From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Downright hot and humid... That's what most folks have to say about this afternoon. That humidity has got to do something for us eventually, and it may, Saturday afternoon and evening.
The Storm Prediction Center has the Northern portions of the viewing area under a moderate risk for severe weather Saturday. The rest of the Big Country is a step down with a slight risk. Either way, all of the indgredients are there for strong thunderstorms, things just all have to time out just right for it to come together.
For the rest of tonight expect partly cloudy skies and mild conditions. Overnight lows will run in the lower to middle 60s. Winds will begin to increase as well from 5 to 15 miles per hour.
Saturday, another warm afternoon with highs in the middle to upper 80s. Windy conditions return as well with winds up to 15 to 20 miles per hour out of the South. By afternoon we will have to keep a very close eye on the possibility of thunderstorms developing. Remember to keep your NOAA All-Hazards radio handy and your TV on to KRBC. If you are going to be out, sign up for E-Warn to get all watches and warnings to your pager, cell phone or e-mail. The main threats will be hail, damaging winds and possibly an isolated tornado or two Saturday afternoon.
Saturday night, storms could continue to develop. Overnight lows will be in the low 60s.
Sunday looks to be quiet with only an outside shot of an isolated thunderstorm. Highs should be in the middle 80s.
Monday looks good, with mostly sunny skies and highs in the lower 80s.
Tuesday through Thursday of next week could bring us our next chance of thunderstorms. The dryline looks to be active once again, and with that, thunderstorms will be a possibility each and every afternoon. Highs will run in the lower to middle 80s each afternoon under partly cloudy skies.
Friday, March 31, 2006
Friday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Mild temperatures ruled the area once again this morining. We started out in the mid 50s to low 60s. A warm afternoon is on tap for us today with highs in the low to mid 80s. It shouldn't be as windy as yesterday with winds from the southwest at 5 to 15 mph. There is a 20% chance of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon thanks to the dryline which will move through the Big Country. Some of these storms could continue into tonight.
Warm temperatures and the 20% chance for isolated thunderstorms continues tomorrow. We probably won't see anything fire up until the afternoon hours. The reason for the rain is the dryline as well as the possiblility of an upper level disturbance moving into the region. With better upper level dynamics tomorrow and tomorrow night, some of these storms could become severe. The main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado can't be ruled out.
Sunday should see highs in the mid 80s and a 20% chance of more isolated thunderstorms. The dryline will be the lifting mechanism that causes the rain.
We should see a break from the rain chances on Monday with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.
The dryline looks to become active yet again Tuesday through Thursday, so for now there is a slight chance of rain on those days. Temperatures will remain warm in the low 80s.
As always, we will continue to keep things watched for you today and throughout the weekend for any severe thunderstorms that may move through the viewing area.
Have a fantastic Friday!
Mild temperatures ruled the area once again this morining. We started out in the mid 50s to low 60s. A warm afternoon is on tap for us today with highs in the low to mid 80s. It shouldn't be as windy as yesterday with winds from the southwest at 5 to 15 mph. There is a 20% chance of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon thanks to the dryline which will move through the Big Country. Some of these storms could continue into tonight.
Warm temperatures and the 20% chance for isolated thunderstorms continues tomorrow. We probably won't see anything fire up until the afternoon hours. The reason for the rain is the dryline as well as the possiblility of an upper level disturbance moving into the region. With better upper level dynamics tomorrow and tomorrow night, some of these storms could become severe. The main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado can't be ruled out.
Sunday should see highs in the mid 80s and a 20% chance of more isolated thunderstorms. The dryline will be the lifting mechanism that causes the rain.
We should see a break from the rain chances on Monday with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.
The dryline looks to become active yet again Tuesday through Thursday, so for now there is a slight chance of rain on those days. Temperatures will remain warm in the low 80s.
As always, we will continue to keep things watched for you today and throughout the weekend for any severe thunderstorms that may move through the viewing area.
Have a fantastic Friday!
Thursday, March 30, 2006
Late Thursday Update
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
For the rest of tonight we should see winds begin to subside a bit, but clouds are holding tough. Overnight lows will only drop into the lower 50s to upper 50s areawide.
Friday we could see a couple of isolated afternoon thunderstorms but I highly doubt it. With the amount of moisture around and high temperatures climbing into the middle 80s, I can't completely leave chances out of the forecast.
The same will go for just about the entire 7-day forecast. The best chance for severe weather will come Saturday afternoon with a pronounced dryline and better upper level support for storms.
Afternoon highs will average in the lower to middle 80s with overnight lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
For the rest of tonight we should see winds begin to subside a bit, but clouds are holding tough. Overnight lows will only drop into the lower 50s to upper 50s areawide.
Friday we could see a couple of isolated afternoon thunderstorms but I highly doubt it. With the amount of moisture around and high temperatures climbing into the middle 80s, I can't completely leave chances out of the forecast.
The same will go for just about the entire 7-day forecast. The best chance for severe weather will come Saturday afternoon with a pronounced dryline and better upper level support for storms.
Afternoon highs will average in the lower to middle 80s with overnight lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Wednesday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We are off to a mild and windy start this morning. Temperatures dropped down into the low to mid 60s. Winds are from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph with stronger gusts. These strong winds are expected throughout the day, so a Lake Wind and Wind Advisory are in effect for most of the area. Right now, Knox, Stonewall, Scurry and Mitchell counties are the only ones not under an advisory. Temperatures will be warm this afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80s.
The chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue today. The dryline should make its way into the Big Country by this afternoon. With this boundary in the area during the prime heating hours of the day, there is a 20% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Some of these storms could be severe. Our chance for severe weather today is not as high as it was this time yesterday. The dynamics for the rough weather look to be to our north in the central plains and midwest. If we do see any severe storms, the main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado can't be completely ruled out.
Our friend the dryline looks to hang around the Lone Star state through the weekend. This means there is a 20% chance of isolated thunderstorms Friday through Sunday. These storms will mainly fire up in the afternoon and have a chance to reach severe limits. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s during this time period.
We should see a break from the chance of rain on Monday with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.
A slight rain chance returns for Tuesday and Wednesday due to the dryline possibly becoming active yet again.
Have a terrrific Thursday!
We are off to a mild and windy start this morning. Temperatures dropped down into the low to mid 60s. Winds are from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph with stronger gusts. These strong winds are expected throughout the day, so a Lake Wind and Wind Advisory are in effect for most of the area. Right now, Knox, Stonewall, Scurry and Mitchell counties are the only ones not under an advisory. Temperatures will be warm this afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80s.
The chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue today. The dryline should make its way into the Big Country by this afternoon. With this boundary in the area during the prime heating hours of the day, there is a 20% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Some of these storms could be severe. Our chance for severe weather today is not as high as it was this time yesterday. The dynamics for the rough weather look to be to our north in the central plains and midwest. If we do see any severe storms, the main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado can't be completely ruled out.
Our friend the dryline looks to hang around the Lone Star state through the weekend. This means there is a 20% chance of isolated thunderstorms Friday through Sunday. These storms will mainly fire up in the afternoon and have a chance to reach severe limits. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s during this time period.
We should see a break from the chance of rain on Monday with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.
A slight rain chance returns for Tuesday and Wednesday due to the dryline possibly becoming active yet again.
Have a terrrific Thursday!
Wednesday, March 29, 2006
Strong Thunderstorms Still Possible
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
After seeing some light rainfall amounts across our viewing area last night, rain chances remain in the forecast tonight through the extended forecast.
Tonight, I expect at least a couple of isolated thunderstorms to pop up West of the Big Country. The atmosphere was very "worked over" after last night showers and storms but has recovered quickly this afternoon. Dewpoints remain high, in the lower 60s so moisture is not a problem. We will watch another upper level disturbance tonight. So for now, only a 20 to 30 % chance of storms. Lows tonight will run from 61 to 63 areawide.
Tomorrow, things could get a little tricky by afternoon. Our old Spring friend, the dryline will pay us a visit. I expect the dryline to push in from the West tomorrow afternoon. The Western Big Country will probably remain dry, but the Central and Eastern Big Country could see strong thunderstorms. The main threats will be hail, lightning, strong winds and possibly isolated tornadoes. For right now though, the best chance for severe storms looks to be just North and East of area, but we aren't completely out of the woods. Afternoon highs will climb into the lower 80s. Winds will be strong as well, running anywhere from 15 to 30 miles per hour out of the South-Southwest.
Friday should remain dry, but with the dryling around, we'll leave an under 20% chance of afternoon storms in the forecast. Otherwise expect another warm afternoon with highs in the lower 80s.
Saturday and Sunday we'll carry a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms both days. Once again, the dryline will be making it's daily surge East through the Big Country and anywhere along that boundary we could see storms fire up. Highs for the weekend will be in the middle 80s.
As we head into next week, expect more of the same with afternoon highs in the 80s and at least a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms.
After seeing some light rainfall amounts across our viewing area last night, rain chances remain in the forecast tonight through the extended forecast.
Tonight, I expect at least a couple of isolated thunderstorms to pop up West of the Big Country. The atmosphere was very "worked over" after last night showers and storms but has recovered quickly this afternoon. Dewpoints remain high, in the lower 60s so moisture is not a problem. We will watch another upper level disturbance tonight. So for now, only a 20 to 30 % chance of storms. Lows tonight will run from 61 to 63 areawide.
Tomorrow, things could get a little tricky by afternoon. Our old Spring friend, the dryline will pay us a visit. I expect the dryline to push in from the West tomorrow afternoon. The Western Big Country will probably remain dry, but the Central and Eastern Big Country could see strong thunderstorms. The main threats will be hail, lightning, strong winds and possibly isolated tornadoes. For right now though, the best chance for severe storms looks to be just North and East of area, but we aren't completely out of the woods. Afternoon highs will climb into the lower 80s. Winds will be strong as well, running anywhere from 15 to 30 miles per hour out of the South-Southwest.
Friday should remain dry, but with the dryling around, we'll leave an under 20% chance of afternoon storms in the forecast. Otherwise expect another warm afternoon with highs in the lower 80s.
Saturday and Sunday we'll carry a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms both days. Once again, the dryline will be making it's daily surge East through the Big Country and anywhere along that boundary we could see storms fire up. Highs for the weekend will be in the middle 80s.
As we head into next week, expect more of the same with afternoon highs in the 80s and at least a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms.
The Chance For Thunderstorms Continues
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector..
We had an upper level disturbance bring us some showers and thunderstorms in the overnight hours. For now, the rain has cleared the area. We picked up about a tenth of an inch at Abilene Regional Airport. Some locations picked up a half to three quarters of an inch across the Big Country. The good news is that the chance for more rain continues. The bad news is that we could have some severe thunderstorms.
Today, mostly cloudy skies will become partly cloudy by this afternoon. The dryline is expected to move through west central Texas later today. This will lift any moisture we have and cause showers and thunderstorms. The main question is whether or not there will be enough instability to cause these storms to be severe. If we do have any severe storms, the main threats will likely be large hail and damaging winds. A few isolated tornadoes can't be completely ruled out. The chance for rain later today is 30%. Highs should reach the mid to upper 70s depending on the amount of sunshine we receive. It may be a bit breezy at times with winds from the south at 10 to 20 mph.
Tomorrow looks to be similar to today. An upper level low will move from northern New Mexico into Kansas. This will help drive the dryline through our area once again. There is a 30% chance of some isolated showers and thunderstorms with a few of these storms possibly reaching severe limits. Highs will make it into the low 80s. Windy conditions are expected with winds from the southwest at 15 to 25 mph.
Warm temperatures remain for Friday through Sunday as highs are expected to be in the low 80s. The dryline should remain active during these days so there is a slight to 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.
We will likely take a break from the rain on Monday with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid 80s.
The chance for rain could return on Tuesday and Wednesday due to the reappearance of the dryline. We'll just have to wait and see if these rain chances pan out for the middle of next week.
Overall it looks like we are going to be in an active pattern for the next seven days. We'll continue to keep things watched for you here in the weather center and let you know if any severe weather breaks out.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
We had an upper level disturbance bring us some showers and thunderstorms in the overnight hours. For now, the rain has cleared the area. We picked up about a tenth of an inch at Abilene Regional Airport. Some locations picked up a half to three quarters of an inch across the Big Country. The good news is that the chance for more rain continues. The bad news is that we could have some severe thunderstorms.
