Monday, July 31, 2006

Monday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had another day with above average temperatures as highs reached 97 to 101 across the Big Country. There was a little more moisture in the air so it was not quite as comfortable as yesterday.

The upper level high pressure ridge will continue to be in control of our region through the middle of the week. This should keep our high temperatures in the upper 90s to a little over 100. More moisture should continue to build into the area so a stray shower or thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out. Breezy conditions are expected for the next couple of days. This means the fire danger will remain elevated so be very careful.

It looks like a weak cold front will try to get close to the Big Country on Thursday and Friday. With this possiblity, there is a 20% chance of rain on these days. We may also see highs drop down into the mid 90s which is what we expect to see this time of year.

The high pressure ridge should build back into the region this weekend bringing our highs back into the upper 90s.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Sunday, July 30, 2006

Rain Possible This Week

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was another very hot day across the Big Country as highs reached the mid 90s to a little over 100. Dewpoints were mainly in the 50s for much of the day, so it wasn't too uncomfortable.

An upper level high pressure ridge should continue to remain in control across the area through the middle of the week. This will keep our highs in the upper 90s to a little over 100 through Wednesday. Breezy conditions are expected during the next couple of days. The fire danger will remain elevated for now, so please continue to be careful. Also, be sure you are taking care of yourself if you are going to be out in the heat. A stray shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out the first three days of this upcoming work week, but the chance is less than slight.

The ridge looks to weaken around Thursday allowing a weak cold front to move into the area. More moisture should have built in by this time, so our rain chances are better towards the end of the work week and into the first half of the weekend. Those chances are slight to 20%, but could increase as we get closer to that time period. Highs will likely cool down into the mid 90s behind the cold front.

Temperatures begin rising back up and rain chances come to an end on Sunday.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Friday, July 28, 2006

Friday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Many of us were lucky enough to see some rain today. Doppler estimated rainfall was mainly in the one tenth to half an inch range. The rain and mostly cloudy skies helped temperatures to be a little cooler around the Big Country. Highs today ranged from 91 to 98. It was definitely muggy as dewpoints were mainly in the 60s, but did reach the 70s early this afternoon.

The rain has come to an end across the viewing area. A stray shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out the rest of tonight, but chances are looking less than slight at this point.

The upper level high pressure ridge that has been in the western U.S. will build eastward through the weekend and early next week. This means that the sizzling heat will return as highs look to reach the upper 90s to a little over 100 during that time period. Rain chances look to be less than slight Saturday through Wednesday.

The ridge may weaken just enough on Thursday and Friday to allow for a weak cold front to move into the region. This could cool temperatures down into the mid 90s for highs. We look to have a slight chance of rain on these days as well. We'll continue to keep you updated on this next best chance of rain.

Have a super Saturday!

Thursday, July 27, 2006

Thursday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The Big Country experienced another very hot day as high temperatures ranged from 99 to 102. It also continued to feel muggy with dewpoints staying mainly in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

An upper level disturbance is currently in the panhandle region and is expected to move southward towards us overnight. We should also have a few outflow boundaries from the thunderstorm activity in that area move into the region. With these lifting mechanisms sitting in our area tonight and tomorrow, there is a slight chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms. This looks to be our best chance of rain for at least the next seven days. With the amount of heat and moisture expected during that time period, a stray shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out. The chances though look to be less than slight.

The sizzling heat should continue as an upper level high pressure ridge builds eastward into the central U.S. It should remain hot and humid with highs in the upper 90s to a little over 100. Please be careful if you are going to be out in the heat. Take all of the necessary precautions to protect yourself.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Wednesday, July 26, 2006

Wednesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The hot afternoon temperatures continued today as highs reached 95 to 100 across the Big Country. It also felt muggy as dewpoints ranged from the upper 50s to mid 60s.

We can expected temperatures to remain hot as the upper level high pressure ridge to our west begins to expand eastward. Highs over the next seven days will mainly be in the upper 90s to a little over 100. Muggy conditions should continue as well with dewpoints staying in the upper 50s to mid 60s range.

