Thursday, May 31, 2007

Thursday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had another warm day here in the Big Country with highs in the 80s except for Snyder which made it to 90. We still have not reached that mark officially at Abilene Regional Airport this year. The cap held pretty strong over our area, but there was one thunderstorm in Comanche county late this afternoon. Thunderstorms continue to develop to our west. That cluster of showers and storms should move through at least the northern portions of the area overnight.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Friday through Tuesday. The chances are 20% to 30% during the day and increase to 30% to 40% for the overnight hours. The reason for the higher chances of rain at night is because we will be in a northwest flow aloft. It is probable that showers and thunderstorms will develop in the panhandle region and then move into our area. The other reasons for rain are that we will have plenty of moisture, warm temperatures, upper level disturbances and outflow boundaries from the previous day's activity. Our best shot at rain looks to be Sunday due to an approaching cold front. It is possible for us to see some severe thunderstorms during this time period. As always, we will be keeping a close eye on anything that develops. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s.

An upper level high pressure ridge is still expected to build into the area Wednesday. This will bring hot temperatures and mainly dry conditions to us. Highs should reach the low 90s.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

Yesterday was a warm and muggy day around the area. We had all the ingredients in place for thunderstorms – moisture, heat, a stationary front and dryline – and by around 7 pm thunderstorms began to pop. Through the overnight we have seen a few more thunderstorms break out around Brownwood with otherwise overcast skies.

Today the front that is over our area will wash out return our winds to the south/southeast. We will also see decreasing clouds and hopefully by the afternoon get some sunshine back in here. We could again see a few thunderstorms with a chance of them becoming severe. The best chance will be towards the evening especially in our northern counties. Temperatures will hit the mid 80’s with overnight lows in the upper 60’s.

For the weekend northwest flow aloft will help to throw disturbances our way. We still have plenty of moisture in our area so we can’t rule out a few thunderstorms for the weekend. With plenty of sunshine and very warm temperatures in the mid 80’s still pleasant for any outdoor plans. By Sunday our next front will push into the area although it will be very weak and not make much of an impact except aid in chance for thunderstorms.

By mid next week a high pressure ridge should develop changing our wet pattern to a dry one and get those temperatures in the 90’s.

Have a great day!

Wednesday, May 30, 2007

Wednesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The cold front we have been talking about this week arrived today. It stalled in the area this afternoon. Despite that lifting mechanism and an outflow boundary, warm temperatures and plenty of moisture, we didn't have any thunderstorms until this evening. The cap is what kept us from seeing thunderstorms until late in the day. It is warm air aloft that inhibits thunderstorms from developing. The isolated storms that developed reached severe limits this evening in Shackelford, Stephens, Callahan, Coleman, Runnels and Taylor counties. They were capable of producing quarter size hail and winds in excess of 60 mph.

The chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue tomorrow at 30%. Some of the storms could once again reach severe limits. The main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. The front will still be in or near the area as well as some outflow boundaries from today's activity. It is the northern half of the viewing area that has the best chance at seeing severe weather. Highs tomorrow look to reach the mid to upper 80s.

A series of upper level disturbances should move across the region Friday through Tuesday. With plenty of moisture expected to remain in place, showers and thunderstorms will remain possible. For most of those days, it will only be a 20% chance. However, Sunday has the best chance at 30%. It is not out of the question for there to be some isolated severe thunderstorms during this time period. Highs should be in the mid to upper 80s.

An upper level high pressure ridge looks to build into the region by next Wednesday. This would mean hot and dry conditions for us. Highs will likely be in the low 90s. If we have not done so by then, it would be the first time Abilene and many of us have experienced that temperature this year.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

Overnight has been quiet across the Big Country, a big change from the storms that rolled through just 24 hours before. This morning temperatures are starting off in the upper 60’s to lower 70’s with just a few scattered clouds.

A Cold front that will bring our next rain chances to the area is currently located in the Panhandle just south of Amarillo. Also to aid in the rain chances is the dry line that is just west of our area. For the rest of the day we will see partly sunny skies with thunderstorms possible to develop as early as noon. Again with these storms we could see some become severe. Temperatures will get into the upper 80’s.

The front should start to make it’s by afternoon/early evening and may stall out just over the Big Country tonight. This will keep thunderstorms in the forecast through the overnight with lows in the upper 60’s.

Thanks to the front we will drop temperatures just slightly tomorrow, back into the mid 80’s. We will keep the rain chances in Thursday but will start the weekend off dry and warm the temperatures back into the upper 80’s. We have not hit a 90 degree mark yet this year in Abilene and we will be getting close if not hitting it over the next couple days.

Saturday through early next week we will put rain chances back on the board thanks to our next trough. Again temperatures will be in the upper 80’s with lows in the upper 60’s.

Have a great day!

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

The Chance For Rain Continues

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Many of us experienced showers and thunderstorms last night. Comanche, Eastland and Stephens counties had another round of rain during the late morning and early afternoon hours. A few of the storms last night and today were severe and capable of producing penny to golf ball size hail and winds in excess of 60 mph. Abilene Regional Airport reported 1.03" of rain with last night's activity. That now puts us close to 14 inches for the year and over 6 inches above where we should be at this point. We are doing really well on our rain and may see even more over the next seven days.