Today, mostly cloudy skies will become partly cloudy by this afternoon. The dryline is expected to move through west central Texas later today. This will lift any moisture we have and cause showers and thunderstorms. The main question is whether or not there will be enough instability to cause these storms to be severe. If we do have any severe storms, the main threats will likely be large hail and damaging winds. A few isolated tornadoes can't be completely ruled out. The chance for rain later today is 30%. Highs should reach the mid to upper 70s depending on the amount of sunshine we receive. It may be a bit breezy at times with winds from the south at 10 to 20 mph.
Tomorrow looks to be similar to today. An upper level low will move from northern New Mexico into Kansas. This will help drive the dryline through our area once again. There is a 30% chance of some isolated showers and thunderstorms with a few of these storms possibly reaching severe limits. Highs will make it into the low 80s. Windy conditions are expected with winds from the southwest at 15 to 25 mph.
Warm temperatures remain for Friday through Sunday as highs are expected to be in the low 80s. The dryline should remain active during these days so there is a slight to 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.
We will likely take a break from the rain on Monday with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid 80s.
The chance for rain could return on Tuesday and Wednesday due to the reappearance of the dryline. We'll just have to wait and see if these rain chances pan out for the middle of next week.
Overall it looks like we are going to be in an active pattern for the next seven days. We'll continue to keep things watched for you here in the weather center and let you know if any severe weather breaks out.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Tuesday, March 28, 2006
Thunderstorms Possible Tonight through Thursday
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
We got awfully close to getting some rain across some areas of the Big Country this morning but most areas were just too dry at the surface. We always reference the dew point during newscast because it is one of the best measurements of moisture at the surface. The dew point is the temperature the atmosphere would have to cool to at the surface for the atmosphere to become saturated. Saturation simply means the atmosphere is full, and cannot hold any more water vapor.
This morning in Brownwood the air temperature was 57 F at 5a.m. with a dewpoint of 39 F. Notice the seperation between the two numbers. That is indicative of a dry surface. This afternoon, at 4p.m., the air temperature was 64 F, with a dewpoint of 57 F. With the gap between the two numbers narrowed, we can conclude that there is a lot more water vapor in the air. In the environment this morning, when rain was trying to fall, it would evaporate in the very dry air at the surface. Tonight, evaporation will not be a problem to hinder rain chances.
This evening and tonight we are watching an upper level disturbance works its way Northwest out of Mexico. This disturbance, or faster moving air, was creating the lift for numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon South and West of Midland. As this disturbance nears, combined with the old frontal boundry we've been talking about the last two days, I expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop across the Big Country. There is a slim chance that a few storms could reach severe limits, but I think the best chance for severe weather will be Wednesday.
Speaking of Wednesday... With the old boundry that I mentioned above, combined with a dryline developing West of here, we are set up for a chance at strong thunderstorms beginning in the afternoon. Afternoon highs will climb into the upper 70s to lower 80s, adding to the instability. Winds will be breezy as well, running 15 to 20 miles per hour out of the South.
Wednesday night, the low level jet stream (a fast moving current of moist air) will pump in moisture out of the Gulf of Mexico and this will keep storms active into the evening and overnight hours. Again, the threat for severe storms will remain possible, with the best chance being for large hail and damaging winds.
Rain chances will continue until Thursday morning. By Thursday afternoon I expect clouds to begin to clear and the area to warm into the lower 80s areawide.
Friday, expect mostly sunny skies and highs at or above 80.
Saturday through the rest of the extended forecast.... Expect partly cloudy skies, with a slight chance of thunderstorms each afternoon. Saturday and Sunday we will watch another upper level system pass to our North. Monday and Tuesday there is a chance the dryline could be active and bring us showers and thunderstorms.
All in all, an active weather pattern is setting up, which is great news for rainfall chances, but some storms could be strong, so stay tuned to KRBC for the latest weather forecasts.
We got awfully close to getting some rain across some areas of the Big Country this morning but most areas were just too dry at the surface. We always reference the dew point during newscast because it is one of the best measurements of moisture at the surface. The dew point is the temperature the atmosphere would have to cool to at the surface for the atmosphere to become saturated. Saturation simply means the atmosphere is full, and cannot hold any more water vapor.
This morning in Brownwood the air temperature was 57 F at 5a.m. with a dewpoint of 39 F. Notice the seperation between the two numbers. That is indicative of a dry surface. This afternoon, at 4p.m., the air temperature was 64 F, with a dewpoint of 57 F. With the gap between the two numbers narrowed, we can conclude that there is a lot more water vapor in the air. In the environment this morning, when rain was trying to fall, it would evaporate in the very dry air at the surface. Tonight, evaporation will not be a problem to hinder rain chances.
This evening and tonight we are watching an upper level disturbance works its way Northwest out of Mexico. This disturbance, or faster moving air, was creating the lift for numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon South and West of Midland. As this disturbance nears, combined with the old frontal boundry we've been talking about the last two days, I expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop across the Big Country. There is a slim chance that a few storms could reach severe limits, but I think the best chance for severe weather will be Wednesday.
Speaking of Wednesday... With the old boundry that I mentioned above, combined with a dryline developing West of here, we are set up for a chance at strong thunderstorms beginning in the afternoon. Afternoon highs will climb into the upper 70s to lower 80s, adding to the instability. Winds will be breezy as well, running 15 to 20 miles per hour out of the South.
Wednesday night, the low level jet stream (a fast moving current of moist air) will pump in moisture out of the Gulf of Mexico and this will keep storms active into the evening and overnight hours. Again, the threat for severe storms will remain possible, with the best chance being for large hail and damaging winds.
Rain chances will continue until Thursday morning. By Thursday afternoon I expect clouds to begin to clear and the area to warm into the lower 80s areawide.
Friday, expect mostly sunny skies and highs at or above 80.
Saturday through the rest of the extended forecast.... Expect partly cloudy skies, with a slight chance of thunderstorms each afternoon. Saturday and Sunday we will watch another upper level system pass to our North. Monday and Tuesday there is a chance the dryline could be active and bring us showers and thunderstorms.
All in all, an active weather pattern is setting up, which is great news for rainfall chances, but some storms could be strong, so stay tuned to KRBC for the latest weather forecasts.
Tuesday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We started off mild again this morning with temperatures in the 50s across the Big Country. There were a few showers in Brown, Coleman, and Comanche counties, but most of that probably didn't make it to the ground. We are still a bit too dry here at the surface. The bulk of the rainfall remains to our southeast where more moisture is in place.
Mostly cloudy skies will once again inhibit our temperatures from rising too much today. Highs are expected to be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Winds shouldn't be too bad out of the east-northeast at 5 to 15 mph. The chance for rain will continue. That chance is 20% for a few isolated showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon.
Our best chance for rain right now looks to be tonight. The cold front that passed through our area yesterday and stalled to our south will be lifting back to the north as a warm front. An upper level disturbance is also expected to roll through the Big Country tonight. With these lifting mechanisms in place and more moisture back in the area, our chance for rain is 60%.
Wednesday and Thursday could get a little wet too. An upper level low is expected to arrive during this time period and help push the dryline through west central Texas. This means we could see some severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday. Our chance for rain on these days ranges from 30% to 40%. Highs should be in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Friday looks to be nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s.
Another disturbance could roll into the area Saturday and Sunday so there is a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms on those days. Highs look to be in the low 80s.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
We started off mild again this morning with temperatures in the 50s across the Big Country. There were a few showers in Brown, Coleman, and Comanche counties, but most of that probably didn't make it to the ground. We are still a bit too dry here at the surface. The bulk of the rainfall remains to our southeast where more moisture is in place.
Mostly cloudy skies will once again inhibit our temperatures from rising too much today. Highs are expected to be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Winds shouldn't be too bad out of the east-northeast at 5 to 15 mph. The chance for rain will continue. That chance is 20% for a few isolated showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon.
Our best chance for rain right now looks to be tonight. The cold front that passed through our area yesterday and stalled to our south will be lifting back to the north as a warm front. An upper level disturbance is also expected to roll through the Big Country tonight. With these lifting mechanisms in place and more moisture back in the area, our chance for rain is 60%.
Wednesday and Thursday could get a little wet too. An upper level low is expected to arrive during this time period and help push the dryline through west central Texas. This means we could see some severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday. Our chance for rain on these days ranges from 30% to 40%. Highs should be in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Friday looks to be nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s.
Another disturbance could roll into the area Saturday and Sunday so there is a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms on those days. Highs look to be in the low 80s.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
Monday, March 27, 2006
Monday Afternoon Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Today was cloudy and overcast, almost looking like it could rain at any time. The good news is, rain chances are in the forecast for the next few days.
Starting tonight we could see a few isolated showers and thunderstorms. A cold front has stalled out just South of our area and will act as a lift mechanism for moisture coming in out of the Gulf of Mexico. What happens is, a strong Southeast flow develops at the surface from the Gulf Coast, then, this moist flow runs into the stationary front. That front, containing cooler air, then makes the warmer, moister air lift. When this flow gets set up, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. This setup will continue through tomorrow.
Then by Wednesday, an upper level system will approach from the West. Now, the moisture flow from the Gulf will still be around, but the front will have "washed out" or dissipated. This time, we will see lifting mechanisms in the form of disturbances, or faster moving area above the surface, create the lift for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Wednesday night.
By Thursday, another forcing mechanism, this one we are all too familiar with, the dryline, will move in from the West as an upper level system passes to our North. Behind the dry line will be a weak Pacific cold front that I do not expect to bring much in the way of cool air. The combination of the dryline and frontal system should bring another round of showers and thunderstorms to the area Thursday.
I do not expect to see too impressive of rain fall totals, but isolated areas could see up to an inch or more of rainfall, depending upon where the showers and storms form. The best chance for heavy rainfall will be in the Eastern and Southeastern portions of the viewing area.
Friday should be very sunny and warm, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. By Saturday, moisture returns to the area. Sunday, we could see another round of showers and thunderstorms.
Today was cloudy and overcast, almost looking like it could rain at any time. The good news is, rain chances are in the forecast for the next few days.
Starting tonight we could see a few isolated showers and thunderstorms. A cold front has stalled out just South of our area and will act as a lift mechanism for moisture coming in out of the Gulf of Mexico. What happens is, a strong Southeast flow develops at the surface from the Gulf Coast, then, this moist flow runs into the stationary front. That front, containing cooler air, then makes the warmer, moister air lift. When this flow gets set up, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. This setup will continue through tomorrow.
Then by Wednesday, an upper level system will approach from the West. Now, the moisture flow from the Gulf will still be around, but the front will have "washed out" or dissipated. This time, we will see lifting mechanisms in the form of disturbances, or faster moving area above the surface, create the lift for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Wednesday night.
By Thursday, another forcing mechanism, this one we are all too familiar with, the dryline, will move in from the West as an upper level system passes to our North. Behind the dry line will be a weak Pacific cold front that I do not expect to bring much in the way of cool air. The combination of the dryline and frontal system should bring another round of showers and thunderstorms to the area Thursday.
I do not expect to see too impressive of rain fall totals, but isolated areas could see up to an inch or more of rainfall, depending upon where the showers and storms form. The best chance for heavy rainfall will be in the Eastern and Southeastern portions of the viewing area.
Friday should be very sunny and warm, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. By Saturday, moisture returns to the area. Sunday, we could see another round of showers and thunderstorms.
Monday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We started off mild this morning with temperatures in the low 50s to low 60s across the area. Temperatures will only warm up into the mid 60s to low 70s thanks mainly to a cold front that will move through the Big Country this morning. Mostly cloudy skies is the other reason temperatures will not warm up as much. Winds are not expected to be as bad as yesterday. It will be a little breezy from time to time with winds from the north-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
There is a chance for showers and thunderstorms beginning today and lasting through Thursday. Our chances for rain today and tomorrow are due to the cold front that will be moving through the Big Country today. This front is expected to stall to our south and act as lifting mechanism for the moisture. Some showers and thunderstorms could fire along it and move into our area. Another reason for our rain chances is a trough that will set up to our west. An upper level low should form and send a few disturbances towards us tomorrow through Thursday. The low itself is expected to move across the Texas panhandle late Wednesday into Thursday. This will help drag the dryline through west central Texas on those days. Any storms we see over the next four days have a potential to be severe, but the best possiblity of severe storms will be late Wednesday into Thursday. Right now, our rain chances are about 20% for today and 30% for Tuesday through Thursday.
Skies should clear for Friday through Sunday, so the weekend looks good for now with highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Have a magnificent Monday!