It looks like our best chance for precipitation will be over the next couple of days. The tropical low pressure system that has given the coastal region several inches of rainfall today will remain to our east. There is a slight chance of a few isolated showers and thunderstorms in the eastern portions of the viewing area near Eastland and Comanche. The chance for rain increases to 20% areawide for Thursday night and Friday. A disturbance may make its way into the Big Country during that time period. With the amount of heat and moisture that will be with us this weekend and early next week, a stray shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out. The chance for that though is less than slight.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Tuesday, July 25, 2006

Tuesday Evening Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Temperatures continued to be right at or just above average for this time of year today as highs reached the mid to upper 90s across the Big Country. Dewpoints were up slightly so it felt a little muggy. It was also breezy with wind gusts as high as 20 mph this afternoon.

The hot afternoons look to continue as an upper level high pressure ridge continues to build back into the area through the end of the week. Highs should mainly be in the mid to upper 90s.

As far as precipitation goes, we have a slight chance Wednesday through Friday for some isolated showers and thunderstorms. The best chance will be in the southeastern portions of the viewing area in Brown and Comanche counties. The reason for this possiblity of rain is still due to the tropical disturbance that is currently in the southern portions of the state. The center of the system is near McAllen. If it remains over land, which it is expected to do, then it won't become a tropical depression. It looks like the bulk of the rainfall will be along the central and upper Texas coast. There are flood watches in effect for the Houston, Galveston, and Victoria areas. Rainfall amounts could reach 2 to 4 inches with locally heavier amounts there. We'll continue to keep an eye on this disturbance over the next couple of days and keep you updated.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Monday, July 24, 2006

Monday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The warming trend continued today as highs around the Big Country reached the mid 90s to 100. Dewpoints stayed in the 50s this afternoon so it wasn't too muggy or uncomfortable.

The upper level high pressure ridge that moved westward this weekend will begin building back into the Four Corners region. We should continue to see hot temperatures this week because of this. Highs are expected to be mainly in the upper 90s.

We will likely see highs back down a little bit into the mid 90s on Thursday and Friday due to more cloud cover and the possibility of rain. The reason for this is a weak low pressure system that is currently in the western Gulf of Mexico. If the center of the low can remain over water and the upper level winds become more favorable, then it may become a tropical depression. It does look like this tropical disturbance will move toward the Texas Gulf coast and into the eastern portions of the state. What we see from this low pressure system will depend on what track it takes. For now, I'm going with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the eastern and southeastern portions of the viewing area. We'll continue to keep you updated on this situation.

With the amount of afternoon heating that will be taking place and more moisture expected to be in the area this week, it is not out of the question for us to see a stray shower or thunderstorm any day this week.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Sunday, July 23, 2006

Sunday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The pleasant weekend continued today as highs reached the mid 90s this afternoon across the Big Country. It was also pretty comfortable as dewpoints stayed mainly in the 50s.

The upper level high pressure ridge that moved westward this weekend will begin sliding back to the east near the Four Corners region. This will cause a slight warming trend for the first half of the work week with highs reaching the upper 90s by Wednesday.

A few upper level disturbances could move into the region late Wednesday through Friday. With more moisture expected to build back in by this time period, there will be at least a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. A little more cloud cover is likely on Thursday and Friday, so high temperatures should fall back into the mid 90s.

By next weekend, we can expect the ridge to build back stronger into the area so highs should return to the upper 90s.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Friday, July 21, 2006

Cooler Temperatures This Weekend

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was another hot day across the Big Country as highs reached 95 to 102. The extreme heat should be done for a while because a cold front is heading in our direction. This front will bring us a 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms tonight. The northern communities can expect the front to arrive around midnight.

The chance for rain continues at 20% tomorrow as the front makes its way through the Big Country. With winds shifting from the southeast to the northeast, we can expect cooler temperatures. Highs should only reach the low 90s.

Sunday and Monday should be pleasant with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 90s. It will likely feel more comfortable as well with drier air remaining in place behind the front.

A warming trend is expected for the rest of the next work week. Highs should return to the upper 90s with partly cloudy skies.

Enjoy the cooler weather and have a wonderful weekend!

Thursday, July 20, 2006

Thursday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The roasty toasty temperatures continued as highs reached 99 to 104 across the Big Country today. We did have some isolated showers and thunderstorms in the southern portions of the viewing area this afternoon and early evening. The bulk of the activity was over Comanche, Brown, and Coleman counties.

