continue to keep an eye on this and keep you updated.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, October 25, 2005

Nice Day Wednesday....Rain Chances Return Thursday

From meteorologist Jason Myers.....

A NICE DAY TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S ALL THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE WHICH IS BRINGING SINKING AIR AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS TEXAS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL STAY IN CONTROL WEDNESDAY WITH A HIGH OF 75 DEGREES AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, WHICH IS NOW LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA, WILL MOVE INTO TEXAS THURSDAY.
THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE BIG COUNTRY DURING THE DAY THURSDAY AND A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY.
SATURDAY LOOKS NICE, YET SUNDAY THERE WILL BE A 20% CHANCE FOR RAIN.
IN THE TROPICS HURRICAN WILMA IS QUICKLY MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND IS NOT AFFECTING THE UNITED STATES.
THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES IS ACTUALLY GETTING PLENTY OF CHILLY, RAIN SHOWERS DUE TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WAS LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS YESTERDAY AND HAS NOW MOVED INTO THE NORTHEAST U-S.


HERE WE WON'T HAVE ANY SHOWERS TO WORRY ABOUT FOR A WHILE.
TONIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOWER 40S....TOMORROW WILL BE ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY WITH A HIGH OF 75 AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
FOR SWEETWATER AND SNYDER, PRETTY MUCH THE SAME STORY WITH A LOW OF 47 AND A HIGH OF 73.
TOMORROW NIGHT THE RAIN CHANCES COME INTO PLAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND A LOW TEMPERATURE OF 53 DEGREES AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
FOR YOUR FIVE DAY FORECAST TEMPERATURES IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.....MORNING LOWS IN THE 50S.....A 50% CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY, 30% ON FRIDAY AND A 20% CHANCE ON SUNDAY.


AS OF THE 5PM HURRICANE ADVISORY, HURRICANE WILMA HAS WINDS OF 85 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 105 MPH, MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 53 MPH.

FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER:

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 430 MILES...695 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. ALTHOUGH WILMA WILL NOT BE DIRECTLY AFFECTING THE U.S. EAST COAST...HIGH SURF IS PRESENTLY OCCURRING ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON WILMA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANECENTER. FUTURE WARNINGS AND INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON D. C.

Enjoy another beautiful day in the Big Country on Wednesday!

Pleasant Afternoon Temperatures

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off chilly again this morning with most locations in the upper 30s to low 40s. In Brownwood, however, the temperature bottomed out at 28. I believe this is the first below freezing temperature of the season in the area. Despite the cold morning temperatures, we will warm up nicely this afternoon with highs in the low 70s. Tonight should not be as cold as the previous nights with lows in the mid to upper 40s. Seasonable temperatures are likely again tomorrow with highs in the low to mid 70s.

An upper level low is expected to move near the Big Country by Wednesday night. It looks like the chance for rain will begin then and end early on Friday. Right now, there is a 20% to 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms during that time period. With extra clouds and the possibility of rain, highs should be cooler on Thursday and Friday. It still looks like we will clear things out in time for Friday night football. Saturday should be partly cloudy with highs in the low 70s.

Hurricane Wilma continues to be a strong storm. As of the 5 a.m. EDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Wilma was still a category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph. It is moving to the northeast at 53 mph. The latest projected path keeps it moving to the northeast and away from land. It should lose its tropical characteristics over the next 24 to 36 hours.

The main national weather story is a nor'easter in the northeastern portions of the country. A low pressure system has developed in the mid-Atlantic states. It is projected to move to the northeast just off the New England coastline tonight and early tomorrow. Strong winds, rain, and snow (several inches in some locations) are likely today and tomorrow in that area.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, October 24, 2005

Chilly Mornings...Comfortable Afternoons

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

Low temperatures Monday morning started off cold with a low of 34 degrees. With plenty of sun, temperatures slowly climbed into the upper 50s for much of the afternoon, with a high temperature of 60 degrees. High pressure will continue to bring sunny skies over the next few days. An upper level disturbance moves through Thursday bringing a 20% chance for rain. Morning lows this week will start off chilly, yet during the afternoons hours it should feel comfortable with highs around 70 degrees. We'll be live in front of "Card and Party" on Tuesday for the Meek Blood Drive. Come out and give blood, and see some of the KRBC folks in costume.

Wilma is still a category 3 hurricane with winds sustained at 120 mph and gusts up to 145 mph. Wilma is moving fast to the northeast at 37 mph. Here's the latest (5PM EDT report) on Wilma from the National Hurricane Center:

WILMA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE RACING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM FLORIDA...AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...ALL HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. HOWEVER...GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE IN SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND THE FLORIDA KEYS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM... NORTH OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 37 MPH...59 KM/HR...AND A CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT WILMA COULD REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TUESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

Remember to have the jacket when you head out in the mornings. Have a wonderful week!

Below Average Temperatures This Week

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was a cold start to the day with temperatures in the mid to upper 30s. There might have been a little bit of patchy frost out there. In fact, most of the Big Country was under a Frost Advisory until 10 a.m. this morning. It will be nice, but still cool today with highs in the low to mid 60s. So, if you are going to be out at Shotwell Stadium to get tickets for the crosstown showdown between Abilene High and Cooper today, you'll probably want to have a coat.

It will be chilly again tonight with lows in the upper 30s to low 40s across most of the area. However, if you are in Brown, Coke, Coleman, or Runnels county, you may be colder. A Frost Advisory is already in effect for those counties Tuesday morning from 4 a.m. to 9 a.m. If you have any sensitive plants, you'll probably want to bring those in or cover them tonight. You might want to bring the pets in too since it will be chilly.

