Friday, April 28, 2006

Friday Severe Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

For the latest watches and warnings, please watch the top of your screen.

A quick look ahead:

Clearing skies Saturday with highs in the lower to middle 70s.

Sunday & Monday: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs in the middle to upper 80s.

Tuesday through Friday: Partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms possible. Best chance for storms will be Thursday and Friday. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Likely Today

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We are starting off mild and muggy this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 60s. The upper level low that we have been talking about for most of the week will be moving into the region later today. A dryline will develop and move through the area as well. With plenty of moisture in place, the chance for showers and thunderstorms is looking very good at 80%. There should be enough instability for strong to severe thunderstorms. In fact, the Storm Predicition Center has us under a moderate risk for today. The main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. A few isolated tornadoes are possible too. Highs today will be in the mid to upper 70s. Breezy conditions are also expected through the day.

The strong to severe thunderstorms will likely continue tonight. A squall line may possible set up out west and move across the Big Country. The chance for rain is 80%. Breezy conditions will continue with winds shifting from the south to the northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

There could be a few lingering showers or storms very early tomorrow morning. Overall though, Saturday should be nice with partly cloudy skies and highs in the mid 70s.

We continue drying out and warming up Sunday through Tuesday with highs in the low to mid 80s.

Another shot of rain is possible Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the low 80s.

Stay tuned to KRBC throughout the day and tonight. We will keep you up to date on the latest severe weather information.

Thursday, April 27, 2006

Severe Storm Chances Increasing

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After another cool day across the Big Country, things will be nowhere near as calm Friday. Unfortunately we are looking at the possibility of severe thunderstorms across all of the KRBC viewing area.

For the rest of tonight expect mostly cloudy skies and a slight chance of a few thunderstorms late. Overnight lows will be much milder running from the lower to middle 60s.

For Friday, expect strong thunderstorms to begin as early as the lunch hour, but the best chances will be late in the afternoon and into the evening. Damaging winds will likely be the biggest threat with this system. Moderate to large hail will be possible, as well as isolated tornados. We could see storms strong enough that you might want to go ahead and bring the garbage can in and secure any outdoor furniture or decorations.

By Saturday, the storms will be a thing of the past as well see clearing skies and highs in the lower to middle 70s.

Sunday through Tuesday looks dry, with highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday afternoon through Thursday we will see slight chances of thunderstorms.

Stay tuned to KRBC for the most up to date information as severe weather threatens the Big Country.

Thursday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off cool once again this morning with temperatures in the mid to upper 40s. It will be warmer this afternoon than yesterday as highs reach the mid to upper 70s. There is a slight chance of a few isolated thunderstorms late this afternoon in the western portions of the viewing area.

The chance for rain increases tonight to about 40% as the showers and thunderstorms become more scattered. The reason for our chance for rain is the upper level low that is sitting near southern California. It will push a few disturbances in our direction before the low itself arrives tomorrow.

Rain is a good bet on Friday. Right now, our chance for showers and thunderstorms is 80%. Unfortunately, some of these storms could be severe with large hail and damaging winds still being the main threats. A few isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out. We are under a slight risk for severe weather tomorrow according to the Storm Prediction Center. As always, we will keep an eye on things for you.

The rain should come to an end during the first half of Saturday. The chance for showers and storms that morning is 20%. Total rain amounts for Thursday night through Saturday morning could reach as high as 1 to 1.5 inches according to some models. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 70s with clearing skies through the day.

Sunday through Tuesday look dry and mainly mostly sunny. We look to warm back up into the low 80s for highs.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, April 26, 2006

Wednesday Afternoon Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

I'm going to step out on a limb here and call this afternoon perfect. Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. It really doesn't get much nicer than that. Unfortunately, it can't last forever, and changes are on the way.

As we head into tomorrow expect warmer temperatures and a slight chance of an isolated thunderstorm or two. An upper level system approaching from the West combined with a drlyine setting up could set off a few storms. Highs will warm into the middle to upper 70s as well.

Friday and Friday night are when I expect to see the worst of the weather. As the system approaches from the West, it will send disturbances out ahead of it as well as push the dryline our direction. I expect a few rounds of thunderstorms to develop beginning Friday and continuing through early Saturday.

By Saturday afternoon our rain chances will come to an end and temperatures will begin to climb back to above normal.

Sunday through Wednesday of the extended looks to be mostly sunny to partly cloudy with highs from the low to middle 80s.

Wednesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off a bit chilly this morining with temperatures in the 40s across the area. Another cool day is on tap for us with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. That's about ten degrees below average for this time of year. Enjoy the nice conditions today because some rough and stormy weather is ahead.

Tomorrow should be pleasant for most of the day. It will be a little warmer with highs in the mid 70s under partly cloudy skies.

Thursday night through early Saturday is when it could get wet around the Big Country. Right now, our chance for rain ranges from 30% to 50% during that time period with the best chance on Friday. An upper level low is currently off the southern California coastline. It is projected to move eastward and arrive in our region by Friday. Severe weather is possible with this system. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center already has us under a slight risk for that day. The main threats look to be large hail and damaging winds. We'll continue to keep our eyes on this situation and let you know how it develops as we get closer to it.

We clear things out and warm things up by early next week with highs back in the low 80s.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, April 25, 2006

Tuesday Afternoon Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Isolated thunderstorms have fired up this afternoon thanks to our cooler air. With the moisture hanging around and a little upper level energy, Mother Nature was able to bring a few strong thunderstorms to the Eastern and Southern viewing area. These thunderstorms will continue through early evening, then I expect things to die off into the rest of the evening.

Overnight lows will bottom out into the middle to upper 40s areawide. Then climb back into the upper 60s to lower 70s Wednesday.

As we head into Thursday, our next system will approach from the West bring increased cloud cover at first, then possibly strong thunderstorms by Friday night.

Rain chance will begin overnight Thursday into Friday, and peak early Saturday morning at 60%. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threat with storms from Thursday night through Saturday.

Sunday, we begin to clear out and warm up, back into the upper 70s to lower 80s by Monday and Tuesday.

Tuesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

I hope you didn't pack up the jackets and coats yet because you'll need them the next couple of days. A cold front moved through the area this morning bringing some of the coldest air we have had in a while. Highs today should only reach the mid to upper 60s. That's about twenty-five to thirty degrees cooler than yesterday.

Tonight, it will be a bit chilly with lows bottoming out in the low to mid 40s.

Wednesday and most of Thursday look to be dry with partly cloudy skies and highs ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s.

An upper level low sets up just to our west by late this week. It will help pull in moisture from the Pacific Ocean. A high pressure system to our east will bring moisture in from the Gulf of Mexico. With moisture in place, showers and thunderstorms will be possible due to a few upper level disturbances and eventually the low itself beginning Thursday night and lasting into Sunday. Right now, our chance for rain ranges from 20% to 40% during that time period. We'll continue to keep our eye on this rain potential and let you know if the chances increase or decrease.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, April 24, 2006

Monday Afternoon Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After a hot and windy afternoon, big changes are on the way tonight.

A cold front will push through during the evening and overnight hours, this front will bring our temperatures below normal. So, believe it or not, you may need a jacket come Wednesday morning!

After warming back up into the middle 70s Thursday, we will have to watch a system out West. An upper level system looks to stall out just to our West and will bring us chances for showers and thunderstorms through early next week.

Monday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We began this morning with mild and muggy conditions. By this afternoon, it will be hot and muggy. Highs should reach the low to mid 90s with partly cloudy skies. Our spring friend, the dryline, will move through the area later this afternoon. There is a slight chance that a few isolated showers or thunderstorms could fire up along this line. If anything does blossom, then it could become severe with large hail and damaging winds as the main threats.

The chance for rain increases to 20% tonight with the arrival of a cold front. Lows will be in the mid to upper 50s. It could get a little breezy as the front moves through the Big Country.

A 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms continues tomorrow. It will be much, much cooler with highs only managing to make it into the upper 60s. That's right, that's as warm as it will be on Tuesday. This will be some of the coldest air we have had in quite a while. In fact, Wednesday morning will likely have temperatures in the low to mid 40s.

Wednesday and Thursday look dry with partly cloudy skies. The below average temperatures should continue with highs in the low to mid 70s.

An upper level low could affect our weather Friday through Sunday in the form of some rain. Right now, there is a 20% chance during that time period. We'll continue to keep our eye on this system and see if our rain chances increase during the week.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Friday, April 21, 2006

Friday Evening Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

I'd almost call the weather today perfect across the Big Country. Sunny skies and highs only in the upper 70s was quite nice. Oh well, it can't last forever. Changes begin as soon as Saturday as high pressure shifts to our South and East we end up with a fairly strong Southerly flow. That will do two things for us, one, keep the moisture supply in the atmosphere high. Two, it will help warm temperatures back into the upper 80s to low 90s this week.

