Friday, March 31, 2006

Friday Through Weekend Discussion - Severe Weather Still Possible

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Downright hot and humid... That's what most folks have to say about this afternoon. That humidity has got to do something for us eventually, and it may, Saturday afternoon and evening.

The Storm Prediction Center has the Northern portions of the viewing area under a moderate risk for severe weather Saturday. The rest of the Big Country is a step down with a slight risk. Either way, all of the indgredients are there for strong thunderstorms, things just all have to time out just right for it to come together.

For the rest of tonight expect partly cloudy skies and mild conditions. Overnight lows will run in the lower to middle 60s. Winds will begin to increase as well from 5 to 15 miles per hour.

Saturday, another warm afternoon with highs in the middle to upper 80s. Windy conditions return as well with winds up to 15 to 20 miles per hour out of the South. By afternoon we will have to keep a very close eye on the possibility of thunderstorms developing. Remember to keep your NOAA All-Hazards radio handy and your TV on to KRBC. If you are going to be out, sign up for E-Warn to get all watches and warnings to your pager, cell phone or e-mail. The main threats will be hail, damaging winds and possibly an isolated tornado or two Saturday afternoon.

Saturday night, storms could continue to develop. Overnight lows will be in the low 60s.

Sunday looks to be quiet with only an outside shot of an isolated thunderstorm. Highs should be in the middle 80s.

Monday looks good, with mostly sunny skies and highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday through Thursday of next week could bring us our next chance of thunderstorms. The dryline looks to be active once again, and with that, thunderstorms will be a possibility each and every afternoon. Highs will run in the lower to middle 80s each afternoon under partly cloudy skies.

Friday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Mild temperatures ruled the area once again this morining. We started out in the mid 50s to low 60s. A warm afternoon is on tap for us today with highs in the low to mid 80s. It shouldn't be as windy as yesterday with winds from the southwest at 5 to 15 mph. There is a 20% chance of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon thanks to the dryline which will move through the Big Country. Some of these storms could continue into tonight.

Warm temperatures and the 20% chance for isolated thunderstorms continues tomorrow. We probably won't see anything fire up until the afternoon hours. The reason for the rain is the dryline as well as the possiblility of an upper level disturbance moving into the region. With better upper level dynamics tomorrow and tomorrow night, some of these storms could become severe. The main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado can't be ruled out.

Sunday should see highs in the mid 80s and a 20% chance of more isolated thunderstorms. The dryline will be the lifting mechanism that causes the rain.

We should see a break from the rain chances on Monday with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.

The dryline looks to become active yet again Tuesday through Thursday, so for now there is a slight chance of rain on those days. Temperatures will remain warm in the low 80s.

As always, we will continue to keep things watched for you today and throughout the weekend for any severe thunderstorms that may move through the viewing area.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, March 30, 2006

Late Thursday Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

For the rest of tonight we should see winds begin to subside a bit, but clouds are holding tough. Overnight lows will only drop into the lower 50s to upper 50s areawide.

Friday we could see a couple of isolated afternoon thunderstorms but I highly doubt it. With the amount of moisture around and high temperatures climbing into the middle 80s, I can't completely leave chances out of the forecast.

The same will go for just about the entire 7-day forecast. The best chance for severe weather will come Saturday afternoon with a pronounced dryline and better upper level support for storms.

Afternoon highs will average in the lower to middle 80s with overnight lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Wednesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We are off to a mild and windy start this morning. Temperatures dropped down into the low to mid 60s. Winds are from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph with stronger gusts. These strong winds are expected throughout the day, so a Lake Wind and Wind Advisory are in effect for most of the area. Right now, Knox, Stonewall, Scurry and Mitchell counties are the only ones not under an advisory. Temperatures will be warm this afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80s.

The chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue today. The dryline should make its way into the Big Country by this afternoon. With this boundary in the area during the prime heating hours of the day, there is a 20% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Some of these storms could be severe. Our chance for severe weather today is not as high as it was this time yesterday. The dynamics for the rough weather look to be to our north in the central plains and midwest. If we do see any severe storms, the main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado can't be completely ruled out.

