Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Quiet Forecast Pattern Continues:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorolgist Chris Whited...

* No change in the current forecast pattern for the Big Country, Heartland and Northern Concho Valley for the next seven days other than a few clouds from time to time. A cold front will pass to our north bringing little if any impact to the weather. Highs for the rest of the week and into the weekend will hold about average in the middle 80s and lows at night in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

* Tropics: System near Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic is being monitored for possible development but will have no impact for now to the Gulf of Mexico. Click here for the latest: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

KRBC Triple Doppler Forecast:

Today:
Mostly Sunny to Partly Cloudy
Highs: 85-88°
Wind: SE 5-15
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tonight:
A Few Clouds & Mild
Lows: 61-65°
Wind: SE 5-15
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tomorrow:
Partly Cloudy & Warm
Highs: 85-88°
Wind: SE 5-15
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Enjoy your Tuesday...

Monday, September 22, 2008

Quiet Beginning to Autumn

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ..

The Fall season made an uneventful entrance at 10:44am Monday, accompanied with a few clouds and near normal temperatures.

I don't see any major changes to the current weather pattern any time soon. High pressure will keep the weather systems well north of Texas. Tropical activity should be limited to the East Coast.

Tonight: Turning clear, low near 63. Southeast wind at 5.
Tuesday: Sunny, then partly cloudy, high near 86. Southeast wind 10 to 15.
Tuesday Night: Clear and 64.
Wednesday through Friday: Partly cloudy, highs middle 80's, lows low 60's.
Saturday through Monday: Mostly sunny, highs low to mid 80's, lows around 60.

Welcome To Fall:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorolgist Chris Whited...

* The Autumnal Equinox (Fall) officially arrives here in West Texas later this morning at 10:44 AM Central Time. Today will feel much warmer than fall across the area. A ridge across the Rockies and another across the Deep South are keeping our weather quiet across Texas. Highs today will be a few degrees above normal with highs ranging anywhere from the middle to upper 80s and lows tonight between 60 and 65 degrees.

* The Week Ahead: Forecast pattern looks to remain calm and quiet with the ridge pattern and only a few clouds now and then. Highs will hold about average in the middle 80s and lows at night in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

* Tropics: System near Puerto Rico is being monitored for possible development but will have no impact for now to the Gulf of Mexico. Click here for the latest: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

KRBC Triple Doppler Forecast:

Today:
Mostly Sunny & Warm
Highs: 85-88°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tonight:
Mostly Clear & Mild
Lows: 62-65°
Wind: SE 5-15
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tomorrow:
Mostly Sunny & Warm
Highs: 86-89°
Wind: SE 5-15
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Have a great week!

Sunday, September 21, 2008

Quiet Weather - Week #2

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

After analyzing the weather pattern for the next seven days, I've come to the conclusion that this week will be very similar to last week. Temperatures won't be as cool as they were last week, especially at the beginning of the week, but they will be near normal for this time of year.

The big change to the forecast is the fact that high pressure looks to be strong enough to keep a cold front well to the north which means no rain in the forecast mid-week as we had announced last week.

Bottom Line - dry, temperatures near normal all this week.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, low in the low 60's. Light southeast wind.
Monday: Mostly sunny morning to a few clouds in the afternoon. High near 86. Southeast wind 10 to 15.
Tuesday through Saturday: Mostly sunny with a few clouds from time to time. Daytime highs in the middle 80's, overnight lows low 60's.

Saturday, September 20, 2008

Clear Skies Ahead...

From KRBC Meteorologist Stephanie Malone...

Happy Saturday to everyone! We have had clear skies this week ... and it looks as if that trend will continue.

Fall begins officially Monday morning, but the temperatures are not going to be fall-like this week. We will have highs in the upper 80's until next Friday, when they will slightly cool to the mid 80's.

We will keep clear skies in the forecast for the next 7 days, there will be a cold front pushing through the central US Tuesday, but will stall before making it to Texas.

So enjoy the weather! Highs in the 80's, lows in the low-mid 60's, and no rain for the next 7 days. Have agreat weekend!

Friday, September 19, 2008

A Nice Weekend Ahead:

Good Friday Morning from KRBC Meteorolgist Chris Whited...

* Another nice late summer morning across the Big Country, Heartland and Northern Concho Valley this morning. Temperatures as I blog here a little before 4AM are running in the middle 50s in Brownwood and Synder, while Abilene, Sweetwater and Breckenridge sit in the lower 60s. Most of us should drip into the 50s before daybreak.