With that much moisture and warmth, we could see a couple of isolated, strong thunderstorms Sunday afternoon. If things do fire up, expect large hail and damaging winds, as well as the chance for an isolated tornado. We'll have the same setup for Monday afternoon, but a better chance thanks to an upper level system approaching from the West. With this system on the way, upper level support will arrive ahead of it and bring us an increased possibility for strong to severe thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday.

This system will cool us off dramatically by Tuesday. Showers will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday, with high temperatures only in the upper 60s to near 70.

By Thursday and Friday we will quickly warm back into the lower 80s, but with plenty of moisture still around, we won't be able to rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm.

Friday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The rain has cleared out of the area this morning, and now we are left with some patchy fog. Visibilities could be reduced as low as one mile in some locations. Be careful and give yourself some extra time to get to your destination. Also, be sure to use your low beam headlights in foggy conditions.

Clouds will decrease through the day, so by this afternoon we should have mostly sunny skies. Highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s which is seasonal for this time of year.

Partly cloudy skies return tomorrow, as well as the warm temperatures. An upper level high pressure ridge will be in control over the area so highs will make it into the upper 80s.

A trough, or dip in the jetstream, will set up in the western United States by Sunday. Some upper level disturbances could move through the area during the second half of the weekend and Monday, so there is a slight to 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs should be in the mid to upper 80s.

A cold front is expected arrive late Monday into early Tuesday so rain chances increase to 30%. Highs will cool down into the upper 70s for Tuesday.

Another shot of rain comes with an upper level disturbance on Thursday. Right now, that chance of rain is 20%.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, April 20, 2006

This Shot Of Rain Coming To An End

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We continue to see showers and thunderstorms moving through the area tonight. Doppler radar is estimating that 3 to 8 inches of rain has fallen in an area just north of Interstate 20 stretching from Colorado City northeast to Albany. There is a chance for more rainfall, so a Flash Flood Watch is in effect until late tonight for the central and eastern portions of the Big Country. Some of the thunderstorms could be severe so the southern half of the viewing area is under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 p.m. tonight.

The reason for our continued threat of rain is due to an upper level low moving in from the west and a stationary front just to our south. All of this rain should come to an end early tomorrow morning.

Our next chance of rain begins late Saturday night at slight and builds to a 30% chance by Tuesday. The reason for this chance of rain is due to another trough building in the western U.S. It should help push the dryline close to the area on Sunday and Monday. A cold front is the reason for the chances for rain on Tuesday.

Overall, partly cloudy skies should rule for the next seven days with highs ranging from the upper 70s to upper 80s.

Have a terrific Thursday night and a fantastic Friday!

Wednesday, April 19, 2006

Severe Weather Possible Again Tomorrow

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Sorry for the late update today. It has been a very busy afternoon and evening here in the weather center. We saw quite a bit of severe weather roll through the Big Country tonight. Thunderstorms dropped hail the size of nickels and quaters. They also brought wind gusts in excess of 60 mph. The entire area with the exception of Stonewall and Knox counties are under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 3:00 a.m. tonight. There is a Flash Flood Watch in effect for Eastland and Stephens counties until 6:00 a.m.

The cold front that passed us by last night will continue to remain stalled to our south through tonight. Beginning tomorrow, it will slowly move northward back into the area as a warm front. With moisture in place now, this boundary will combine with a developing dryline in the western portions of the state tomorrow to act as a lifting mechinism to bring us more showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms could once again be severe with large hail and damaging winds as the main threats. An isolated tornado can't be ruled out. The main question for the severe weather tomorrow is whether or not enough instability will build back into the area. It looks like we will have enough, but we may not. Our chance for rain tomorrow stands at 60% right now.

This shot of rain comes to an end early Friday. Another shot of showers and thunderstorms comes late Saturday into Sunday as an upper level disturbance may move through. Our chance for rain right now is slight to 20%. The dryline looks to be active Monday and Tuesday, so we once again run a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms.

As far as high temperatures go, they will range from the mid 70s tomorrow to mid 80s this weekend and Wednesday.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Tuesday, April 18, 2006

Have The Rain Gear Ready

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was another hot day here in the Big Country as highs once again reached well into the 90s. Brownwood hit the triple digits for the second straight day. The good news is that the hot weather will be coming to an end tonight.

