Tuesday, November 29, 2005

Windy Conditions Return Tomorrow

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Sorry for the late update today. We started off cold this morning. In fact it was the coldest morning of the season so far in Abilene and Brownwood. Here in Abilene we started off at 22, while in Brownwood temperatures bottomed out at 21. It was a cool afternoon across the Big Country with highs only reaching the upper 40s to low 50s. Cold temperatures are expected again tonight with lows in the upper 20s to low 30s.

Tomorrow will be much different than today. Highs will reach the upper 60s to low 70s with windy conditions. Winds are expected to be from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts possible. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for most of the viewing area for Wednesday. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for Stephens, Eastland, and Commanche counties for tomorrow. This means you should put off any outdoor burning plans you may have had. We see these types of watches and warnings when we have low relative humidity values, gusty winds, and dry conditions.

The roller coaster ride of temperatures continues Thursday through Sunday. A cold front will move through tomorrow night and cool temperatures back down for Thursday. Highs should be in the mid to upper 50s. Unfortunately, no rain is expected with this front. We warm back up quickly on Friday and Saturday with highs in the low 70s. Yet another cold front is expected to arrive Saturday night into Sunday morning. No rain is expected with this front either. Highs should be in the mid to upper 50s for Sunday.

Have a terrific Tuesday evening and a wonderful Wednesday!

Monday, November 28, 2005

Monday Evening Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Nothing much to add to my discussion from this morning. It still looks like we'll see below freezing temperatures tonight across the area. Lows in the mid to upper 20s are expected. Put an extra blanket on the bed and protect your pets, plants, and pipes.

Temperatures will be like a roller coaster this week. We'll warm up tomorrow to the upper 50s. Highs should be in the upper 60s by Wednesday with breezy conditions. A cold front moving through the area late Wednesday night into early Thursday morning brings highs back down to the upper 50s for Thursday. We'll warm up into the upper 60s for Friday and Saturday. No rain is expected for the next five days.

Have a marvelous Monday evening!

Not As Windy Today

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off chilly this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 30s. Today, we'll warm up close to our seasonal average for this time of year with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s. I have good news and bad news as far as winds go for today. The good news is that it won't be as windy today as it was yesterday. The bad news is that it will still be breezy. Winds from the west-northwest at 10 to 20 mph are expected.

Optimal raditional cooling conditions are setting up for tonight. We'll have clear skies, light winds, and a dry airmass. This means it should be cold tonight. Lows in the mid to upper 20s are expected, so protect your pets, plants, and pipes.

The rest of the week looks to be fairly quiet. Tuesday and Wednesday will be mostly sunny with highs in the 60s. A cold front is expected to move into the Big Country late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Highs on Thursday should only reach the mid to upper 50s. A quick warm up will likely occur on Friday with highs in the mid 60s.

It looks like November 2005 will go down as one of the driest we have ever experienced. A trace of rainfall was recorded at Abilene Regional Airport yesterday. That trace is all we have seen this month at the airport. If we don't receive another drop of rain before the month ends, this November will tie four others as the 2nd driest November on record. Hopefully this dry trend will end soon, however it doesn't look good for at least the next week.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Sunday, November 27, 2005

5:45 p.m., Sunday, November 27th, 2005

From meteorologist Jason Myers......


A messy day for traveling with wind gusts ranging from 40 to 50 mph across the Big Country. The high winds are the result of a tight pressure gradient due to a strong low pressure system that is moving across the Great Plains of the U.S. There is a cold front with this low pressure system that moved across the Big Country in the early afternoon hours. This cold front will bring temperatures down 10 to 20 degrees from what they were on Saturday. Morning low temperatures on Monday will be in the lower 30s so take the jacket with you. Monday's high will only reach 59 degrees for Abilene, so it will be much cooler than what we've seen lately for a high temperature. Low temperatures Monday night into Tuesday morning will drop below the freezing mark for much of the Big Country due to clear skies and light winds aiding in radiational cooling, and cold air in place.
Another cold front will approach the Big Country on Thursday with highs falling back down into the upper 50s for Thursday and Friday.
Due to dry air in place, there will not be any significant chances for rain.


On a side note, tropical storm Delta is close to reaching hurricane status with winds at 70 mph. Delta is about 600 miles west of Africa heading to the northeast at 26 mph. Here's the latest from the National Hurricane Center:

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS DELTA LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER COOLER WATERS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...29.0 N... 28.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.

Have a great week and be careful driving tonight.

Saturday, November 26, 2005

6:30 pm - Saturday, November 26th

From meteorologist Jason Myers.......


Another warm day in November with a high of 75 degrees...14 degrees above what we would expect for this time of the year. A cold front is on the way, and will pass through the Big Country late Sunday morning into the early afternoon. This cold front will not bring any precipitation with it because of all the dry air in place, yet it will bring high winds. There is a Wind Advisory for much of the Big Country from 9 am to 5 pm Sunday, meaning that caution needs to be used with any driving due to wind gusts that could reach up to 40 or 50 mph.

There is also a Red Flag Warning, which means that fires could easily get out of hand due to the high winds, dry air, and warm temperatures. Please do not burn anything tomorrow because of the Red Flag Warning which is effect from 9 am to 5 pm. Cooler temperatures will stay with us this week after the cold front passes. Overnight temperatures Sunday into Monday, and Monday into Tuesday will get down into the lower 30s, with a few areas reaching the freezing mark. It will be important to the the jacket with you this week, and a windbreaker for Sunday.

Friday, November 25, 2005

10:35 p.m. Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

First off, our congratulations to the Abilene High football team on an outstanding season.

A few isolated showers will be possible early Saturday... After that, the dry pattern returns.

We will clear out shower-wise and cloud-wise from West to East during the day Saturday. Winds will be a bit breezy, running 10 to 20 miles per hour.

By Sunday, an area of low pressure will develop over Northern Oklahoma, this will tighten up the pressure gradient over West Central Texas. When this happens, hold on to your hats... Wind speeds will increase to 20 - 30 miles per hour sustained Sunday. Gusts could run 40-50 miles per hour. If the winds due get to the forecasted strength, blowing dirt and dust will be possible Sunday and Sunday afternoon.

We will see a couple of decent shot of colder air this next week, with a couple of freezes possible.

The only problem, we will remain dry for the foreseeable future after Saturday.

Let The Holiday Shopping Season Begin

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Good morning. I hope all of you had a wonderful Thanksgiving. Today is the day many shoppers have been waiting for. It's Black Friday and that means there are a lot of bargins out there. In case you are wondering, there are only 30 shopping days left until Christmas. If you are going out this morning, you will want to wear a jacket or coat as temperatures will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Seasonal temperatures are expected this afternoon with highs in the low 60s. That temperature is very dependant on how much cloud cover we see today. If we have a lot of clouds we may not make it out of the 50s, and if we see more sun than clouds then we may warm up into the mid to upper 60s.