The upper level low that brought us our rain last night is moving into the eastern portions of the state this evening. The dryline remains to our west. With the amount of moisture that we have in place, we could see some isolated showers and thunderstorms tonight. The chance is only 20% and once the sun sets we can pretty much take the dryline out of the equation if nothing has fired along it by then.

A cold front is expected to arrive late tomorrow afternoon and evening. It could end up stalling south of the area on Thursday. The chance for showers and thunderstorms is 30%. Some of the storms we see could reach severe limits. The Storm Prediction Center has the northern portions of the viewing area under a slight risk for severe weather. The main threats look to be large hail and damaging winds. As always, we will keep a close eye on any storms that develop and let you know if any watches or warnings are issued. Highs tomorrow should be in the mid 80s to around 90. Thursday will be cooler with highs in the low to mid 80s under mostly cloudy skies.

Friday looks to be dry with highs in the mid to upper 80s under partly cloudy skies.

A series of upper level disturbances may move through the region this weekend and early next week. With plenty of moisture expected to be in place, showers and thunderstorms will once again be possible. Right now, there is a slight chance for rain on Saturday and a 20% chance for precipitation on Sunday and Monday. Highs should be in the upper 80s with some locations reaching the low 90s.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Tuesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off this morning with mostly cloudy skies and some fog. By this afternoon though there was plenty of sunshine and that helped us to have our warmest temperatures since last Tuesday. Highs were mainly in the low to mid 80s. The dryline made it all the way to the western edge of the viewing area, but no thunderstorms developed along it and moved into the region. The reason we had no rain today was due to something called subsidence. This is sinking air that was left in the wake of the upper level disturbance that was in the eastern part of the state today.

The dryline will once again be close to or possibly in the area tomorrow. With plenty of moisture in place, isolated thunderstorms will once again be possible during the day. The chance for rain is 20%. Any storm we see has the potential to be severe. The northern half of the viewing area is under a slight risk for severe weather according to the Storm Predicition Center. Highs look to be in the mid to upper 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies.

The cold front we have been expecting this week will not make it into the area until Thursday morning. The chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase to 40%. Highs should be in the mid to upper 70s.

The front may stall in the area on Friday so the chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue. That chance is 40%. Highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly cloudy skies.

Some upper level disturbances could move through the area this weekend. With plenty of moisture still expected to be in place, there is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs look to be in the low to mid 80s.

We could see some isolated thunderstorms on Monday, Memorial Day, as well. The chance for precipitation is 20%. Highs will be in the mid 80s.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

Throughout the overnight hours storms have stayed off in East Texas as we have mainly seen mostly cloudy skies. However, there have been a few breaks with some stars shining through. As a disturbance pushes off to the East this morning we will see decreasing clouds. This will help get our temperatures back into the lower 80’s as we are able to see some sunshine by the afternoon. There will be the possibility to see a few Thunderstorms develop along the dryline that should stay just west of our area. If we do see any activity it should be in the late afternoon to early overnight. Low temperatures will stay in the upper 60’s.

Tomorrow looks to be the driest on tap with a mix of sun and clouds. A front will be arriving, right now pushing through the Big Country in the evening. I think we will be able to hold of the development of showers through the afternoon. Before the front we will see warm temperatures in the mid 80’s.

Through the evening into Thursday will be our best chance of rain this week and also severe weather. Our area right now is under a slight risk from the storm prediction center. We will see cooler highs back in the upper 70’s with lows in the lower 60’s.

Through the Memorial Day weekend we will keep temperatures in the low 80’s and mid 60’s with a 20% chance of storms as a few disturbances pass through the area.

Have a great week!

Monday, May 21, 2007

Several Chances For Rain This Week

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The skies looked threatening all day, but very few of us saw rain. A few showers and thunderstorms moved through the eastern and southern portions of the viewing area. Highs were in the low to mid 70s which is well below average for this time of year.

While the storms today didn't reach severe limits, they could over the next couple of days. In fact, the Storm Predicition Center has the western and northern portions of the area under a slight risk for severe weather tomorrow. The entire viewing area is under a slight risk on Wednesday. The main threats look to be large hail and damaging winds. Isolated tornadoes can't be completely ruled out though. Our chance for rain on Tuesday is 20% thanks to the dryline moving close to or possibly into the Big Country. The chance for rain picks up to 30% for Wednesday and Thursday due to a cold front that will arrive during that time period. Highs on Tuesday look to be in the low to mid 80s. Wednesday should be warmer with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Thursday will be much cooler with highs in the mid to upper 70s.

There is a slight to 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday through next Monday, Memorial Day. We will have plenty of moisture in place. With enough daytime heating and an upper level disturbance, we can get rain. Both of those look possible for the end of the week and early next week so that is why there is a chance for precipitation. The activity we see will likely be isolated in nature so it doesn't look like a complete washout for your holiday weekend. Highs are expected to be in the low to mid 80s.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday Morning Forecast

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

We have had an overall cloudy weekend with some scattered showers across the area. Today much of the same will be in store for the Big Country.