A cold front will move through the area and bring temperatures back down closer to average for this time of year. Be aware, it will become windy for a little while as the front passes us by. Tomorrow we will be about 20 to 25 degrees cooler with highs in the low to mid 70s under partly cloudy skies. Mostly cloudy skies will dominate Thursday through next Tuesday keeping temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

Rain chances begin late tomorrow and last through early next week. The cold front that will pass through the area tonight will stall to our south for a couple of days. This weekend it will lift back to the north as a warm front. Periodic upper level disturbances are projected to move across the Big Country over the next seven days as well. All of these factors will play a role in bringing us the possiblity of showers and thunderstorms. Right now, there is a slight chance for rain late tomorrow. That chance increases to 40% for Thursday and Friday before decreasing to 20% to 30% for Saturday through Tuesday. Some of these storms could be severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. We'll keep an eye on things for you and let you know if anything becomes rough.

Have a terrific Tuesday evening and a wonderful Wednesday!

Monday, April 17, 2006

Cooler Temperatures and Rain Chances Are On The Way

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The heat wave continued today with our hottest day of the year so far at Abilene Regional Airport. We set a new record high of 98, which beat the old record of 95 set back in 1937. This is the seventh new record high we have set this year. Some locations in the Big Country reached the triple digits as their high today.

It looks like we will have one more hot day before changes come our way. Tomorrow, it should be mostly sunny with highs in the mid 90s. The reason for the slightly cooler temperatures is due to the arrival of a cold front late in the afternoon. If the front doesn't make it until Tuesday night, then we could see some locations reach the upper 90s to 100 again.

We finally get things back closer to average and even a little below beginning Wednesday. Much cooler conditions are expected with highs in the low 70s under partly cloudy skies. Those partly cloudy skies turn into mostly cloudy skies for Thursday through next Monday. Highs should be in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Not only can we expect cooler temperatures for Thursday through Monday, but there are rain chances as well. Right now, the chance for showers and thunderstorms is 20% to 30%. The reason for the possiblity of rain is because of two factors. First, the cold front that will pass us by looks to stall to our south. Second, upper level disturbances are expected to pass near or across the region during that time period. We'll continue to keep this situation watched and let you know if the chance for rain increases.

Have a magnificent Monday evening and a terrific Tuesday!

Sunday, April 16, 2006

Hot Temperatures Continue With Relief On The Horizon

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Good evening. I hope everyone had a nice Easter weekend. We are in a heat wave right now. It is typically considered a heat wave when two conditions are met. First, a location needs to hit 90+ degree temperatures for at least three straight days. Second, those 90+ degree temperatures must be significantly above average for that time of year. Today was the third straight day that Abilene Regional Airport recorded a temperature above 90. Our average high for this time of year is 77.

It looks like we will continue with these hot temperatures through Tuesday. Mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid to upper 90s are expected tomorrow. I am predicting a high of 98 for Abilene on Monday. If we hit that number, we would break the old record high of 95 set back in 1967. This would be our second record high in three days. On Saturday, our high of 97 at Abilene Regional Airport broke the old record of 94 set back in 1904. Tuesday should be slightly cooler due to a cold front that is expected by the afternoon. It will still be hot with highs in the low to mid 90s.

The cold front late on Tuesday will help bring temperatures back down closer to average for Wednesday through Sunday. Highs will range from the mid 70s to low 80s during that time period. The good news is that there is a chance of rain Thursday through Sunday. Right now, the chance for showers and thunderstorms ranges from about 20% to 30% on those days. The reason for the rain will be mainly due to a trough that will develop in the west. This set up should bring a few upper level distrubances toward our direction. Hopefully, we will be able to increase the chance for rain as we get a little closer to those days. We'll just have to wait and see.

Have a super Sunday evening and a magnificent Monday!

Friday, April 14, 2006

Hot Easter Weekend

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Mild temperatures ruled the area once again this morning. They were mainly in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Another warm afternoon is on tap for us with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. We should see more clouds today, so it will be partly cloudy. Windy conditions look to return by this afternoon with winds from the south at 15 to 25 mph.

The upper level low that has been causing all of the wet weather in California will lift off toward the northeast. It will likely stay far enough to our north for us not to get any rain from it. However, it will be close enough to cause strong winds for tomorrow. Winds are expected to be from the southwest at 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts. Mostly sunny skies are likely with highs reaching the low 90s. With hot temperatures, strong winds, and low relative humidity values expected, a Fire Weather Watch is in effect for most of the area for Saturday afternoon and evening. We all need to be careful and follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires.