* Today will be a nice day with mostly sunny conditions with highs climbing back into the lower and middle 80s. Weather looks great for Friday night football games.

* Down the Road: Yesterday's long range forecast model runs were hinting at rain chances for the middle of next week. The runs this morning have backed off on that solution. The forecast temperature data is going for highs in the middle 80s and lows in the lower 60s for the next 7-days.

* Reminder: The Autumnal Equinox (Fall) officially arrives here in West Texas on Monday, September 22nd at 10:44 AM Central Time...

KRBC Triple Doppler Forecast:

Today:
Mostly Sunny & Pleasant
Highs: 83-85°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tonight:
Mostly Clear & Nice
Lows: 58-62°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Weekend:
A Few Clouds & Warm
Highs: 84-86°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Have a great weekend!

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Excellent Weather This Weekend

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

We were dealing with the approach of Ike one week ago. Now, we're dealing with a totally opposite weather pattern, a weather pattern which means near perfect conditions this weekend.

We're waiting on the upper level pattern to change to influence a change here at the surface. That starts to happen early next week with a low pressure area developing in the western U.S. but it takes until Wednesday, going into Thursday, before a cold front approaches our area. I've added a slight chance for rain for Wednesday and Thursday and will take a wait and see for another day or two before getting too excited about rain. At this time, 20 percent is the highest I can go for a rain chance one week from now.

Otherwise, enjoy some great weather this weekend.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, low near 58. Light southeast wind.

Friday through Tuesday: Mostly sunny days, a few clouds move through from time to time. Overnight lows in the low 60's and afternoon highs in the low to middle 80's.

Wednesday and Thursday: Increasing cloudiness and slightly cooler with a slight 20% chance for rain. Highs around 80.

Another Nice Day Ahead:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorolgist Chris Whited...

* Not as cool this morning thanks to an area of cloud cover across West Central Texas. Look for mostly sunny conditions today with highs in the lower 80s. Forecast remains the same as the last couple of days with a high pressure dome sitting over the western U.S. as well as one just to our north keeping our weather fair and quiet.

* Down the Road: Not much change as we end summer and begin fall across West Texas. Partly cloudy conditions will dominate the forecast the next 7 days as well as mostly dry conditions. The latest model runs are suggesting some small rain chances around the middle of next week. Lows will swing from the upper 50s and lower 60s with highs warming back into the lower to middle 80s. Enjoy this weather!

* Reminder: The Autumnal Equinox (Fall) officially arrives here in West Texas on Monday, September 22nd at 10:44 AM Central Time!

KRBC Triple Doppler Forecast:

Today:
Morning Clouds
Mostly Sunny & Pleasant
Highs: 79-83°
Wind: E 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tonight:
A Few Clouds & Cool
Lows: 54-57°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tomorrow:
Mostly Sunny & Nice
Highs: 80-84°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Quiet Weather Pattern Continues

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ..

The weather will remain very nice through the early part of next week. Each night, the overnight low will warm a degree or two, each day the afternoon high gets a degree or so warmer .. but I'm not looking for any runaway heat.

Fall arrives at 10:44am Monday, September 22nd, and temperatures should be running very close to normal for this time of year.

There is no rain in the forecast at this time for the next seven days.

Wednesday Night: Clear and 53. East wind at 5.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and 83. East wind 5 to 10.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear and 56.
Friday through Wednesday: Mostly sunny days, mostly clear nights. Afternoon highs 83-86, overnight lows 59-63.

Another Delightful Late Summer Day:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorolgist Chris Whited...

* Another nice cool morning across the Big County, Heartland and Northern Concho Valley this moring with temperatures in the lower to middle 50s as I blog here just after 5:00 AM. Forecast remains the same as the last couple of days with high pressure dome sitting over the western U.S. as well as just to our north keeping our weather clear and quiet. Highs today will climb into the lower 80s with plenty of sunshine.

* Down the Road: Not much change as we end summer and begin fall across West Texas. Mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions will dominate the forecast the next 7 days as well as dry conditons. Lows will swing from the upper 50s and lower 60s with highs warming back into the lower to middle 80s. Enjoy this weather!

* Reminder: The Autumnal Equinox (Fall) officially arrives here in West Texas on Monday, September 22nd at 10:44 AM Central Time!

KRBC Triple Doppler Forecast:

Today:
Sunny & Pleasant
Highs: 79-83°
Wind: E 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tonight:
Mostly Clear & Cool
Lows: 53-56°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tomorrow:
Mostly Sunny & Nice
Highs: 80-83°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Hear That? Quiet Weather ....