The upper level low we have been talking about all week is in northern Mexico this morning. It is expected to move across south Texas later today and tonight. With moisture being brought into the area from this system as well as the subtropical jetstream, we may see some showers and thunderstorms tonight and into early tomorrow. Overall, I'm going with a 20% chance of rain tonight and a 30% chance tomorrow. The best chance of rain in our area will be south of I-20. Rain chances are higher in south Texas for tonight and tomorrow. This means if you are heading to the Abilene High football game in Waco you will need to bring the rain gear. It could be a little messy. Since we could see some rain across portions of the state tonight and tomorrow, you will want to be careful on the roadways. It has been a while since we have seen some rain and the roadways will likely be slick. Lows tonight will be in the low 50s.

Another storm system will move across the panhandle and into Oklahoma on Sunday. We shouldn't see any rain, but it will probably be windy. Winds could be at least 20 to 30 mph. Highs will be above average in the mid to upper 70s.

Cooler temperatures arrive on Monday with a cold front. Highs are expected to be in the low 60s. Tuesday should even cooler with highs only in the mid 50s. No rain is expected with the front.

It looks like our only chance of rain before the end of November is tonight and Saturday. If no rain falls at Abilene Regional Airport before the month ends, then we will have gone through all of November with no rain in the rain bucket. This would tie the record for the driest November. The last time we went with no rain in the month was back in 1949. Hopefully, we will get some rain and not have to worry about tying this record.

Have a fantastic Friday and a wonderful weekend!

Thursday, November 24, 2005

Changes on the way...

Happy Thanksgiving from Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi and the entire Triple Doppler team of meteorologists!

After a weak cold front passed through the Big Country today, our high temperatures were generally a good 10 degrees cooler. Expect another 10 degrees cooler Friday with highs only in the upper 50's to lower 60's.

We can also expect to see at least a few showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country Friday evening and overnight into Saturday as well.

The best chances, as mentioned before, will be in the Eastern and Southeastern portions of the viewing area.

By Saturday afternoon skies will clear and we will warm back up into the lower 70's.

Sunday will be windy and warm with West-Southwesterly winds running 15 to 20 miles per hour and high temperatures in the middle to upper 70's.

Next week we will return to a more fall-like pattern, with the polar jet stream taking a rather large dip into the Central and Southern Plains. This trough will bring us more dry weather, but more importantly, much colder weather.

Wednesday, November 23, 2005

Happy Thanksgiving!

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Before we go to the weather... I would like to wish you and yours a very happy and safe Thanksgiving Holiday weekend.

A cold front will arrive early in the day Thursday. This front will cool our temperatures back down to below normal by Friday. Thanksgiving will see high temperatures in the middle to upper 60's. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy as mid-level and upper level moisture continues to pour into the Big Country from the Southwest.

By late Friday, showers and thunderstorms will be possible, mainly across the Eastern and Southeastern viewing area. The upper-level system we've been talking about the past few days will pass to the South of us, brining the best chances of rain to those areas. We can't rule out a few showers across the Central and Western Big Country, but unfortunately, the chances do not look as good.

Rain chances will continue early in the day Saturday, but by Saturday evening much drier air will filter into the viewing area ending rain chances for quite awhile.

Please, go out and make it a GREAT and HAPPY THANKSGIVING!

Terrific Turkey Day Weather On Tap For Us

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Temperatures to start off this morning were similar to yesterday. Lows ranged from the upper 20s to mid 40s. If you are traveling today, you shouldn't have any weather problems across the Big Country or pretty much the entire state. Highs in our area will be in the mid to upper 70s, which is well above average for this time of year. If you are traveling somewhere else in the country today, the only area where you will likely see some delays is in the Great Lake and northeastern states. There will be some snow and rain in those areas.

Thanksgiving Day, or Turkey Day, will be beautiful. A cold front is expected to move through the area, but no rain is expected. Skies should be partly cloudy with highs in the low 70s. This means you can either watch football inside or play some outside.

For those of you who will be out and about for this biggest shopping day of the year on Friday, you will probably want at least a jacket in the morning and possibly throughout the day. We'll begin the day with temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s. It looks like temperatures will only reach the low to mid 60s for highs.

An upper level low off the coast of California is still expected to move close to the Big Country on Saturday. The only change is that some models are indicating that this system may move to the south of us. It seems like each day the computer models are adjusting the path of this low. It's still a little early to tell exactly how much we'll be impacted by this system. For now, I'm going with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms for Saturday and highs in the low 60s.

There's also a 20% chance of rain on Sunday due to another upper level low moving close to the area. This one looks to move in from the northwest. While you shouldn't have much in the way of weather problems for your travel today, coming back this weekend may be a different story. It could be messy, so you will need to be careful on your return travel.

Have a safe and happy Thanksgiving holiday!

Tuesday, November 22, 2005

The Computer is Back!

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

As you probably saw tonight, my weather graphics computer has returned! Thanks to our engineers who worked hard, Carlos, Jerome to name a couple... And to Brandon Rector... Those folks got the computer back to normal this morning...

On to our weather, more warmth for the next couple of afternoons. Travel weather looks great for Wednesday across the Lone Star State.

The changes in our weather pattern will begin as early as Wednesday though. We will begin to see a few more clouds around the area. Mainly an upper level cirrus deck. These clouds will keep our overnight low temperatures a little milder.

On Thanksgiving a cold front will push through the Big Country and afternoon highs Friday will return to below normal.

After that, we will turn our attention to an upper level low pressure system that will aid in bringing in more moisture and lift for showers and thunderstorms beginning Saturday. Right now I'm calling for a 30% chance of showers. That chance will coninue through Monday with another system pulling in behind the first.

I'm still not convinced we will see a drenching from these systems, but I think we will at least see a few showers over the weekend. Either way, streets will be very slick as you drive to or from your holiday destinations. We have not seen measurable precipitation at Abilene Regional Airport since October 31. When we finally do get some rain, that rain will lift all of the dirt and grease on the roadways back up to the surface making things a little slicker than usual.

That, combined with the added travelers on the roads, could make this driving home from your holiday destination this weekend a little more dangerous on the roadways. Please use extra caution, give yourself extra time, and if you do run into wet roads, please slow down.

Mild Temperatures Continue

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The good news is that the graphics computer that Craig mentioned in last night's update is working this morning. Hopefully it will continue to work properly. We started off chilly this morning with lows mainly in the mid 30s to low 40s. Brownwood was the exception as they bottomed out at 28. Everyone will see mild and pleasant conditions this afternoon with highs in the low to mid 70s. Tonight should not be as chilly with lows mainly in the low to mid 40s. Brownwood could reach the mid 30s.

It should be a beautiful day to travel around the Big Country tomorrow. Mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 70s are expected. It still looks like most of the country will be okay for travel. The only places where you will likely have some delays is in the Great Lakes, Ohio River Valley, and the northeastern states. The beautiful weather continues on Thanksgiving. Highs should be a couple degrees cooler than Wednesday with mostly sunny skies.