The dryline should move through the area over the weekend. I won't completely rule out a shower or thunderstorm firing up along this boundary. However, a strong cap should keep any rain from developing. I would say our chance of showers and storms this weekend is less than slight.

Easter Sunday and Monday look to be nice, but hot. We'll see mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid 90s. If you are going out to any sunrise services on Sunday, it should be mild with temperatures in the low 60s.

A cold front is expected to arrive late on Tuesday, which will help bring highs back down to the low 80s for highs during the middle of the week. There is a slight chance of rain for Thursday. Keep your fingers crossed that we get to see that rain because we are still very dry. In fact, no rain has yet to be recorded at Abilene Regional Airport this month.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, April 13, 2006

Roasty Toasty Weather Conditons Ahead

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We were able to get a few showers and thunderstorms going in our western commuties yesterday along the dryline. The cap was broken just enough for these to form. Nothing reached severe limits. I don't think we'll be lucky enough to see any more rain for at least the next five to possibly seven days. I won't completely rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm popping up along the dryline in our area, especially with temperatures as hot as they are going to be. The main problem is that we will have a pretty strong high pressure ridge and cap in place across our area. I would say our chance of seeing some rain by the end of the week is less than slight.

Get ready for some hot temperatures for the next five days. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s. Breezy conditions are expected tomorrow. Windy conditions should be here for Saturday. In fact, most of the area is under a Fire Weather Watch already for Saturday afternoon and evening. We need to continue to be careful and follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires.

Some relief could arrive by Tuesday afternoon in the form of a cold front that will bring highs back down into the 80s. No rain is expected right now, but that could change depending on how much moisture is in place when it arrives. We'll keep you posted.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, April 12, 2006

Wednesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was another mild start to the day this morning with temperatures bottoming out in the mid 50s to mid 60s across the Big Country. Clouds are moving out of the area, so we should see plenty of sunshine today. With more sunshine and winds from the south, we'll be warmer than yesterday. Highs are expected to reach the mid to upper 80s.

A ridge of high pressure will build in and remain pretty strong through the end of the week. When this type of pattern sets up this time of year, we are typically very warm and dry. Thursday through Sunday should be mostly sunny with highs ranging from the upper 80s to low 90s.

There doesn't seem to be much, if any, relief early next week with highs remaining in the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, April 11, 2006

The Heat Is On

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Well, that week or so of Spring sure was nice, wasn't it? Summer weather is returning to the Big Country in a big way over the next 7 to 10 days. In fact we are going to see some of the warmest weather we've seen for 2006. I expect to see at least one or two afternoons with highs in the low 90's this week!

The good news is that there is light at the end of the tunnel. The strong ridge of high pressure that will control our weather through the next 7 days or so looks to break down a bit by next Tuesday. A strong upper level low pressure system that is sitting off the coast of Calilfornia will move into the plains states and could bring enough energy our direction for a few thunderstorms next Tuesday.

For the rest of tonight expect decreasing clouds and breezy conditions. Overnight lows will fall into the lower 60s.

Thursday: Sunny skies and highs in the upper 80s.

Friday: More sunshine and more heat. Highs again in the upper 80s to near 90.

Saturday: Guess what? More sun. Upper 80s with a lot of folks reaching 90.

Sunday: Sunny again with highs a little cooler, only in the middle to upper 80s.

Monday: Sunny with highs in the upper 80s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies and a slight chance of thunderstorms with highs in the middle to upper 80s.

Tuesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off very mild this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 60s. Mostly cloudy skies are expected to rule throughout the day, but highs should still manage to make it into the low 80s. Breezy conditions will continue. A disturbance could bring us a few showers and maybe a thunderstorm. Right now, those chances look to be slight at best. Keep your fingers crossed that we get some rain because this looks to be our only chance for at least the next seven days.

Tomorrow we should see a little more sunshine, but enough clouds to call it partly cloudy. Temperatures begin creeping back up with highs in the mid 80s.

Thursday through Sunday look to be very warm, in fact, you could almost call it hot. Partly cloudy skies on Thursday should give way to mostly sunny skies for the rest of the week. Highs will likely be in the upper 80s to low 90s.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, April 10, 2006

Monday Afternoon Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Pretty ho-hum weather across the Big Country this week. Aside from a VERY outside chance of a shower or thunderstorm Tuesday.