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

This is about as quiet as the weather gets in this area. For the next seven days, count on very nice weather, mild conditions, a perfect lead-in to Fall which arrives at 10:44am Monday, September 22nd.

The only rain threatening Texas this week will be a low pressure area in the Gulf (not another hurricane) which should bring showers to the lower Texas coast Thursday and Friday.

Here - high pressure rules which leads to calm weather.

Tuesday Night: Clear, low 52. East wind, shifting south, under 5mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, 82. East/southeast wind 5 to 10.

Thursday through Tuesday: Continued mainly clear, daytime highs 82-85, overnight lows 58-62.

Pleasant Weather Today:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorolgist Chris Whited...

* Not much change in the weather forecast this morning or the rest of the week ahead. Temperatures are cooler this morning with many locations in the lower 50s as I write this about 3:40 this morning. I think before sunrise, several spots will dip down into the upper 40s. Another nice day on tap with highs in the upper 70s with a few low 80s in spots with plenty of sunshine.

* Overall: We're still under the influence of two areas of high pressure to our north will keep northerly flow across the area today. Winds will start to turn more southerly the next few days but still enough dry air in place to keep things comfortable. A few clouds will return by the weekend as well as a little warmer weather. Highs will gradually climb into the 80s with lows remaining in the middle and upper 50s the next few days and gradually get a bit warmer toward the weekend. The forecast for the next 7 days, for now, looks to be dry.

* Reminder: The Autumnal Equinox (Fall) officially arrives here in West Texas on Monday, September 22nd at 10:44 AM Central Time!


KRBC Triple Doppler Forecast:

Today:
Abundant Sunshine
& Pleasant
Highs: 77-81°
Wind: NE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tonight:
Mostly Clear
& Cool
Lows: 52-55°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tomorrow:
Ample Sunshine
Highs: 79-82°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Have a wonderful Tuesday!

Monday, September 15, 2008

Calm Weather - and Cooler

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ..

I want to start with a brief explanation as to where our rain went over the weekend. The battle was between an upper level low pressure trough to our northwest and Hurricane Ike which hit Galveston. The trough to the northwest pulled moisture from Pacific storm Lowell through Lubbock and into the Central Plains of the U.S., bypassing us. Ike began feeling the effects of the upper trough and was nudged northeast of our area, placing the KRBC viewing area in the dry "subsidence" or sinking air found on the west side of hurricanes, which leads to a drop in rain chances. Once the Pacific moisture was sheared to the north of our area, we fell in between the two systems and didn't receive anything more than a few very widely scattered showers from the cold front which came through Sunday.

Looking ahead, a feel of Fall will be in the air each of the next several mornings as temperatures fall to the 50's and afternoon highs around 80 Tuesday and closer to the middle 80's by the end of the week. While a low pressure system develops in the Texas Panhandle later this week, it will probably only increase our cloud cover and not bring rain since our moisture supply from the Gulf will be cut off.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, low of 52. North wind 5 to 10.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, high of 80. North wind 5 to 10.
Tuesday Night: Clear and 55.
Wednesday through Saturday: Mainly sunny, a few clouds from time to time, low to middle 80's.
Sunday and Monday: Mostly sunny, middle 80's.

Fall Like Weather To Start The Week:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorolgist Chris Whited...

* Very fall like pattern across all of the Big Country, Heartland and Northern Concho Valley this morning with temperatures in the middle to upper 50s across the area. A few high clouds will work across the area this morning but most of today should feature plenty of sunshine with highs in the middle and upper 70s.

* Tonight looks to be the coolest night since May with lows dropping into the lower 50s and I would not be surprised to see a few spots drop into the upper 40s. One of the forecast models is forecasting an overnight low tonight of 49 for Abilene!

* Overall, a few areas of high pressure to our north will keep northerly flow across the area most of the week with sunny conditions. Highs will gradually climb into the 80s with lows remaining in the middle and upper 50s. The forecast for the next 7 days, for now, looks to be dry.

* FYI: The Autumnal Equinox (Fall) officially arrives here in West Texas on September 22nd at 10:44 AM Central Time!


KRBC Triple Doppler Forecast:

Today:
Mostly Sunny
& Pleasant
Highs: 76-78°
Wind: NE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tonight:
Mostly Clear
& Cool
Lows: 49-53°
Wind: NE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tomorrow:
Ample Sunshine
Highs: 77-80°
Wind: NE 5-10
Rain Chance: 0%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Have a great Monday!