This morning a few showers are making its way through the area mainly north of I 20. For the rest of today we will continue to see the mostly cloudy skies however temperatures will make it into the upper 70’s to lower 80’s. By the afternoon a few factors could come in play to cause some thunderstorms. First we have a trough out to our west that will through some disturbances our way. Along with that we have a high pressure system to our East, this is helping to push in plenty of low level moisture. With these factors plus a dryline setting up and daytime heating we could see a few thunderstorms this afternoon into the evening. Overnight lows will make it into the mid 60’s.

Tomorrow will be a similar set up as the factors will be in place once again. The clouds should break letting in some sunshine which could only aid in the development of thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the lower 80’s.

Wednesday during the day we should see partly sunny skies and temperatures steady lower 80’s. By the evening our next front will makes its pass into the area bringing back the chance for thunderstorms into the evening. Overnight temperatures behind the front will drop back into the upper 50’s. This front will stall just to our South keeping the chance for showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for the rest of the week.

Highs Thursday will only make it into the mid 70’s behind front however we will rebound back into the 80’s by the weekend.

Have a great week!

Friday, May 18, 2007

Friday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had another day with below average temperatures across the Big Country thanks in part to mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Highs were in the mid 60s to low 70s with a few place like Brownwood reaching the upper 70s. An upper level disturbance moved through the area today causing some rain for us. Rainfall totals were mainly light across the region.

A few stray showers and thunderstorms can't be ruled out this weekend. The chance for rain though is slight. Highs on Saturday will be in the low to mid 70s under mostly cloudy skies. It will be warmer on Sunday with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies.

The dryline looks to be active and possibly move into the area Monday and Tuesday. The chance for showers and thunderstorms is 20%. Highs should be in the low to mid 80s.

A cold front is expected to arrive on Wednesday so the chance for rain will be higher at 30%. Highs look to cool down into the upper 70s to low 80s.

There could be some lingering showers and thunderstorms on Thursday so the chance for rain is 20%. Highs will be in the low 80s.

It is possible that some of the storms we see Monday through Wednesday may be severe. Not only will we have the lifting mechanisms mentioned above, but the jetstream may dip down close to our area. It is a situation we are keeping a close eye on for next week.

Next Friday looks pleasant right now with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 80s.

Have a wonderful weekend!

Friday Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly …

Yesterday was a dreary day across the Big Country; we saw scattered showers continue for most of the day with a few breaks in the clouds in the early evening hours. Because of the extensive cloud cover temperatures couldn’t break out of the upper 60’s throughout most the region. Into the overnight, we have continued to see some scattered showers mainly staying in our western counties.

As another upper level disturbance pushes into the area this morning we are seeing plenty of activity on the radar especially just off towards our west and north. We will continue to see it push our way and bring even a few showers on the morning commute. Throughout the day we will see showers and thunderstorms continue. Once again temperatures will be much below average barely hitting 70.

Showers should continue at least early into the overnight with temperatures in the mid 50’s. The weekend is looking the driest over the next seven days. We could see a few early showers Saturday morning and an isolated thunderstorm in the afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds. Temperatures will make it into the mid 70’s. Sunday looks nice with Partly Cloudy skies and upper 70’s.

By next week our next system will be approaching along with another cold front. This keeps showers and thunderstorms in the forecast with temperatures in the lower 80’s.

Have a great weekend!

Thursday, May 17, 2007

Thursday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was a cool day across the Big Country with cloudy skies. We also had some showers due to an upper level disturbance that moved through the area. Highs were mainly in the 60s, but Brownwood was able to reach the low 70s.

Another upper level disturbance is expected to move into the region overnight and into the day tomorrow. This will bring us another round of showers and possibly some thunderstorms. The chance for rain is 50%. Highs look to be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

An isolated shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out Saturday or Sunday. The chance for rain though is only slight. Highs will be in the mid 70s to around 80.

The dryline may cause some showers and thunderstorms for us on Monday and Tuesday with a cold front expected by midweek. The chance for rain next week is 20%, but that will likely increase as we get closer to that time period. Highs should be in the low to mid 80s.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly

We had cooler temperatures across the area yesterday and lots of sunshine across most of us with showers staying confined to the western counties. Into the overnight those showers have moved more into the area with most of the activity staying west of Abilene. There hasn’t been much in accumulation because we have a much drier air mass in place.

Throughout the day today we will continue to see on and off activity with plenty of cloud cover through the morning and maybe a few breaks of sunshine by the afternoon. Again the best chance for the rain will be in our Western counties. Temperatures will stay below average in the lower 70’s. Overnight into Friday we will begin to increase the chance of showers and thunderstorms as a few disturbances roll through. Lows will be in the lower 50’s.

Temperatures will gradually warm up during the weekend with mid 70’s Saturday and lower 80’s by Sunday. We could see an isolated shower on Saturday with partly cloudy skies on Sunday.

The beginning of next week temperatures will be back in the lower 80’s with a possible dry line setting up keeping thunderstorms still in the forecast.

Have a great day!