We started off mild this morning with temperatures in the low 50s to low 60s across the area. Temperatures will only warm up into the mid 60s to low 70s thanks mainly to a cold front that will move through the Big Country this morning. Mostly cloudy skies is the other reason temperatures will not warm up as much. Winds are not expected to be as bad as yesterday. It will be a little breezy from time to time with winds from the north-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
There is a chance for showers and thunderstorms beginning today and lasting through Thursday. Our chances for rain today and tomorrow are due to the cold front that will be moving through the Big Country today. This front is expected to stall to our south and act as lifting mechanism for the moisture. Some showers and thunderstorms could fire along it and move into our area. Another reason for our rain chances is a trough that will set up to our west. An upper level low should form and send a few disturbances towards us tomorrow through Thursday. The low itself is expected to move across the Texas panhandle late Wednesday into Thursday. This will help drag the dryline through west central Texas on those days. Any storms we see over the next four days have a potential to be severe, but the best possiblity of severe storms will be late Wednesday into Thursday. Right now, our rain chances are about 20% for today and 30% for Tuesday through Thursday.
Skies should clear for Friday through Sunday, so the weekend looks good for now with highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Have a magnificent Monday!
Friday, March 24, 2006
Friday Afternoon Discusion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
After a chilly start this morning across the Big Country we warmed up nicely into the upper 50s areawide. Tonight, I'm expecting cool conditions, but not quite as cool as this morning. Most places will stay above freezing with lows in the middle to upper 30s. The only exception will be in low-lying areas, like Brownwood for instance, where I expect a light frost tonight.
The weekend still looks fabulous. For Saturday you can expect mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s to right at 70. Sunday, even warmer, but a bit breezy, with highs in the middle 70s.
Changes are coming next week though. Monday will be warm with partly cloudy skies and highs in the middle 70s. Monday night a weak cold front will pass through, it won't cool us off much, but it will be a focussing mechanism for a few isolated showers and thunderstorms possibly Tuesday afternoon.
Wednesday, we will be watching an upper level system to our North and West. This system, combined with a dryline that may form, could bring us stronger thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday. Right now I'm only calling for a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, but I expect I will be raising those chances unless something drastically changes between now and then.
By Thursday rain chances come to an end and temperatures rebound back into the upper 70s.
After a chilly start this morning across the Big Country we warmed up nicely into the upper 50s areawide. Tonight, I'm expecting cool conditions, but not quite as cool as this morning. Most places will stay above freezing with lows in the middle to upper 30s. The only exception will be in low-lying areas, like Brownwood for instance, where I expect a light frost tonight.
The weekend still looks fabulous. For Saturday you can expect mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s to right at 70. Sunday, even warmer, but a bit breezy, with highs in the middle 70s.
Changes are coming next week though. Monday will be warm with partly cloudy skies and highs in the middle 70s. Monday night a weak cold front will pass through, it won't cool us off much, but it will be a focussing mechanism for a few isolated showers and thunderstorms possibly Tuesday afternoon.
Wednesday, we will be watching an upper level system to our North and West. This system, combined with a dryline that may form, could bring us stronger thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday. Right now I'm only calling for a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, but I expect I will be raising those chances unless something drastically changes between now and then.
By Thursday rain chances come to an end and temperatures rebound back into the upper 70s.
Friday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
It was a cold morning across the Big Country today as temperatures bottomed out in the mid to upper 20s. There was quite a bit of frost on vehicles, so if you left it uncovered last night you probably had to spend a few mintues scraping it off. The good news is this will be our coldest morning for at least the next seven days.
A warming trend begins today as highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s. This is still below average for this time of year, but about ten degrees warmer than yesterday. Winds should be pretty light from the southwest at 5 to 10 mph.
The weekend is looking just about picture perfect. You should be able to enjoy some time in the park or maybe play some golf. Mostly sunny skies are expected on Saturday, while Sunday should be partly cloudy. Highs will be in the low 70s which is what we expect to see this time of year.
A cold front will likely move through the area on Monday. Temperatures won't cool down much at all behind it. Highs will remain in the low to mid 70s for the first half of the work week.
Rain chances of 20% enter the picture for Tuesday through Thursday. A trough looks to be set up to our west during this time period. A few upper level disturbances and an upper level low should help fire off some showers and thunderstorms. We'll keep an eye on this and see if those rain chances increase as we get closer to those days.
Have a fantastic Friday and a wonderful weekend!
It was a cold morning across the Big Country today as temperatures bottomed out in the mid to upper 20s. There was quite a bit of frost on vehicles, so if you left it uncovered last night you probably had to spend a few mintues scraping it off. The good news is this will be our coldest morning for at least the next seven days.
A warming trend begins today as highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s. This is still below average for this time of year, but about ten degrees warmer than yesterday. Winds should be pretty light from the southwest at 5 to 10 mph.
The weekend is looking just about picture perfect. You should be able to enjoy some time in the park or maybe play some golf. Mostly sunny skies are expected on Saturday, while Sunday should be partly cloudy. Highs will be in the low 70s which is what we expect to see this time of year.
A cold front will likely move through the area on Monday. Temperatures won't cool down much at all behind it. Highs will remain in the low to mid 70s for the first half of the work week.
Rain chances of 20% enter the picture for Tuesday through Thursday. A trough looks to be set up to our west during this time period. A few upper level disturbances and an upper level low should help fire off some showers and thunderstorms. We'll keep an eye on this and see if those rain chances increase as we get closer to those days.
Have a fantastic Friday and a wonderful weekend!
Thursday, March 23, 2006
4:40pm Thursday Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
After a very chilly day across the Big Country with highs only climbing into the lower 40s to near 50 we are set up for a very cold night. A freeze warning is in effect for all of the viewing area with the exception of Stonewall, Scurry and Mitchell counties. I expect overnight lows to drop into the middle 20s areawide. With most plants and flowers already blooming I would definately suggest you bring indoors what plants you can. If you can't, cover any them completely to try to save them from tonight's cold. Also, don't forget to cover all exterior, exposed pipes. And last but not least, don't forget to bring the pets indoors.
The good news is, this looks like the last freeze for at least the next 5 to 7 days. Afternoon highs Friday will warm back into the upper 50s to lower 60s. This thanks mainly to sunny skies and a return to Southerly winds.
This weekend looks FANTASTIC. Both Saturday and Sunday we will have mostly sunny skies. Afternoon highs will rand from the low 70s Saturday to the middle 70s Sunday.
Monday looks to be even warmer ahead of our next cold front. Partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 70s are likely.
This next cold front will pass through Monday into Tuesday. It looks like the front will stall in either the Southern Big Country or just to our South. With this boundary around the area, there will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday through Thursday.
By Thursday, another upper level disturbance looks to affect the area. It's just a little too early to tell exactly where this system will pass, so we'll have to wait and see on rain chances.
After a very chilly day across the Big Country with highs only climbing into the lower 40s to near 50 we are set up for a very cold night. A freeze warning is in effect for all of the viewing area with the exception of Stonewall, Scurry and Mitchell counties. I expect overnight lows to drop into the middle 20s areawide. With most plants and flowers already blooming I would definately suggest you bring indoors what plants you can. If you can't, cover any them completely to try to save them from tonight's cold. Also, don't forget to cover all exterior, exposed pipes. And last but not least, don't forget to bring the pets indoors.
The good news is, this looks like the last freeze for at least the next 5 to 7 days. Afternoon highs Friday will warm back into the upper 50s to lower 60s. This thanks mainly to sunny skies and a return to Southerly winds.
This weekend looks FANTASTIC. Both Saturday and Sunday we will have mostly sunny skies. Afternoon highs will rand from the low 70s Saturday to the middle 70s Sunday.
Monday looks to be even warmer ahead of our next cold front. Partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 70s are likely.
This next cold front will pass through Monday into Tuesday. It looks like the front will stall in either the Southern Big Country or just to our South. With this boundary around the area, there will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday through Thursday.
By Thursday, another upper level disturbance looks to affect the area. It's just a little too early to tell exactly where this system will pass, so we'll have to wait and see on rain chances.
Freeze Warning Tonight
The National Weather Service offices that serve the KRBC viewing area have issued a Freeze Warning tonight. The only counties not under the warning are Stonewall, Scurry and Mitchell. Those counties are served by the Lubbock weather service and the Midland weather service. I have posted below the statement from The National Weather Service in San Angelo.
Craig Carnesi
Chief Meteorologist
Freeze WarningURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
215 PM CST THU MAR 23 2006
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM FRIDAY...
.HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR BY THIS EVENING. WITH LIGHT WINDS...
TEMPERATURES ARE WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE.
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON-
215 PM CST THU MAR 23 2006
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. BY SUNRISE...A HARD FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE... PARTICULARLY OVER LOW LYING AREAS.
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL OR SERIOUSLY DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
Craig Carnesi
Chief Meteorologist
Freeze WarningURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
215 PM CST THU MAR 23 2006
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM FRIDAY...
.HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR BY THIS EVENING. WITH LIGHT WINDS...
TEMPERATURES ARE WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE.
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON-
215 PM CST THU MAR 23 2006
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. BY SUNRISE...A HARD FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE... PARTICULARLY OVER LOW LYING AREAS.
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL OR SERIOUSLY DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
Thursday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We had some light rain and a little snow move through last night. That has pretty much come to an end. There was very little if any accumulation. We could see a few snowflakes early today. This precipitation should be very, very light so no accumulations or travel problems are expected. It was another chilly start to the day with temperatures in the low to mid 30s across most of the Big Country. We'll start with mostly cloudy skies this morning, but by this afternoon enough sunshine should peak through that it will be partly cloudy. Highs will only reach the mid to upper 40s, so it will be a chilly day.
A Freeze Warning is in effect for the entire area tonight. Stonewall, Scurry, and Mitchell counties are the only places not currently in the warning. Everyone should protect their pets, plants, and pipes since lows are expected to be in the mid to upper 20s.
A warming trend begins tomorrow and lasts through the weekend. Highs will range from the upper 50s on Friday to the mid 70s on Sunday.
A cold front is due to move into the area on Monday. This will cool us back down a bit for Tuesday and Wednesday. It looks like we may see a little rain on those days. Right now, the chance for showers and thunderstorms stands at 20%. We'll see if the possibility for rain improves as we get closer to this time period.
Have a terrific Thursday!
We had some light rain and a little snow move through last night. That has pretty much come to an end. There was very little if any accumulation. We could see a few snowflakes early today. This precipitation should be very, very light so no accumulations or travel problems are expected. It was another chilly start to the day with temperatures in the low to mid 30s across most of the Big Country. We'll start with mostly cloudy skies this morning, but by this afternoon enough sunshine should peak through that it will be partly cloudy. Highs will only reach the mid to upper 40s, so it will be a chilly day.
A Freeze Warning is in effect for the entire area tonight. Stonewall, Scurry, and Mitchell counties are the only places not currently in the warning. Everyone should protect their pets, plants, and pipes since lows are expected to be in the mid to upper 20s.
A warming trend begins tomorrow and lasts through the weekend. Highs will range from the upper 50s on Friday to the mid 70s on Sunday.
A cold front is due to move into the area on Monday. This will cool us back down a bit for Tuesday and Wednesday. It looks like we may see a little rain on those days. Right now, the chance for showers and thunderstorms stands at 20%. We'll see if the possibility for rain improves as we get closer to this time period.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Wednesday, March 22, 2006
4:45pm Wednesday Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Dare I say it, but there is a chance for some snow across the area tonight. Now, before you kids get too excited, it's only a chance for a few wet flurries, and mainly North of Interstate 20. Either way, there's a chance, and we'll talk about it.
Cold air is continuing to filter in from the North, now this is not an Arctic front or anything of that nature. It's actually cold air filtering in from Nebraska and the central US. If you'll remember all of the snow that fell over the area earlier this week, that snow is still on the ground, and still keeping the air above it quite chilly. Now, with winds blowing in from that direction, our air temperatures tonight will at or below freezing for a while. With that, coupled with some upper level energy passing by, we could see a couple of isolated, light showers, with a few snow flurries mixed in. I do not anticipate any travel problems, nor any accumulations. Just possible some Spring snow flurries.
After tonight, the slow warm-up begins. Clouds will begin to decrease across the area Thursday, but temperatures will only climb into the upper 40s to lower 50s.
With clear skies Thursday night, another light to hard freeze will be likely across the area. The National Weather Service has issued a freeze watch for most of the viewing area. Go ahead and bring the pets and plants in the next two nights. I'm calling for a low of 28 to 30 areawide Friday morning.