Sunday, September 14, 2008

Fall Temperatures Arrive Early

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

OUR WEATHER MAKES AN ABRUPT CHANGE THIS WEEK, COMPARED TO LAST WEEK. WE TRANSITION FROM A WARM AND WET FORECAST TO A COOL AND DRY FORECAST. IKE HAD NO MAJOR IMPACT ON OUR AREA AND ONCE IKE MOVED INTO ARKANSAS AND OFF TO THE NORTHEAST, A COLD FRONT MOVED IN FROM THE WEST. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE, BASED OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS, WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER FOR OUR AREA AND FALL-LIKE TEMPERATURES. A WARMING TREND TAKES PLACE BY THE END OF THE WEEK, BUT FOR THE NEXT TWO OR THREE DAYS, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL.

TONIGHT: PARTLY CLOUDY, LOW NEAR 54. NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10.

MONDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY, A FEW CLOUDS, HIGH NEAR 77. LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 15.

MONDAY NIGHT: CLEAR AND CHILLY, LOW NEAR 52.

TUESDAY: SUNNY AND MILD, HIGH NEAR 80.

Saturday, September 13, 2008

Tropical Storm Ike Now Weakening...

Good Saturday from KRBC meteorologist Stephanie Malone...

Well, Ike is now a tropical storm, with the center now moving out of north Texas. It will be moving across western Arkansas tonight, and through the midwestern states tomorrow. Winds have decreased to about 40 miles per hour, and it is quicky moving towards the NNE at 21 miles per hour. Ike should no longer be a tropical storm, and only an area of low pressure by tomorrow morning.

Good news in the Big Country, we will have a break from the rain for the next week. A cold front will be moving through the area tomorrow afternoon, bringing with it the first batch of dry, fall air. We will have highs in the upper 70's to lower 80's throughout next week, and clear skies.

So enjoy your sneak peak of fall throughout the next week!

From Stephanie Malone in the KRBC Triple Doppler Weather, everyone have a great night!

Friday, September 12, 2008

The Eve of Hurricane Ike...

Good Friday to everyone from KRBC meteorologist Stephanie Malone...

Well, Hurricane Ike is expected to crash into the Gulf coast around 2:00 a.m. It is a very strong category 2 hurricane, and could become a category 3 hurricane before hitting near Galveston. The forecasted track has Ike changing direction from north west to north throughout the next couple of days ... having it miss the Big Country and move up along east Texas.

Here in the Big Country, we will be seeing showers tomorrow. A cold front will push through the area, giving us a 50% chance for storms. We'll keep a 20% chance for storms in the forecast Sunday for our eastern counties. There is that slight chance that we could see a shower or two from Ike in the east Big Country, but it's unlikely.

For your work week, expect mostly clear skies, and cooler temperatures! We will have a fall like feel with highs in the upper 70's to lower 80's throughout the week.

Everyone have a great weekend!

Friday Morning Forecast Update:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorolgist Chris Whited...

***For the latest information on Hurricane Ike, on click on this link: National Hurricane Center

KRBC Triple Doppler Forecast:

Today:
Mostly Cloudy
Scattered Showers
Highs: 86-89°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 30%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tonight:
Mostly Cloudy
Isolated Showers
Lows: 68-72°
Wind: NE 5-15
Rain Chance: 20%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tomorrow:
Cloudy & Breezy
Scattered Showers & Storms
Highs: 83-86°
Wind: NE 10-20
Rain Chance: 50%
Severe Weather Threat: None
________________________________________________

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
329 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

SOME HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...AS HURRICANE IKE IS FORECAST TO TRACK INTO TEXAS...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE IS CURRENTLY IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...OR ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THIS AFTERNOON. IKE IS MOVING TO THE WEST- NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE TEXAS GULF COAST SOMETIME EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AS IKE WEAKENS AFTER MOVING INLAND...THE REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TRACK NORTH ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

THE LATEST TRENDS IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF IKE...AFTER
LANDFALL...HAS SHIFTED THE TRACK FURTHER EAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL TEXAS. WITH THIS TREND...IT APPEARS THAT THERE WOULD BE LESS OF A THREAT FOR HEAVY AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS OUR REGION. FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...THE BEST CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITH
IKE WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA ROUGHLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
THROCKMORTON TO COLEMAN TO JUNCTION...FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SOME HEAVY RAINFALL IS STILL POSSIBLE.

THE GROUND HAS BECOME SATURATED ACROSS AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FROM RECENT RAINFALL...AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WOULD BRING A THREAT FOR FLOODING.

RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO... LOCAL MEDIA...OR INTERNET OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION AND FORECAST UPDATES WITH HURRICANE IKE. FOR THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST RACK ...GO TO
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/.
________________________________________________

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1052 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...HURRICANE IKE WILL SUBSTANTIALLY IMPACT NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

HURRICANE IKE WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE HURRICANE WILL QUICKLY MOVE NORTH...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A BRYAN TO PALESTINE TO TEXARKANA LINE. IKE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH SATURDAY EVENING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 OR MORE
INCHES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED.

...WIND IMPACTS...

ALL OF NORTH TEXAS WILL EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS AS A RESULT OF IKE. THE REGION EAST OF I-35 AND SOUTH OF I-20 WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE THE STRONGEST WINDS...WHERE SUSTAINED SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. HIGH RISE BUILDINGS MAY EXPERIENCE EVEN STRONGER WINDS AT ROOFTOP LEVEL.

RESIDENTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO SECURE OUTDOOR MATERIALS AND PROPERTY THAT ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO STRONG WINDS...AND DEVELOP A PERSONAL PREPAREDNESS PLAN. FULL GAS TANKS ARE RECOMMENDED AS POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT THE ABILITY OF
STATIONS TO PUMP GAS. CREATE A STOCKPILE OF CANDLES AND MATCHES... OR FLASHLIGHTS AND BATTERIES AS WELL. THOSE CLOSE TO THE STORM TRACK MAY WANT TO PLACE PLASTIC BAGS IN TRASH CANS AND FILL THEM WITH WATER TO HAVE A RESERVE SUPPLY FOR FLUSHING TOILETS SHOULD POWER OUTAGES AFFECT WATER PUMPING STATIONS. THE TIME TO GET READY IS NOW.

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING IMPACTS...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES IS LIKELY SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. THE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY NATURE OF THE RAIN WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID RISES ON RIVERS ...STREAMS...AND CREEKS. THE TRACK OF IKE WILL BE
THE MAIN DETERMINANT OF WHERE AND HOW MUCH RAIN WILL FALL...SO UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS. WEST OF THE STORM TRACK...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. AVOID DRIVING IF POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.

...TORNADO THREAT...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF IKE AS IT MOVES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. LOCATIONS TO THE EAST OF A LINE FROM CAMERON...TO CORSICANA ...AND PARIS WILL BE IN THE MORE FAVORABLE AREA FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...SUMMARY....

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM IKE WILL DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK AND SPEED OF MOVEMENT. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GREATEST CHANCES FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADOES TYPICALLY OCCUR TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF THE STORM. MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS ON THESE IMPACTS WILL BE PROVIDED IN LATER FORECASTS.

MONITOR FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO... OUR INTERNET HOMEPAGE...AND LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Ike Stays to the East But Rain in the Forecast

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

Ike is bigger in size than Katrina, creating waves rivaling what Carla did in 1961 and still strengthening as of this writing Thursday night. A catastrophic hit on the Galveston/Houston area is anticipated Friday night, with a path taking the storm north roughly up I-45 then turning right and out of Texas by Sunday.

What does Ike mean for us? We'll get some wind off Ike, should notice an increase in the wind Saturday into Sunday, from the northeast.

I think Ike provides us with a little moisture, moreso Sunday than Saturday. Keep in mind, we are on the west side of the storm, where less rain falls. But, with the counterclockwise spin of Ike, moisture may wrap around the top of the storm and come our way from the northeast.

But the main system to help produce rain here this weekend, and 1 to 2 inches are possible in the Big Country, is a cold front which will eventually work into our area Saturday night into Sunday, so plan on rain staying in our forecast through Sunday night.

Counties northwest of Abilene stand the best chance to see heavy rain while counties east of Abilene have a higher wind impact from Ike. The Dallas/Fort Worth area is under a Tropical Wind Advisory for wind speeds of 39-73mph this weekend in Big D, so caution if you are traveling in that direction.

Roads are likely going to be jammed east of our area, probably best to just stay at home this weekend and let Ike get out of the way.

Thursday Forecast / NWS Special Wx Statements:

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorolgist Chris Whited...

***For the latest information on Hurricane Ike, on click on this link: National Hurricane Center

* The KRBC Triple Doppler Radar is active again this morning with scattered showers across a large part of West Central Texas. So far this morning the heaviest rain has been well to our south.