Wednesday, May 16, 2007

Wednesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a beautiful day here in the Big Country with much cooler temperatures. Highs were in the 70s. It also felt more comfortable with dewpoints mainly in the 40s. Some showers and thunderstorms developed to our west. They moved northeast and made it into the western portions of the viewing area. Most of that rain didn't make it to the surface though because it was a bit too dry. The rain ended up fizzling out in our western communities.

Tomorrow looks to be similar to today. We will likely begin with mostly cloudy skies in the morning that turn into partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. Some showers and storms could once again develop to our west and make their way into the area. There is a 20% chance for rain with the best shot being in the western communities. Highs should be in the low to mid 70s.

An upper level disturbance is expected to move into and through the region on Friday. The chance for showers and thunderstorms is 30%. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s under mostly cloudy skies.

A stray shower or thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out this weekend, but the chance is slight at best for rain. We should have pleasant temperatures Saturday and Sunday with highs in the mid 70s to around 80.

The dryline may be active Monday and Tuesday with a cold front moving into the Big Country on Wednesday. The chance for precipitation is 20%, but that will likely increase as we get closer to that time period. Highs look to be in the low to mid 80s.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly

A front passed through the Big Country yesterday and along with it we saw some heavy rains. Into the overnight the activity has stayed to our south and west leaving us with temperatures just a bit cooler than what we have seen the past few days.

Through out the day today we will continue to see partly to mostly cloudy skies. Some thunderstorms could develop off towards our west today and tomorrow and push into the area with the best chance in our southwestern counties. With the cooler weather we will see highs near 10- 15 degrees below average making them in the lower 70’s.

On Friday our next disturbance will makes its way into the Big Country keeping in a chance for Thunderstorms; however the lack of moisture is keeping the chance down to 20%. We could see a few linger into Saturday as well, with the best chance being the Northern and Western counties. Temperatures will be in the upper 70’s with overnight lows in the mid 50’s.

By the beginning of next week temperatures will be back into the lower 80’s with lows in the lower 60’s. If a dryline sets up we could once again see the chance for showers and thunderstorms.

Have a great day!

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Tuesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We were warm across much of the Big Country today with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s until a cold front arrived. This front moved through this afternoon and cooled us down into the 60s and 70s. There were some showers and thunderstorms that developed along and ahead of the front. While the storms didn't reach severe limits, some of them did drop a large amount of rain in just a few hours in central and southern Taylor county as well as southwestern Callahan county. Flash flooding was reported in Tuscola and Buffalo Gap with several roads being impassable from the mid afternoon hours into the evening.

Part of the cold front that passed us today looks to become stationary to our west in New Mexico. Some showers and thunderstorms could develop in that area and make their way here. The best chance for rain the next couple of days will be in the western half of the region. We may also see an upper level disturbance or two try to make it into the Big Country. Our chance for showers and thunderstorms through the end of the work week is 20%. Highs are expected to be in the low to mid 70s through Friday.

We could see some periodic upper level disturbances this weekend and early next week. A stray shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out so there is a slight chance for rain Saturday through next Tuesday. We will be a little warmer during this time period than the second half of the work week. Highs look to be in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

Yesterday we saw plenty of sunshine in the morning and very warm temperatures hitting the 80’s by noon. Clouds started too developed in the afternoon hours and we saw a few scattered thunderstorms. The overnight was very mild with mostly clear skies and temperatures in the mid 60’s.

A cold front that will be impacting our weather over the next couple days is currently beginning its push into the panhandle. Along the front we are starting to see showers and thunderstorms develop which is a precursor of our weather by the afternoon. Through the morning we will continue to see clouds increase with the approaching front. The front should arrive sometime in the afternoon and makes its way all the way through the Big Country into the evening and overnight. We will see temperatures get into the lower 80’s before it hits and drop temperatures overnight back into the upper 50’s. Showers and Thunderstorms will continue to be possible through the nighttime as well.

Through the rest of the week we will keep in the chance for activity with disturbances making their way through the region. Otherwise we will see partly to mostly cloudy skies. Temperatures will cooler and below average in the 70’s until the weekend where they will warm back into the 80’s.

Have a great day!

Monday, May 14, 2007

Cooler And Wetter Conditions On Tap For Us

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was a warm afternoon for us today with highs mainly in the low to mid 80s. Brownwood was able to warm up to 88. Unlike this weekend, there wasn't much in the way of showers or thunderstorms. There was a brief thunderstorm in Throckmorton county, but that was it.

Our chance for rain increases tomorrow to 30% as a cold front is expected to arrive by the late afternoon and evening hours. Highs will still manage to reach the low to mid 80s before the front arrives.

Wednesday will be much cooler with highs in the low 70s. Skies should be mostly cloudy and there is a 40% chance for showers and thunderstorms. Severe weather over the next couple of days looks to be limited. It is not out of the question for a storm to reach severe limits, but it is likely we will just see brief heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, pea-size hail and wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph in the thunderstorms we see.

On Thursday, we could see some lingering showers and thunderstorms. Our chance for rain is 30%. Highs will likely be in the low 70s.