By Friday afternoon sunny skies will warm us back into the upper 50s to low 60s.
Saturday and Sunday look FANTASTIC with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s Saturday to the middle 70s Sunday.
Monday and Tuesday could bring us our next chance for showers if things all work out. Right now I'm calling for partly cloudy skies and an under twenty percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Highs will reach the lower 70s both days.
Dare I say it, but there is a chance for some snow across the area tonight. Now, before you kids get too excited, it's only a chance for a few wet flurries, and mainly North of Interstate 20. Either way, there's a chance, and we'll talk about it.
Cold air is continuing to filter in from the North, now this is not an Arctic front or anything of that nature. It's actually cold air filtering in from Nebraska and the central US. If you'll remember all of the snow that fell over the area earlier this week, that snow is still on the ground, and still keeping the air above it quite chilly. Now, with winds blowing in from that direction, our air temperatures tonight will at or below freezing for a while. With that, coupled with some upper level energy passing by, we could see a couple of isolated, light showers, with a few snow flurries mixed in. I do not anticipate any travel problems, nor any accumulations. Just possible some Spring snow flurries.
After tonight, the slow warm-up begins. Clouds will begin to decrease across the area Thursday, but temperatures will only climb into the upper 40s to lower 50s.
With clear skies Thursday night, another light to hard freeze will be likely across the area. The National Weather Service has issued a freeze watch for most of the viewing area. Go ahead and bring the pets and plants in the next two nights. I'm calling for a low of 28 to 30 areawide Friday morning.
By Friday afternoon sunny skies will warm us back into the upper 50s to low 60s.
Saturday and Sunday look FANTASTIC with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s Saturday to the middle 70s Sunday.
Monday and Tuesday could bring us our next chance for showers if things all work out. Right now I'm calling for partly cloudy skies and an under twenty percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Highs will reach the lower 70s both days.
NEW- 3:45pm, Freeze Watch Issued
From The National Weather Service in San Angelo, TX:
Freeze WatchURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
331 PM CST WED MAR 22 2006
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
.A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY.
CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS WILL KEEP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR BY THURSDAY EVENING. WITH LIGHT WINDS...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE.
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON-
331 PM CST WED MAR 22 2006
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE.
A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
Freeze WatchURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
331 PM CST WED MAR 22 2006
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
.A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY.
CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS WILL KEEP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR BY THURSDAY EVENING. WITH LIGHT WINDS...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE.
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON-
331 PM CST WED MAR 22 2006
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE.
A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
Wednesday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We started off on the cold side of things once again this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 30s. It looks like another cool afternoon is on tap for us today as highs should only make into the upper 40s to low 50s. Part of the reason it will be cool today is due to the mostly cloudy skies expected through the day. Winds will be from the east at 10 to 15 mph.
A cold front is still expected to move through the area later today. This will reinforce the cool air that is already in place. There is a slight to maybe a 20% chance of a few isolated showers tonight. The main question continues to be whether or not enough moisture will be in place. If we do see any rain, amounts will likely only be a few hundreths of an inch. You'll want to bring in your pets and tender vegetation for the next couple of nights as lows will probably be around freezing or a little below.
Well below average temperatures will continue Thursday and Friday with highs in the low to mid 50s. That's about 15 to 20 degrees below where we should be for this time of year.
Warmer temperatures arrive on Saturday and last into early next week thanks to a high pressure ridge that will build to our west.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
We started off on the cold side of things once again this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 30s. It looks like another cool afternoon is on tap for us today as highs should only make into the upper 40s to low 50s. Part of the reason it will be cool today is due to the mostly cloudy skies expected through the day. Winds will be from the east at 10 to 15 mph.
A cold front is still expected to move through the area later today. This will reinforce the cool air that is already in place. There is a slight to maybe a 20% chance of a few isolated showers tonight. The main question continues to be whether or not enough moisture will be in place. If we do see any rain, amounts will likely only be a few hundreths of an inch. You'll want to bring in your pets and tender vegetation for the next couple of nights as lows will probably be around freezing or a little below.
Well below average temperatures will continue Thursday and Friday with highs in the low to mid 50s. That's about 15 to 20 degrees below where we should be for this time of year.
Warmer temperatures arrive on Saturday and last into early next week thanks to a high pressure ridge that will build to our west.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Tuesday, March 21, 2006
Tuesday Afternoon Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Today sure turned out nice, just a little on the cool side. High temperatures struggled to reach the lower 50s areawide. More cool weather is on tap for the next couple of afternoons as well.
Tonight we will see a bit of an increase in cloud cover as the next system to affect us approaches. Overnight lows will flirt with the freezing point tonight as well. I expect most areas to stay at or above 32, but some areas will dip down to 30 to 31, especially South and East of Abilene. Brownwood will likely see a freeze. I would definately suggest leaving tender vegetation covered or brought inside tonight. Go ahead and bring the pets inside as well.
Wednesday clouds will continue to increase and with that high temperatures will remain only in the lower 50s.
Wednesday night the system bringing the cloud cover will pass to our North and pull a cold front through the Big Country. This "Pacific" front will not dramatically drop temperatures, but it will create enough lift for isolated showers Wednesday night. Temperatures will run in the lower 30s when the best chance for rain arrives, so, we could see isolated flurries or sleet with any showers that develop. I do not expect any accumulations though, so kids, you will still have school Thursday. Sorry...
Thursday afternoon we will see clouds decreasing and highs in the lower 50s once again.
Then by Friday into Tuesday, expect temperatures to climb from the low 60s Friday into the middle to upper 70s by Sunday and Monday.
Today sure turned out nice, just a little on the cool side. High temperatures struggled to reach the lower 50s areawide. More cool weather is on tap for the next couple of afternoons as well.
Tonight we will see a bit of an increase in cloud cover as the next system to affect us approaches. Overnight lows will flirt with the freezing point tonight as well. I expect most areas to stay at or above 32, but some areas will dip down to 30 to 31, especially South and East of Abilene. Brownwood will likely see a freeze. I would definately suggest leaving tender vegetation covered or brought inside tonight. Go ahead and bring the pets inside as well.
Wednesday clouds will continue to increase and with that high temperatures will remain only in the lower 50s.
Wednesday night the system bringing the cloud cover will pass to our North and pull a cold front through the Big Country. This "Pacific" front will not dramatically drop temperatures, but it will create enough lift for isolated showers Wednesday night. Temperatures will run in the lower 30s when the best chance for rain arrives, so, we could see isolated flurries or sleet with any showers that develop. I do not expect any accumulations though, so kids, you will still have school Thursday. Sorry...
Thursday afternoon we will see clouds decreasing and highs in the lower 50s once again.
Then by Friday into Tuesday, expect temperatures to climb from the low 60s Friday into the middle to upper 70s by Sunday and Monday.
Tuesday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
For our first morning of the spring season, it certainly is cold out there. Lows bottomed out in the low to mid 30s for most of the Big Country. That's about 10 to 15 degrees below average for this time of year. The colder air is thanks mostly to a cold front that moved through last night.
Overall, this first full day of spring should be nice but cool. It will be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 50s. The winds will die down, but remain breezy from the north-northwest at 10 to 20 mph. You'll want to think about bringing the pets and tender vegetation in tonight since lows will be close to freezing once again. Some locations could see a light freeze.
The cool temperatures stick around on Wednesday with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 50s. A cold front is expected to move through by tomorrow evening bringing a reinforcing shot of cold air for the rest of the work week. We could also see a few isolated showers. The question is whether or not we'll have enough moisture in place. For now, I'm going with an optimistic 20% chance of rain. Amounts, if any, look to be very light.
Thursday should be partly cloudy with highs remaining in the low to mid 50s.
We begin a warming trend on Friday that will last into early next week. Highs for this time period should range from the low 60s to mid 70s.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
For our first morning of the spring season, it certainly is cold out there. Lows bottomed out in the low to mid 30s for most of the Big Country. That's about 10 to 15 degrees below average for this time of year. The colder air is thanks mostly to a cold front that moved through last night.
Overall, this first full day of spring should be nice but cool. It will be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 50s. The winds will die down, but remain breezy from the north-northwest at 10 to 20 mph. You'll want to think about bringing the pets and tender vegetation in tonight since lows will be close to freezing once again. Some locations could see a light freeze.
The cool temperatures stick around on Wednesday with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 50s. A cold front is expected to move through by tomorrow evening bringing a reinforcing shot of cold air for the rest of the work week. We could also see a few isolated showers. The question is whether or not we'll have enough moisture in place. For now, I'm going with an optimistic 20% chance of rain. Amounts, if any, look to be very light.
Thursday should be partly cloudy with highs remaining in the low to mid 50s.
We begin a warming trend on Friday that will last into early next week. Highs for this time period should range from the low 60s to mid 70s.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
Monday, March 20, 2006
Monday Afternoon Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
After receiving much needed rainfall this weekend, for some reason, Mother Nature decided to steal some of that moisture back with strong winds today. Those strong winds aid in evaporation of the surface moisture, that's why almost all roads are dry today. The good news is, it looks like most of the rainfall was able to soak into the ground before the winds picked up too much.
Tonight, another cold front will pass through the Big Country shifting winds from the West to the Northwest. With this front, temperatures tonight will flirt with the freezing point. I'm forecasting lows of 30 to 32 degrees areawide so if you have planted anything, or have uncovered vegetation outdoors, remember to take care of those tonight. Go ahead and bring the pets indoors as well.
Tuesday will be mainly sunny, but still cool with North winds. Highs will only climb into the middle to upper 50s.
Wednesday looks about the same with the only difference being Partly Cloudy skies.
Thursday we will have another, this time very weak, cold front pass through the area. Highs will still climb into the middle to upper 50s.
Then from Friday through next Monday, expect mostly sunny skies and high temperatures climbing from the lower 60s Friday, to the upper 70s by Monday.
After receiving much needed rainfall this weekend, for some reason, Mother Nature decided to steal some of that moisture back with strong winds today. Those strong winds aid in evaporation of the surface moisture, that's why almost all roads are dry today. The good news is, it looks like most of the rainfall was able to soak into the ground before the winds picked up too much.
Tonight, another cold front will pass through the Big Country shifting winds from the West to the Northwest. With this front, temperatures tonight will flirt with the freezing point. I'm forecasting lows of 30 to 32 degrees areawide so if you have planted anything, or have uncovered vegetation outdoors, remember to take care of those tonight. Go ahead and bring the pets indoors as well.
Tuesday will be mainly sunny, but still cool with North winds. Highs will only climb into the middle to upper 50s.
Wednesday looks about the same with the only difference being Partly Cloudy skies.
Thursday we will have another, this time very weak, cold front pass through the area. Highs will still climb into the middle to upper 50s.
Then from Friday through next Monday, expect mostly sunny skies and high temperatures climbing from the lower 60s Friday, to the upper 70s by Monday.
Cool Temperatures This Week
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
It was a very wet weekend for us. Luckily, the severe weather was not as bad as previously thought. Only a few counties ended up with severe thunderstorm warnings, which were mainly for hail. We basically saw several rounds of showers and thunderstorms which dropped the most rain we have seen since in a three day period since October of last year. Abilene Regional Airport reported a total of 2.49" for Friday through Sunday. Our rainfall for the year now stands at 4.16" which is an inch and a quarter ABOVE where we should be at this point in the year.
Even though we received lots of moisture this weekend across most of the Big Country, we will be dealing with an elevated fire danger for today. Winds are expected to be strong from the west at 15 to 35 mph. Gusts as high as 40 to 45 mph are possible. These winds will dry up a lot of moisture in a hurry. A Wind Advisory is in effect for just about the entire area for today with the exception being Knox county. Be careful if you are in a high profile vehicle and driving on the highways. Brown, Coke, Coleman, and Runnels counties are under a Red Flag Warning because relative humidity values will likely drop below 2o percent in those locations. Please be sure to follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires. Skies should be mostly sunny for the majority of the day with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.
A cold front tonight and a reinforcing high pressure system in the middle of the week will help cool temperatures down below average for the next four to five days. Highs will range from the mid 50s to low 60s for Tuesday through Friday. I hope you enjoyed the rain this weekend because we'll probably be dry for the next seven to ten days.
Have a magnificent Monday!
It was a very wet weekend for us. Luckily, the severe weather was not as bad as previously thought. Only a few counties ended up with severe thunderstorm warnings, which were mainly for hail. We basically saw several rounds of showers and thunderstorms which dropped the most rain we have seen since in a three day period since October of last year. Abilene Regional Airport reported a total of 2.49" for Friday through Sunday. Our rainfall for the year now stands at 4.16" which is an inch and a quarter ABOVE where we should be at this point in the year.