Changes look to begin on Friday. A cold front is expected to move through the area and cool us down quite a bit from what we have experienced lately. Highs may only reach the low to mid 60s with partly cloudy skies. If you are going to be heading out early in the day for all of those big sales at the stores, I would suggest wearing long sleeves and a jacket. Temperatures that morning should be in the upper 30s to low 40s.

It still looks like we may see some rain this weekend and early next week. Some computer models are indicating that the cut-off upper level low off the coast of California will move into the Big Country by Saturday. As I mentioned yesterday, these type of lows have had a tendency to move to our north lately as they approach the Lone Star State. Right now, I'm going with a 30% chance of rain for Saturday. That percentage could go up, down, or stay the same over the next few days. We'll continue to monitor the situation throughout the week and keep you updated.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, November 21, 2005

Major Computer Problems

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

First off, I apologize for the late update tonight. We have had some major computer problems in the weather center. Nothing that affects our forecasting, but the computer that displays our graphics on the air.

Which, brings up an interesting point. Aren't computers amazing? Right now, at 12:00 a.m. Central, I'm watching a technician in PA work on my computer. They "dial" into the computer and move the mouse and open programs and run the computer just like I can. They've been working on it all day long.

And after I couldn't get a sinlge graphic on TV during either the 6 or 10 p.m. newscasts, by 6 a.m. Tuesday morning you will see the weather just like you did this morning. All because of the folks in PA "dialing" into the system and fixing it. Amazing.

As for our weather, high pressure will dominate over the next few days keeping us Sunny & Warm through Thanksgiving.

After that, we'll be watching an upper level system approach from the West. That system could bring us our first measurable rainfall in Abilene since October 31.

A lot could change between now and Saturday, so "stay tuned."

Mild Temperature Ahead

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was a cold start to the day across most of the Big Country this morning. Brownwood bottomed out at 25, while Abilene dropped to 30. The low in Snyder this morning was 32, while Sweetwater only managed to fall to 39. Everyone will warm up nicely this afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 60s. Temperatures should not be as cold tonight with lows in the mid to upper 30s. Some low-lying areas could see lows in the low 30s. Tuesday looks nice and mild with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.

For those of you traveling around the Big Country on Wednesday, you should have pleasant conditions. Highs will be in the mid to upper 70s with mostly sunny skies continuing. If you are planning on traveling to another part of the United States on Wednesday, the weather is looking pretty good just about everywhere. The exception will be in the Great Lakes, Ohio River Valley, and the northeast. Right now, it looks like rain and snow will be occurring in those areas so there might be some travel delays.

Thanksgiving Day, or as I like to sometimes call it Turkey Day, will be beautiful. Mostly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 70s are expected. It looks like you'll be able to watch football inside or play some outside. If you are already looking forward to Friday and all those big sales at all the stores, you shouldn't have any problems with the weather. You'll probably need a jacket or at least some long sleeves in the morning with temperatures in the mid 40s to start off the day. By the afternoon, highs should be in the low to mid 70s.

We might see some rain this weekend. A cut-off low is expected to form off the coast of California this week and move east towards us. I'm not completely sold on us getting rainfall yet because of our past history with these types of lows. We'll continue to watch the situation and keep you updated through the week. For now though, enjoy the beautiful weather.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Sunday, November 20, 2005

Sunday Evening Update

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

After a chilly start to the day with a low of 32 degrees, temperatures warmed up nicely to 60 degrees thanks to plenty of sunshine. Temperatures tonight will once again drop to a chilly 36 degrees, yet Monday will be a mild day with a high of 68 degrees; again due to high pressure dominating over Texas, giving us mostly sunny skies. The rest of the week will be very mild. Morning lows will start off chilly with lows in the lower 40s Tuesday through Friday. Highs will range in the upper 60s to lower 70s for the rest of the week. Thanksgiving Day will be very nice across Texas with a high of 72 degrees in Abilene, and mostly sunny skies. There is a 20% chance for some rain Saturday and Sunday, during Thanksgiving weekend. We'll have to see if those rain chances become more significant as we get closer to next weekend.

Tropical Depression Gamma is getting ripped apart by upper level winds. Gamma does not look to be a problem for Florida. From the National Hurricane Center:
THE 10 PM EST POSITION...17.2 N... 85.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

Enjoy the mild week!

Saturday, November 19, 2005

Cool Sunday....Mild Work Week

From meteorologist Jason Myers.......

As of 6:00 p.m., clouds are moving back into the Big Country, which should help temperatures from falling to the freezing mark tonight. Today, a cold front moved through West Central Texas, moving through Abilene around 1:30 p.m. However, temperatures were still able to make it up into the lower 60s with the help of sunshine. The gusty winds that have been blowing up plenty of dust today, should start to diminish overnight. The clouds will stay with us on Sunday, giving us partly cloudy skies and a high in the upper 50s. High pressure will really dominate this week, giving the Big Country mostly sunny skies Monday through Thanksgiving Day. Temperatures Monday through Thanksgiving will range in the mid 60s to lower 70s, making for a very comfortable week temperature-wise.

Tropical Storm Gamma looks to weaken as upper level winds are already tearing the storm apart. Winds currently are 45 mph, with the storm moving slowly to the north at 2 mph. Because of the upper level winds, strengthening should not happen, and the storm should be picked up by the strong cold front that is moving across the U.S., and that moved across the Big Country today.

Have a great rest of the weekend, and take the jacket with you in the mornings and for the evenings, even though the daytime temperatures may be a little more milder this week.

Friday, November 18, 2005

Friday 6:45 p.m.

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

More average weather on tap for the Big Country over the next several days.

The pattern we are in right now, with a ridge to our West and a trough to our East, sets us up with a Northwest flow in the upper levels of the atmosphere. With that flow, storm systems will pass well to our North and East, but they will bring in shots of cooler air to the Big Country as they pass by.

These shots of cooler, drier air will keep our temperatures from climbing above normal, and will also keep us rain free.

We have not recorded any measurable rainfall at Abilene Regional Airport since October 31st. I know it's still very early, but Abilene has only once recorded an entire month of November with no rainfall, and that was in 1949.

Let's hope we don't tie that record.

Wonderful Weekend On Tap For Us

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off with chilly temperatures across the Big Country this morning. Lows were in the mid to upper 30s. A weak cold front will move through the area later this morning and into the early afternoon hours. This front should only cool us down a little bit and shift our winds to the north today. Highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s.

If you are going to a high school playoff football game tonight, you will want to bundle up. Temperatures will likely be in the upper 40s to low 50s around kick-off time. As your heading home, temperatures should be in the low to mid 40s. Overnight lows should be in the mid to upper 30s with winds from the south at 5 to 10 mph.

Another cold front is expected to move through the Big Country tomorrow. Highs should still reach the low to mid 60s. It may be a little breezy at times with winds beginning from the southwest then shifting to the north at 10 to 15 mph. No rain is expected with this front. We will see cooler temperatures on Sunday with highs in the mid to upper 50s.