Some upper level disturbances could move through the area Friday through next Monday. The look to impact mainly the western portions of the viewing area. The chance for showers and storms is 20%. Highs will range from the mid 70s on Friday to the mid 80s next Monday.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Friday, May 11, 2007

Friday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started this morning with quite a bit of fog across portions of the Big Country this morning. This afternoon there were some widely scattered showers and thunderstorms in the northwestern and western portions of the viewing area. Highs were in the mid 70s to low 80s.

The upper level low that has been responsible for our rain this week is sitting off the Texas and Lousiana coast right now. It will remain in the northern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Some upper level disturbances could move into the region off of that low. With plenty of moisture in place and enough daytime heating, it is not out of the question for some isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop. The activity this weekend will be similar to what we have seen the past couple of days. Highs look to be in the low to mid 80s.

Monday and Tuesday are expected to be dry for now with highs in the mid to upper 80s under partly cloudy skies.

A cold front should move through the area on Wednesday. There is a 30% chance for rain now, but that will likely increase as we get closer to that time period. Highs look to be in the upper 70s under mostly cloudy skies.

Some upper level disturbances may move into the area Thursday and next Friday. Our rain chance is slight. Highs will be in the upper 70s to around 80.

Have a wonderful weekend!

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Thursday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a much calmer day across the Big Country today. The center of the upper level low that has been partly responsible for our rain since Sunday finally moved east of us. Some scattered showers and thunderstorms were able to form on the backside of the system and move through parts of the area. The precipitation was mainly light though.

The low will continue moving east-southeast to the Gulf of Mexico near the upper Texas coast. It is still possible for the eastern half of the viewing area to see some isolated showers and thunderstorms. The chance for rain though is slight. Highs tomorrow should be in the low 80s under partly cloudy skies.

We have a slight chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms on Saturday due to a weak upper level disturbance that may move through the region. Highs look to be in the low to mid 80s under partly cloudy skies.

Sunday through Tuesday are expected to be warm and dry with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

A cold front may move through the area on Wednesday. There is a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will likely be in the mid 80s.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

Once again yesterday afternoon the activity picked up and we say continued showers and Thunderstorms throughout the evening. It was a good soaker even causing some flash flooding around the area.

This morning there are a few scattered showers around the Big Country. We will continue to see the on and off activity through the day today as the upper level low that we have been talking about for day’s makes it was over West Central Texas. It will move towards the Southeast and push into the Gulf of Mexico sometime tomorrow into Saturday. We will keep in the showers and thunderstorms until tomorrow however best chances after tonight will be mainly in our Eastern counties. Temperatures today will again be in the mid 70’s with the mostly cloudy skies. However in our Western counties where we could see some clearing and sunshine as early as this afternoon we could see temperatures a bit warmer. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50’s.

By the weekend things are drying out and sunshine is coming back. We will see a mix of sun and clouds as temperatures increase. Tomorrow into Saturday we will see low 80’s with temperatures increasing to mid 80’s by the beginning of next week.

Have a great day!

Wednesday, May 09, 2007

The Rain Keeps Falling

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Another round of showers and thunderstorms moved through the Big Country today. There was one severe thunderstorm in Throckmorton county. A tornado was spotted 7 miles south of Throckmorton, but no damage has been reported. We will let you know what it ranks on the Enhanced Fujita Scale once the National Weather Serivce has done a survey of the area. There was some flash flooding in Scurry, Callahan and Brown counties due to the heavy rain that fell today.

With the amount of moisture we have in the area and light winds expected tonight, we may begin tomorrow with some fog. The upper level low that has been part of the reason for all of our rain should be moving through the area during the day Thursday. The stationary front could still be hanging around as well so there is a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms. It doesn't look like our storms will be severe tomorrow, but it can't be completely ruled out. Heavy rain will continue to be our primary threat so flash flooding is a concern. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s.

With the low expected to be near the coast on Friday, our chance for rain drops to 20%. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be in the eastern portions of the viewing area. Highs look to be in the upper 70s to low 80s.

An upper level high pressure ridge will build into the region this weekend and remain in place through at least early next week. This means warm and dry conditions for us. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 80s.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

We had a line of thunderstorms push through the Big Country yesterday afternoon spawning watches and warnings. Through the overnight as well we saw scattered showers and thunderstorms although nothing was severe after 10 pm.

On your morning commute there were still be a few scattered showers and plenty of wet roadways from all the rain. Temperatures have cooled off and are sitting in the mid 50’s. Throughout the day today the upper level low that has been churning in New Mexico will finally makes its drive through our region. This will help to keep plenty of rain chances through the day and into the overnight. As it makes it way the stationary front will finally push off to the east and high pressure will build in behind it toward the end of the week. With the storms we see today there is the possibility of heavy rainfall and severe weather depending on how much instability we get from daytime heating. We still have a Flash Flood Watch in effect for all counties except Stonewall. High temperatures will only make it into the mid 70’s.

Tomorrow we will start to drop our chance for thunderstorms and bring in some sunshine through the clouds. We will keep in 20 percent for Thursday and Friday with the best chances in our Eastern counties. Temperatures will rebound in the upper 70’s Thursday and by Friday get into the lower 80’s.