A fairly decent ridge of high pressure will control our weather this week. With the exception of a weak upper level disturbance passing by Tuesday, hot and dry weather will be the rule.

Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies Tuesday with highs in the lower 80s. There is a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, but I wouldn't bet the farm on it. If you get rain, consider yourself very lucky.

Wednesday and Thursday we can expect partly cloudy skies and breezy conditions. Highs will climb into the middle to upper 80s both afternoons.

Friday through Sunday, break out the sun block and turn up the air conditioners. Highs will sky rocket into the upper 80s and low 90s. There is a slim chance the dryline could become active during this time, but the chances are slim any storms will be able to pop up though.

Monday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off mild this morning with temperature in the low to mid 50s across the area. It looks like we will see mostly sunny skies today, but we will have patches of clouds moving through from time to time. Another warm afternoon is on tap for us with highs in the low to mid 80s. Breezy conditions are expected with winds from the south at 10 to 20 mph.

An upper level disturbance looks to roll through tomorrow bringing us some decent cloud cover and possibly some rain. More than likely we will probably be dry because the cap should be strong enough to keep anything from developing. I have put an optimistic slight chance in the forecast for an isolated shower or thunderstorm. It will be a little cooler with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s thanks to the extra clouds. Breezy conditions will continue.

Wednesday through Sunday looks warm and dry right now with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s. A few communities will probably break 90 towards the end of the week.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Friday, April 07, 2006

Friday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off with our coolest morning of the week so far this morning. Temperatures ranged from the upper 30s in Brownwood to around 50 in Sweetwater. Today looks to be very similar to yesterday except it won't be quite as warm. Highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s. Windy conditions are expected to return by this afternoon with winds from the west at 20 to 30 mph. Higher gusts are likely. Blowing dust and dirt will probably return this afternoon.

Because of the strong winds a Wind Advisory is in effect for everyone except Mitchell, Scurry, and Stonewall counties beginning later this morning and lasting through the evening. The fire danger is high today so every county except for Comanche, Eastland, and Stephens is under a Red Flag Warning for that same time period. Please be careful and follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires.

A cold front looks to move through tonight and bring us a reinforcing shot of cooler air. Highs for tomorrow will only make it into the upper 60s for highs under mostly sunny skies.

The mostly sunny skies and beautiful weather will continue into Sunday. It should be warmer, but still pleasant with highs in the upper 70s.

Partly cloudy skies return for early next week with highs in the low to mid 80s. As of right now, no rain is expected for at least the next seven days.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, April 06, 2006

Thursday Afternoon Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

While we are dealing with the strong winds and dry air moving in, areas to our North and East are producing strong, severe thunderstorms. Severe weather will continue to be likely through the overnight hours in Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri and points Eastward. Then tomorrow, the South and Southeast US will be the main area threatened for a severe weather outbreak.

For us, winds will unfortunately pick back up again tomorrow, this time out of the North-Northwest. Highs tomorrow will only top out in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Winds will run from 15 to 25 to 30 miles per hour.

Winds will calm Friday night and temperatures will drop quickly, overnight lows will fall into the lower 40s areawide, with some upper 30s possible in low lying areas.

Sunny skies will rule the weekend. It will be cooler Saturday with sunny skies and highs only in the middle 60s, then Sunday right back into the upper 70s.

Monday through Thursday of next week expect partly cloudy skies and highs back into the middle 80s. Rain chances are too slim to mention right now. Should things change, we'll certainly let you know.

Also today, the World Meteorological Organization retired five hurricane names from last year's list. Dennis, Katrina, Rita, Stan and Wilma are off the list. For more information click here.

Thursday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off with another mild morning as temperatures only bottomed out in the mid to upper 60s. Another warm afternoon is on tap for us today with highs in the mid 80s to about 90. Winds will be very strong from the west-southwest at 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts. Because of the strong winds, low relative humidity values, and dry conditions that are expected today, a Red Flag Warning is in effect for the entire area. So, please follow all of the necessary precautions to help prevent fires. Also, you'll probably want to put off your trip to the lake since there is a Lake Wind Advisory in effect for much of the area for today.

A cold front will arrive later, so tonight will be mostly clear and cooler. It may remain a bit breezy. Lows will be in the low 50s.

