Monday, March 31, 2008

Cooler Tuesday, Chance of Storms Wednesday

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

THE THUNDERSTORMS DIDN'T PAN OUT MONDAY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF BROWN AND COMANCHE COUNTIES. THE DRY LINE PUSHED THROUGH AS FORECAST, PRETTY MUCH AT MID-DAY AS FORECAST, BUT THE GREATER INSTABILITY EAST OF ABILENE KEPT THE SEVERE WEATHER AWAY.

TUESDAY MORNING COOL NORTH WIND WILL BE BLOWING AND TEMPERATURES TUESDAY SHOULD BE ABOUT 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN MONDAY.

BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, AS A WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH ACROSS OUR AREA, A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE, ABOUT A 20% CHANCE. SOME STORMS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT COULD BE SEVERE SO STAY TUNED TO KRBC AND WATCH THIS BLOG FOR MORE INFORMATION.

TUESDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND 68 WITH GUSTY NORTH WIND.
TUESDAY NIGHT: SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS, 50.
WEDNESDAY: 20% CHANCE FOR STORMS, NEAR 68.
THURSDAY: WARMER, NEAR 82.

Isolated Storms Today, Fire Threat Afternoon

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Watching the radar early this morning for thunderstorms but so far as of the time I am writing this just after 5:00, things are quiet. Dryline sits well back to our west with dewpoints this morning in the 50s and 60s across the area and temperatures in the lower 70s.

* Today: The dryline will advance eastward as we go through the day and will fire off a few thunderstorms in areas. The best chance for storms will be across the eastern areas of West Central Texas...roughly along and east of US 283. There is a slight risk of severe storms across the eastern parts of the KRBC viewing area as we go into the day. Isolated storms across the Big Country could be severe today as well. As the dryline moves though the area, the fire danger will begin to elevate across the area. Red Flag Warnings are in place over the Permian Basin this morning. It will be warm today with highs in the lower and middle 80s. Rain Chances: 20% for most of the area with 30-40% chances east of US 283. Winds will be southwesterly at 15-25 mph.

* Tonight: Mostly clear and cooler across the area with lows in the middle 40s and winds easing back some to 5-15 from the southwest.

* Tuesday: A cold front will move across West Central Texas and allow for a cooler day with highs in the lowe to middle 70s and winds switching to the north at 10-20 mph.

* Have a good Monday...

Sunday, March 30, 2008

Expecting Storms Monday Morning

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER...

IT'S A FAMILIAR SCENARIO - DRYLINE WITH SOME UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT MOVES EAST, DRYLINE CAUSES T-STORMS TO DEVELOP, DRYLINE MOVES EAST, ENDING THE CHANCE FOR RAIN, COLD FRONT ARRIVES EARLY TUESDAY.

THE DIFFERENCE IN MONDAY'S SETUP IS THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE STORMS STARTING EARLY IN THE MORNING, SAY SUNRISE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AS IT SLOWLY PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. SO RATHER THAN THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON STORMS, EXPECT THEM FROM EARLY MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. ONE OR TWO MAY BECOME SEVERE.

HIGHS MONDAY AROUND 80, RAIN CHANCE 40%, SSW WIND 15 TO 20.

LOWS MONDAY NIGHT NEAR 50, PARTLY CLOUDY.

HIGHS TUESDAY NEAR 64 WITH GUSTY NORTH WIND ALL DAY.

LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT NEAR 49.

HIGHS WEDNESDAY NEAR 70 WITH A SLIGHT CHNACE FOR SHOWERS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

WARM THURSDAY, LOW TO MID 80'S.

MID TO UPPER 70'S AND DRY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY OF THE COMING WEEKEND.

Friday, March 28, 2008

Cooler Today... Rain Chances This Weekend:

Good Morning From Meteorologist Chris Whited at KRBC...

* Much cooler this morning as a cold front has swept through our area this morning. Highs today will only be in the upper 50s to near 60...compare that to yesterday when we had upper 80s to near 90.

* The cold air won't stick around too long, as the cold front will retreat northward on Saturday as a warm front and will return warmer and moist air. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible tomorrow as the front lifts through the area... the southern areas of the Big Country and Heartland could see some isolated storms late tonight.

* Isolated chances for thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday but the best chance of storms will be on Monday with a dryline pushing through followed by a cold front. There could be some severe weather with that system so we will need to watch it the next few days.