Warmer temperatures should arrive Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the low 70s. Mostly sunny skies are expected on both of those days as well. An upper level disturbance may arrive Wednesday night or Thursday, so there is a 20% chance of showers right now during that time period. That system should clear out by Friday. If it does, then we will likely see another dry Friday night for all the area football games.

According to the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Wilma made landfall at 6:30 a.m. EDT near Cape Romano, Florida. This is about 20 miles west of Everglades City, Florida. Wilma was a strong Category 3 with winds of 125 mph when it made landfall. Here is the 11 a.m. EDT advisory:

...LARGE EYE OF WILMA OVER PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA......HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ON BACK SIDE OF EYE MOVING INTO METROPOLITAN AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA......
REMAIN INDOORS...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY... ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER... AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE LARGE EYE WILL EMERGE OFF THE EAST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...WILMA IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE EYEWALL EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER.
PERSONS ARE URGED NOT TO VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS WILL SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WILMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
WIND SPEEDS ABOUT ONE CATEGORY STRONGER COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.
SOME CONTINUED GRADUALWEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA EMERGES OFF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES...160 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE SHOULD BE DECREASING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST...THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST FLORIDA.
STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE IN UPPER FLORIDA BAY LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.
AS WILMA EXITS FLORIDA...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE PALM BEACH...MARTIN...AND ST. LUCIE SHORELINES TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM TRACK.
STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 8 FEET IS STILL POSSIBLE IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
WESTERN CUBA MAY RECEIVE ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER LOCALIZED AREAS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERNFLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY.

Also, according to the National Hurricane Center as of 11 a.m. EDT, Tropical Depression Alpha has sustained winds of 35 mph and was moving north at 20 mph. It's currently about 630 miles southwest of Bermuda. Alpha is expected to eventually be absorbed by the much larger Hurricane Wilma within the next 24 hours.

We'll continue to keep you updated on the latest.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Sunday, October 23, 2005

Frost Advisory 5 AM - 10 AM.......Wilma Update

From meteorologist Jason Myers.......

Sunday has been a chilly day with temperatures that barely reached the mid-50s around noontime, before falling in the afternoon to the upper 40s. The chilly temperatures are all thanks to a strong cold front that brought cold, Candian air along with gusty winds. Wind gusts at times were up to 35 mph this afternoon, bringing about a Lake Wind Advisory during Sunday afternoon. When you combine the wind and temperature, that's when you get the wind chill, which is what the temperature actually feels like on your skin....wind chill values have been in the upper 30s at times this afternoon!

There is a Frost Advisory from 5 AM to 10 AM due to the possibility of patchy frost, the first of the season. With skies beginning to clear, cold, dry air in place, and winds becoming light, temperatures will drop into the low to mid 30s across the Big Country. If you have any sensitive outdoor plants, then action needs to be taken to protect them. You'll also want to think about any outdoor pets and make sure they have a warm bed tonight. Before the kids head off to school and you head to work tomorrow, make sure to have a coat, something for your head, and some gloves. Temperatures on Monday will only warm into the low to mid 60s, so it will be cool day.

The sun will be back Monday through Wednesday as high pressure builds into Texas. However, rain chances return for Thursday and Friday. High temperatures will range from the lower 60s to lower 70s this week.

Hurricane Wilma looks to make landfall in southwest Florida, Monday morning as a category 2 Hurricane. Winds at this time are 105 mph with a northeast movement at 14 mph. Florida is already under a tornado watch until 1 AM, meaning that conditions are favorable for tornadic development overnight. Wilma should quickly leave Florida as a cold front moves through.

Tropcial Depression Alpha has decreased in wind speed to 35 mph, moving NNW at 18 mph. T.D. Alpha like Brandon mentioned earlier, set a new record being the 22nd named storm, and the first time we've ever used the Greek Alphabet to name a tropical storm. Alpha should get absorbed with Wilma on Tuesday and dissipate. Now that it is back over water, winds may intensify back up to tropical storm status.

We'll keep you updated with the latest.

Saturday, October 22, 2005

Much Cooler Temperatures Sunday

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had spectacular weather again today with seasonable temperatures and mostly sunny skies. It will likely be much cooler tomorrow with mostly cloudy skies. This is due to a cold front which is expected to arrive during the morning hours on Sunday. Highs should only be in the upper 50s. There is a slight chance of some isolated showers. Breezy conditions are expected too with winds from the north-northeast at 15 to 25 mph. Sunday night may be the coolest night of the season so far with lows in the upper 30s.

Mostly sunny skies should return by Monday, but highs will only rebound to the low 60s. The below average temperatures are expected to hang around until at least Thursday with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Some of the computer models are indicating that a disturbance may move into the area on Thursday and give us a chance of rain. I'm not totally buying into this scenario just yet, so for now I will keep us dry. This could change though as more model runs come in over the next few days.

Weather history was made today as Tropical Storm Alpha formed in the Carribean Sea south of the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico. This is the 22nd named storm of the season, which breaks the record of 21 set in 1933. With the formation of this storm, we have to use the Greek alphabet for the first time ever since all of the names on the 2005 list have already been used. The 10 p.m. CDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center states that Alpha has 50 mph winds and is moving northwest at 14 mph. It is projected to make landfall in the Dominican Republic by tomorrow morning and then move into the Bahamas by tomorrow night.

Hurricane Wilma continues to move slowly over the Yucatan Pennisula. It is projected to move towards Florida beginning tomorrow. Here is the 10 p.m. CDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center:
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBA PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.
AT 11 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO TITUSVILLE.
HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA SUNDAY MORNING.
AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE NORTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 85 KM NORTH OF CANCUN MEXICO. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 375 MILES... 605 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER AWAY FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WILMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND WILMA COULD AGAIN BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 13 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST AND NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 8 FT ABOVE NORMAL IS POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AS WELL AS IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS SHOULD SUBSIDE AS WILMA MOVES AWAY.
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS APPROACHING 50 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA INCLUDING THE KEYS THROUGH TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
THESE SWELLS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

We'll continue to keep you updated on the latest with Hurricane Wilma and Tropical Storm Alpha.