A quick warm-up is likely on Monday with highs in the mid to upper 60s before another cold front cools us back down on Tuesday. No rain is expected with this front either. Our next chance of rain might come towards the end of next week. It all depends on how a cut-off low off the west coast moves during the upcoming days. We'll keep you updated.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, November 17, 2005

11:30 p.m. Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Not much to add to previous forecasts so I'll keep it simple.

More of the same for the next few days. A weak cold front will arrive Friday morning across the Big Country bringing a light Northerly wind. Afternoon highs should only reach the upper 50s to lower 60s.

I'm not expecting a freeze through the extended forecast as of tonight. Just a few more weak, dry cold fronts.

Our next change in this pattern looks to possible come Thanksgiving or the day after. We could see a cutoff low work its way in the from the West and possibly bring us a chance of rain. I'm not very excited about this right now. Either way, I do expect a stronger cold front by Friday that will at least bring another light freeze to the area. We'll just have to wait and see on those rain chances.

3:30 p.m. Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

The National Weather Service has issued a Red Flag Warning until 5:00 p.m. for the following counties... (Text in red, all caps, from the National Weather Service)

FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-TAYLOR-

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONSARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

The breezy winds we are experiencing right now will die off after sunset. With that, the fire danger will drop off as well.

Temperatures will fall as well, although I am not expecting a freeze area wide.

I'll have more on our forecast a little bit later.

Below Average Temperatures Continue

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had another cold start to the day this morning across the entire area. Lows were mainly in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Brownwood, however, bottomed out at 21. The reason why Brownwood was so much colder was due to the fact that the winds were calm. Everyone else had winds from the south at 5 to 15 mph. This was keeping the air mixed around the rest of the Big Country, which meant temperatures could not fall as much. Today will be a little warmer than yesterday with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s. It may also be breezy at times with winds from the south at 10 to 15 mph. It should be chilly tonight, but not as cold as the previous two nights. Lows will be in the mid 30s with southeast winds at 5 to 10 mph. Any locations that have calm winds in the early morning hours could see colder temperatures. This means that freezing conditions could again take place in some locations. You may want to wait one more night before putting anything sensitive to freezing back outside.

A weak cold front is expected to move through on Friday, which will barely cool temperatures down and shift our winds back to the north. Highs should be in the mid to upper 50s. A quick warm up will likely occur on Saturday before another cold front arrives late that night into early Sunday morning. No rain is expected with Friday or Saturday's front, so we look to remain dry through at least the end of the week. Highs on Saturday should be in low to mid 60s with highs on Sunday in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, November 16, 2005

Late Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

First off, I'd like to apologize for the late update. It's been a crazy day for me today. I know, excuses, excuses... I have been running around crazy all day...

Another chilly night tonight, with a light frost across the area. Central Texas and the Hill Country will see colder temperatures because the center of the ridge of High pressure is more directly over you. Lows tonight should be in the middle to upper 20s for us.

Thursday looks to be much warmer courtesy of a stronger southerly flow. As the ridge continues to shift east, winds will begin to pick up out of the south. Expect breezy conditions across the area with highs right around 60 degrees. There will certainly be a chill to the air, but not quite as much as previous days.

Right now it looks like we are beginning a fairly boring weather pattern. We will see another cold front pass through Saturday into Sunday. As with previous fronts, we will remain dry. This front will only reinforce the cooler air in place, and not knock us back down below freezing I don't expect.

The next stronger cold front may arrive in time for Thanksgiving next week.

Unfortunately, we look to remain dry through the next 7-10 days.

Warmer Temperatures Will Be Here Soon

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had our first freeze of the season this morning. Temperatures bottomed out in the upper 20s to 30 across the area. High pressure will remain in control over the next couple of days, so we should see mostly sunny skies. A cool afternoon is on tap for us with highs in the mid to upper 50s. The good news is that it won't be as windy today. North winds at 5 to 10 mph are expected. Freezing temperatures will likely return tonight with lows in the low 30s. A few spots may reach the upper 20s. You should go ahead and protect your pets, plants, pipes, and anything else sensitive to freezing again tonight.

With winds shifting back to the south for Thursday through Saturday, temperatures will warm up a little bit. Highs are expected to be in the low to mid 60s and lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Another cold front still looks to arrive late Saturday night into Sunday morning. This front is expected to be weak and should only cool us down a few degrees. It will likely be yet another dry frontal passage for us. We still haven't had any measurable rainfall at Abilene Regional Airport for the month of November. Our last measureable rainfall at the airport occurred on Halloween.

A quick look at the tropics reveals that Tropical Depression #27 has lost its closed circulation. This is according to the 10 a.m. EST (9 a.m. CST) advisory from the National Hurricane Center. They will be keeping an eye on it to see if the system is able to regenerate. All of this means that the depression has weakend back to a tropical wave or disturbance that will be watched closely.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, November 15, 2005

5:30 p.m. Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Get ready for some bitterly cold temperatures overnight tonight.
Here is today's freeze warning issued by The National Weather Service:

Old Link Removed
A cold front has ushered in arctic air into the Big Country this afternoon and tonight. This is a very dry airmass. We had the strong gusty winds throughout the day today, now, depending on what time the winds diminish tonight, will depend on how cold it gets tonight.

I am expecting winds to calm down between 4 and 7 am wedensday morning. With that, Ii expect lows to bottom out to 21 in Snyder, 23 in Sweetwater, 24 in Abilene and 27 in
Brownwood.

Please remember to bring your pets indoors tonight. This will be a hard freeze with temperatures below freezing for more than 4 hours. Also, bring in or cover any tender vegetation. Remember to wrap all exterior exposed pipes. If you do not have one of those covers sold at area hardware and retail stores, an old sock can do the trick. Simply stuff one end as far into the pipe as possible, and wrap the remaining portion of the sock completely around the exposed pipe.

Please use extra caution if using a space heater for warmth, remember to turn it off before you go to sleep, and when it is turned on, keep it at least 3 feet from any fabric or furniture.

If you are turning on your heater for the first time tonight, remember, a burning smell at first is ok as the heater burns the dust off. If the burning smell lasts for more than an hour, or if you see any smoke of any kind, call 9-1-1 imeddiately!

We will warm back into the middle 50s wednesday. With one more light freeze of 31 thursday morning.

Don't forget your pets tonight!

The Arctic Cold Front Has Arrived

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

The big cold front that we have been talking about since last week arrived in the northern portions of the area around 4 a.m. this morning. By 7:30 a.m., the front had moved past Brownwood. Everyone has already seen their high temperatures for today. They occurred between midnight and the very early morning hours. Highs in the low to mid 60s is what will officially go down in the record books for today. However, temperatures will mainly fall throughout the day into the 50s and eventually the 40s by this afternoon. A wind advisory or high wind warning is in effect for the entire area. Winds will be from the north at 15 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 45 mph. Since we have been dry for the past two weeks, we can expect to see some blowing dust and dirt. With a dry airmass in place behind the cold front and strong winds, there will be an increased fire danger for today. You will need to put off any outdoor burning you may have had planned.