The weekend and early next week are looking dry with partly sunny skies, mid 80’s and overnight lows in the lower 60’s.

Have a great day!

Tuesday, May 08, 2007

Tuesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had another round of severe weather today here in the Big Country. A squall line developed in the western parts of the state and moved east through our area. It brought strong winds through the region and some small hail. There were a few tornadoes. There was one reported 5 miles southwest of Haskell and another 11 miles west-northwest of Albany. There hasn't been any confirmation of damage or what they ranked on the Enhanced Fujita Scale. The National Weather Service will investigate and survey any damage that may have been reported. We will let you know of the classifications and any damage as the information becomes available.

The chance for showers and thunderstorms continues tomorrow. A stationary front will remain in or around the area. An upper level low remains to our west for now, but it is expected to move towards and across us during the day and evening tomorrow. These will be our main lifting mechanisms for our rain. Our chance for preciptation is 70%. We may see some more severe thunderstorms today. It just depends on how unstable the atmosphere is able to become during the day. The more sunlight we see, the more unstable it we will be. We could see some heavy rainfall so flash flooding is possible as well. Most of the area is under a Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening. Comanche, Eastland and Stephens counties are under the watch through Thursday morning. Knox county is under a Flood Watch through Thursday morning. Highs today should be in the low to mid 70s.

The upper level low will likely be hanging around or just east of the area on Thursday. There is a 30% chance for more showers and thunderstorms. Highs look to be in the mid to upper 70s.

The chance for rain decreases to 20% on Friday and is mainly for the eastern portions of the viewing area. The upper level low is expected to be in east Texas that day. Highs will be a little warmer in the upper 70s to low 80s.

The weekend and early next week look to be warmer and drier with an upper level high pressure ridge building into the area. Highs will be in the 80s.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

We saw scattered showers across the area yesterday mainly staying in our Eastern and Southern counties. Otherwise it was a cloudy day with temperatures in the upper 70’s.

The scenario of today will be much like yesterday. With a stationary front right over our area and an upper level low off in the four corners area throwing disturbances our way, we have plenty of factors to help aid in the chance for thunderstorms. Along with that we have plenty of low level moisture being pushed in from our southeasterly winds. We will see mostly cloudy skies when we aren’t seeing the activity. Because of the extensive cloud cover temperatures will only make it into the mid 70’s with lows just around 60.

We will continue to see likely thunderstorms until at least tomorrow as the upper level low begins to push eastward. It will not fully exit our area until Friday so a 20 percent chance of storms will stay in the forecast Thursday and Friday although we will see a lot more sunshine. Temperatures by the end of the week will get back into the lower 80’s.

The weekend is looking beautiful with sunshine and highs in mid 80’s, lows in the lower 60’s.

Have a great day!

Monday, May 07, 2007

The Chance For Rain Continues

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Showers and thunderstorms moved through mainly the eastern portions of the Big Country today. Highs were in the mid to upper 70s under mostly cloudy to cloudy skies. We had some strong winds this afternoon at Abilene Regional Airport. The wind was sustained from the south at 30 mph with a 52 mph gust this afternoon. The reason for this is what we call a heat burst. It was a small one that caused our temperature to increase about 3 degrees and our dewpoint to drop ten degrees. A heat burst is a downburst of a hot dry air from a dying thunderstorm. If the air aloft is very dry and denser than the surrounding air, it will rush to the surface. This downdraft has to reach a high velocity and that is why these heat bursts are rare.

We will continue to have a chance for showers and thunderstorms tonight through Friday. An upper level low remains to our west in the Four Corners region. It will send some disturbances this direction before the low itself moves over or just north of the area late Wednesday into Thursday. A stationary front will remain close to the area through Wednesday. These two features will be the lifting mechanisms for us during this time period. Our best chance for rain is tomorrow and Wednesday at 60%. Thursday will be a little less at 30%. There is only a 20% chance on Friday. Some of the storms we see could reach severe limits the next couple of days. We are under a slight risk for severe weather through Wednesday according to the Storm Prediction Center. There is a potential for heavy rainfall as well. Most of the Big Country is under a Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning. Scurry and Mitchell counties are under the watch through Wednesday evening. Some computer models are indicating over 2 inches of rain between now and Thursday. We will be keeping a close eye on this latest round of rain and possible severe weather.

This weekend is looking pleasant and dry with highs in the low to mid 80s under partly cloudy skies.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday Morning Forecast

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

We saw a few breaks of sunshine throughout the weekend keeping temperatures nice and warm. Yesterday afternoon the storms began to pop and from them we saw watches and warning across the area. We still have a Flash Flood Watch in effect for most of the area until this evening.

This morning we are waking up to a few showers with very mild temperatures in the upper 60’s to lower 70’s. Over the next few days we will be seeing a similar pattern. With an upper level trough in the four corners region and a stationary front parked over our area we will see continuing showers and thunderstorms. With these storms there is the possibility to see strong to severe with large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. Temperatures will stay in the mid 70’s with overnight lows in the lower 60’s.

By Wednesday we should see the upper level trough drift eastward and eventually pass by the end of the week through our region. As it moves we will be able to push out the front helping to decrease the rain chances.