Even though we received lots of moisture this weekend across most of the Big Country, we will be dealing with an elevated fire danger for today. Winds are expected to be strong from the west at 15 to 35 mph. Gusts as high as 40 to 45 mph are possible. These winds will dry up a lot of moisture in a hurry. A Wind Advisory is in effect for just about the entire area for today with the exception being Knox county. Be careful if you are in a high profile vehicle and driving on the highways. Brown, Coke, Coleman, and Runnels counties are under a Red Flag Warning because relative humidity values will likely drop below 2o percent in those locations. Please be sure to follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires. Skies should be mostly sunny for the majority of the day with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.
A cold front tonight and a reinforcing high pressure system in the middle of the week will help cool temperatures down below average for the next four to five days. Highs will range from the mid 50s to low 60s for Tuesday through Friday. I hope you enjoyed the rain this weekend because we'll probably be dry for the next seven to ten days.
Have a magnificent Monday!
Saturday, March 18, 2006
Saturday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Another round of showers and thunderstorms moved through the viewing area this morning. One of those thunderstorms did reach severe levels in Coke county. The storm was capable of producing quarter size hail and winds in excess of 60 mph. We picked up a pretty good amount of rain with about eight tenths of an inch recorded at Abilene Regional Airport.
We will continue to see showers and thunderstorms off and on through the day and into tonight. Some of these storms could be severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. It still looks like we'll see similar conditions tomorrow too. We'll keep our eye on things and let you know if anymore severe weather develops.
Have a super Saturday!
Another round of showers and thunderstorms moved through the viewing area this morning. One of those thunderstorms did reach severe levels in Coke county. The storm was capable of producing quarter size hail and winds in excess of 60 mph. We picked up a pretty good amount of rain with about eight tenths of an inch recorded at Abilene Regional Airport.
We will continue to see showers and thunderstorms off and on through the day and into tonight. Some of these storms could be severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. It still looks like we'll see similar conditions tomorrow too. We'll keep our eye on things and let you know if anymore severe weather develops.
Have a super Saturday!
Friday, March 17, 2006
Severe Weather Still Possible This Weekend
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Sorry for the late update today. Clouds and rain kept temperatures from getting too warm here in the Big Country. Highs ranged from the mid 40s to low 60s. There was a severe thunderstorm this morning in Fisher County that dropped penny size hail near Roby.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue off and on tonight through Sunday night due to a stationary front near Interstate 10 and a trough to our west. The front will end up lifting to the north as a warm front late Saturday and into Sunday. Periodic upper level disturbances are expected over the next couple of days too. An upper level low should move near the Texas panhandle on Sunday and help move the dryline through our area by Sunday afternoon and evening. Some of the thunderstorms over the weekend have the potential to be severe. The main threat will be large hail. Damaging winds and even an isolated tornado can not be completely ruled out, but are not likely. We will keep things watched for you this weekend and let you know if any storms do become severe.
Highs this weekend will range from the mid 50s to mid 60s. The chances for rain have increased to 80% on Saturday and 60% on Sunday. Rainfall amounts could reach as high as 1 to 2 inches according to some models. Even though we are receiving some beneficial rain, don't forget that many of us are still under a burn ban. It is going to take more than the rainfall we receive this weekend to help us with our dry conditions.
A few lingering showers or thunderstorms are possible early Monday morning. A cold front will move through during the day and help clear things out. Windy conditions are expected on Monday, so the fire danger will likely be high again. Highs should reach the mid to upper 60s.
Have a wonderful weekend!
Sorry for the late update today. Clouds and rain kept temperatures from getting too warm here in the Big Country. Highs ranged from the mid 40s to low 60s. There was a severe thunderstorm this morning in Fisher County that dropped penny size hail near Roby.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue off and on tonight through Sunday night due to a stationary front near Interstate 10 and a trough to our west. The front will end up lifting to the north as a warm front late Saturday and into Sunday. Periodic upper level disturbances are expected over the next couple of days too. An upper level low should move near the Texas panhandle on Sunday and help move the dryline through our area by Sunday afternoon and evening. Some of the thunderstorms over the weekend have the potential to be severe. The main threat will be large hail. Damaging winds and even an isolated tornado can not be completely ruled out, but are not likely. We will keep things watched for you this weekend and let you know if any storms do become severe.
Highs this weekend will range from the mid 50s to mid 60s. The chances for rain have increased to 80% on Saturday and 60% on Sunday. Rainfall amounts could reach as high as 1 to 2 inches according to some models. Even though we are receiving some beneficial rain, don't forget that many of us are still under a burn ban. It is going to take more than the rainfall we receive this weekend to help us with our dry conditions.
A few lingering showers or thunderstorms are possible early Monday morning. A cold front will move through during the day and help clear things out. Windy conditions are expected on Monday, so the fire danger will likely be high again. Highs should reach the mid to upper 60s.
Have a wonderful weekend!
Thursday, March 16, 2006
Rain Chances Looking Good, Severe Weather Still Possible
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
It was another mild and dry day for us here in the Big Country despite a cold front moving through the area this morning. Highs reached the upper 60s to mid 70s. Cooler conditions and rain are possible through the end of the week.
The reasons for our chances for rain continue to be two-fold. First, the cold front that passed us by earlier today will stall down around the Interstate 10 corridor. Gulf of Mexico moisture will start overriding this front which will bring our dewpoints back up. With moisture in place and a lifting mechinism in the form of a front, showers and thunderstorms are possible. Second, a trough looks to build in the western portion of the country. An upper level low will form and send some upper level disturbances into the area before the low itself moves near the Texas panhandle on Sunday. Some of the thunderstorms we see over the next three days have the potential to be severe. The main threats will be large hail and damaging winds.
Mostly cloudy skies will rule for the rest of the week. Rain chances range from 40 to 60 percent for Friday through Sunday. Saturday looks to be the day with the best chance for rain. Highs will range from the upper 50s to mid 60s for the next three days.
Some lingering showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday morning. A cold front is expected to arrive later in the day and clear things out for at least the first half of the week.
Have a terrific Thursday night and fantastic Friday!
It was another mild and dry day for us here in the Big Country despite a cold front moving through the area this morning. Highs reached the upper 60s to mid 70s. Cooler conditions and rain are possible through the end of the week.
The reasons for our chances for rain continue to be two-fold. First, the cold front that passed us by earlier today will stall down around the Interstate 10 corridor. Gulf of Mexico moisture will start overriding this front which will bring our dewpoints back up. With moisture in place and a lifting mechinism in the form of a front, showers and thunderstorms are possible. Second, a trough looks to build in the western portion of the country. An upper level low will form and send some upper level disturbances into the area before the low itself moves near the Texas panhandle on Sunday. Some of the thunderstorms we see over the next three days have the potential to be severe. The main threats will be large hail and damaging winds.
Mostly cloudy skies will rule for the rest of the week. Rain chances range from 40 to 60 percent for Friday through Sunday. Saturday looks to be the day with the best chance for rain. Highs will range from the upper 50s to mid 60s for the next three days.
Some lingering showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday morning. A cold front is expected to arrive later in the day and clear things out for at least the first half of the week.
Have a terrific Thursday night and fantastic Friday!
Wednesday, March 15, 2006
Severe Weather Possible This Weekend
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Clouds increased across the area today and temperatures climbed back into the upper 60s to lower 70s. The big changes will come beginning Friday.
Thursday expect partly cloudy skies and highs in the lower 70s. A cold front will pass through early in the morning.
Friday, clouds and moisture will begin to override the frontal boundry and rain chances will begin.
Saturday, a trough in the jet stream will begin to approach from the West and will begin to send upper-level energy our direction. This will be our best chance for strong thunderstorms that could reach severe limits. Either way, I think we will see measurable rainfally across most if not all of the area.
Sunday, rain chances will continue with thunderstorms once again possible.
By Monday, rain chances will come to an end.
Stay tuned for updates on the upcoming rain and thunderstorms chances.
Clouds increased across the area today and temperatures climbed back into the upper 60s to lower 70s. The big changes will come beginning Friday.
Thursday expect partly cloudy skies and highs in the lower 70s. A cold front will pass through early in the morning.
Friday, clouds and moisture will begin to override the frontal boundry and rain chances will begin.
Saturday, a trough in the jet stream will begin to approach from the West and will begin to send upper-level energy our direction. This will be our best chance for strong thunderstorms that could reach severe limits. Either way, I think we will see measurable rainfally across most if not all of the area.
Sunday, rain chances will continue with thunderstorms once again possible.
By Monday, rain chances will come to an end.
Stay tuned for updates on the upcoming rain and thunderstorms chances.
Wednesday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We started off a bit on the mild side this morning with temperatures in the mid to upper 40s. Clouds have begun to build back into the area, so we'll start off with mostly cloudy skies this morning. By this afternoon, we should have enough sunshine to call it partly cloudy. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s. Windy conditions make their return today. Winds are expected to be from the south-southeast at 15 to 25 mph. There is an elevated fire danger for everyone. The only county under a Red Flag Warning this afternoon is Knox. We all need to be careful and follow the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires from occurring.
Tomorrow looks to be partly cloudy with highs in the mid 70s. A cold front is expected to arrive by the late afternoon hours. No rain is expected with the frontal passage.
There is a chance for rain beginning on Friday and lasting through Sunday. The are a couple of reasons why we could see the rain. First, a trough, or dip in the jetstream will set up to our west during this time period. Upper level disturbances are expected to move along the trough and into our area. They will lift any moisture we have in place and cause showers and thunderstorms. The other reason for the chance of rain is a stalled cold front to the south. Gulf of Mexico moisture will override the front and into the Lone Star State. This will end up causing some rain to develop. I have increased the rain chances a little bit from yesterday. They now stand at 30% to 50% with the best chance happening on Saturday. Some of these storms could be severe, so stay tuned and we'll see how things pan out.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
We started off a bit on the mild side this morning with temperatures in the mid to upper 40s. Clouds have begun to build back into the area, so we'll start off with mostly cloudy skies this morning. By this afternoon, we should have enough sunshine to call it partly cloudy. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s. Windy conditions make their return today. Winds are expected to be from the south-southeast at 15 to 25 mph. There is an elevated fire danger for everyone. The only county under a Red Flag Warning this afternoon is Knox. We all need to be careful and follow the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires from occurring.
Tomorrow looks to be partly cloudy with highs in the mid 70s. A cold front is expected to arrive by the late afternoon hours. No rain is expected with the frontal passage.
There is a chance for rain beginning on Friday and lasting through Sunday. The are a couple of reasons why we could see the rain. First, a trough, or dip in the jetstream will set up to our west during this time period. Upper level disturbances are expected to move along the trough and into our area. They will lift any moisture we have in place and cause showers and thunderstorms. The other reason for the chance of rain is a stalled cold front to the south. Gulf of Mexico moisture will override the front and into the Lone Star State. This will end up causing some rain to develop. I have increased the rain chances a little bit from yesterday. They now stand at 30% to 50% with the best chance happening on Saturday. Some of these storms could be severe, so stay tuned and we'll see how things pan out.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Tuesday, March 14, 2006
Tuesday Afternoon Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
After a light frost across the area this morning, temperatures rebounded nicely into the middle to upper 60s areawide.
Get ready for warmer and unfortunately windier weather Wednesday. As an upper level system passes to our North, winds will increase to 15 to 20 miles per hour. The system will pull a cold front through our area Thursday. That front will cool temperatures down into the lower 60s Friday.
The system will destablize the atmosphere enough for a 20% chance of thunderstorms Friday. Saturday will bring us our best chance for showers and thunderstorms as the best upper level dynamics arrive into the area. Right now I'm forecasting a 40 to 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms for Saturday. There is a chance we could see some of these storms reach severe levels, but we will have to wait and see exactly how things pan out. For now, stay tuned...
After a light frost across the area this morning, temperatures rebounded nicely into the middle to upper 60s areawide.
Get ready for warmer and unfortunately windier weather Wednesday. As an upper level system passes to our North, winds will increase to 15 to 20 miles per hour. The system will pull a cold front through our area Thursday. That front will cool temperatures down into the lower 60s Friday.
The system will destablize the atmosphere enough for a 20% chance of thunderstorms Friday. Saturday will bring us our best chance for showers and thunderstorms as the best upper level dynamics arrive into the area. Right now I'm forecasting a 40 to 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms for Saturday. There is a chance we could see some of these storms reach severe levels, but we will have to wait and see exactly how things pan out. For now, stay tuned...
