Thursday, December 15, 2005

Late Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

I apologize for the late update, it has been a crazy day in the Weather Center... But, it is the beginning of changes down the road... More on that another day...

For now, how does some snow sound? We've been talking about it for awhile now, and chances still look good for early next week. We may even see some flurries mixed in with light rain Friday.

Although temperatures at the surface will climb above the freezing mark Friday, just above the surface, the temperatures remain below freezing. So, it will be possible to see some snow mixed in with light rain tomorrow. The best chances will be in the Western KRBC viewing area. Now, any frozen precipitation that does fall will melt on the ground, so we should not see any travel problems with this round of precipitation.

Next week though, that could be a different story. Monday, Arctic air will begin to filter into West Central Texas. As that happens, an upper-level system will approach from West filtering in moisuture ahead of it.

The big wrench in this whole plan is, the models we use to aid in forecasting your weather, have been backing off of the cold air, and keep all of our precipitation as rain. Now, computer models sometimes do this, and back off on winter precipitation chances. After carefull consideration, for now I'm choosing to keep the snow in the forecast. But, as we get closer to Monday, if the models continue their warm trend, I may have to give some thought into not calling for snow. Stay tuned, Brandon will have the latest numbers Friday morning on West Texas Today.

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