Tomorrow will be a similar day as highs approach the triple digit mark again. A stray shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out, but our chance looks to be less than slight.

The blazing heat comes to an end on Saturday as a cold front is expected to arrive early in the day. Highs should only make it into the low 90s. With moisture in place and this lifting mechanism moving in, some isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible. That chance is about 20% right now.

The front looks to stall south of the viewing area by Sunday, so there is a slight chance of more rain in the southern communties. Highs are expected to remain in the low 90s.

A slight warming trend is expected next week with highs returning to the upper 90s by Wednesday.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Wednesday, July 19, 2006

Wednesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had another very hot day across the Big Country as highs reached 99 to 103. Dewpoints were mainly in the mid 50s to low 60s so it was a little muggy. We didn't have any showers or thunderstorms develop this afternoon like yesterday.

The heat will remain for a couple more days before changes occur. Highs Thursday and Friday will range from the upper 90s to around 105 across the viewing area. Please continue to be careful in the sizzling conditions and take the necessary precautions to protect yourself. An isolated shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out, but chances look less than slight.

A cold front is still expected to arrive on Saturday causing temperatures to drop back into the low to mid 90s for the weekend and early next week. With the arrival of this lifting mechanism, we can expect a better chance for showers and storms. At this time, there is a 30% chance of rain on Saturday and a 20% chance on Sunday.

Enjoy this break from the heat because it looks like the upper level high pressure ridge will build back in by the middle of next week causing temperatures to rise to the upper 90s.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Tuesday, July 18, 2006

Tuesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The searing heat continued as highs reached 99 to 105 across the Big Country. It also remained muggy as dewpoints sat in the upper 50s to mid 60s. We did have some isolated showers and thunderstorms develop late this afternoon. They brought some brief heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning to portions of the area. The kind of activity we saw today can't be ruled out for the next few days, but better chances are coming later this week.

It looks like we will continue to see very hot temperatures through the end of the work week. The upper level high pressure ridge should hold strong in our area until the weekend. Highs the next three days will be in the upper 90s to a little over 100. With heat index values expected to be near 105 and overnight lows in the 75 to 80 range, most of the area is under a heat advisory until 7 p.m. Thursday. The counties in the advisory are: Knox, Haskell, Throckmorton, Jones, Shackelford, Stephens, Taylor, Callahan, Eastland, Coleman, Brown, and Comanche. Please continue to follow the necessary precautions in order to protect yourself from the heat. These include taking breaks in the air conditioning or shade, wearing light-colored and loose fitting clothing, and drinking plenty of water. Also be sure you are taking care of your pets.

Changes should be on the way this weekend. The cold front that I talked about yesterday that looked like it would be stalling north of the area should be stalling south of the viewing area. It is expected to arrive on Saturday. This should cool highs down into the low to mid 90s which is about where we expect to be this time of year. Some showers and thunderstorms will be possible too. That chance is 20% right now, but could increase as we get closer to that time period. Keep your fingers crossed that this solution pans out for us because we need more rain and a break from this extreme heat.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Monday, July 17, 2006

Monday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was another extremely hot day across the Big Country as afternoon highs ranged from 99 to 104 across the area. With dewpoints in the upper 50s to low 60s, it also continued to feel a little muggy.

The searing heat looks to continue through the end of the work week with highs in the upper 90s to a little over 100. Lows will be mild in the low to mid 70s.

It's toward the end of the week that there may be a shift in the current pattern. Right now, the upper level high pressure ridge is centered in the middle of the country and causing hot temperatures across much of the nation. By this weekend, it looks like the ridge will slide to the west and a trough, or dip, in the jetstream will set up across most of the East. This means cooler conditions for the Great Lakes, Northeast, and Mid-Atlantic States. The West will continue to have sizzling temperatures. Some of the models are indicating a cold front could make it as far south as the Red River before stalling out. If this pans out, the northern communities could see some rain on Sunday and cooler temperatures. That rain chance looks to be slight for now. We are still several days away from this and a lot could change between now and then. We'll keep an eye on this and continue to keep you updated as we approach that time period.

