Winter Weather Possibilities

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We have some rain mixed with snow falling across the area this morning. The problem however, as of right now as I write this, is that we are still too dry at the suface for the precipitation to make it all the way to the ground. The upper level distubance causing the rain and snow is still off to our west, and more precipitation is developing. We should eventually moisten up the atmosphere enough at the surface to see some rain mixed with snow early in the day, but by this afternoon it will likely be all rain. If we do see any snow, I'm not expecting much in the way of accumlations (if any) since the ground is too warm and it will be mixed with rain. There's a chance of some lingering isolated showers tonight, but for the most part we should stay above freezing so anything that does fall should be rain. A few flurries mixed in is not out of the question though. Tomorrow, there is a 20% chance of isolated showers. This too should be all rain since we will likely be well above freezing.

Another disturbance looks to possibly arrive on Sunday. With a cold front expected late in the day and into the night, we may see a wintry mix by Sunday night. It all depends on if it gets cold enough and if there is enough moisture in place. This system is one that has popped up in the latest computer model runs, so we will have to wait and see if this still looks possible later today and into tomorrow.

The main winter weather show arrives late Monday and into Tuesday. Arctic air is expected to arrive on Monday. Another upper level disturbance should be moving into the area as well. For now, it looks like we will begin with mainly rain that should change over to all snow Monday night and Tuesday. Chances at this point are only running about 20% to 30% during that period. It is possible that we could, and I stress the word could, see some accumulations. As Craig stated in his last entry, the models we use to help us forecast have been backing off on this event lately. At this moment, I feel confident that we will see some snow next week. However, a lot can change between now and then. Usually in order to see snow, everything has to fall in place perfectly. So, stay tuned and we will continue to keep you updated with the latest tonight and into the weekend.

Have a fantastic Friday!