Have a super Sunday!

Friday, October 21, 2005

The Cool-Down Continues This Weekend

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Seasonable temperatures ruled across the area today with highs mainly in the mid 70s to low 80s. It looks like we'll have similar temperatures on Saturday with highs in the upper 70s. Weather conditions should be about perfect for Boo at the Zoo at the Abilene Zoo tomorrow evening. Temperatures should be cooling down into the mid 60s to low 70s for the event which is from 4 p.m. to 8 p.m.

A cold front is still expected to arrive on Sunday. We will likely see cloudy skies and a 20% chance of isolated showers. With little sunshine possible on Sunday and colder air filtering in, we probably won't make it past the upper 50s for highs.

The cool temperatures look to hang around Monday through Wednesday. We should see mostly cloudy skies on Monday, so highs will likely be in the low 60s. Mostly sunny skies are expected Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the mid to upper 60s. So, after seeing above average temperatures for most of the past week, it looks like we will be swinging temperatures below average for the beginning of next week.

Hurricane Wilma made landfall near Cozumel, Mexico around lunchtime today as a Category 4 hurricane. Here is the 11 p.m. EDT (10 p.m. CDT) advisory from the National Hurricane Center:

...CENTER OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA JUST ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAHABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT15 MILES... 25 KM...SOUTH OF CANCUN MEXICO.
THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 20 MILES... 35 KM...NORTH OF COZUMEL MEXICO.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR.
A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF WILMA OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THECENTER OF WILMA IS OVER LAND.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 932 MB...27.52 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER ALONG ON THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE.
OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA... ESPECIALLY THE KEYS... PRODUCING 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SUNDAY.
NOAA BUOY 42003 IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

We'll continue to keep you up to date on the latest.

Have a spectacular Saturday!

Fall Temperatures For The Weekend....Hurricane Wilma Update

From meteorologist Jason Myers.......

It will be a nice weekend with seasonal temperatures. Friday our highs will be in the mid-70s thanks to the cold front that moved through Thursday morning, and northwesterly flow.

If you're heading out to a football game tonight or just a night on the town you'll want to take a jacket and gloves with you because it will feel chilly with a low temperature of 50 degrees. Tonight temperatures will really drop fast once the sun goes down at 6:59 p.m.

Saturday will be another beautiful day with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-70s. KRBC 9 staff will be at "Boo at the Zoo" on Saturday from 4pm - 8pm at the Abilene Zoo, so bring the kids out for some fun.

On Sunday there will be a 20% of chance of rain for the Big Country due to a cold front that will move through Sunday afternoon. Depending on the timing of the cold frontal passage, our temperatures right now look to be around 68 degrees on Sunday, along with mostly cloudy skies.

As of now, Wilma has not changed much since last night. Wilma is still a category 4 hurricane with winds at 145 mph, moving to the NNW at 6 mph. Here's some information from the National Hurricane Center:

AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80KM... SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK... THE CORE OF WILMA WILL BE VERY NEAR OR OVER COZUMELTHIS MORNING AND NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY. HOWEVER... WILMA HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY ALREADY BEING EXPERIENCED IN COZUMEL AND ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF YUCATAN. CANCUN RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW STRONG RAINBANDS OVER COZUMEL AND CANCUN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY AND ARE NEAR 145MPH... 230 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE TODAY.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN CUBA.

Huricane Wilma looks to make landfall in Florida as a category 2 or 3 hurricane late this weekend into early Monday.

We'll keep you updated with the latest here on KRBC 9!

Have A Wonderful Weekend.



Thursday, October 20, 2005

Cooler Temperatures Have Arrived

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

A cold front moved through the area earlier today, which brought temperatures down closer to average for this time of year. It looks like seasonable conditions will continue tomorrow and Saturday. Mostly sunny skies and highs in mid 70s are expected. It should be a great night for Friday night football. It will feel a little cool once the sun goes down, so taking a jacket might not be a bad idea. It looks to be picture perfect weather for Boo at the Zoo Saturday evening. Again, a jacket or warm costume might be needed.

Another cold front is expected to arrive on Sunday. This will likely cool us down even further. Highs should only be in the mid 60s with partly cloudy skies. A stray shower or two can't be ruled out, but we probably won't have enough moisture to support any major rain. Monday and Tuesday look good with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid 60s to around 70.

Hurricane Wilma continues to move slowly in the Carribean Sea. Here's the 8 p.m. EDT (7 p.m. CDT) advisory from the National Hurricane Center:

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WILMA MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD COZUMEL AND THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SWAN ISLAND.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAHABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM... SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 8 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF WILMA WILL BE VERY NEAR THE COASTLINE OF THE YUCATAN BY MIDDAY TOMORROW.
HOWEVER...WILMA HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE FELT WELL BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER.
REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND WILMA COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE YUCATAN TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE NOAA AIRCRAFT WAS 923 MB...27.26 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7-11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN WESTERN CUBA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN ISLAND...AND PORTIONS OF HONDURAS THROUGH FRIDAY.

We'll continue to keep you updated on the latest.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Beautiful Fall Weekend Coming Up......Wilma Update

From meteorologist Jason Myers....