Our friend the dryline looks to hang around the Lone Star state through the weekend. This means there is a 20% chance of isolated thunderstorms Friday through Sunday. These storms will mainly fire up in the afternoon and have a chance to reach severe limits. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s during this time period.

We should see a break from the chance of rain on Monday with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.

A slight rain chance returns for Tuesday and Wednesday due to the dryline possibly becoming active yet again.

Have a terrrific Thursday!

Wednesday, March 29, 2006

Strong Thunderstorms Still Possible

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After seeing some light rainfall amounts across our viewing area last night, rain chances remain in the forecast tonight through the extended forecast.

Tonight, I expect at least a couple of isolated thunderstorms to pop up West of the Big Country. The atmosphere was very "worked over" after last night showers and storms but has recovered quickly this afternoon. Dewpoints remain high, in the lower 60s so moisture is not a problem. We will watch another upper level disturbance tonight. So for now, only a 20 to 30 % chance of storms. Lows tonight will run from 61 to 63 areawide.

Tomorrow, things could get a little tricky by afternoon. Our old Spring friend, the dryline will pay us a visit. I expect the dryline to push in from the West tomorrow afternoon. The Western Big Country will probably remain dry, but the Central and Eastern Big Country could see strong thunderstorms. The main threats will be hail, lightning, strong winds and possibly isolated tornadoes. For right now though, the best chance for severe storms looks to be just North and East of area, but we aren't completely out of the woods. Afternoon highs will climb into the lower 80s. Winds will be strong as well, running anywhere from 15 to 30 miles per hour out of the South-Southwest.

Friday should remain dry, but with the dryling around, we'll leave an under 20% chance of afternoon storms in the forecast. Otherwise expect another warm afternoon with highs in the lower 80s.

Saturday and Sunday we'll carry a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms both days. Once again, the dryline will be making it's daily surge East through the Big Country and anywhere along that boundary we could see storms fire up. Highs for the weekend will be in the middle 80s.

As we head into next week, expect more of the same with afternoon highs in the 80s and at least a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms.

The Chance For Thunderstorms Continues

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector..

We had an upper level disturbance bring us some showers and thunderstorms in the overnight hours. For now, the rain has cleared the area. We picked up about a tenth of an inch at Abilene Regional Airport. Some locations picked up a half to three quarters of an inch across the Big Country. The good news is that the chance for more rain continues. The bad news is that we could have some severe thunderstorms.

Today, mostly cloudy skies will become partly cloudy by this afternoon. The dryline is expected to move through west central Texas later today. This will lift any moisture we have and cause showers and thunderstorms. The main question is whether or not there will be enough instability to cause these storms to be severe. If we do have any severe storms, the main threats will likely be large hail and damaging winds. A few isolated tornadoes can't be completely ruled out. The chance for rain later today is 30%. Highs should reach the mid to upper 70s depending on the amount of sunshine we receive. It may be a bit breezy at times with winds from the south at 10 to 20 mph.

Tomorrow looks to be similar to today. An upper level low will move from northern New Mexico into Kansas. This will help drive the dryline through our area once again. There is a 30% chance of some isolated showers and thunderstorms with a few of these storms possibly reaching severe limits. Highs will make it into the low 80s. Windy conditions are expected with winds from the southwest at 15 to 25 mph.

Warm temperatures remain for Friday through Sunday as highs are expected to be in the low 80s. The dryline should remain active during these days so there is a slight to 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

We will likely take a break from the rain on Monday with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid 80s.

The chance for rain could return on Tuesday and Wednesday due to the reappearance of the dryline. We'll just have to wait and see if these rain chances pan out for the middle of next week.

Overall it looks like we are going to be in an active pattern for the next seven days. We'll continue to keep things watched for you here in the weather center and let you know if any severe weather breaks out.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, March 28, 2006

Thunderstorms Possible Tonight through Thursday

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

We got awfully close to getting some rain across some areas of the Big Country this morning but most areas were just too dry at the surface. We always reference the dew point during newscast because it is one of the best measurements of moisture at the surface. The dew point is the temperature the atmosphere would have to cool to at the surface for the atmosphere to become saturated. Saturation simply means the atmosphere is full, and cannot hold any more water vapor.

