Wednesday Night Update

From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Happy Independence Day everyone! I hope you have had a nice day. The weather didn't turn out to be too bad. The sunshine was able to peak through the clouds at times throughout the day. Even though there were some showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country. They were scattered and only had brief heavy rainfall at best. A Flash Flood Watch continues for Brown county through Thursday evening. A Flash Flood Watch continues for Comanche, Eastland and Stephens counties through Friday evening. A Flood Warning is still in effect for Comanche county because the Leon River is running about a foot above flood stage near De Leon. The warning is in effect through tomorrow evening.

The good news I have is that it looks like the rain will continue to taper off this evening. This means the fireworks show here in Abilene as well as other places in the viewing area should be okay. It will be a little muggy with lows reaching the mid to upper 60s overnight.

The upper level low that we have been talking about for a while is currently sitting along the middle Texas coast. It is expected to sit around that area again tomorrow which means we will see similar conditions to what we experienced today. There is a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs look to be in the low to mid 80s under mostly cloudy skies.

The computer models that we use to help guide us in our forecasts are all over the place with where this low will move next. One has it moving into east Texas while the others have it moving towards and into west Texas. I am still leaning towards the solution that puts it to our west. Rain chances will be 40% on Friday, 30% on Saturday and 20% Sunday through next Wednesday. These chances could increase depending on where the low is located and how strong it is as we get closer to this time period. Highs should range from the mid 80s to low 90s.

Have a terrific Thursday!