A cold front has worked it's way through the Big Country, and temperatures will be about 10 degrees cooler for a high temperature of 80 degrees (compared to yesterday's high of 90 degrees). High pressure will continue to keep things sunny across Texas. For football Friday night, you'll probably want to have a jacket with you since it will feel cool once the sun goes down. It will be perfect weather to be outdoors Saturday with high temperature around 78 degrees...."Boo At The Zoo" will be going on from 4pm to 8pm on Saturday, along with many other outdoor activities this weekend, like the "Anson Days" fall festival. Another cold front moves through late Saturday night into Sunday morning, bringing chilly, Canadian air with it. Temperatures on Sunday will not get out of the 60s, with a high temperature of 64 degrees. You'll want to have the jacket with you if you head out for church or any outdoor activities.

The latest from the National Hurricane Center........

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA CONTINUES TOWARD THE YUCATAN PENSINSULA...

AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...12 KM/HR.

A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...230KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UPTO 230 MILES...370 KM. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 910 MB...26.87 INCHES.

Wilma looks to make landfall in Florida, during the day on Sunday.

Wednesday, October 19, 2005

Fall-Like Temperatures Return

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had very warm temperatures today. In fact, we almost saw a record high at Abilene Regional Airport. We reached 90 today. The record high for this date is 93 which was reached back in 1940. An upper-level low stayed too far north to give us much in the way of rain. There was one stray shower in Stonewall county.

A cold front is expected to move through the area tomorrow. It doesn't look like any rain will accompany this frontal passage. Temperatures should finally be closer to average for this time of year. Highs tomorrow look to be around 80. Temperatures will likely remain at or a little below average Friday and Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Both days look dry, so the weather will be nice for Friday night football as well as Boo at the Zoo Saturday evening.

Another cold front is expected to arrive on Sunday. This too looks to be a dry frontal passage. It should cool us down even further with highs on Sunday and Monday in the mid to upper 60s.

Here is the 8 p.m. EDT (7 p.m. CDT) advisory for Hurricane Wilma from the National Hurricane Center:

WILMA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE YUCATAN AS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO TULUM ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SWAN ISLAND.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF TULUM TOCHETUMAL MEXICO...AND FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF TULUM TO PUNTA GRUESA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES...435 KM... SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11KM/HR...WITH SOME WOBBLES.
A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WILMA IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN HURRICANES OF THIS INTENSITY...AND ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UPTO 230 MILES...370 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 892 MB...26.34 INCHES.

We will continue to keep you updated with the latest.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Cooler Temperatures On The Way....New Record For Hurricane Wilma

From meteorologist Jason Myers.........

Temperatures will warm into the upper 80s today, yet a cold front will move through today bringing a slight chance of a thunderstorm or shower for the northern Big Country. The cold front will help cool things down as we head into the weekend. Thursday high temperatures will reach 80 degrees, yet Friday and Saturday temperatures will stay in the mid-70s. Sunday temperatures cool down even more with highs in the upper-60s. High pressure will be filtering in cool, Canadian air and give us partly cloudy to sunny skies. So with all the events going on this weekend, it will be a great time to be outdoors!

Hurricane Wilma has really intensified overnight. At 11pm winds were at 110 mph, but by 2 am winds jumped up to 175 mph! Hurricane Wilma is a category 5 Hurricane. An Air Force Reconnaissance plane reported a a minimum pressure of 884 mb which is the lowest pressure ever recorded, making this the strongest storm on record, ever in the Atlantic basin. Wilma's low minimum pressure of 884 mb beat Hurricane Gilbert's (1988) lowest pressure of 888 mb.
Wilma is near it's maximum potential intensity and further strengthening is not anticipated (NHC). Hurricane Wilma looks to make a strong turn to the northeast taking it over Florida by the weekend.

Here's the latest from the National Hurricane Center (NHC):

...WILMA MAINTAINING CATEGORY FIVE STATUS...RECORD PRESSURE CONFIRMED BY AIRCRAFT CREW...

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...550 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 175 MPH...280 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN HURRICANES THIS INTENSE AND ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM.

We'll keep you updated with the latest here on KRBC 9!

Tuesday, October 18, 2005

Cooler Temperatures Coming Soon

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The beautiful and warm weather continued today, but it looks like the above average temperatures will be coming to an end soon. An upper level low is currently moving across the Four Corners region and should move over the Texas panhandle tomorrow. The main dynamics of this system should stay well to our north, but we could see some isolated showers and thunderstormsin the Big Country on Wednesday. The chance for rain, however, is only slight and will likely only be in the northern communities. Highs should be in the upper 80s to low 90s.

A cold front is expected to move across the Big Country late on Thursday. It doesn't look like we will see any rain from the front. It should be a little cooler with highs in the low 80s. Friday and Saturday continue to look dry with highs in the low to mid 70s. If you plan on going to Friday night football, the weather is still looking good, but you might need a jacket.

Another cold front should arrive on Sunday, and it looks to bring a chance of rain with it. For now, I am going to go with a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm with highs around 70.

Tropical Storm Wilma turned into Hurricane Wilma earlier today. According to the 8 p.m. EDT (7 p.m. CDT) advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Wilma has sustained winds of 100 mph, which makes it a category 2 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. It is expected to strengthen to a major hurricane (category 3 or stronger) later tonight or tomorrow. The storm is moving to the west-northwest at 8 mph. It is expected make a turn northwest within the next 24 hours. The latest path projection has it moving between the Yucatan pennisula and western Cuba by Friday, and then turning northeast and moving over southern Florida this weekend. It is still too early to tell exactly where this storm is going. However, if you have interests in the northwest Carribean Sea or southern Florida, you need to keep an eye on this storm. We will continue to keep you updated on the latest.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Warm Temperatures For A Few More Days....Hurricane Wilma

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

High pressure continues to dominate weather over Texas along with a ridge. Southerly flow is continuing to bring above normal temperatures to West Central Texas. Highs today will be in the upper 80s with a high temperaure of 88 degrees, which is ten degrees above our normal for this time of the year at 78 degrees. A low pressure system that has been parked over southern California, giving California residents plenty of rain, will be moving northeast. The Big Country will not be seeing any rain for the most part, yet north of Abilene, in Knox, Stonewall, Haskell, or Throckmorton counties....those counties have a slim chance of seeing a shower or thunderstorm late Wednesday due to a passing cold front along with the low pressure system discussed earlier. Another cold front will be working it's way across the Big Country late Thursday bringing the temperatures down for Friday and the weekend. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday look to be gorgeous days with highs in the mid-70s and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. In fact another cold front moves through Sunday bringing the high temperatures down into the 60s.