Right now the weekend is looking dry with temperatures in the lower 80’s and lows in the lower 60’s.

Have a great Monday!

Friday, May 04, 2007

Strong To Severe Thunderstorms Possible

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a hot, humid, and breezy day here in the Big Country. It was our hottest day of the year so far with highs mainly in the upper 80s to low 90s.

An upper level trough will continue to build across the western part of the country early this weekend. An upper level low will develop in the Four Corners region tomorrow and remain there through Sunday. Early next week, the low will move slowly to the east-northeast. This low will send disturbances our way bringing us one of the causes for our rain. The dryline will also be another active lifting mechanism for us this weekend. A cold front is expected to stall in or close to the area early next week. This will be yet another lifting mechinism. Plenty of moisture is already in place and instability doesn't look to be problem. Basically we will have all the ingredients necessary for thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon through Wednesday of next week. Saturday's chance for rain is 20% while Sunday's is 50%. Our best chance for rain is Monday and Tuesday at 60%. The chance for precipitation drops to 40% on Wednesday. Highs will be in the 80s this weekend before cooling down into the 70s for the first half of next week. Some of the storms during this time period could be severe. This means we may see large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes. Heavy rain is possible so we may see some flash flooding. We will be keeping a close eye on things throughout this next round of severe weather so stay tuned to KRBC for the latest updates.

Thursday and next Friday look much calmer with highs in the mid 80s under partly cloudy skies.

Have a super and safe Saturday!

Friday Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

Through a bit of cloud cover we finally saw the sunshine yesterday. Temperatures stayed a few degrees below average hitting into the upper 70’s. It was a pleasant change from the Thunderstorms we saw earlier in the week.

Today we will see abundant sunshine and hot temperatures. Throughout most of the day the sun should be dominant with temperatures right around 90 degrees. We will also see breezy winds as they blow from the South at 15-25 mph. Because we will see the dryline set up there is a slight chance for a late afternoon thunderstorm in our western counties.

Tonight we will return the cloud cover with very mild temperatures in the mid 60’s. With the cloud cover tomorrows temperatures will stay in the mid 80’s. As early as tomorrow we will see the chance for thunderstorms back on the board. Again the dryline will set up along with a strong trough out to our west and an upper level low sitting around the four corners region. This system will through disturbances our way keeping thunderstorm chances on for Sunday as well.

As the low begins to approach we will keep thunderstorms chances in for the beginning of the week with temperatures around 80 degrees. With these storms we will see the chance for severe weather once again.

Have a great weekend!

Thursday, May 03, 2007

Thursday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was a much calmer and nicer day across the Big Country today. Skies were mostly to partly cloudy with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

Friday looks to be our hottest day of the year so far. Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly sunny skies. Breezy conditions are expected with winds from the south at 15 to 20 mph.

A large upper level trough will set up over the western part of the country this weekend. An upper level low will develop around the Four Corners region as well. It is expected to sit in that area Saturday, Sunday and Monday before lifting to the northeast on Tuesday. What this means for us is several chances for rain during that time period. On Saturday it is 20% and mainly for the western portions of the viewing area. Sunday and Monday look to be our best shot at 40%. There is a 30% chance on Tuesday. Some of the storms we see could be severe. We may also see heavy rain as well and that could lead to some flooding problems. This is a situation that we are continuing to keep a close eye on. Highs for the weekend and early next week should range between the upper 70s and low 80s.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

We had a wild Wednesday across the Big Country as a line of storms pushed through the area in the afternoon. These storms caused strong winds, reports of Tornadoes, and lots of hail. They continued until the evening where they finally pushed out of our Eastern counties. With all of the cloud cover and rain, temperatures stayed in the lower 70’s.

Today we will finally get a break from the stormy pattern we have seen the past several days. The upper level low that impacted the area yesterday will get a push off to the east. This will bring the sunshine and warmer temperatures in the lower 80’s. Overnight we will see a few colds with very mild temperatures in the mid 60’s.

Tomorrow will be a perfect start to the weekend, with dominating sunshine and temperatures in the upper 80’s. Our unsettled pattern could return as early as Saturday night as our next system approaches from the west. There is a slight chance for Saturday with chances increasing Sunday into early next week. Temperatures will stay steadily in the mid 80’s with overnight lows in the mid 60’s.

Have a great day!

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

Wednesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It has been a wicked Wednesday for us here in the Big Country. We had a line of severe thunderstorms move through parts of the area. Tornadoes were reported in Brownwood, Maverick, Rockwood and Tennyson. Winds of 58 mph or greater occurred in Brownwood, Winchell, Brookesmith, Valera, Ballinger, Tennyson, Miles, Bronte and Comanche. Nickel size hail was reported in Trent. Most of the damage reported in the viewing area was in Coke, Runnels, Coleman and Comanche counties. The National Weather Service will be surveying the damage tomorrow. We will let you know how many tornadoes are confirmed and what they ranked on the Enhanced Fujita Scale.

We could see some showers and thunderstorms during the morning hours tomorrow as the upper level low that caused our rain today continues to move east out of the area. Mostly cloudy skies in the morning should give way to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon. Highs look to be in the low 80s.