Be careful in the heat and have a terrific Tuesday!

Sunday, July 16, 2006

The Scorching Heat Continues

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

With less cloud cover in the area today, we saw high temperatures rise back into the upper 90s to 102 across the Big Country. Dewpoints were mainly in the 60s so it also felt a little humid.

The upcoming work-week looks to remain very hot. The upper level high pressure ridge that has been in control over much of the South this past week will continue to do so. This means highs should remain in the upper 90s to a little over 100. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 70s range. It will also be a little muggy as well. Remember to take the necessary precautions if you are going to be out in the heat. These include taking breaks inside or in the shade, wearing light-colored clothing, and drinking plenty of water.

Rain chances do not look good for the next seven days. A stray shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out, but our chances are less than slight. Some models are indicating a slim possiblity of rain next Sunday, but I'm not completely buying it yet. A lot can change between now and then. We'll have to wait and see how future model runs show this possibility of rain. As we get closer to that time period, our rain chances may get better or they may get worse. I'll keep you updated throughout the week.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Friday, July 14, 2006

Friday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The blazing heat continued across the Big Country as highs reached the upper 90s to 100. We did have some isolated showers and thunderstorms move into the northern portions of the viewing area this evening. A few of these storms did reach severe levels in Knox, Haskell, and Throckmorton counties with winds over 60 mph and penny size hail.

The roasty toasty temperatures look to continue for at least the next week as the upper level high pressure system remains in control over the area. Highs should be in the upper 90s to around 100. Dewpoints will likely be in the 60s overnight and early in the morning before dropping into the 50s during the day. We can expect some low humidity values in the afternoons, so please be careful as the fire danger should remain high.

As far as precipitation chances, they are going to be less than slight. Stray showers and thunderstorms can't be ruled out in the afternoons with the amount of heat that will be in place and just enough moisture hanging around. A more likely scenario is what we have experienced this past week. Showers and thunderstorms have formed outside of the viewing area and made it into parts of the Big Country before dying out. This situation could happen through the next week.

If you are going to be outside this weekend, please remember to take breaks inside in the air conditioning or in the shade. Also, drink plenty of water. Wearing light-colored clothing and sunscreen is also a good idea.

Have a wonderful weekend!

Thursday, July 13, 2006

Thursday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Sorry for the late update tonight. We had highs reach the upper 90s to a little over 100 once again today across the Big Country. Abilene Regional Airport recorded a high of 102 which makes it the hottest day of the year so far. No rain was even close to the viewing area tonight. It stayed well to our west and north.

The upper level high pressure that has remain in control over the area this week will continue to do so for at least the next seven days. Highs look to remain in the upper 90s to around 100. Our relative humidity values are expected to remain low in the afternoons. With breezy conditions likely through the end of the week, our fire danger will be elevated so please be very careful. It won't take much for a fire to get out of control like the one we saw today in Taylor county between View and Merkel.

As far as rain chances go for the next seven days, they look to be less than slight. With the amount of heat that is expected and just enough moisture hanging around, a stray shower or thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out.

Continue to be careful if you are going to be out in the heat.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Wednesday, July 12, 2006

Wednesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was a sizzling day across the Big Country as temperatures once again reached the upper 90s to 102 for a high. Looking at the numbers for the year so far at Abilene Regional Airport, today tied with June 6th as the hottest day. The high this afternoon was 101. Dewpoints remained relatively high in the low 50s to low 60s so it also felt a little humid. As I write this, there are some showers and thunderstorms just outside of the viewing area to the west-northwest. Some of it could make it into Scurry and Mitchell counties before dying out later this evening.

The blazing heat looks to continue for at least the next seven days as an upper level high pressure system remains in control across much of the South. Highs will range from the upper 90s to a little over 100. With moisture expected to stick around as well, it will feel also feel a little humid. With the amount of heat and moisture we look to have, a stray shower or thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out. However, our chance looks to be less than slight.