* Down the road... Cooler on Tuesday and warming up by the middle of next week. Computer forecast runs this morning are introducing some rain chances for Wednesday and Thursday so for now, will only introduce a 20% chance for the area.

* Have a great weekend...

Thursday, March 27, 2008

A Few Weekend Storms Possible - Better Chance Monday

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

TWO COLD FRONT BETWEEN NOW AND MONDAY BRING RAIN BACK INTO OUR FORECAST AND TEMPERATURES ARE ABOUT TO MODERATE, COMPARED TO THE VERY WARM WEATHER WE'VE HAD THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE FIRST COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING. IT WILL MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE IN THE TEMPERATURE. INSTEAD OF HIGHS IN THE MID 80'S, I'M FORECAST HIGHS IN THE LOW 60'S ON FRIDAY. COUPLE THAT WITH A NORTH WIND AND YOU WILL HAVE A CHILLY FEELING DAY TOMORROW.

I'LL INCLUDE SHOWERS WITH AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO IN THE SATURDAY FORECAST AS THE COLD FRONT LIFTS BACK NORTH ACROSS THE AREA AS A WARM FRONT.

YOU'LL NOTICE VERY HUMID AIR ARRIVING SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS GULF MOISTURE SURGES IN PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF OUR NEXT FRONT ON MONDAY.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY APPEAR TO BE OUR BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SOME OF THE STORMS ON MONDAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE SEVERE SO STAY ALERT SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

TONIGHT: COLD FRONT EASES INTO THE AREA, UPPER 40'S.
FRIDAY: MAINLY CLOUDY AND CHILLY, HIGHS NEAR 60.
FRIDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLOUDY, UPPER 40'S.
SATURDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE FOR RAIN, LOW 70'S.
SUNDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHNACE FOR RAIN, UPPER 70'S.

Changes Ahead...

Good Morning From KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Expect a very warm day today with temperatures not too far from the records. The record for Abilene today is 92 from 1971... I am forecasting a high of around 90 for the Abilene area and lower 90s for the Heartland and Western Big Country. A dryline will move across the area today dropping relative humidity and dewpoint values, which in turn will help raise the temperatures.

* A cold front will move in late tonight and early Friday and will bring a drastic cool down with highs back into the middle to upper 60s for Friday and cooler overnight. The front will retreat back northward on Saturday as a warm front so highs will climb back to the middle 70s.

* Rain chances: A slight chance of rain over the weekend as moisture will surge in with the warm front and with daytime heating. Another front will move in by Monday and will bring a better chance of rain and storms for the area.

* Have a good Thursday...

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Very Warm Thursday / Cooler Friday

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ...

WARM WEATHER IS THE BIG STORY ONCE AGAIN ON THURSDAY AS TEMPERATURES APPROACH OR EVEN EXCEED 90.

CHANGES COMING FRIDAY WITH A COLD FRONT ARRIVING DURING THE EARLY PART OF FRIDAY, HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60'S INSTEAD OF NEAR 90. IT IS DOUBTFUL THE FRONT WILL CAUSE ANY RAIN FRIDAY BUT PERHAPS SOME ISOLATED STORMS TRY AND BUILD ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN HOLDS OFF UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WHEN YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT ARRIVES.. WE'LL HAVE A 40% CHANCE FOR RAIN ON MONDAY.

TONIGHT: PARTLY CLOUDY, 59.
THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY SUNNY, NEAR 90, BREEZY SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 20.
FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY, UPPER 60'S.
WEEKEND: HIGHS IN THE 70'S, SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN.

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Have the A/C Ready !

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

HELLO, THANKS FOR STOPPING BY OUR BLOG. THE HEADLINE SAYS IT ALL - WARM WEATHER IS HERE TO STAY THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR ARRIVES FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND.


WE ENJOYED WARM TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON BUT FEW OF US PROBABLY ENJOYED THE GUSTY WIND. NOT QUITE AS MUCH WIND TOMORROW, ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE BREEZY, AND WARMER TEMPERATURES TOO.

I HAVEN'T MADE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST - HOLDING STEADY WITH MID 80'S ON WEDNESDAY AND UPPER 80'S ON THURSDAY. WE'LL DROP BACK TO BETWEEN 70 AND 75 THIS WEEKEND. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN IS NOW IN THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A COLD FRONT WHICH LOOKS DESTINED FOR OUR AREA DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

WHAT YOU WILL NOTICE OVER THE NEXT FEW MORNINGS IS THE ABUNDANCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE - WE'LL LIKELY SEE THOSE LOW CLOUDS COMING UP FROM THE SOUTH TO BEGIN OUR DAY - AND THAT'S ESPECIALLY THE CASE THIS WEEKEND.