Tropical Storm Wilma has now been upgraded to Hurricane Wilma as of the 11am (EDT) update from the National Hurricane Center. This ties the record set back in 1969 for 12 hurricanes in one hurricane season(NHC). Hurricane Wilma is located at latitude 16.5 north and Longitude 80.6 West, or about 195 miles south-southest of Grand Cayman. Winds are sustained at 75 mph (Category 1) with higher gusts....Wilma is moving toward the northwest at 7 mph. Additional strengthening looks to happen over the next 24 hrs, and Hurricane Wilma could become a major hurricane in the next day or two. Minimum central pressure is 977 mb.
Hurricane Wilma will be moving over very warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico with very little wind shear in the upper atmosphere, meaning that strengthening should cause Wilma to become a major hurricane. Right now the official National Hurricane Center path has Hurricane Wilma turning north and then northeast moving over southern Florida. This turn to the north and northeast will likely happen because a high pressure system over the Southern U.S. is forecasted to move off to the east. Hurricane Wilma is definately a storm to keep an eye on. We'll keep you updated with the latest here at KRBC 9.

Monday, October 17, 2005

Above Average Temperatures Continue...For Now

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was another beautiful day with warm afternoon temperatures. It looks like temperatures will continue to be above average for a little longer. Tuesday should be nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s across most of the area. Brownwood could reach the low 90s.

An upper level low pressure system continues to sit just off the southern California coastline. It is still expected to move across the Four Corners region and the Texas panhandle by Wednesday. We could see a few isolated showers or thunderstorms on Wednesday and Wednesday night due to this system. Rain chances for now are only slight. There is another slight chance for more isolated showers and thunderstorms with the arrival of a cold front on Thursday. Highs on Wednesday should be in the mid to upper 80s with highs on Thursday in the low to mid 80s.

We should be dry on Friday and Saturday with cooler temperatures. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 70s.

Tropical Depression 24 turned into Tropical Storm Wilma today. As Jason stated earlier, this is our 21st named storm of the season and does tie the record for most storms in a season which was set in 1933. According to the National Hurricane Center's 5 p.m. EDT (4 p.m. CDT) advisory, Wilma had sustained winds of 50 mph and was moving south at 2 mph. It is projected to strengthen to hurricane status sometime tomorrow. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the Cayman Islands and portions of the Honduras coastline. A Hurricane Watch is also in effect for the Cayman Islands. The latest path projection has the storm moving west then northwest over the next couple of days. According to this projection, it should be near the Yucatan Pennisula by Friday. We'll continue to keep you updated on the latest.

Have a Terrific Tuesday!

Warm Temperatures Continue.....New Record In The Tropics

From Meteorologist Jason Myers......

Another above average high temperature for today. Temperatures in the upper 80s for the Big Country, and lower 90s as you head toward Dallas/Fort-Worth. High pressure is in control over the southern U.S., and that will allow temperatures to remain warm for most of the work week.

In the tropics.....
We have our 21st named storm, with Tropical Storm Wilma, tieing the record of 21 named storms set back in 1933. Wilma is the last name on the 2005 name list, so if we have another named storm the Greek Alphabet will be used, starting with Alpha.
Tropical Storm Wilma became a tropical storm this morning with the latest winds at 40 mph, gusting up to 50 mph. It's moving to the SW at 3 mph and will continue to move slowly west; depending on the high pressure in the southern U.S., T.S. Wilma could turn north. If T.S. Wilma moves north it will move over warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico, turning T.S. Wilma into possibly another major hurricane. Tropical Storm Wilma is definately something Gulf Coast states need to keep an eye on. We'll keep you updated with the latest here at KRBC 9 and on the weather blog.

Sunday, October 16, 2005

Warm Temperatures Continue

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

I hope you were able to get out and enjoy the beautiful Sunday weather we had. If not, don't worry because the warm temperatures will be hanging around a little longer. Monday and Tuesday should be nice with partly cloudy skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s.

There is an upper level low pressure system just off the southern California coastline right now, which is expected to be in the Four Corners region by mid-week. This should stay far enough to our west-northwest that we won't see any rain from it. However, a weak cold front looks to move through the Big Country Wednesday night through Thursday. It is only expected to cool us down a little bit, and give us a small chance for showers and thunderstorms. Wednesday and Thursday will be partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain and highs in the low to mid 80s. Friday should be dry with highs around 80.

Tropical Depression 24 continues to move slowly in the Carribean Sea. The 5 p.m. EDT (4 p.m. CDT) advisory from the National Hurricane Center tells us that the depression has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and is moving to the west-northwest at 2 mph. T.D. 24 is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm within the next 24 hours. If it does reach tropical storm status, it will be named Wilma and would be the 21st named storm of the season. This would tie the record of 21 storms set back in 1933. The latest path projection puts the tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico by Friday. We will continue to keep you updated on the latest.