A freeze warning is in effect for the entire area tonight and early tomorrow morning. Lows will be in the mid to upper 20s, so you need to make preparations now for our first freeze of the season. Go ahead and protect your pets, plants, pipes, and anything else that is sensitive to freezing conditions. Cool temperatures will continue tomorrow afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Thursday through Saturday look nice with temperatures still below average for this time of year. Mostly sunny skies are expected with highs in the low to mid 60s. Lows will likely be in the mid 30s to low 40s. Another cold front is expected to arrive sometime Saturday night or Sunday morning. This front does not look as strong as the one we had move through today. It should basically re-enforce the cool air we will already have in place. It also looks like this will be yet another dry frontal passage.

A quick update on the latest tropical system. Tropical Depression 27 is still moving west-northwest through the Carribean Sea. It should stay on that path for the next couple of days. Some strengthening is also possible over the next couple of days. We'll continue to keep you updated.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, November 14, 2005

9:00 p.m. Update on Cold Front

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

The cold front looks to be on schedule, if not running a little ahead of schedule to arrive in the Central Big Country by 7:00 a.m.

As of right now the frontal system has pushed through Denver, CO where they are reporting snow with a temperature of 28 degrees and North winds at 20 mph and gusting to 28 mph.

Although we won't be seeing any snow, or any other form of precipitation, we will have to deal with blowing dust and dirt. If you, or anyone you know have breathing problems, I would advise staying indoors for the majority of the day Tuesday with all windows and vents closed.

Also, since we have been dry since October 31st, fire dangers will be very high tomorrow. With the strong winds, 20-30mph and gusting up to 50mph, any fire could get out of control in a hurry. So please, no outside burning of any kind tomorrow, and even though you should never throw a cigarette butt out, tomorrow is certainly a day to not. One ember could start a huge fire that would be difficult, if not impossible to control.

One more freeze warning has been issued for Stonewall county. Click the following link for the complete advisory from The National Weather Service in Lubbock.

Old Link Removed

Cold Weather Update (3:20 p.m. Monday)

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

The National Weather Service has issued numerous advisories because of the cold front that will be arriving early Tuesday. Besides the cold air and first freeze of the season, fire danger will be increased as well. Since we have been so dry as of late, the strong winds combined with the very dry air will create a very dangerous situation. The following links will take you to the official advisories from the National Weather Service...

Old Links Removed

More on the timing of the arrival of the cold front later...

Coldest Air Of The Season (So Far) Almost Here

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off a bit chilly this morning with temperatures in the upper 30s to upper 40s across the area. It looks like we'll have mild, above-average temperatures this afternoon with highs in the mid 70s. Enjoy it because major changes are expected tomorrow. Our first Arctic cold front of the season should arrive by Tuesday morning. Highs will be reached early in the day and they will likely be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Temperatures should drop by the afternoon hours once the front has passed by and the cold, dry air begins filtering into the Big Country. A wind advisory is in effect for most of the area for Tuesday because winds are expected to be from the north at 20 to 30 mph. There could be some gusts of 35 to 40 mph.

It looks like we will see our first freeze Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. In fact a freeze watch is already in effect for most of the area for that time period. Go ahead and make preparations now for your pets, plants, pipes and anything else that is sensitive to freezing conditions. Lows should be in the mid 20s to around 30. This first freeze of the season would be a few days ahead of our average first freeze which is November 19. Wednesday through Friday should be nice and cool with mostly sunny skies. Highs are expected to be in the mid 50s to low 60s and lows in the mid 30s to around 40.

We will probably add another tropical storm to the list in what has already been a historic 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. According to the 11 a.m. AST advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Depression number 27 has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and is moving to the west-northwest at 7 mph. It is located in the eastern Carribean Sea moving away from the Windward Islands. The latest projections have this system becoming a tropical storm later today or tomorrow and moving west across the Carribean Sea. If T.D. # 27 becomes a tropical storm, it will be named Gamma and would be the 24th named storm of the season. We'll continue to keep you updated.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Sunday, November 13, 2005

Cooler Week....Hurricane Season Not Over

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

A very nice fall day across the Big Country with a high of 69 degrees for Abilene after starting off with a morning low of 47 degrees. Some scattered clouds are currently over the Big Country and will stay with us over the next two days, giving us partly cloudy skies. A cold front moved through earlier today and helped keep the temperatures cooler. Cool air will stay in place tomorrow with highs only reaching the lower 70s. Monday night into Tuesday morning a strong cold front will push through giving us some very cold air. Also, the cold front will give us very windy conditions with some wind gusts up to 40 mph during the day Tuesday....winds will mainly be from the NNW at 20-35 mph. Keep this in mind, especially if you are going to be outdoors, or driving a high profile vehicle. Tuesday the high temperature will only reach the upper 50s, yet the coldest period of time will be Tuesday night into Wednesday morning when low temperatures drop at or below the freezing mark for the Big Country. Temperatures will continue to stay cool with highs in the low to mid 60s Wednesday through Friday.

Tropical Depression 27 has formed in the southeastern Caribbean Sea. TD 27 could become Tropical Storm Gamma by tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds are at 35 mph with a west-northwest movement around 10 mph. This storm does not look to affect the U.S., and looks to only reach tropical storm status through it's life-cyle. TD 27 is located 100 miles west of St. Vincent and 115 miles west of St. Lucia. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.

Get the extra blanket out for the bed, check the car fluid levels, and have your coat ready because we're finally going to see some cold weather this week!

Saturday, November 12, 2005

Cold Weather Approaching

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

Tonight looks to be cooler than last night as clear skies and dry air will aid in radiational cooling. By tomorrow morning you'll want to have the jacket with you with low temperatures in the upper 40s. The sun will help temperatures warm to mild temperatures, yet our high will only stay in the lower 70s due to a cold front that will move through Sunday bringing cooler air and a northerly flow with it. Also, expect to see another windy day with winds from the NNW 10 - 20 mph.

As Craig mentioned earlier, cold air is on it's way! A cold front is expected to move through the Big Country Monday night into Tuesday morning. Temperatures on Tuesday will stay in the lower 60s. The low temperature for Tuesday will be the upper 40s, yet instead of the low temperature happening Tuesday morning, the lowest temperature may be right before midnight Tuesday night, depending on how fast the temperatures drop after the cold front moves through. My thoughts are that if highs only make it to around the lower 60s, temperatures should drop pretty fast once the sun goes down Tuesday night and because of the cold front that will have moved through. The coldest night will be Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, when we'll see our low temperature below freezing!
Since Wednesday morning will be our coldest temperature for the fall season, plans need to be made now to protect plants, pets, and pipes that could be exposed to these freezing temperatures.

High temperatures will continue to stay in the 60s through next weekend as another cold front moves through on Friday.

