Monday, July 03, 2006

Rain Possible on Independence Day

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Once again this afternoon we had scattered showers and thunderstorms fire up in the Big Country. None of the storms were severe, but they did have brief heavy rainfall, pea size hail, frequent lightning, and wind gusts up to 50 mph. Most spots that were lucky enough to see the rain received a quarter to half an inch. Highs this afternoon were still able to make it into the upper 80s to low 90s despite mostly cloudy skies and rain.

It looks like we could see some more afternoon to early evening scattered showers and thunderstorms for the Fourth of July. The three ingredients we need for rain will be there. We have plenty of moisture in place with dewpoints in the 60s. Instability should be provided by the very warm afternoon temperatures with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. The lifting mechanism will be an upper level low. It is currently located in the Concho Valley and should make a slow eastward progression tomorrow. The chance for rain is 30%. The best chance to see the rainfall will likely be in the eastern half of the viewing area.

A cold front is expected to make its way into the region on Wednesday increasing our rain chance to 50%. Highs should be in the upper 80s under mostly cloudy skies.

That 50% chance of rain continues into Thursday with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the mid 80s.

An upper level high pressure ridge looks to build into the area by the end of the week and early next week, so our rain chances will drop a little each day beginning Friday and be completely gone by Monday.

Have a Fantastic Fourth of July!

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