By the way, if you are up around 7:00 a.m. tomorrow (Monday) morning, you may want to take a look at the moon. There is a partial lunar eclipse taking place. A lunar eclipse occurs when the moon is in earth's shadow. The moon will look a little dark and possibly a little copper or orange in color.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Saturday, October 15, 2005

Warm Weather Remains, Rain Chances Later In The Week

From Meteorologist Jason Myers.........

Another nice day across the Big Country, especially for everyone involved with homecoming activities at the local universities. After starting off with a morning low temperature of 58 degrees the high reached 82 degrees. High Pressure will remain over east Texas giving us southerly flow, providing warm temperatures, with highs in the mid-80s Sunday through Wednesday. Skies should remain partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Wednesday night a cold front is projected to move across West Texas bringing a slight chance of a thunderstorm late Wednesday and a 20% chance of rain Thursday into the start of next weekend.

In the tropics, as of right now there is Tropical Depression #24 which is projected to become Hurricane Wilma by the beginning of the work week. TD 24 is located southwest of Jamaica and south of the Cayman Islands and Cuba. Winds are 30 mph with a southwest movement at 3 mph. Gulf Coast residents really need to keep an eye on this storm because it will be moving over very warm waters, and intensification into a major hurricane is a strong possibility. Right now a high pressure system over the Gulf of Mexico is keeping TD 24 from moving north, yet this should begin to weaken, allowing TD 24 to turn north headed toward the Gulf Coast states.

Also, Sunday night take some time to go outside and get a peak at the full moon known in the month of October as the "Hunter's Moon" or the "Blood Moon". It's called the "Blood Moon" because the moon has a red or "blood" tint to it due to a partial lunar eclipse. The greatest partial lunar eclipse will be at 12:03 UT or around 7 am our time.

Friday, October 14, 2005

Warm Afternoons Ahead

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

Let the warm-up begin. The upper level low that was influencing West Texas weather the past few days has retrograded to the West and is not influencing our weather currently. The cut-off system will get picked up by the jet stream over the next 24-36 hours. As it lifts North and East, there is an outside chance of a few isolated showers Saturday afternoon and night.

After that low is gone, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies will dominate West Central Texas through the weekend and into next week.

Our next chance for rain will come sometime Wednesday and continue through Friday as another upper level system approaches and eventually will push through and drag a cold front behind it.

Enjoy the above average temperatures while they last! Please, go out and make it a safe and great weekend!

Wonderful Weekend Weather

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

After some fog across portions of the area this morning, it looks like partly cloudy skies should rule the day with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. The weather looks nice for football or any other plans you may have this evening. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 50s again tonight with maybe some patchy fog by Saturday morning.

The upper level low responsible for the rain in the western portions of the area yesterday has retrograded back to the west. We will likely remain dry through the weekend, but the low is expected to move just to our northwest on Saturday. Since the low may be close enough to spark a few showers and thunderstorms in the Big Country, I have put in a slight chance of rain from Saturday afternoon through early Sunday morning. Highs this weekend should be in the low 80s with partly cloudy skies. Homecoming activities for the Abilene universities should be fine, just keep an eye on the sky. Taking a look at Monday and Tuesday, we should be warm and dry with highs in the low to mid 80s.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, October 13, 2005

Weekend Looks Nice

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

The wet weather stayed West today as we expected. A few showers and thunderstorms did fire up in Mitchell and Scurry Counties this morning and a few showers worked West to East across Coke through Brown counties this afternoon.

It appears that we are now set up for a warm and dry extended forecast. Aside from an isolated shower or two popping up tonight, the sun will return tomorrow with afternoon highs climbing back into the lower 80s.

The weekend looks fantastic with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Our next chance for rain and cooler weather will return toward the end of next week.

Flooding Rains Just West-Southwest Of The Viewing Area

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Heavy rain continues to fall just outside of the viewing area to our west and southwest. Several counties in that area are under a Flash Flood Watch, and some have already had Flash Flood Warnings. You will want to be very careful if you are traveling west today. In our area, Mitchell and Scurry counties are under a Flash Flood Watch until 4 p.m. this afternoon. We will keep you updated on the latest if these conditions change.

The reason for this rainfall is the upper level disturbance we have been talking about all week. It is transforming into an upper level low in northern Mexico/southern Arizona and will likely become cut-off from the main flow of the jetstream. It looks like it is going to hang out for a couple of days before retrograding west a little bit and then moving northeast sometime this weekend. The low should be just enough west to keep us out of the bulk of the rainfall, but we could still see some showers and thunderstorms in mainly the western portions of the area the next couple of days.

Where you live in the Big Country will determine the type of weather you see today. If you are west of Abilene, you will likely see mostly cloudy skies, a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and highs in the low 70s. From Abilene eastward, you can expect partly cloudy skies, a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Tonight should be partly cloudy area-wide with a 20% to 30% chance of rain and lows in the mid to upper 50s.

On Friday, the western communities may see more showers and thunderstorms depending on where the upper level low has set up. For now, I'll go with a 20% chance of rain from Sweetwater westward. Skies should be partly cloudy with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Football games for Friday night should be okay, but if you are going to a game in the western communities or towards Midland you'll want to put the rain gear in the car just in case. At this time, the weekend and early next week look dry with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, October 12, 2005

Heavy Rain Likely West of the Big Country

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

If you have travel plans on I-20 West toward Midland tomorrow, get ready to some potentially heavy rainfall. Another upper level disturbance is settling in across the SouthWest and is expected to start producting showers and thunderstorms over far West Texas.

Rain chances aren't looking quite as good for the Big Country as they did yesterday. Right now I'm keeping a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for areas on a North-South line West of Knox Co. to Runnels Co.

The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a Flash Flood Watch for the majority of their area effective through Thursday afternoon.