No chances for rain in the 5 day forecast due to dry air staying in place.

Have a great rest of the weekend!

Saturday Cold Front Update!

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi with a Saturday update...

If you have been paying attention over the past week, I have been mentioning that a big cold front is coming.

In fact, I've been mentioning on TV that our first freeze was coming since this past Monday.

(Old link to weather service statement removed)

After this cold front arrives Tuesday morning, it looks like this will be the beginning of the end of this warmer than average weather. You see, usually once you get that "door" open to that cold Canadian air, it more times than not continues to move freely into the United States.

Another strong cold front looks to make it to the Big Country by Saturday of next week. So, if you have a garden you've been working on, I'd plan on finishing everything up this weekend. I'd also go ahead and have the plastic ready to cover any outdoor plants as well. And go ahead and clear up some space in the garage to bring in any tender vegetation Tuesday night.

Friday, November 11, 2005

All in all a pleasant weekend...

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After a cool start across the Big Country we certainly warmed up in a hurry. Afternoon highs climbed back into the upper 70s to lower 80s thanks to a strong southerly flow.

Here's some good news, rain chances are still in the forecast. As we watch a strong upper level system work its way into the central plains, we should see enough upper level energy round the bottom of the trough to bring us at least a couple of isolated thunderstorms. I'm not worried too much about severe storms, but a couple of strong storms will be possible.

The rain chances will end by afternoon Saturday. Then we will see a weak cold front pass through early Sunday. This will knock our afternoon highs back down to the middle 70s for Sunday and Monday.

Then, our frist true arctic cold front of the season will arrive early Tuesday. This system will make Tuesday a very cold day.

As the arcitic high pressure ridge builds in overnight after the front passes, it looks like we will see our first freeze of the season Wednesday morning.

This front, like previous ones, should pass through dry, but much colder.

Small Chance Of Rain This Weekend

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a cool start this morning with temperatures in the low 40s to mid 50s across the area. It will be a nice Veteran's Day with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Breezy conditions will return with winds from the south-southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

The upper level low that we have been talking about for most of this week is moving east from southern California over the next couple of days. It looks like the path this storm is projected to take will keep the bulk of the dyamics for rain north of our area. However, it may be just close enough for some isolated showers and thunderstorms Friday night and into Saturday. The chance for rain is only 20%, so not all of us get wet. If we see any rain it will likely be around midnight or later, so Friday night football games in the Big Country should be okay.

A weak cold front looks to arrive on Sunday, which will cool temperatures back down into the low to mid 70s after being in the 80s on Saturday. This should be a dry frontal passage. A strong cold front that will have some Arctic air behind it is expected to affect us by Tuesday. This may be the coldest air we have seen so far this season.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, November 10, 2005

Pleasant Veteran's Day Ahead

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After a beautiful Thursday across the Big Country, Friday looks to be just as nice. If you will be up early for either of the parades in Abilene or Brownwood, you might want a jacket in the morning, but possible short sleeves by afternoon.

Temperatures will moderate and begin to warm by morning, thanks to winds returning to the southeast and bringing moisture back into the Big Country. Afternoon highs will easily climb back into the middle 70s across the area as well. Winds will be gusty by afternoon running 10 to 20 miles per hour.

Our next chance for rain comes overnight Friday into Saturday, although those chances aren't that good. An upper level system will pass to our North, we just have to hope we can get enough upper level energy from the system for a few showers and thunderstorms.

As the system passes, we will have another cold front pass through on Sunday, keeping afternoon highs in the middle 70s until Tuesday. Then a strong cold front with Arctic high pressure behind it arrive.

Our average first freeze in Abilene is November 19th. We could get pretty close to our first freeze of the season on Wednesday morning, November 16th.

Slightly Warmer Temperatures Ahead

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a chilly start to the day this morning across parts of the area. Temperatures were in the upper 30s to around 50. Today will be seasonal with highs in the mid to upper 60s. Winds should be light from the north at 5 to 10 mph. Tonight will not be as cool with winds shifting from the north to the south-southeast at 5 to 10 mph. This means lows will likely be in the upper 40 to low 50s.

Tomorrow is Veteran's Day and the weather should be pretty good if you are planning to attend one of the parades or other activities in the area. Partly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 70s are expected. It will likely be breezy with winds from the south at 10 to 20 mph.

The upper level low that we have been keeping an eye on off the California coast is still expected to move east over the next couple of days. A couple of things must fall into place if we are to get any rain from this system. First, the low must move close enough to us in order to get the proper dynamics for showers and thunderstorms to take place. As of right now, the system looks to move just far enough to the north to keep us from the bulk of the rain. Second, we need moisture to return to the area. The cold front that moved through yesterday has dried us out. Dewpoints this morning were in the upper 20 to mid 30s. Winds are expected to shift to the south tonight, which would begin to bring some Gulf of Mexico moisture back into the Big Country. With the way these two factors look to play out right now, it looks as though rain chances only stand at 20% for Friday night and Saturday. That could increase or decrease the closer we get to that time period.

A weak cold front is expected to move through on Sunday, but it will likely be a dry frontal passage. It should cool us down enough to keep temperatures a little above average for this time of year.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, November 09, 2005

Cold Front Has Arrived

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off mild across the area again this morning. Winds were light in some locations, so some patchy fog developed. The cold front we expected for today has already moved into the northern portions of the Big Country. It should clear the southern communities by mid afternoon. Because of this, the southern parts of the viewing area will likely reach the low to mid 80s for highs. In the northern Big Country highs may only reach the mid 70s. Abilene should fall right in the middle around 80. Breezy conditions are expected today with winds beginning from the southwest then shifting to the north behind the front at 10 to 20 mph.

Tonight will be much cooler than what we have experienced lately with lows in the low to mid 40s. A jacket will likely be needed tonight and much of tomorrow. Highs on Thursday are expected to be in the mid to upper 60s. We will warm up a little bit on Friday with highs in the low to mid 70s.

We continue to keep our eyes on an upper level low that is currently off the southern California coastline. It still looks like this system may move close enough to us Friday night and into Saturday to give us some showers and thunderstorms. Right now, the chance for rain is 30%. That could increase or decrease over the next couple of days depending on how the low moves and whether or not we see enough moisture return to the area. We'll continue to keep you updated.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, November 08, 2005

Cold Front Arrives Tomorrow

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Mother Nature is finally sending some cooler air our direction Wednesday. Even though it won't feel like it, pack a light jacket with you Wednesday because you will more than likely need it on your way home from work or school Wednesday afternoon.

Folks in the Northern Big Country can expect to feel the effects of the cold front by late morning. In the Central Big Country after the lunch hour, and the Southern Big Country by about 5 o'clock.

This cold front will arrive dry with no rain chance unfortunately. What we will have to watch for will be shower and possible severe thunderstorm chances Saturday.

An upper level system is getting organized near Baja California and will begin to move our direction Friday. Our rain chances are dependant on the track of the system across the Western and Southern US. Right now we are carrying a 30% chance of thunderstorms Saturday.