THE ADDITIONAL MOISTURE AT NIGHT AND OCCASIONAL GUSTY WIND WILL COMBINE TO KEEP OUR OVERNIGHT LOWS ON THE MILD SIDE.

ENJOY THE WARMTH!!

Monday, March 24, 2008

Let the Warm Begin

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

GOOD EVENING - HOPE YOU ENJOYED THE WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY AND HOPE YOU ARE READY FOR REALLY WARM WEATHER AS WE GO THROUGH THE WEEK. NO MAJOR WEATHER SYSTEMS ARE COMING OUR WAY THROUGH MID-WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH 80 TUESDAY, CLOSER TO 85 WEDNESDAY AND UPPER 80'S THURSDAY. I'LL LEAVE JUST THE ISOLATED HIT AND MISS STORM IN THURSDAY'S FORECAST, DUE TO THE DRY LINE, BUT COUNTIES MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF ABILENE WOULD BE AFFECTED BY THAT, IF ANY AT ALL. I'LL JUST MENTION A POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY BUT THAT IS SOMETHING WE HAVE PLENTY OF TIME TO WATCH TO SEE IF IT ACTUALLY DEVELOPS.

TONIGHT - CLEAR WITH UPPER 40'S.
TUESDAY - SUNNY, NEAR 80 WITH GUSTY SOUTH WIND.
TUESDAY NIGHT - PARTLY CLOUDY, 55 TO 58.
WEDNESDAY - BREEZY, WARM, 85.
THURSDAY - PARTLY CLOUDY, WARM, 88.

Warming Trend Ahead...

Good Monday Morning From KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* After a cold start this morning with areas of frost a quiet Monday across West Central Texcas. Not much is happening in the forecast this week other than a gradual warming trend this week. Daytime highs will climb into the middle and upper 80s by the middle of the week, well above our normal highs in the 70s. Winds will pick up over the next few days and I do expect the fire danger to elevate some across West Texas.

* We don't any rainfall this week as it looks to be rather dry. Moisture will return my mid-week and a sharp dryline takes shape over West Texas but it doesn't look too promising for any rainfall. A cold front will move across the Big Country, the Heartland, and the Northern Concho Valley by Friday cooling our daytime highs back into the middle 70s. There may be enough lift to squeeze out a shower with the front, but for now I am not including a rain chance in the forecast.

* Enjoy your Monday...

Sunday, March 23, 2008

The Week Ahead

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ...

TEMPERATURES ARE GOING TO FLIRT WITH FREEZING MONDAY MORNING AS WE BEGIN OUR WORK WEEK. FROST IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE WITH LOWS 32-35 AREAWIDE.

AFTER A COLD START TO THE WEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM UP NICELY TO SOME OF THE WARMEST WE HAVE SEEN SO FAR THIS YOUNG SPRING SEASON. LOOK FOR HIGHS TO BE 80 OR ABOVE TUESDAY, WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. RAIN CHANCES APPEAR PRETTY SLIM THIS WEEK, HOWEVER THE DRY LINE MAY BE ABLE TO PRODUCE AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO THURSDAY.


THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT CAUSING A BIG DIP IN TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE LOW 60'S FOR HIGHS ON SATURDAY. ALL IN ALL, PRETTY QUIET WEATHER THIS WEEK.

Friday, March 21, 2008

Dry End To Week, Wet Easter Sunday...

Good Morning on this Good Friday to everyone in the Big Country, the Heartland, and the Northern Concho Valley from KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* A weak cold front will move across the area today, not doing much other than shifting our winds from the south back to the north. A few clouds will be possible today with highs in the lower 70s and approaching the middle 70s ahead of the front. Saturday will be quiet ahead of the next system and front that will move in overnight Saturday and into Sunday.

* Easter: The front and low pressure will move in early and could produce rain early enough to make some sunrise services wet. We will see our high temperature overnight, with temperatures holding in the 40s most of the day with rain showers. Easter egg hunts in the afternoon will most likely be wet.

* Next week looks to be dry and cool to start off on Monday with a gradual warming trend by the middle of the week with highs again near 80 degrees.