Tuesday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
With clear skies, calm winds, and a dry airmass, we had optimal radiational cooling conditions last night. Temperatures bottomed out this morning in the low to mid 30s. We will warm up nicely this afternoon into the upper 60s to low 70s for highs. This is slightly warmer than yesterday.
The warming trend will continue tomorrow with highs reaching the low to mid 70s. Windy conditions look to return here in the Big Country thanks to a low pressure system that will be to the north of us. Winds will be from the south at 15 to 25 mph. The fire danger is expected to be high tomorrow. No Fire Weather Watches or Red Flag Warnings have been issued yet. We still need to be careful and follow all the necessary precautions whether there are watches and warnings or not.
A cold front looks to arrive late on Thursday causing temperatures to cool back down for the last three days of the week. There are some chances for showers and thunderstorms during that time too. The trough I wrote about yesterday should still set up to our west for Friday through Sunday. Rain chances are about 20 to 40 percent with the best shot at precipitation being on Saturday. Hopefully, these chances will increase as the end of the work week approaches. We'll just have to wait and see.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
With clear skies, calm winds, and a dry airmass, we had optimal radiational cooling conditions last night. Temperatures bottomed out this morning in the low to mid 30s. We will warm up nicely this afternoon into the upper 60s to low 70s for highs. This is slightly warmer than yesterday.
The warming trend will continue tomorrow with highs reaching the low to mid 70s. Windy conditions look to return here in the Big Country thanks to a low pressure system that will be to the north of us. Winds will be from the south at 15 to 25 mph. The fire danger is expected to be high tomorrow. No Fire Weather Watches or Red Flag Warnings have been issued yet. We still need to be careful and follow all the necessary precautions whether there are watches and warnings or not.
A cold front looks to arrive late on Thursday causing temperatures to cool back down for the last three days of the week. There are some chances for showers and thunderstorms during that time too. The trough I wrote about yesterday should still set up to our west for Friday through Sunday. Rain chances are about 20 to 40 percent with the best shot at precipitation being on Saturday. Hopefully, these chances will increase as the end of the work week approaches. We'll just have to wait and see.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
Monday, March 13, 2006
Freeze Warning Tonight
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
A cool day today across the area compared to previous afternoons. Highs today only climbed into the middle to upper 60s across the area.
For tonight, the National Weather Service has issued a freeze warning for most of the Big Country and KRBC viewing area. The following is from the National Weather Service in San Angelo, TX:
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST TUESDAY. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR A WIDESPREAD FREEZE WILL BE ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY...NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S ACROSS THIS AREA. ELSEWHERE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 30S. A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
I expect overnight lows across most of the area to only bottom out at 31 or 32, low lying areas though will likely fall into the middle to upper 20s.
By Tuesday afternoon temperatures will climb back to near or at 70 degrees.
Wednesday will be another windy day, fire weather advisories will likely be issued, with highs climbing into the lower to middle 70s.
Another cold front passes through the area early Thursday. No freezes expected with this front, but it will set the stage for rain chances Friday through Sunday. Right now I'm calling for a 20% chance of thunderstorms Friday, but Saturday about a 40% chance of storms.
By Sunday into Monday, rain chances come to an end and warmer temperatures will prevail.
Please remember to keep the folks in the Midwest and now into the the Ohio River Valley and Southeast United States in your thoughts as they continue to go through one of the worst severe weather outbreaks ever recorded in March.
A cool day today across the area compared to previous afternoons. Highs today only climbed into the middle to upper 60s across the area.
For tonight, the National Weather Service has issued a freeze warning for most of the Big Country and KRBC viewing area. The following is from the National Weather Service in San Angelo, TX:
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST TUESDAY. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR A WIDESPREAD FREEZE WILL BE ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY...NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S ACROSS THIS AREA. ELSEWHERE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 30S. A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
I expect overnight lows across most of the area to only bottom out at 31 or 32, low lying areas though will likely fall into the middle to upper 20s.
By Tuesday afternoon temperatures will climb back to near or at 70 degrees.
Wednesday will be another windy day, fire weather advisories will likely be issued, with highs climbing into the lower to middle 70s.
Another cold front passes through the area early Thursday. No freezes expected with this front, but it will set the stage for rain chances Friday through Sunday. Right now I'm calling for a 20% chance of thunderstorms Friday, but Saturday about a 40% chance of storms.
By Sunday into Monday, rain chances come to an end and warmer temperatures will prevail.
Please remember to keep the folks in the Midwest and now into the the Ohio River Valley and Southeast United States in your thoughts as they continue to go through one of the worst severe weather outbreaks ever recorded in March.
Monday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
A cold front moved through the area last night, so it will be much cooler today than it was over the weekend. Highs will only reach the mid to upper 60s, which is what we average for this time of year. Breezy conditions will remain with winds from the northwest at 10 to 20 mph. The fire danger remains high so please continue to be careful.
Tuesday through Thursday look to be a bit on the mild side with highs in the low to mid 70s. Windy conditions look possible on Wednesday. A cold front should arrive on Thursday. This will send temperatures back down into the 60s for highs the rest of the week.
No rain is expected with the cold front on Thursday, but the possiblity of showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast for Friday through Sunday. Right now, those rain chances are about 20 to 30 percent with Saturday looking to be the best day for some rain. The reason we could see some precipitation is thanks to a trough that will set up to our west by the end of the week. The big question is whether or not we will have enough moisture in place. The cold front on Thursday will likely dry us out a little bit, but it looks like moisture from the Gulf of Mexico may override the front and move into the area starting Friday. We'll need to keep our fingers crossed that we see the rain since we are approaching a one inch deficit for the year so far.
Have a magnificent Monday!
A cold front moved through the area last night, so it will be much cooler today than it was over the weekend. Highs will only reach the mid to upper 60s, which is what we average for this time of year. Breezy conditions will remain with winds from the northwest at 10 to 20 mph. The fire danger remains high so please continue to be careful.
Tuesday through Thursday look to be a bit on the mild side with highs in the low to mid 70s. Windy conditions look possible on Wednesday. A cold front should arrive on Thursday. This will send temperatures back down into the 60s for highs the rest of the week.
No rain is expected with the cold front on Thursday, but the possiblity of showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast for Friday through Sunday. Right now, those rain chances are about 20 to 30 percent with Saturday looking to be the best day for some rain. The reason we could see some precipitation is thanks to a trough that will set up to our west by the end of the week. The big question is whether or not we will have enough moisture in place. The cold front on Thursday will likely dry us out a little bit, but it looks like moisture from the Gulf of Mexico may override the front and move into the area starting Friday. We'll need to keep our fingers crossed that we see the rain since we are approaching a one inch deficit for the year so far.
Have a magnificent Monday!
Friday, March 10, 2006
Friday Afternoon Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Alright, this is starting to get really tough here. I have to admit I am just loving this warmer weather, the tough part is, we REALLY, DESPERATELY, need some rain. I guess if we can't get some rain, we might as well keep enjoying this pleasantly warm weather.
The other problem, winds... Winds will again pick back up tomorrow to 10 to 25 miles per hour across the area. Fire Weather Watches will be likely for Saturday, but definate for Sunday. Sunday afternoon winds will likely run 20 to 30 miles per hour again as another upper level system approaches. Unfortunately, this system will pass by dry.
Behind the system Monday, cooler air will rule the area. Afternoon highs Monday will only climb into the middle 60s. Winds will remain breezy out of the North-Northwest keeps things feeling a little cooler than that.
We quickly warm back to near 70 by Tuesday under sunny skies. Wednesday will be a bit warmer, back into the lower 70s but with a few more clouds around.
Thursday and Friday MAY hold our next best chance for rain. One long range model is hinting at the chance for thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. But, that is 6-7 days out, and my confidence is fairly low at this point. Let's just keep our fingers crossed that things could pan out.
Please remember to use extreme caution as fire danger will remain high through the extended forecast.
Alright, this is starting to get really tough here. I have to admit I am just loving this warmer weather, the tough part is, we REALLY, DESPERATELY, need some rain. I guess if we can't get some rain, we might as well keep enjoying this pleasantly warm weather.
The other problem, winds... Winds will again pick back up tomorrow to 10 to 25 miles per hour across the area. Fire Weather Watches will be likely for Saturday, but definate for Sunday. Sunday afternoon winds will likely run 20 to 30 miles per hour again as another upper level system approaches. Unfortunately, this system will pass by dry.
Behind the system Monday, cooler air will rule the area. Afternoon highs Monday will only climb into the middle 60s. Winds will remain breezy out of the North-Northwest keeps things feeling a little cooler than that.
We quickly warm back to near 70 by Tuesday under sunny skies. Wednesday will be a bit warmer, back into the lower 70s but with a few more clouds around.
Thursday and Friday MAY hold our next best chance for rain. One long range model is hinting at the chance for thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. But, that is 6-7 days out, and my confidence is fairly low at this point. Let's just keep our fingers crossed that things could pan out.
Please remember to use extreme caution as fire danger will remain high through the extended forecast.
Friday Afternoon Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Alright, this is starting to get really tough here. I have to admit I am just loving this warmer weather, the tough part is, we REALLY, DESPERATELY, need some rain. I guess if we can't get some rain, we might as well keep enjoying this pleasantly warm weather.
The other problem, winds... Winds will again pick back up tomorrow to 10 to 25 miles per hour across the area. Fire Weather Watches will be likely for Saturday, but definate for Sunday. Sunday afternoon winds will likely run 20 to 30 miles per hour again as another upper level system approaches. Unfortunately, this system will pass by dry.
Behind the system Monday, cooler air will rule the area. Afternoon highs Monday will only climb into the middle 60s. Winds will remain breezy out of the North-Northwest keeps things feeling a little cooler than that.
We quickly warm back to near 70 by Tuesday under sunny skies. Wednesday will be a bit warmer, back into the lower 70s but with a few more clouds around.
Thursday and Friday MAY hold our next best chance for rain. One long range model is hinting at the chance for thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. But, that is 6-7 days out, and my confidence is fairly low at this point. Let's just keep our fingers crossed that things could pan out.
Please remember to use extreme caution as fire danger will remain high through the extended forecast.
Alright, this is starting to get really tough here. I have to admit I am just loving this warmer weather, the tough part is, we REALLY, DESPERATELY, need some rain. I guess if we can't get some rain, we might as well keep enjoying this pleasantly warm weather.
The other problem, winds... Winds will again pick back up tomorrow to 10 to 25 miles per hour across the area. Fire Weather Watches will be likely for Saturday, but definate for Sunday. Sunday afternoon winds will likely run 20 to 30 miles per hour again as another upper level system approaches. Unfortunately, this system will pass by dry.
Behind the system Monday, cooler air will rule the area. Afternoon highs Monday will only climb into the middle 60s. Winds will remain breezy out of the North-Northwest keeps things feeling a little cooler than that.
We quickly warm back to near 70 by Tuesday under sunny skies. Wednesday will be a bit warmer, back into the lower 70s but with a few more clouds around.
Thursday and Friday MAY hold our next best chance for rain. One long range model is hinting at the chance for thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. But, that is 6-7 days out, and my confidence is fairly low at this point. Let's just keep our fingers crossed that things could pan out.
Please remember to use extreme caution as fire danger will remain high through the extended forecast.
Friday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We have had a break from the winds during the overnight hours and into early this morning. Unfortunately, windy conditions are expected to return by this afternoon. Winds will be from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph. Red Flag Warnings are in effect again today for just about the entire area. Please continue to be careful and follow all the necessary precautions to help prevent fires.
Temperatures look to remain warm through the weekend. Highs should make it into the upper 70s to low 80s. Skies will likely be partly cloudy.
A cold front is expected to arrive late Sunday into early Monday. It doesn't look like we will see any rain, but temperatures will cool down closer to average for this time of year. Highs on Monday and Tuesday should be in the mid 60s.
It looks like we will probably remain dry for at least the next seven days. Some computer models are hinting at a slight chance of rain on Thursday, but I am not that confident in that chance as of right now. A lot can happen between now and then and I would like to see some consistent model runs before I buy into the rain chance. We'll keep an eye on this and let you know if the chance increases or decreases.
Have a fantastic Friday!
We have had a break from the winds during the overnight hours and into early this morning. Unfortunately, windy conditions are expected to return by this afternoon. Winds will be from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph. Red Flag Warnings are in effect again today for just about the entire area. Please continue to be careful and follow all the necessary precautions to help prevent fires.