Another reinforcing cold front is expected tomorrow so highs for Friday will likely be in the mid to upper 70s. Windy conditions should return with winds from the northwest at 20 to 30 mph. We could possibly see more Red Flag Warnings for tomorrow.

The weekend looks beautiful. It will be a perfect opportunity to get outdoors and do something like playing golf or going to the park. Highs will be in the 70s under mostly sunny skies.

Partly cloudy skies return for the beginning of next week with highs in the low to mid 80s.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, April 05, 2006

Dangerous Winds Tomorrow

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

A warm and humid afternoon helped pop up a few showers and thunderstorms today. A dryline set up to our West and acted as the focussing mechnism for the showers and storms. Nothing has reached severe limits, but there have been isolated chances for small hail. I expect the chance for isolated storms to continue tonight, with some storms capable of producing hail and strong winds.

Overnight lows will only fall in the middle to lower 60s tonight. Winds will remain breezy as well, running 15 to 20 miles per hour.

Thursday we could see a couple of isolated thunderstorms early, otherwise the windy conditions will be the main problem. Clouds will clear out early and winds will increas to 25 to 35 miles per hour sustained across the viewing area. Wind gusts up to 50 miles per hour will also be possible. Red Flag Warnings are already in effect for the majority of the Big Country. Please use extreme caution tomorrow as any fire could get out of control extremely fast. Highs will warm all the way into the upper 80s and some areas could hit 90.

Things will calm down a bit and cool off Friday. Winds will still remain breezy but this time out of the North-Northwest. Cooler air will filter in and highs will only reach 80. The big difference will be overnight Friday when lows fall into the lower 40s.

Saturday will be much cooler as well with highs only in the low 70s.

Sunday we rebound back into the upper 70s with a return of a Southerly surface flow.

Monday through Wednesday next week we could see isolated afternoon thunderstorms as a dryline tries to set up and get active. Highs will run from the lower 80s Monday into the middle 80s Tuesday and Wednesday.

Wednesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off warmer this morning than yesterday morning with temperatures mainly in the low to mid 60s. Cloud cover and breezy conditions kept us from cooling off too much during the overnight hours. Another warm afternoon is on tap for us today with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Breezy conditions will continue with winds from the south at 10 to 20 mph. A few showers and thunderstorms could fire up along the dryline late this afternoon, but our chance for rain is slight at best.

A cold front looks to push through the Big Country tomorrow. Skies will start off mostly cloudy in the morning before becoming mostly sunny by late afternoon. There is a slight chance of a few isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs should reach the low to mid 80s. The windy conditions will be the main story. Winds are expected to be from the west at 20 to 30 mph. A Wind Advisory is already in effect for Scurry and Mitchell counties on Thursday. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for most of the area for tomorrow afternoon, so the fire danger looks to be high.

Friday through Sunday continue to look nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low 70s to about 80.

Partly cloudy skies return for Monday and Tuesday with highs in the low to mid 80s.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, April 04, 2006

Tuesday Afternoon Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After the sun finally poked through the coulds early this afternoon, temperatures warmed into the lower 80s in a hurry. Winds are beginning to increase across the area as well. These winds, generally out of the South, are going to usher in more moisture, and keep humidity levels a little high. The moisture could be enough to for an isolated shower or thunderstorm as well.

For the rest of tonight expect partly cloudy skies and mild and breezy conditions. Overnight lows will only fall into the middle to lower 60s area wide.

Wednesday will be a warm, windy and humid day. We could see an isolated shower or thunderstorm as well, as a dryline tries to set up to our West. We've talked about the "cap" before, and the cap should keep thunderstorms from forming. Basically, the cap is a warm layer of air in the middle layers of the atmosphere that prevents lifting to form thunderstorms. As a warm, moist pocket of air rises because it is warmer than its surrounding environment, it will get to this "cap", or warmer air, and will no longer rise because the pocket is not warmer than the cap. Now, by tomorrow night as we cool down, that cap will not be as strong, so we could see an isolted storm, but I'm not too excited about the chances.

Thursday we will see another warm and windy afternoon. This time though, the dryline will get a little help from an upper level system approaching the plains. The dryline could bring enough lift to overcome the cap and once again we could see a couple of isolated thunderstorms Thursday afternoon. Highs will range from the middle 80s to the upper 80s.

By Friday the upper level system will have passed and we will have drier air in place and rain chances will be gone for a while. Behind the system, cooler air will filter in as well. Highs Friday will make it into the upper 70s to near 80. The cooler air will continue working in and lows Friday night will cool into the middle 40s.