* Have a safe weekend and Easter...

Thursday, March 20, 2008

Cold and Wet on Easter

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

AS IT SHAPES UP RIGHT NOW, WE SHOULD PLAN ON A CHILLY AND WET EASTER SUNDAY, THANKS TO A COLD FRONT WHICH ARRIVES ON SATURDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS SHOULD FORM ACROSS OUR NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY COUNTIES ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD SOUTHWARD WITH THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES ON EASTER SUNDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO GET TO 50. IT ISN'T OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT NORTHERN COUNTIES MAY SEE SOME FROZEN PRECIPITATION MIX IN WITH THE RAIN BUT TOO EARLY TO SAY WITH ANY CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME.

WEATHER LEADING UP TO EASTER WILL BE PLEASANT, A LITTLE ABOVE 70 ON FRIDAY, CLOSE TO 70 SATURDAY BUT ONLY ABOUT 50 ON SUNDAY. THE WARM AND DRY WEATHER RESUMES ON MONDAY AS HIGHS REBOUND INTO THE 60'S FOLLOWED BY WARM 70'S ON TUESDAY.

Welcome To Spring:

Good morning from KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Today is the first day of spring here in Texas as the vernal equinox came at 12:48 AM CDT early this morning.

* A quiet weather continues through at least Saturday as high pressure continues to dominating our area. The warm continues with highs in the middle and upper 70s for the end of the week as we enter the Easter Weekend. Clouds will be on the increase on Saturday ahead of the next cold front and system that will bring rain chances back on late Saturday, and most of the day on Easter Sunday. This mornings data runs still suggest the bulk of the rain will be on Sunday itself, so sunrise services on Sunday could be wet. Easter will aslo be a cool day with highs only be in the upper 50s and wet for those Easter egg hunts. The first few days of next week look mostly sunny to partly cloudy temperatures gradually increasing back to the 70s by mid-week.

* Today: Sunny, warmer and windy with a highs in the upper 70s. South winds of 15-25 mph

* Tonight: Clear and not as cool. Lows in the middle 40s. South winds 10-20 mph

* Good Friday: Sunny and warm. Highs in the middle 70s. Winds becoming northeasterly at 5-10 mph.

* Enjoy your Thursday...

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Last Day of Winter:

Good Wednesday from KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Today is the last day of winter here in the Northern Hemisphere as we will begin the vernal equinox at 12:48 AM CDT Thursday morning.

* On a side note, what a well needed rain across the Big Country, Heartland and the Northern Concho Valley on Monday night and Tuesday. In all, most areas saw an average of 2 to 3 inches while a few isolated spots approaches 4 inches. Checking on the climate numbers this morning as I am putting together my forecast package for West Texas Today show we are now +1.98 inches above normal based on numbers at Abilene Regional Airport. While we sit in the short term above normal, the US Drought monitor update on March 11th still has our area placed under a Drought Stage 2 - Severe (Agricultural) drought.

* A quiet weather pattern for the next few days as high pressure will be the dominating weather feature for our area. A warm up is in store with highs back in the upper 60s today and middle and upper 70s for the end of the week as we enter the Easter Weekend. Good Friday will be our warmest day with highs approaching 80. Clouds will be on the increase on Saturday ahead of the next cold front and system that will bring rain chances back on late Saturday, and most of the day on Easter Sunday. This mornings data runs suggest for now it looks the bulk of the rain will be on Sunday itself, but sunrise services on Sunday could be wet. As anticipated as we always see at or around Easter, our "Easter Snap" of cooler weather will arrive with the rain on Sunday so daytime highs will only be in the upper 50s and wet for the Easter egg hunts. The first few days of next week look mostly sunny to partly cloudy temperatures gradually increasing back to the 70s by mid-week.

* Looking at the models out days 7-14 we see a couple of rain chances and mostly dry and warm weather. I will stress that this far out on model runs is "voodoo land" and expect the outlook for the second week to change between now and them. This far out on these forecast models is just a "guess."

* That's it for this morning/evening. Randy Turner is away tonight so I will be back in the saddle tonight on KRBC News at 5, 6, and 10:00. Unless there is a change in forecast data, I will let this blog cover the evening shift as well. Enjoy your Wednesday and the last day of winter!

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Rain Ends Tonight

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ...