Temperatures look to remain warm through the weekend. Highs should make it into the upper 70s to low 80s. Skies will likely be partly cloudy.
A cold front is expected to arrive late Sunday into early Monday. It doesn't look like we will see any rain, but temperatures will cool down closer to average for this time of year. Highs on Monday and Tuesday should be in the mid 60s.
It looks like we will probably remain dry for at least the next seven days. Some computer models are hinting at a slight chance of rain on Thursday, but I am not that confident in that chance as of right now. A lot can happen between now and then and I would like to see some consistent model runs before I buy into the rain chance. We'll keep an eye on this and let you know if the chance increases or decreases.
Have a fantastic Friday!
Thursday, March 09, 2006
Thursday Afternoon Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
After dealing with a bit of severe weather last night, the skies have cleared for the most part and the winds have taken over. Strong winds across the area today kicked up dirt and dust.
Overnight winds will relax a bit, down to 10 to 15 miles per hour. By tomorrow they pick right back up, this time out of the Southwest from 15 to 30 miles per hour sustained. Red Flag Warnings are in effect for all of our counties except Stonewall. Stonewall county is under a Fire Weather Watch.
Afternoon highs will quickly climb back into the upper 70s to lower 80s Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
Another upper level system will approach from the West this weekend keeping winds breezy Sunday afternoon. This system will pass through dry, but will pull another cold front through the area Sunday night.
This cold front will knock afternoon highs down to near normal for the first part of next week. Highs Monday and Tuesday will only reach the middle to upper 60s. Then by mid-week we quickly warm back into the middle 70s to lower 80s.
After dealing with a bit of severe weather last night, the skies have cleared for the most part and the winds have taken over. Strong winds across the area today kicked up dirt and dust.
Overnight winds will relax a bit, down to 10 to 15 miles per hour. By tomorrow they pick right back up, this time out of the Southwest from 15 to 30 miles per hour sustained. Red Flag Warnings are in effect for all of our counties except Stonewall. Stonewall county is under a Fire Weather Watch.
Afternoon highs will quickly climb back into the upper 70s to lower 80s Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
Another upper level system will approach from the West this weekend keeping winds breezy Sunday afternoon. This system will pass through dry, but will pull another cold front through the area Sunday night.
This cold front will knock afternoon highs down to near normal for the first part of next week. Highs Monday and Tuesday will only reach the middle to upper 60s. Then by mid-week we quickly warm back into the middle 70s to lower 80s.
Thursday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
The few showers and thunderstorms that we did see during the overnight hours came to end early this morning. We had one thunderstorm reach severe limits in Throckmorton county last night. Quarter to golf ball size hail was reported.
A cold front moved through overnight as well. Cooler and drier air has filtered in behind it. We should see plenty of sunshine, but highs will only make it into the upper 60s to low 70s.
Windy conditions will be the main story not only today, but tomorrow too. West winds of 20 to 30 mph are expected today. A Wind Advisory is in effect for most of the area due to the strong winds which could gust as high as 40 mph during the day. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph are likely tomorrow. With relative humidity values expected to fall below 20% and dry conditions remaining, a Red Flag Warning is in effect for almost the entire area today. A Fire Weather Watch has already been issued for most of the Big Country for Friday. We need to continue to be careful with the high fire danger for the next couple of days. Please follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires. This includes things like not throwing cigarette butts out of the window and burning trash. You also want to be very careful with welding torches.
It looks like temperatures will remain well above average through the weekend. Our average high this time of year is in the upper 60s. Highs for Friday through Sunday should mainly be in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Changes come late Sunday night into early Monday in the form of another cold front. Unfortunately, no rain is expected with the frontal passage. Temperatures however will return closer to average for the late winter season.
Have a terrific Thursday!
The few showers and thunderstorms that we did see during the overnight hours came to end early this morning. We had one thunderstorm reach severe limits in Throckmorton county last night. Quarter to golf ball size hail was reported.
A cold front moved through overnight as well. Cooler and drier air has filtered in behind it. We should see plenty of sunshine, but highs will only make it into the upper 60s to low 70s.
Windy conditions will be the main story not only today, but tomorrow too. West winds of 20 to 30 mph are expected today. A Wind Advisory is in effect for most of the area due to the strong winds which could gust as high as 40 mph during the day. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph are likely tomorrow. With relative humidity values expected to fall below 20% and dry conditions remaining, a Red Flag Warning is in effect for almost the entire area today. A Fire Weather Watch has already been issued for most of the Big Country for Friday. We need to continue to be careful with the high fire danger for the next couple of days. Please follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires. This includes things like not throwing cigarette butts out of the window and burning trash. You also want to be very careful with welding torches.
It looks like temperatures will remain well above average through the weekend. Our average high this time of year is in the upper 60s. Highs for Friday through Sunday should mainly be in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Changes come late Sunday night into early Monday in the form of another cold front. Unfortunately, no rain is expected with the frontal passage. Temperatures however will return closer to average for the late winter season.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Wednesday, March 08, 2006
Thunderstorms Remain Possible
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
The dryline which commonly brings us severe weather during the Spring months fired off a couple of thunderstorms this afternoon. As for tonight, the dryline coupled with an upper-level disturbance will likely cause a few more thunderstorms.
Isolated severe storms will be possible with the best chance of severe weather just East of the Big Country.
After tonight, our rain chances look to be zero to none through the extended forecast.
A cold front will push through by morning bring strong, gusty West-Northwest winds for Thursday. Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches are in effect for the entire KRBC viewing area.
Friday through Sunday will bring sunny skies and high temperatures climbing back to near 80. Sunday could be another fire weather concern day as another upper-level system approaches the area.
That system will pull through a stronger shot of cooler air for Monday through Wednesday. Overnight lows will drop back down into the middle 30s for Tuesday morning.
The dryline which commonly brings us severe weather during the Spring months fired off a couple of thunderstorms this afternoon. As for tonight, the dryline coupled with an upper-level disturbance will likely cause a few more thunderstorms.
Isolated severe storms will be possible with the best chance of severe weather just East of the Big Country.
After tonight, our rain chances look to be zero to none through the extended forecast.
A cold front will push through by morning bring strong, gusty West-Northwest winds for Thursday. Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches are in effect for the entire KRBC viewing area.
Friday through Sunday will bring sunny skies and high temperatures climbing back to near 80. Sunday could be another fire weather concern day as another upper-level system approaches the area.
That system will pull through a stronger shot of cooler air for Monday through Wednesday. Overnight lows will drop back down into the middle 30s for Tuesday morning.
Thunderstorms Possible Today
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We started off mild this morning with temperatures in the upper 50s to mid 60s. It looks like it will be another warm afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80s. Windy conditions should continue with winds from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening thanks to the dryline that will move through the Big Country. Some of these storms could be severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Tornadoes do not look likely.
The chance for showers and thunderstorms continues tonight as a cold front gets pushed through the area by an upper level trough. Right now, the chance for rain is about 20% to 30%. The best chance of rain looks to be in the central and eastern portions of the viewing area. We'll keep an eye on things here in the weather center and let you know if anything becomes severe today or tonight.
Tomorrow should be cooler, but still mild. Highs will be in the low 70s. Windy conditions are expected with winds from the west-northwest at 20 to 30 mph. Low relative humidity values are likely, so a Fire Weather Watch is already in effect for most of the area for Thursday. We all need to be careful and continue to follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires.
Friday through Monday look nice with highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
We started off mild this morning with temperatures in the upper 50s to mid 60s. It looks like it will be another warm afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80s. Windy conditions should continue with winds from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening thanks to the dryline that will move through the Big Country. Some of these storms could be severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Tornadoes do not look likely.
The chance for showers and thunderstorms continues tonight as a cold front gets pushed through the area by an upper level trough. Right now, the chance for rain is about 20% to 30%. The best chance of rain looks to be in the central and eastern portions of the viewing area. We'll keep an eye on things here in the weather center and let you know if anything becomes severe today or tonight.
Tomorrow should be cooler, but still mild. Highs will be in the low 70s. Windy conditions are expected with winds from the west-northwest at 20 to 30 mph. Low relative humidity values are likely, so a Fire Weather Watch is already in effect for most of the area for Thursday. We all need to be careful and continue to follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires.
Friday through Monday look nice with highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Tuesday, March 07, 2006
Warm & Windy Tomorrow, Maybe a Thunderstorm
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Chalk up another beautiful day in the books today. Afternoon highs climbed into the lower to middle 80s areawide. About the only problem were the winds today, tomorrow, the winds will be a little stronger. There will also be an outside chance for an isolated thunderstorm as well.
As an upper level system moves through from the West tomorrow, a dryline will push through the Big Country tomorrow afternoon. There is a chance for a few isolated, severe thunderstorms as the dryline pushes through. Behind the dryline, expect Westerly winds picking up to 20 to 30 miles per hour and gusting even stronger.
Tomorrow night a cold front will push through that could produce a line of showers and possibly severe thunderstorms with strong winds and hail being the main threat if the storms come to pass.
By Thursday, all rain chances will become a thing of the past as high pressure begins to build in. Winds will remain breezy Thursday with very dry air at the surface. Because of this, the National Weather Service has already issued a Fire Weather Watch for Thursday. Knox County is under a Red Flag Warning for Wednesday.
The rest of the extended forecast will remain sunny with high temperatures in the upper 70s.
Chalk up another beautiful day in the books today. Afternoon highs climbed into the lower to middle 80s areawide. About the only problem were the winds today, tomorrow, the winds will be a little stronger. There will also be an outside chance for an isolated thunderstorm as well.
As an upper level system moves through from the West tomorrow, a dryline will push through the Big Country tomorrow afternoon. There is a chance for a few isolated, severe thunderstorms as the dryline pushes through. Behind the dryline, expect Westerly winds picking up to 20 to 30 miles per hour and gusting even stronger.
Tomorrow night a cold front will push through that could produce a line of showers and possibly severe thunderstorms with strong winds and hail being the main threat if the storms come to pass.
By Thursday, all rain chances will become a thing of the past as high pressure begins to build in. Winds will remain breezy Thursday with very dry air at the surface. Because of this, the National Weather Service has already issued a Fire Weather Watch for Thursday. Knox County is under a Red Flag Warning for Wednesday.
The rest of the extended forecast will remain sunny with high temperatures in the upper 70s.
Monday, March 06, 2006
Slight Chance of Strong Thunderstorms
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Warm and windy conditions will prevail for the next 48 hours or so across the area. Overnight lows tonight will only manage to dip to the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Tuesday afternoon expect high temperatures to climb back into the middle 80s with winds averaging 15 to 25 miles per hour out of the South.
Wednesday, things could change just a bit across the area as a deep trough in the upper levels of the atmosphere digs our direction. This trough will push a dryline through the Northern Big Country Wednesday afternoon and we could see a few isolated thunderstorms. As this trough pushes East, we could also see a couple of isolated thunderstorms on the back side of the trough.
This trough will then bring some cooler air in behind it, and also pull in drier, more stable air. By Thursday afternoon high temperatures will fall back into the lower 70s.
Friday through Monday mostly sunny skies will rule the area with afternoon highs in the middle to upper 70s.
Warm and windy conditions will prevail for the next 48 hours or so across the area. Overnight lows tonight will only manage to dip to the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Tuesday afternoon expect high temperatures to climb back into the middle 80s with winds averaging 15 to 25 miles per hour out of the South.
Wednesday, things could change just a bit across the area as a deep trough in the upper levels of the atmosphere digs our direction. This trough will push a dryline through the Northern Big Country Wednesday afternoon and we could see a few isolated thunderstorms. As this trough pushes East, we could also see a couple of isolated thunderstorms on the back side of the trough.
This trough will then bring some cooler air in behind it, and also pull in drier, more stable air. By Thursday afternoon high temperatures will fall back into the lower 70s.
Friday through Monday mostly sunny skies will rule the area with afternoon highs in the middle to upper 70s.
Friday, March 03, 2006
Pleasant Weekend Ahead
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Well, that isolated shower or thunderstorm chance came to pass overnight, the only problem was, there was not enough rainfall to be measurable at Abilene Regional Airport, nor was there enough to keep anything wet by sunrise in most spots.
There is still a slight to 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms through Saturday afternoon.
By Sunday rain chances come to an end and we are left with a fantastic Sunday afternoon. Partly cloudy skies and highs in the middle 70s, it really doesn't get much nicer than that. The only thing that would make it better would be rainfall, which we desperately need.