Continue to be careful if you are going to be outdoors for any activities. Remember to take frequent breaks indoors or in the shade. Also, drink plenty of water.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Tuesday, July 11, 2006

Tuesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The heat was definitely on today across the Big Country as temperatures reached the upper 90s to 100. It also felt humid with dewpoints in the mid 50s to mid 60s. Luckily, it was breezy today so it didn't feel completely miserable outside. Some showers and thunderstorms are trying to sneak into the northern and western portions of the viewing area as I write this. The activity will likely make it into Scurry, Stonewall, and Knox counties before dying out.

The scorching heat and muggy conditions look to continue through at least the next seven days. Highs will be mainly in the upper 90s to about 100. Dewpoints look to remain in the mid 50s to mid 60s. With this amount of heat and moisture, a stray shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out in the late afternoon or evening hours. The chance of this though looks to be less than slight. Rain could also occur if any storms that start outside of our area are able to survive and move into the Big Country before they die out.

Be careful in the heat and try to stay cool.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Monday, July 10, 2006

Monday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a hot and humid day across the Big Country as highs reached the mid to upper 90s. A few showers and thunderstorms tried to get going in Knox county, but they died down pretty quickly. A line of showers and storms fired up west of our area between Lubbock and Midland. As I write this, they are moving slowly eastward and could move into Scurry and Mitchell counties. This activity should continue to die down as we lose the heating of the day though.

It looks like we can expect hot and humid conditions for at least the next week as an upper level high pressure ridge should hold strong in our area.
Highs will be in the mid to upper 90s with lows in the low to mid 70s. A stray shower or thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out with the amount of heat and moisture that we'll have, but that chance looks to be less than slight.

Be careful if you are going to be out in the heat. Some of the things you should do include the following. Be sure to take breaks in the shade or indoors. Drink plenty of water. Also, wear light colored clothing.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Sunday, July 09, 2006

The Heat Is On This Week

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We saw our hottest day of the month so far today as temperatures mainly reached the mid to upper 90s across the Big Country. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms tried to form in the eastern and southern portions of the viewing area. Most of these died out about as quickly as the flared up. One of them did hang around near Blanket in Brown county for a while dumping some brief heavy rainfall and causing some gusty winds. The reason for these storms was due to a weakening of the upper level high pressure ridge as well as the cap in the atmosphere.

We look to be in a similar setup tomorrow so there is a slight chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon to early evening hours. Any activity that we do see should die down once we lose the heating of the day. Highs should be in the mid to upper 90s.

The ridge should strengthen starting on Tuesday and hold strong through at least the end of the week. This means temperatures will remain hot with highs in the mid to upper 90s. Lows should be in the low to mid 70s.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Friday, July 07, 2006

Friday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Overall, it was a pretty nice day across the Big Country. We had a very warm afternoon with highs once again reaching the upper 80s to low 90s. It was a little less humid with dewpoints falling back into the 50s.

Hopefully you had a chance to enjoy the below average temperatures and more comfortable enviornment today because things will be changing through the next seven days. Muggy conditions look to return with dewpoints getting back in the mid to upper 60s range early next week. Temperatures will be on the rise as an upper level high pressure ridge will be building in and holding steady over the region. This means hot afternoon will return with highs in the mid to upper 90s. Lows should be in the low 70s.

There is a slight chance of rain late Sunday and into Monday. This is due to a disturbance that may get just close enough to the area to bring us a few showers and thunderstorms. Other than that, we look to be dry for the next week.

Have a super Saturday!

Thursday, July 06, 2006

Thursday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We saw highs reach the upper 80s to low 90s across the Big Country again this afternoon, but there was a difference between today and every other afternoon so far this week. There wasn't nearly as much rain in the viewing area. A couple of isolated showers tried to get going in Brown and Comanche counties, but they died out about as quickly as they popped up.

Rain chances are pretty much gone for the next seven days. A stray shower or thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out, but our chance is less than slight. An upper level high pressure ridge looks to build into the region and stick around into next week. This means hotter temperatures and mainly dry conditions for us. Highs for the next seven days look to range from the low to mid 90s while lows should be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Wednesday, July 05, 2006

Wednesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms fired up across the Big Country again this afternoon and evening. No severe thunderstorms were in the area, but there were a few strong ones with pea size hail and winds around 40 mph. Despite mostly cloudy skies during the afternoon hours, highs made it into the upper 80s to low 90s.