I think the majority of the Big Country will stay dry, but there is a pretty good chance Aspermont through Snyder and Colorado City could see some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Thursday.

After this disturbance pulls out, the Big Country will be left under the control of a ridge of high pressure. This will mean Mostly Sunny to Partly Cloudy skies and afternoon highs right around 80 through the extended forecast.

Please, go out and make it a GREAT day!

More Rain Possible By Tonight

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Fog is the main story this morning, especially along and south of I-20 where a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect. Visibilities of less than a quarter of a mile are being reported in some of these locations, so be very careful if you are going to be on the roadways during the morning hours. By this afternoon, the skies should clear and we'll have mostly sunny skies. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s are expected.

The chance for rain returns tonight with the arrival of another upper level disturbance. There is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms with lows in the upper 50s. The rain should hold off until the overnight hours, but you might want to take the umbrella with you if you are going to be out and about late tonight. You'll want to keep that umbrella close by tomorrow since there is a 40% chance of more showers and thunderstorms. It should be a little cooler tomorrow with highs in the mid 70s and mostly cloudy skies. It could be even cooler depending on how widespread the rain and cloud cover is during the day.

As Craig stated in the previous discussion, there are a few questions with this next upper level system. Some of the models are still indicating that it may linger a little longer than originally expected in the form of a cut-off low. So, for now, I am going to bring in a 20% chance of rain Thursday night and into the day on Friday. We should clear things out by Friday night for football, but that could change so stay tuned. The weekend looks good with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, October 11, 2005

Don't Put The Umbrella Up Just Yet...

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

What a wonderfall Fall afternoon across the Big Country Tuesday. After dealing with a few remaining showers and fog in the morning, Mother Nature gave us a wonderful afternoon. Don't get used to it though.

Another upper level low pressure system is working its way toward us as we speak. There are a few question marks with this system though.

Here is what is certain, this system will send disturbances over us starting Wednesday night. This will give us rain chances starting Wednesday night into Thursday. Expect a batch of showers and thunderstorm to push through the Big Country during the overnight hours.

After that, the big question is will this system continue moving and leave us with dry weather behind it, or will it hang around New Mexico for a couple of days? My current thinking is that the system will keep moving and we will see dry weather starting Thursday afternoon and continuing into the weekend.

If the system gets cut-off from the upper level flow, we would see rain chances extend into Friday. For right now though, we'll have to wait and see.

Wednesday afternoon looks very pleasant with light winds and afternoon highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

A little tropical trivia for you... This morning, Tropical Storm Vince made landfall in Spain. Vince is the first tropical cyclone to ever make landfall in Spain. Vince formed in the Northern Atlantic in waters usually too cool to support a tropical cyclone. None the less, Vince will has become another page in the historic 2005 Atlantic hurricane season.

More Rain Possible

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

This morning began with a wide range of temperatures. Snyder was in the mid 40s, while Sweetwater was in the mid 50s. Abilene and Brownwood reached the low to mid 60s. The reason for the difference in temperatures was due to a cold front/wind shift line that was moving through the area. There were also areas of fog which limited visibilities. The eastern half of the Big Country saw a few scattered showers this morning. There is a 20% chance of more scattered showers and maybe a thunderstorm through today. Mostly cloudy skies are expected across most of the area with the exception being the far western communities. It looks like there will be a little more sunshine there, so I'll call it partly cloudy in those locations. Highs should be in the mid to upper 70s and that's if we see sunshine. If the clouds hold strong again today like yesterday, then it will be cooler.

Partly cloudy skies should rule across the entire area tonight with lows in the mid to upper 50s. There is also a slight chance of a few isolated showers or thunderstorms. We could also see areas of fog develop again tonight, so give yourself some extra time to get to your destination if you are going to be out and about. After some possible morning fog tomorrow, it looks like we'll see partly cloudy skies and highs around 80. There is also a slight chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm.

The reason for our continued chance of rain is an upper level trough that will moving toward us over the next couple of days. We will see some disturbances from time to time which will cause the showers and thunderstorms. Our best chance of rain for the next five days looks to be Wednesday night and Thursday, which right now stands at 30%. So, keep the rain gear handy through Thursday. Highs are expected to be in the upper 70s.

We are still looking dry for Friday and Saturday, which should be nice with highs in the low 80s.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, October 10, 2005

Rain Chances Stick Around

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

There's not a whole lot for me to add to Brandon's discussion below, so this will be short and sweet.

Rain chances will continue through mid-week as the upper-level trough to our west slowly moves east. This trough with the associated upper-level low will continue to send disturbances through West Texas. Although the threat for severe thunderstorms remains low, we could see a few storms produce strong winds with small hail. Unlike the showers and storms that moved through the area last night, I expect any rain that moves through to be more isolated in nature.

Rainfall totals will all depend on where the disturbances pass and where the stronger showers form. The rain chances will only run from 40% tonight to 20% the next few days.

By Friday a ridge of high pressure looks to take control, bringing us mostly sunny, warm afternoons and clear and cool nights.

So, now that all of the meteorologist speak is done, the simple forecast from this forecaster is to go ahead and keep that umbrella with you through Thursday. After that, enjoy a pleasant weekend before our next chance of rain, next week.

The Chance For Rain Continues

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The band of showers and thunderstorms that began moving across the Big Country last night exited the viewing area early this morning. Rainfall totals of a little over an inch were recorded towards Sweetwater and Snyder. Abilene Regional Airport had 0.17" of rain.

There is an upper level trough set up just to our west, which will move towards us over the next couple of days. We will see some disturbances from time to time. This means the chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue for the next couple of days. We won't see a total washout, but you should definitely keep the umbrella handy.