Speaking of rainfall, we will have a chance of thunderstorms beginning Tuesday afternoon and peaking Wednesday afternoon. The upper level pattern looks to become VERY conducive for strong thunderstorms developing Wednesday afternoon and evening. Still, we are 4 to 5 days out from then, so a lot can change between now and then. Of course, we will keep you updated on the forecast for possibly our first severe weather event of 2006.
After Wednesday sunny skies and warm conditions look to return for next Thursday and Friday.
Well, that isolated shower or thunderstorm chance came to pass overnight, the only problem was, there was not enough rainfall to be measurable at Abilene Regional Airport, nor was there enough to keep anything wet by sunrise in most spots.
There is still a slight to 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms through Saturday afternoon.
By Sunday rain chances come to an end and we are left with a fantastic Sunday afternoon. Partly cloudy skies and highs in the middle 70s, it really doesn't get much nicer than that. The only thing that would make it better would be rainfall, which we desperately need.
Speaking of rainfall, we will have a chance of thunderstorms beginning Tuesday afternoon and peaking Wednesday afternoon. The upper level pattern looks to become VERY conducive for strong thunderstorms developing Wednesday afternoon and evening. Still, we are 4 to 5 days out from then, so a lot can change between now and then. Of course, we will keep you updated on the forecast for possibly our first severe weather event of 2006.
After Wednesday sunny skies and warm conditions look to return for next Thursday and Friday.
Friday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We had another mild start to the day with temperatures bottoming out in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Mostly cloudy skies are expected today and that will keep temperatuers cooler than yesterday. Highs should make it into the low to mid 60s. Some showers and thunderstorms moved through portions of the area this morning. There is a 20% chance of more isolated showers and thunderstorms through the day and into tonight.
Saturday looks to be pretty similar today. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s thanks in part to winds from the southeast. It may be a little breezy at times. The 20% chance for rain will continue through the day.
A break from the rain is expected for Sunday and Monday despite a cold front moving through the area late on Sunday. Highs will be in the 70s on both days.
Things get a little interesting for Tuesday and Wednesday. It looks like we could see our first round of severe weather this season on those days. The dryline will likely be active during that time. Also, an upper level trough may be moving into the Lone Star state on Wednesday. The chance for these showers and thunderstorms stands at 20% for now. That could increase or even decrease as we get closer to those days. Be prepared for the possible severe weather and we'll continue to keep you updated.
Have a fantastic Friday!
We had another mild start to the day with temperatures bottoming out in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Mostly cloudy skies are expected today and that will keep temperatuers cooler than yesterday. Highs should make it into the low to mid 60s. Some showers and thunderstorms moved through portions of the area this morning. There is a 20% chance of more isolated showers and thunderstorms through the day and into tonight.
Saturday looks to be pretty similar today. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s thanks in part to winds from the southeast. It may be a little breezy at times. The 20% chance for rain will continue through the day.
A break from the rain is expected for Sunday and Monday despite a cold front moving through the area late on Sunday. Highs will be in the 70s on both days.
Things get a little interesting for Tuesday and Wednesday. It looks like we could see our first round of severe weather this season on those days. The dryline will likely be active during that time. Also, an upper level trough may be moving into the Lone Star state on Wednesday. The chance for these showers and thunderstorms stands at 20% for now. That could increase or even decrease as we get closer to those days. Be prepared for the possible severe weather and we'll continue to keep you updated.
Have a fantastic Friday!
Thursday, March 02, 2006
Severe Weather Season May Get Started Next Week
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
What a difference a day makes. Yesterday we were in the middle and upper 90s, today, middle 70s. Light showers have passed through the area as well. Unfortunately the rain has looked more impressive on radar than from the ground. Most if not all of the precipitation on Triple Doppler radar today has been what you call "virga," or rain that evaporates before reaching the ground. With the very dry air at the surface the rain just can't make the journey from the clouds to the ground.
In the short term rain chances will remain in the forecast through Saturday. That's the good news. I expect us to actually see some rain at the ground as well before all is said and done. We could see a couple of isolated thunderstorms as well beginning tonight. The sub-tropical jet stream has set-up above us. Periodic disturbances will pass and create enough lift for a couple of storms, nothing severe is expected this week.
Next week on the other hand, things could get a little dicey. Sunday looks pleasant with partly cloudy skies and highs back into the middle 70s. A cold front will push through Sunday evening. Monday looks nice as well with partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 60s.
By Tuesday through Thursday, our old friend, the dryline, could be back in service for the Spring. Strong upper-level dynamics look to setup beginning Tuesday. This could lead to isolated severe thunderstorms beginning Tuesday afternoon and evening.
According to the long range computer models are best chance for strong thunderstorms will be Wednesday night.
Remember we have a long time between now and then and I expect to make changes to this forecast. I just wanted to give you a heads up that Spring weather could be arriving fairly soon.
What a difference a day makes. Yesterday we were in the middle and upper 90s, today, middle 70s. Light showers have passed through the area as well. Unfortunately the rain has looked more impressive on radar than from the ground. Most if not all of the precipitation on Triple Doppler radar today has been what you call "virga," or rain that evaporates before reaching the ground. With the very dry air at the surface the rain just can't make the journey from the clouds to the ground.
In the short term rain chances will remain in the forecast through Saturday. That's the good news. I expect us to actually see some rain at the ground as well before all is said and done. We could see a couple of isolated thunderstorms as well beginning tonight. The sub-tropical jet stream has set-up above us. Periodic disturbances will pass and create enough lift for a couple of storms, nothing severe is expected this week.
Next week on the other hand, things could get a little dicey. Sunday looks pleasant with partly cloudy skies and highs back into the middle 70s. A cold front will push through Sunday evening. Monday looks nice as well with partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 60s.
By Tuesday through Thursday, our old friend, the dryline, could be back in service for the Spring. Strong upper-level dynamics look to setup beginning Tuesday. This could lead to isolated severe thunderstorms beginning Tuesday afternoon and evening.
According to the long range computer models are best chance for strong thunderstorms will be Wednesday night.
Remember we have a long time between now and then and I expect to make changes to this forecast. I just wanted to give you a heads up that Spring weather could be arriving fairly soon.
Thursday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
After setting a new record high of 95 yesterday, today will be much cooler. A cold front moved through the Big Country late last night and will bring our highs for today down into the upper 60s to low 70s. Breezy conditions are expected with winds from the northeast at 10 to 20 mph. We also have a 20% chance of some isolated showers, really more like sprinkles, through the day.
We could see more rain tonight through Saturday due to a couple of reasons. First, the cold front that passed us by will end up stalling south of the area near Interstate 10. Second, the subtropical jetstream will be in place near our area. Not only will it provide us some moisture, but a couple of upper level disturbances are expected to move along it and near the Big Country. These are the lifting mechanisms we will need to lift the moisture that should be in place. Right now, there is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs during this time period will be in the 60s.
It's possible that we could see more rain on Sunday, before a break from it on Monday. An upper level low may move into the area Tuesday or Wednesday. This could bring rain back into the picture for the middle portions of next week. For now, that rain chance is only slight. We'll just have to wait and see.
Have a terrific Thursday!
After setting a new record high of 95 yesterday, today will be much cooler. A cold front moved through the Big Country late last night and will bring our highs for today down into the upper 60s to low 70s. Breezy conditions are expected with winds from the northeast at 10 to 20 mph. We also have a 20% chance of some isolated showers, really more like sprinkles, through the day.
We could see more rain tonight through Saturday due to a couple of reasons. First, the cold front that passed us by will end up stalling south of the area near Interstate 10. Second, the subtropical jetstream will be in place near our area. Not only will it provide us some moisture, but a couple of upper level disturbances are expected to move along it and near the Big Country. These are the lifting mechanisms we will need to lift the moisture that should be in place. Right now, there is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs during this time period will be in the 60s.
It's possible that we could see more rain on Sunday, before a break from it on Monday. An upper level low may move into the area Tuesday or Wednesday. This could bring rain back into the picture for the middle portions of next week. For now, that rain chance is only slight. We'll just have to wait and see.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Wednesday, March 01, 2006
Wednesday Afternoon Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
As expected we experienced record breaking heat across the Big Country today. The thermometer is climbing because of the abundant sunshine and dry air in place. Plus, with a cold front approaching West Texas, compressional heating aided in warming us up as well.
Now, to that cold front. The front should arrive overnight tonight and bring gusty winds with it as it does. Winds will briefly pick up from 10 to 25 miles per hour as the front blows through. There is a slim chance of an isolated thunderstorm popping up tonight, but the chances are slim. The best chance will be just South and East of our area.
The good news is, moisture will return to the Big Country beginning Thursday and showers and thunderstorms will be possible Thursday through Saturday.
The cold front arriving tonight will become stationary and act as a focussing mechanism for precipitation. I am only expecting very isolated chances for rain, and light totals, but hey, it's a chance for rain.
Sunday, another cold front arrives and this one looks to push out most of the moisture from the area. The good news is, some models are hinting at this next front going stationary as well, which could bring us rain chances again by next Tuesday and Wednesday.
As expected we experienced record breaking heat across the Big Country today. The thermometer is climbing because of the abundant sunshine and dry air in place. Plus, with a cold front approaching West Texas, compressional heating aided in warming us up as well.
Now, to that cold front. The front should arrive overnight tonight and bring gusty winds with it as it does. Winds will briefly pick up from 10 to 25 miles per hour as the front blows through. There is a slim chance of an isolated thunderstorm popping up tonight, but the chances are slim. The best chance will be just South and East of our area.
The good news is, moisture will return to the Big Country beginning Thursday and showers and thunderstorms will be possible Thursday through Saturday.
The cold front arriving tonight will become stationary and act as a focussing mechanism for precipitation. I am only expecting very isolated chances for rain, and light totals, but hey, it's a chance for rain.
Sunday, another cold front arrives and this one looks to push out most of the moisture from the area. The good news is, some models are hinting at this next front going stationary as well, which could bring us rain chances again by next Tuesday and Wednesday.
Wednesday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
After tying a record high of 88 yesterday, it looks like we will be setting a new record high today. The record for this date at Abilene Regional Airport is 86 set back in 1899. That 107 year old record should be shattered with highs in the low 90s. If you like these summer-like conditions, enjoy them because changes begin tonight.
The elevated fire danger will continue today due to hot temperatures, low relative humidity values, and breezy winds. Please remember to follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires.
A cold front should arrive tonight. This will cool temperatures back down to the low 70s for highs on Thursday. This front looks to stall south of the area and hang around for a few days. Moisture will stream into the area from the Gulf of Mexico. We also look to get some Pacific Ocean moisture from the subtropical jetstream since it will be moving into the area. A few upper level disturbances are projected to move near the Big Country during the Thursday through Saturday time period. This, as well as the cold front, will act as the lifting mechanisms for this moisture causing some showers and thunderstorms. Right now, the chance for rain is 20% to 40%.
Another cold front is expected to arrive early on Sunday and reenforce the cooler air that will already be in the area. Highs should be in the mid to upper 60s. More disturbance may head our way late Sunday and early next week. This means that we could see more showers and thunderstorms. For now, I am only going with a slight chance of rain during that time period. We'll take whatever we can get from these rain possiblities over the next week because we need it.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
After tying a record high of 88 yesterday, it looks like we will be setting a new record high today. The record for this date at Abilene Regional Airport is 86 set back in 1899. That 107 year old record should be shattered with highs in the low 90s. If you like these summer-like conditions, enjoy them because changes begin tonight.
The elevated fire danger will continue today due to hot temperatures, low relative humidity values, and breezy winds. Please remember to follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires.
A cold front should arrive tonight. This will cool temperatures back down to the low 70s for highs on Thursday. This front looks to stall south of the area and hang around for a few days. Moisture will stream into the area from the Gulf of Mexico. We also look to get some Pacific Ocean moisture from the subtropical jetstream since it will be moving into the area. A few upper level disturbances are projected to move near the Big Country during the Thursday through Saturday time period. This, as well as the cold front, will act as the lifting mechanisms for this moisture causing some showers and thunderstorms. Right now, the chance for rain is 20% to 40%.
Another cold front is expected to arrive early on Sunday and reenforce the cooler air that will already be in the area. Highs should be in the mid to upper 60s. More disturbance may head our way late Sunday and early next week. This means that we could see more showers and thunderstorms. For now, I am only going with a slight chance of rain during that time period. We'll take whatever we can get from these rain possiblities over the next week because we need it.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
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