Friday and most of Saturday should be pleasant. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s under mostly sunny skies.

A large upper level trough is still expected to build in the western part of the country this weekend. It will likely send some disturbances our way and help push the dryline into the region. Our chances for rain will begin Saturday night at slight before increasing on Sunday and Monday to 30%. There is a 20% chance of lingering showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday. Some of the storms could be severe. It is a situation we are keeping a close eye on. Highs during this time period should range in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly …

We started May off on the wet side with scattered thunderstorms across the area yesterday. Although there were a few down pours none of the storms became severe. By the afternoon the sun broke through the clouds and perfect weather to sit outside on the porch.

Overnight we saw partly cloudy skies but this morning we are beginning to see clouds push in from the west. This morning will be mild and humid, with temperatures in the lower 60’s.

The first upper level low that brought us severe weather for the beginning of the week will finally be pushed off towards the east as another makes its pass from the Arizona/New Mexico border into West Central Texas today. With plenty of moisture and lift, thunderstorms will develop in the afternoon with the possibility of seeing some strong to severe storms. We will be watching this system closely since there is the possibility for heavy rain and flooding potential. Temperatures will get into the upper 70’s.

We will continue to see the thunderstorms into the overnight and morning hours Thursday with lows in the lowers 60’s. The low should be kicked off to the East during the morning Thursday. For the rest of the day, we will see decreasing clouds and partly sunny skies by the afternoon.

If you are planning any outdoor activities for the weekend you may want to get them in Friday into Saturday morning where we will see some sunshine and temperatures in the upper 80’s with lows in the mid 60’s. As early as Saturday afternoon we could see our next system approach and bring back rain chances for Saturday through early next week.

Have a great day!

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Severe Thunderstorms Possible Tomorrow

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We began the day with some showers and thunderstorms in the central and eastern portions of the viewing area. By this afternoon, the rain was over and some sunshine was breaking through the clouds. Highs were in the 70s.

As we say goodbye to one upper level low, we say hello to another. It will move towards and through the area tomorrow and Thursday. We have a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday. Some of the storms could reach severe limits. This means we may see large hail, damaging winds and a few isolated tornadoes. Heavy rain is also anticipated. With the ground already saturated from precipitation we have received the past few days, flash flooding is also possible tomorrow. We could see another 1 to 2 inches of rain with isolated higher amounts. There is a 30% chance of some lingering showers and storms on Thursday. Highs for both days look to be in the mid to upper 70s.

Friday and most of Saturday should be dry with highs in the mid to upper 80s under partly cloudy skies.

Another upper level trough is expected to set up to our west this weekend. We could see some disturbances move into our area any time starting Saturday night through Tuesday. Our chance for showers and thunderstorms right now looks to be slight to 20% with the best shot being on Sunday and Monday. Highs will likely be in the low 80s.

On a side note, the National Weather Service did a survey of the damage in Runnels county. They confirmed that a tornado started near Highway 67 southwest of Ballinger and moved to the east-southeast for one and a half miles. It lifted just to the east-southeast Bruce Field Airport. There was damage to tin roofs and trees. A tractor trailer was overturned and two hangers at the airport were damaged. The tornado was just under one half mile wide and was rated an EF0 on the Enhanced Fujita Scale.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday Morning Update

Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…

Yesterday was another stormy day across the area. After a wet start with showers in our Southern and Eastern counties we saw cloudy skies for rest of the morning. The thunderstorms began to pick up again in the early afternoon. We once again saw severe weather as a Tornado hit just south of Ballinger around Rowena at approximately 10 pm. A big problem over the past 36 hours is flooding; a Flash Flood Watch was present for most of the area until 8 am and a Flash Flood Warning until 6 am for Brown and Coleman counties.

This morning will be a stormy commute around some areas of the Big Country as scattered thunderstorms are still present. An upper level low is just to our North moving off to the East into Oklahoma, this is helping to develop the thunderstorms around the area. Temperatures are very mild in the mid 60’s. For the rest of the day we will continue to see the chance for scattered thunderstorms with the best activity being in the Eastern counties as this system does push off. This means we could begin to see some clearing by the afternoon off towards our western counties. Temperatures will hit the upper 70’s where we will see the cloudy skies and storms with areas seeing some clearing and sun getting into the lowers 80’s.

Tonight we will keep the chance for an isolated thunderstorm in our eastern counties. Otherwise we will see partly to mostly cloudy skies and temperatures in the lower 60’s.

Tomorrow our next upper level low approaches the area. Depending on the exact track will depend how much rainfall and severe weather we will see with this system. Right now the track varies from moving over our area to pushing through the panhandle. Because of this upper level low we will keep in a thirty percent chance for scattered thunderstorms for tomorrow into Thursday. Temperatures will be in the mid 80’s.

Friday should be dry with partly cloudy skies and upper 80’s for temperatures.

For the weekend another system might be making a play for some more activity. We will keep in a 20 percent chance for thunderstorms Saturday into early next week. Temperatures will be in the mid 80’s.

Have a great day!

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