For today, Columbus Day, we will see partly cloudy skies overall and a 30% chance of mainly scattered showers. A few thunderstorms can't be ruled out. It will be a little breezy with winds from the southeast at 10 to 15 mph. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 70s, however if the clouds hold strong it will be a little cooler.

Tonight, the chance for rain continues at 20%. We should see partly cloudy skies with lows in the mid to upper 50s. You should still keep the rain gear close by tomorrow. The chance for showers and possibly a few thunderstorms is 30%. Mostly cloudy skies are expected with highs in the mid 70s.

Another disturbance or two may pass by the Big Country Wednesday and Thursday, so I'll keep a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the forecast. Highs should be in the upper 70s to low 80s, which is at or slightly below average for this time of year. Right now, Friday and Friday night football are looking good with dry conditions and highs around 80.

Have a magnificent Columbus Day!

Sunday, October 09, 2005

Sunday Night Rain

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

Showers and thunderstorms are working their way through the Big Country tonight thanks to upper level energy.

We talked about this a bit last week. A deep trough in the jet stream has developed in the Southwest and is moving our direction. Fast moving air about 30,000 feet up will round the base of that trough and speed up directly over West Texas. The first of these "disturbances" is what is responsible for our showers and thunderstorms tonight.

This upper-level trough will be around the area for the first half of the week as well. With more disturbances passing though, we will see a few wet days this week. These disturbances are very hard to predict time-wise. So exactly when we will see the rain during the week is uncertain. We will continue to see showers though, with at least a few embedded thunderstorms.

Afternoon highs this week will remain at or just below average. Our average high temperature is 82-81 degrees this week. Overnight lows will run above the 57 degree average for this time of year.

Looking just beyond the extended forecast, next weekend so far looks dry with seasonal temperatures.

Please, go out and make it a GREAT day!

Saturday, October 08, 2005

The Wonderful Weather Rolls On . . . For Now

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

I hope you got outside and enjoyed the super Saturday weather we had. It was pretty much picture perfect. After a chilly start in the mid 40s, we warmed up nicely to the mid 70s with light winds and low humidity. Sunday looks to be pretty nice too. Partly cloudy skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. The wind is expected to be a little stonger tomorrow from the south-southeast at 10 to 20 mph.

An upper level trough continues to dig across the western portions of the U.S. and looks to be affecting us here in the Big Country by tomorrow night. There is a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows should be in the low 60s with winds from the south-southeast at 10 to 15 mph.

If you have any outdoor plans on Columbus Day or Tuesday be sure to have the rain gear handy. Right now, the chance for showers and thunderstorms stands at 40%. Skies should be mostly cloudy with highs in the mid to upper 70s. It could be cooler depending on how much rain we see during the day.

A few showers or thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday, so only a slight chance of rain that day. A little more sunshine is expected so I'll call it partly cloudy with highs in the upper 70s. On Thursday, partly cloudy skies continue with highs in the mid 70s.

We have yet another system in the tropics. It's subtropical depression 22. Subtropical means that a low pressure system is showing characteristics of both a tropical and non-tropical cyclone. Accoring to the National Hurricane Center as of 8 p.m. EDT (7 p.m. CDT), the depression has maximum sustained winds near 35 mph and is moving west at 20 mph. It is 265 miles southeast of Bermuda, which is currently under a Tropical Storm Watch. If this system makes it to tropical or suptropical storm status, it will be named Vince and would be the 20th named storm of the season. The latest models have this system strengthening and continuing to move west-northwest over the next couple of days. We will continue to keep you updated.

Have a spectacular Sunday!

Friday, October 07, 2005

Live From KRBC... It's FRIDAY NIGHT!

Chief Meteorlogist Craig Carnesi here...

What a day across the Big Country! Some folks may complain that it is a little cool, but I'll take it!

Highs today are only in the lower 60s. The sun finally returned leaving us with a fantastic Friday afternoon.

Unfortunately, this beautiful weather won't last too long. But, the weekend does look great.

Expect plenty of sunshine this weekend with highs Saturday in the mid 70s, Sunday, highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. We will begin to see signs of change though by late Sunday, with a few more clouds rolling in and rain chances by Sunday night. An upper level trough will dig into the Southwest this weekend and begin to push our direction by Sunday night.

Columbus day and Tuesday look to bet a little on the wet side. There is the potential for heavy rainfall beginning Monday. It's still a little to soon to predict exactly how much rain, but with a trough set-up like this, we could be looking at another 2 to 3 inches of rain Monday-Tuesday.

By Wednesday the trough will lift out and leave us with drier weather behind it.

For tonight though, get out and enjoy the near-perfect football weather across the Big Country. Don't forget a sweater or jacket though, as game-time temperatures will be in the mid 50s to upper 40s by the end of the games.

Please, go out and make it a GREAT weekend!

Warmer, But Still Cool

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The rain will be coming to an end this morning. By this afternoon, we should see some breaks in the clouds. So with a little sunshine, highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s across the area. Winds will remain from the north at 5 to 15 mph.

With cool temperatures expected this evening, you will definitely want to have the jacket or at least some long sleeves if you are heading out to dinner and a movie or going to a football game. Skies will continue to clear throughout the night. With mostly clear skies and light winds expected overnight, lows should be in the low to mid 40s.

It will be a super Saturday with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid 70s. A great day for some outdoor activties. Winds will be from the east-southeast at 5 to 10 mph. Sunday should be nice as well with highs in the upper 70s.

An few upper level disturbances and another cold front are expected to make their way towards us Sunday night through Tuesday. There is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms during that time period. Right now, it looks like highs will be in the low 80s on Monday and the mid 70s on Tuesday. We'll continue to keep our eyes on this and keep you updated. For now, enjoy the cool and drier weather for the next couple of days.

Have a fantastic Friday!

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