With the amount of moisture in place, warm afternoon temperatures, and some boundaries lingering from today's activity, we could see more isolated showers and thunderstorms tomorrow. The chance for rain is 20%. Highs should be in the upper 80s to low 90s under partly cloudy skies.

A slight chance for rain will continue Friday through Sunday due to hot afternoon temperatures and the amount of moisture that will remain in place. An upper level high pressure ridge that is expected to build into the area is the reason the chance is only slight.

The first half of next week looks hot and dry and with highs in the mid 90s.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Tuesday, July 04, 2006

Rain Chances Hang Around

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was another afternoon of scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country. We did have one storm reach severe limits in Throckmorton county with penny size hail and winds in excess of 60 mph. Highs today once again reached the upper 80s to low 90s despite mostly cloudy skies in most spots.

Our chance for rain is looking good tomorrow because of not one, but two lifting mechanisms. First, the upper level low that has been responsible for our rain the past couple of days will continue its slow track eastward. We could see some rain in the eastern portions of the area due to this feature. Second, a weak cold front is expected to move into the area and stall out. With dewpoints remaining well into the 60s there will be plenty of moisture in place. Instability shouldn't be a problem with afternoon highs expected to reach the upper 80s so there will likely be enough afternoon heating. Our chance for rain is 50%.

You'll need to keep the umbrella close by again on Thursday as our rain chance continues at 30%. Highs should be in the upper 80s with mostly cloudy skies.

A slight to 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms will be with us Friday through Sunday. Highs look to return back to the low 90s by the weekend.

An upper level high pressure ridge is expected to build into the area early next week causing temperatures to rise into the mid 90s and end our rain chances.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Monday, July 03, 2006

Rain Possible on Independence Day

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Once again this afternoon we had scattered showers and thunderstorms fire up in the Big Country. None of the storms were severe, but they did have brief heavy rainfall, pea size hail, frequent lightning, and wind gusts up to 50 mph. Most spots that were lucky enough to see the rain received a quarter to half an inch. Highs this afternoon were still able to make it into the upper 80s to low 90s despite mostly cloudy skies and rain.

It looks like we could see some more afternoon to early evening scattered showers and thunderstorms for the Fourth of July. The three ingredients we need for rain will be there. We have plenty of moisture in place with dewpoints in the 60s. Instability should be provided by the very warm afternoon temperatures with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. The lifting mechanism will be an upper level low. It is currently located in the Concho Valley and should make a slow eastward progression tomorrow. The chance for rain is 30%. The best chance to see the rainfall will likely be in the eastern half of the viewing area.

A cold front is expected to make its way into the region on Wednesday increasing our rain chance to 50%. Highs should be in the upper 80s under mostly cloudy skies.

That 50% chance of rain continues into Thursday with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the mid 80s.

An upper level high pressure ridge looks to build into the area by the end of the week and early next week, so our rain chances will drop a little each day beginning Friday and be completely gone by Monday.

Have a Fantastic Fourth of July!

Sunday, July 02, 2006

Keep The Rain Gear Handy

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had some more showers and thunderstorms fire up this afternoon. They were mainly in the southern portions of the viewing area in Runnels county. Despite the rain and cloud cover we had today, we still managed to get highs in the upper 80s to low 90s this afternoon.

It looks like the type of weather we had this weekend is what we can expect for the next seven days. We have plenty of moisture in place that will stick around. Dewpoints will mainly hang in the 60s. With temperatures reaching the upper 80s to low 90s in the afternoons, we should have enough instability that stray showers and thunderstorms will be possible.

A couple of other things will enhance our rain chances for the next week. One, a weak upper level low just to our west may stick around for the next couple of days providing some lift for the moisture we have in place. Another lifting mechanism in the form of a weak cold front may slide in here late Wednesday into Thursday. It won't do much for our temperatures, but will likely cause some rain for us. Something else to keep an eye on is a low pressure trough in the western Gulf of Mexico. It should slide into east Texas over the next couple of days, but could spread a little activity into our eastern communities depending on how far to our east it goes. Overall, our chance for rain this week ranges from 20% to 50% with best chance being on Wednesday and Thursday.

Have a magnificent Monday!

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