It's still a little too early to get too excited, but some models are beginning to show consistancy in bringing a major arctic blast into the Big Country Tuesday or Wednesday of next week. In Abilene the average first freeze is November 19th which is next Saturday. If this front holds true to the current forecast thinking, we could see that first freeze a couple of days earlier than average.

Cooler Temperatures Coming Soon

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was another mild and breezy start to the day this morning. Temperatures were in the upper 50s to upper 60s across the area. A warm afternoon is on tap for us with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Brownwood may reach 90 again today. Breezy conditions will continue with winds from the south-southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Changes come our way tomorrow in the form of a cold front. It should arrive sometime during the afternoon hours. The exact time of when it moves through will be one of the deciding factors on how warm our temperatures are for tomorrow. If it comes in during the early afternoon, highs may only reach the mid to upper 70s. If it comes in during the late afternoon or evening, then we could see highs in the low to mid 80s. It still looks like this front will be dry and all we can expect is a little more cloud cover.

Thursday and Friday are looking nice with mostly sunny skies and much cooler temperatures. Highs should be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Those temperatures are right at or just slight above where we should be for this time of year.

An upper level low pressure system may move close enough to the Big Country on Saturday to cause some showers and thunderstorms. The exact path of this system is still not clear right now. We'll continue to keep our eyes on it and let you know how things develop over the next couple of days.

Have a terrrific Tuesday!

Monday, November 07, 2005

Seasonal Weather Is Coming

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

It seems as if Mother Nature is finally going to be bringing us some seasonal temperatures by mid-week.

A strong cold front will be arriving in the Big Country sometime around mid-morning Wednesday. When the winds finally shift around to the North we will definately feel a big difference. This cold front will unfortunately arrive dry but it looks like it will set the stage for a few showers by the weekend.

We will be watching an upper level low pressure system out West move our direction by Friday. As this system passes us by, depending on how quickly it does, we could be looking at rain chances through the entire weekend. I don't want to get too excited just yet, on a lot of occasions this time of year, systems like this can pass North of the Big Country and leave us dry.

One last thought after this weekend's deadly tornado across Kentucky and Indiana... Unfortunately storms like this make us realize how important early warning is. That is why we, at KRBC-9, in conjunction with the National Weather Service, urge you to have a NOAA Weather Radio in your home. The tornado killed more than 20 people and struck in the overnight hours while most people we at home asleep. The tornado sirens went off, but most people slept through them. Unfortunately here in the Big Country, most areas do not have tornado sirens as an early warning system.

To learn more about the NOAA Weather Radio System and how to purchase one, please click here...

Warm and Breezy Conditions Continue

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a mild start to the day across most of the area with temperatures in the low 60s. It was a little cooler in Snyder which bottomed out in the low 50s this morning. The above average temperatures will continue today with highs in the low to mid 80s. Breezy conditions are expected with winds from the south-southwest at 10 to 20 mph. Tuesday should be warm and breezy too with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Changes look to head our way by Wednesday. A cold front is expected to move through the Big Country sometime on Wednesday. Depending on when the front arrives will decide how warm or cool it is that day. For now, we are expected to cool down into the upper 70s to low 80s for highs. Unfortunately, this looks to be another dry frontal passage. In fact, rain is not expected for the next five days.

Thursday and Friday should be nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low 70s. This is closer to where we should be for highs this time of year. Hopefully, this time, the cooler temperatures will stick around for the rest of the fall season.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Sunday, November 06, 2005

Warm Start To Workweek

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

Another warm day across the Big Country. Sunday's high reached 80 degrees at 3:48 p.m., after a morning low of 45 degrees. The warm temperatures have all been due to high pressure giving us mostly sunny skies, and a southerly flow of warm air. Clouds will start to move into the Big Country Sunday night into Monday morning, so we'll see some partly cloudy skies on Monday. Temperatures will remain warm Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 80s.
A cold front moves through West Central Texas Wednesday night into Thursday morning. A few towns north of I-20 may see some thunderstorms Wednesday night, yet the best chances for seeing any rain will be Thursday and Friday.

There is no active tropical storms to worry about, and hurricane season ends November 30th.

Severe weather broke out early Sunday morning around 2 a.m. killing about 22 people in Evansville, Indiana after an F3 Tornado went through a manufactured-home park. Over 200 people were injured. Even though tornado warnings were given, many people died because the tornado came through quickly at night while most people were asleep. Something we can learn from this situation is the importance of having a NOAA weather radio in your home with an alert that sounds when severe weather statements are issued for your county.

So to wrap everything up, warm weather will persist for the first part of the week followed by more seasonal temperatures Thursday into next weekend.

Have a great week!

Saturday, November 05, 2005

Warm Temperatures Into the Work Week

From meteorologist Jason Myers......

High pressure has continued to dominate the Big Country giving us mostly sunny skies and a southerly flow. Today, temperatures were very warm for this time of the year with our high temperature being 86 degrees....which ties the record of 86 degrees set back in 1989.
A Pacific cold front will move through tonight, yet it will not have much of an effect on temperatures. Sunday's highs will be in the mid-to-upper 70s across the Big Country.
Rain chances don't come into play until Thursday, when a stronger cold front moves through West Texas, bringing temperatures down into the 60s and giving lift to moist air in place.
Right now there is only a 20% chance for rain on Thursday, yet the rain chances may be going up as we get closer to Thursday.
For the five day forecast we'll see warm temperatures for the rest of the weekend and the first part of the work week.


Tonight will be a good night to look at the stars, with the crescent moon and clear skies.



Enjoy the rest of the weekend!

Friday, November 04, 2005

Pleasant Weekend Ahead

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

Get ready for some beautiful weather this weekend across the Big Country.

We will feel the affects of a cold front Saturday night, the only problem is, it won't be much of a cold front. Afternoon highs will only drop down to the middle to upper 70s on Sunday. By Monday, most areas will be back into the lower 80s.

This cold front will also arrive dry. There just won't be enough moisture for any rain chances unfortunately.

Our next cold front is scheduled to affect the Big Country late Tuesday. This front at this point in time looks to pack a little stronger of a punch. Possibly knocking high temperatures down to near 70. As with the front Saturday night, this one looks to arrive dry as well.

Open hunting season on white-tailed deer and Rio Grande turkey kicks off Saturday. Unfortunately, with the lack of cold weather it looks like opening weekend will not be perfect. I'm sure you can ask most hunters though and they'll tell you they don't mind too much.

With the dry spell we've had, once we get a good hard freeze, I expect hunting season to pick up in a hurry. The questions remains, when will we get that freeze?

Still Warm And Breezy

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a wide range of temperatures across the area again this morning. Brownwood started off in the upper 40s, while Abilene only dropped to the low 60s. The reason for the difference was the wind. It was calm in Brownwood, but in Abilene it was breezy. Everyone in the area will experience breezy conditions today with winds from the southwest at 10 to 20 mph. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 80s. In Abilene, we might tie or even break the record high of 87 that was set for this date in 1987.