Saturday and Sunday look pleasant with highs in the middle to upper 70s.

By next week, the dryline looks to set up once again, and once again we could see isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs look to be in the lower to middle 80s Monday and Tuesday.

Tuesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was another mild start to the day this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 50s. Clouds continued to increase overnight and should stick with us through the day. With mostly cloudy skies, that will help keep us from warming up too much. Highs will be in the mid to upper 70s. There is a slight, and that may be optimistic, chance of a stray shower or thunderstorm by this afternoon.

Tomorrow looks to be similiar to today, but warmer. Highs should be able to make it into the mid 80s thanks in part to stronger winds from the south at 10 to 20 mph. We could again see a stray shower or thunderstorm pop up during the day.

A cold front is expected to arrive on Thursday bringing with it the chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm. The main question is whether or not enough moisture will be in place. Skies should become partly cloudy with highs in the mid 80s.

Friday through Sunday look really nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid 70s to about 80 during that time period.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, April 03, 2006

Monday Afternoon Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

A little cooler today after a cold front pushed through the area last night. Afternoon temperatures only managed the lower 70s in Sweetwater to the middle 70s in Abilene today. Brownwood was still able to climb to near 80.

Tonight, clouds and moisture will be on the increase. Overnight lows will still make it into the middle 50s with winds mainly from the East at 5 to 10 miles per hour.

Tuesday through Thursday, moisture will be back in full force, and with a little upper level support, we could see a couple of very isolated showers or thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will climb from the upper 70s Tuesday to the middle 80s Wednesday and Thursday. Winds will be on the increase as well, becoming breezy Tuesday afternoon and fairly windy Wednesday and Thursday.

Thursday night into Friday another cold front will pass through scowering out most of the moisture for a few days. Skies will remain sunny Friday through Saturday with highs in the middle to upper 70s.

As I'm sure you are aware by now, severe weather was to blame for numerous fatalities and injuries across the country this w
eekend. As the upper level system that brought us a few thunderstorms Friday night lifted into the Midwest Saturday and Sunday and met up with an environment ripe with moisture, unfortunately storms ravaged much of the Midwest. The graphic on the right is from the Storm Predicition Center and is a list of reported severe weather across the country for April 2. Click here to see the graphic on the Storm Predicition Center's website. Unfortunately, this is just the beginning of severe weather season across the country. Another system moving into the Central Plains and Midwest by Friday could bring the area another chance for severe weather.

Monday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We began this morning mild with temperatures in the low 50s across the area. A cold front moved through the morning, so temperatures will not be as warm today as they were yesterday. Highs should be in the mid to upper 70s. Winds could be a bit breezy at times from the northeast at 10 to 15 mph.

A trough, or dip in the jetstream, looks to set up to our west for Tuesday through Thursday. An upper level low in the trough could send a few upper level disturbances our way on Tuesday and Wednesday. The upper level low looks to move over the central plains on Thursday. Most of the dynamics needed for showers and thunderstorms are expected to be too far to our north, but an isolated shower or thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out during these three days. I think our northern counties have the best chance of seeing the rain, if we have anything at all. That chance for rain is only slight right now. Highs will be in the mid 70s on Tuesday and the low to mid 80s on Wednesday and Thursday.

Friday through Sunday look nice with mostly sunny skies and highs ranging from the upper 70s to mid 80s.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Saturday, April 01, 2006

Early Saturday Morning Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After watching strong thunderstorms push from Scurry county to the East-Northeast and through Stonewall, Haskell and Knox counties, I thought I'd post new thoughts on Saturday's forecast.

It looks like we could be set-up for a significant severe weather outbreak anywhere from areas at or North of IH-20 all the way to Oklahoma City. There is no lack of moisture and no lack of instability. The only think lacking will be a lifting mechanism, or trigger. That will come by early afternoon I think in the form a a dryline. This will create the strong lift for VERY quickly developing thunderstorms.

There is significant reason to worry about tornados North of IH-20 tomorrow. The best chance for tornadic activity will be just North of our viewing area, but I don't think we are out of the woods.

Please use extreme caution if you have outdoor plans Saturday. Keep your weather radio turned on, your television turned on, and if you haven't yet, sign up for our free E-Warn service to get all weather watches and warnings sent to you.

Images below are courtesy of Accuweather.com.

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