Monday, December 19, 2005

9:15p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

It looks like the majority of the viewing area dodged a bullet with this round of winter weather. The extreme Northern Big Country isn't out of the woods just yet.

The National Weather Service has issued Winter Weather Advisories for Knox and Stonewall Counties through Tuesday morning. The advisories mean that periods of sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for slippery roads and limited visibilities.

The best chances for precipitation will occur overnight Monday into Tuesday as an upper level disturbance passes by.

There is also a dense fog advisory in effect for Mitchell and Scurry counties until 10a.m. Tuesday morning. Calm winds and temperatures cooling to the dew point have allowed visibilities to drop down to below a quarter of a mile. The fog problems stretch from Midland all the way North through the panhandle.

There is a chance of fog and drizzle across the rest of the viewing area tonight. By late tomorrow evening and tomorrow night the skies will begin to clear. After that, afternoon high temperatures will warm into the middle to upper sixties through the holiday weekend.

As for all of you snow lovers wondering what happened to our snow chances there is actually a fairly simple two-part answer. Number one, the cold air just didn't make it far enough South. The computer models I spoke about Saturday origonally forcasted the cold air to move much farther than it did. Number two, because of the jet stream not dipping as far South as anticipated, the disturbance that we were expecting to bring us our winter precipitation chances will end up well North of our area. Thus, bringing the winter precipitation to the extreme Northern portions of our viewing area and into Oklahoma.

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