The weather for Friday night football games is looking good. It will be mild and breezy, so you might not even need a jacket tonight. Lows should be in the mid to upper 50s. It will be cooler if the winds are calm. Warm and breezy conditions are expected again on Saturday with highs in the low to mid 80s.

A cold front should still arrive late Saturday night or early Sunday morning. It looks like it will be a weak front, which means we will only cool down a little bit. As of right now, highs on Sunday and Monday will be in the mid to upper 70s. Rain is not expected with this front.

Tuesday looks nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low 80s. A stronger cold front may arrive on Wednesday and finally bring temperatures back down closer to where they should be for this time of year. It doesn't look like we'll see any rain from this front either, but it's still five days away so that could change. We'll keep you updated.

For those of you who are heading to the Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth this weekend for the NASCAR race events, the weather is looking great. Mostly sunny skies should rule today through Sunday. Highs will be in the mid 80s today and Saturday. It will also be a little breezy. Cooler temperatures are expected behind the cold front on Sunday with highs in the upper 70s. Enjoy the races!

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, November 03, 2005

More Of The Same...

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Yet another mild & breezy afternoon across the Big Country. We started the day off with a mild 57 degrees here in Abilene, folks in Brownwood though started off with a very chilly 34 degrees. Why the big difference you ask?

In Abilene we had stronger winds out of the south ranging from 10 to 20 miles per hour. While in Brownwood we had very calm winds. Also, the city of Brownwood sits in a valley, and on clear and calm nights, the colder air will settle to the bottom of a valley while still releasing the warm air into the atmosphere because of the calm winds. Where as in Abilene and the majority of the Big Country, the winds were strong enough to keep the atmosphere mixed up enough to not allow temperatures to drop near as much.

Over the next few days it appears that winds will be calming down a bit, but still remaining breezy. Afternoon highs will remain in the mid to low 80s as well.

Our next cold front is due in Saturday evening but will only knock temperatures down temporarily. After another brief warm-up Sunday-Tuesday, a stronger cold front looks to arrive in the Big Country Tuesday into Wednesday. This front looks to bring below average temperatures back into the region.

With all of this, unfortunately there are still no rain chances through the extended forecast.

Warm And Windy Conditions Remain

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a wide range of temperatures across the area this morning. Brownwood was in the mid 30s, while Snyder was in the mid 40s. Sweetwater and Abilene only dropped to the mid to upper 50s. The reason for the difference in temperatures was the wind. The winds were calm in Brownwood, while everyone else was seeing breezy conditions. It will be warm and windy for all of us by this afternoon. Highs should be in the low to mid 80s with south-southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph. With strong winds and low relative humidity values expected again this afternoon, there is a Red Flag Warning in effect for most of the area. You should put off any outdoor burning plans you may have had for today.

High pressure remains to our southeast with a low pressure trough to our northwest. This is causing a tight pressure gradient which is why we continue to see windy conditions. The warm and windy pattern should hold through Saturday. Highs will likely remain above average Friday and Saturday. Except for a bit of a breeze, the weather is looking good for Friday night football games.

A cold front is expected to move through the Big Country early on Sunday. This should cool temperatures back down closer to where they should be for this time of year. It still looks like it will be a dry frontal passage.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, November 02, 2005

Ho-Hum Weather Continues...

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

A very mild and windy Wednesday across the Big Country today. Wind speeds ranged from 10 to 25 miles per hour with gusts up to 30. These winds will be the main controlling factor in our weather over the next several days.

A trough of low pressure to our West is what is tightening the pressure gradient and causing our stronger, gusty winds. These winds will keep our overnight lows over the next few nights milder. When the winds stay strong overnight, they keep the atmosphere mixed up and do not allow temperatures to drop as low as they could.

In the afternoons, the winds will help to compress the atmosphere which in turn will aid in warming up the temperatures. Afternoon highs will run in the low to mid 80s through Saturday. Overnight lows are expected to run from the middle 50s to upper 50s.

Our next change in this pattern is expected Saturday night into Sunday when another cold front is expected to push through the Big Country. This front will probably pass through dry with no rain chances in the forecast right now. It is also only expected to lower afternoon highs down to the lower to middle 70s.

For the next few days fire danger is running higher than usual with the increased winds. Please remember this and hold off on any and all outdoor burning.

Please, go out and make it a GREAT day!

Above Average Temperatures Continue

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off cool this morning with temperatures in the mid 40s to mid 50s around the area. With south winds and plenty of sunshine, we'll see highs in the upper 70s to low 80s today. Low relative humidity values and breezy conditions are expected this afternoon, therefore the National Weather Service has most of the area under a Red Flag Warning from noon until 6 p.m. This means that you should put off any outdoor burning plans you may have had for today.

A high pressure ridge looks to dominate our weather pattern through Saturday. We should see mostly sunny skies and above average temperatures continue. It will also be breezy for the next couple of days. Highs are expected to be in the low to mid 80s Thursday through Saturday. Lows will likely be in the mid to upper 50s.

A cold front is still expected to move through the Big Country late Saturday or early Sunday. It still looks like it will be a dry frontal passage. This front should cool temperatures back down closer to seasonal averages.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, November 01, 2005

Temperature Begin To Climb...

Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...

After a chilly 35 degrees this morning at Abilene Regional Aiport, abundant sunshine warmed us back into the middle 70s.

The ridge of high pressure controlling our weather has shifted East just enough to allow winds at the surface to come back out of the South. These southerly winds are going to do a couple of things for us. One, allow a little more moisture to return to the Big Country. Two, the winds will keep the atmosphere stirred up enough to keep low temperatures from dropping off down into the 30s again.

Winds will be the biggest player in our forecast for the next several days. Expect winds to pick up to around 15 to 20 miles per hour Wednesday afternoon. After that, they should stay that strength and gusty through the extended forecast.

The next cold front that looks to affect the Big Country is scheduled to arrive late Saturday into early Sunday. As of right now, it appears that this front will arrive with little excitement. We probably won't get enough moisture back into the atmosphere for rain chances with the next cold front.

Please, go out and make it a GREAT day!

Warm Afternoons Ahead

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off chilly this morning with temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s. We'll see mostly sunny skies and light west-southwest winds today. Temperaturs will be seasonable in the low to mid 70s. It should be another cool evening with lows in the low to mid 40s.

A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for Wednesday afternoon for most of the area. Low relative humidities and strong winds are possible tomorrow, so we might meet Red Flag Warning criteria. That is the reason we are under a watch. You might want to put off any burning you may have had planned for tomorrow. We will continue to keep you updated on the situation.

It looks like high pressure will remain in control through Friday. Mostly sunny skies are expected to rule throughout the work week. Temperatures are likely to be above average with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Lows should be in the low 50s.

Changes may come late Saturday in the form of a cold front. Right now, it looks like it will be a dry frontal passage.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Blog Archive