* Just like the last few days overcast conditions and occasional light rain showers will dominate the forecast for today across the area. We will see a break in the pattern on Friday as some sunshine will return before our next chance of rain with Ike as it moves through Texas over the weekend.

* Ike Forecast/Cold Front: First off the latest track from the NHC has shifted the landfall northward overnight... now around Freeport, Texas and just south of Metro Houston & Galveston. The track takes the system then northward toward the DFW metroplex. While the best rain chances and spin-off tornado threat usually occurs on the northeast and east side of an inland tropical system a cold front will be in the vicinity at the same time. Forecast models show moisture from Ike being lifted by the front which could mean a very heavy rain for the Big Country on Sunday as well as the threat of flash flooding. The forecast is changing with every model run so be sure to stay with the KRBC Weather Team on the latest updates.

*** See below for Special Weather Statements from the NWS/San Angelo & NWS/Fort Worth ***

KRBC Triple Doppler Forecast:

Today:
Occasional Showers
Cloudy & Warmer
Highs: 82-85°
Wind: SE 5-10
Rain Chance: 50%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tonight:
Isolated Showers
Cloudy, Areas of Fog
Lows: 70-72°
Wind: SE 5-15
Rain Chance: 20%
Severe Weather Threat: None

Tomorrow:
Decreasing Clouds
& Warmer
Highs: 88-91°
Wind: SE 5-15
Rain Chance: 20% (AM)
Severe Weather Threat: None

Have a pleasant Thursday...
_______________________________________________________
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
500 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

STEPHENS-EASTLAND-COMANCHE-

...HURRICANE IKE WILL SUBSTANTIALLY IMPACT NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

HURRICANE IKE WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE HURRICANE WILL QUICKLY MOVE NORTH...GENERALLY JUST EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR SATURDAY AND EARLY SUNDAY. IKE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH SATURDAY EVENING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 OR MORE
INCHES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ANTICIPATED.

...WIND IMPACTS...

ALL OF NORTH TEXAS WILL EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS AS A RESULT OF IKE.
THE REGION EAST OF I-35 AND SOUTH OF I-20 WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE THE
STRONGEST WINDS...WHERE SUSTAINED SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. HIGH RISE BUILDINGS MAY EXPERIENCE EVEN STRONGER WINDS AT ROOFTOP LEVEL.

RESIDENTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES...TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO SECURE OUTDOOR MATERIALS AND PROPERTY THAT ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO STRONG WINDS...AND DEVELOP A PERSONAL HURRICANE PLAN. FULL GAS TANKS ARE RECOMMENDED AS POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT THE ABILITY OF STATIONS TO PUMP GAS. CREATE A STOCKPILE OF CANDLES AND MATCHES...OR FLASHLIGHTS AND BATTERIES AS WELL. THOSE CLOSE TO THE STORM TRACK MAY WANT TO PLACE PLASTIC BAGS IN TRASH CANS AND FILL THEM WITH WATER TO HAVE A RESERVE SUPPLY FOR FLUSHING TOILETS SHOULD POWER OUTAGES AFFECT WATER PUMPING STATIONS. THE TIME TO GET READY IS NOW.

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING IMPACTS...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IS LIKELY SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH POSSIBLE LOCALIZED AMOUNTS 8 INCHES OR HIGHER. THE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY NATURE OF THE RAIN WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID RISES ON RIVERS...STREAMS...AND CREEKS. THE TRACK OF IKE WILL BE THE MAIN DETERMINANT OF WHERE AND HOW MUCH RAIN WILL FALL...SO UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS. THE HYDROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER ONE THROUGH FIVE DAY PRECIPITATION PROG HINTS THAT AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES TOTAL MAY FALL ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS. WHEN DRIVING AT NIGHT...DO NOT TAKE FOR GRANTED THAT A BRIDGE COVERED WITH WATER IS STILL DRIVABLE...BRIDGES HAVE WASHED AWAY WITH LESS RAINFALL.

...TORNADO THREAT...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE
CENTER OF IKE AS IT MOVES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. GENERALLY LOCATIONS TO THE EAST OF A LINE FROM CAMERON...TO CORSICANA...AND PARIS WILL BE
IN THE MORE FAVORABLE AREA FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...SUMMARY....

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM IKE WILL DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK AND SPEED OF MOVEMENT. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GREATEST CHANCES FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADOES TYPICALLY OCCUR TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF THE STORM. MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS ON THESE IMPACTS WILL BE PROVIDED IN LATER FORECASTS.

MONITOR FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT
WORTH AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO... OUR INTERNET HOMEPAGE...AND LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

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