AFTER SEVERE WEATHER AND WELCOMED RAINS LAST NIGHT AND TODAY, THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST OF OUR AREA TONIGHT, BRINGING AN END TO THE RAIN.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGE FROM 1.65 IN SANTA ANNA TO 3.66 IN BRECKENRIDGE. BAIRD REPORTS 2.75 WHILE COLEMAN ALSO HAD 2.75.

ONCE THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST TONIGHT, CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA. WE SHOULD SEE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE ON WEDNESDAY AND SUNNY SKIES THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN IS A SLIGHT CHANCE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND EASTER SUNDAY, THANKS TO ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT NEAR 39 IN ABILENE. HIGHS TOMORROW MID 60'S FOLLOWED BY LOW 70'S THURDAY AND MID 70'S ON FRIDAY.

Monday, March 17, 2008

SEVERE T-STORM WATCH IN EFFECT

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

Severe Thunderstorm WatchSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 124
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
130 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2008
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 124 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO
EASTLAND ERATH FISHER
FOARD HARDEMAN HASKELL
IRION JACK JONES
KNOX MCCULLOCH MILLS
MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO
RUNNELS SAN SABA SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG

Heads Up for Severe Weather

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ...

MY BEST ADVICE IS STAY ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE BIG COUNTRY IS PRIMED FOR A ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER .. PLENTY OF MOIST AIR - APPROACHING DRY LINE - UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY. SEVERAL WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE. LARGE HAIL, HIGH WINDS AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS UPGRADED OUR AREA TO A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A PLAN OF ACTION IN PLACE, SOMEWHERE SAFE TO GO IF / WHEN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. MAKE SURE YOUR WEATHER RADIOS ARE OPERATIONAL.

STAY TUNED TO KRBC FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

TUESDAY SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE A RAINY DAY WITH COOL TEMPERATURES IN THE 50'S. THE WORST OF THE SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD MOVE EAST SOMETIME TONIGHT BUT LINGERING RAIN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY IN PARTS OF THE AREA, SEVERAL INCHES POSSIBLE ESPECIALY EAST AND SOUTH OF ABILENE.

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Plan for a Stormy Monday & Tuesday

FROM KRBC CHIEF METEOROLOGIST RANDY TURNER ..

WE ARE IN FOR A WET PERIOD OF WEATHER FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY HERE IN THE BIG COUNTRY. THE GOOD NEWS IS RAIN IS LIKELY, THE BAD NEWS IS WE MAY HAVE TO CONTEND WITH SEVERE WEATHER, HAIL AND HIGH WINDS, TO GET THE GOOD RAIN. A COMPLEX PATTERN IS SETTING UP. HERE ARE THE INGREDIENTS...

1. UPPER LEVEL LOW OUT IN ARIZONA TONIGHT WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MEXICO BY TOMORROW - CAUSING A FEW STORMS LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING IN OUR AREA.
2. A DRY LINE WILL DEVELOP WEST OF OUR AREA TONIGHT AND MOVE EAST TOMORROW, CAUSING STORMS.
3. A COLD FRONT ATTACHED TO THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY BRINGING MORE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS.
4. BY TUESDAY NIGHT - THE RAIN IS EAST AND WE WILL HAVE HOPEFULLY RECEIVED APPRECIABLE RAINFALL TOTALS, AT LEAST 1 TO 2 INCHES IN MANY AREAS.

BUT IT ISN'T JUST RAIN - MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT, BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS - HAIL, HIGH WINDS, ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN AND STORMS LOOKS TO BE MONDAY NIGHT.

TEMPERATURES - MILD TONIGHT AS MOISTURE SURGES INTO THE AREA, AROUND 60. HIGH MONDAY NEAR 73. AROUND 50 MONDAY NIGHT AND NEAR 60 AS COOLER AIR ARRIVES TUESDAY. 70'S MIDWEEK, NEAR 80 BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

Severe Weather Possible:

* From our friends at the NWS/San Angelo:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
120 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2008

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-171000-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
120 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2008

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE BAJA REGION WILL MOVE
EAST ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO...AND INTO TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT. GULF
MOISTURE WILL RETURN NORTH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT AND
MONDAY...AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING DRYLINE. AN ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS MAINLY
THE BIG COUNTRY. BY MONDAY AFTERNOON...A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AS THE DRYLINE MOVES EAST
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. ALSO...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
MAINLY THE HEARTLAND AND NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY. AS THE MAIN UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT MONDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION.

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