This morning in Brownwood the air temperature was 57 F at 5a.m. with a dewpoint of 39 F. Notice the seperation between the two numbers. That is indicative of a dry surface. This afternoon, at 4p.m., the air temperature was 64 F, with a dewpoint of 57 F. With the gap between the two numbers narrowed, we can conclude that there is a lot more water vapor in the air. In the environment this morning, when rain was trying to fall, it would evaporate in the very dry air at the surface. Tonight, evaporation will not be a problem to hinder rain chances.

This evening and tonight we are watching an upper level disturbance works its way Northwest out of Mexico. This disturbance, or faster moving air, was creating the lift for numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon South and West of Midland. As this disturbance nears, combined with the old frontal boundry we've been talking about the last two days, I expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop across the Big Country. There is a slim chance that a few storms could reach severe limits, but I think the best chance for severe weather will be Wednesday.

Speaking of Wednesday... With the old boundry that I mentioned above, combined with a dryline developing West of here, we are set up for a chance at strong thunderstorms beginning in the afternoon. Afternoon highs will climb into the upper 70s to lower 80s, adding to the instability. Winds will be breezy as well, running 15 to 20 miles per hour out of the South.

Wednesday night, the low level jet stream (a fast moving current of moist air) will pump in moisture out of the Gulf of Mexico and this will keep storms active into the evening and overnight hours. Again, the threat for severe storms will remain possible, with the best chance being for large hail and damaging winds.

Rain chances will continue until Thursday morning. By Thursday afternoon I expect clouds to begin to clear and the area to warm into the lower 80s areawide.

Friday, expect mostly sunny skies and highs at or above 80.

Saturday through the rest of the extended forecast.... Expect partly cloudy skies, with a slight chance of thunderstorms each afternoon. Saturday and Sunday we will watch another upper level system pass to our North. Monday and Tuesday there is a chance the dryline could be active and bring us showers and thunderstorms.

All in all, an active weather pattern is setting up, which is great news for rainfall chances, but some storms could be strong, so stay tuned to KRBC for the latest weather forecasts.

Tuesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off mild again this morning with temperatures in the 50s across the Big Country. There were a few showers in Brown, Coleman, and Comanche counties, but most of that probably didn't make it to the ground. We are still a bit too dry here at the surface. The bulk of the rainfall remains to our southeast where more moisture is in place.

Mostly cloudy skies will once again inhibit our temperatures from rising too much today. Highs are expected to be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Winds shouldn't be too bad out of the east-northeast at 5 to 15 mph. The chance for rain will continue. That chance is 20% for a few isolated showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon.

Our best chance for rain right now looks to be tonight. The cold front that passed through our area yesterday and stalled to our south will be lifting back to the north as a warm front. An upper level disturbance is also expected to roll through the Big Country tonight. With these lifting mechanisms in place and more moisture back in the area, our chance for rain is 60%.

Wednesday and Thursday could get a little wet too. An upper level low is expected to arrive during this time period and help push the dryline through west central Texas. This means we could see some severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday. Our chance for rain on these days ranges from 30% to 40%. Highs should be in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Friday looks to be nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s.

Another disturbance could roll into the area Saturday and Sunday so there is a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms on those days. Highs look to be in the low 80s.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, March 27, 2006

Monday Afternoon Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Today was cloudy and overcast, almost looking like it could rain at any time. The good news is, rain chances are in the forecast for the next few days.

Starting tonight we could see a few isolated showers and thunderstorms. A cold front has stalled out just South of our area and will act as a lift mechanism for moisture coming in out of the Gulf of Mexico. What happens is, a strong Southeast flow develops at the surface from the Gulf Coast, then, this moist flow runs into the stationary front. That front, containing cooler air, then makes the warmer, moister air lift. When this flow gets set up, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. This setup will continue through tomorrow.

Then by Wednesday, an upper level system will approach from the West. Now, the moisture flow from the Gulf will still be around, but the front will have "washed out" or dissipated. This time, we will see lifting mechanisms in the form of disturbances, or faster moving area above the surface, create the lift for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Wednesday night.

By Thursday, another forcing mechanism, this one we are all too familiar with, the dryline, will move in from the West as an upper level system passes to our North. Behind the dry line will be a weak Pacific cold front that I do not expect to bring much in the way of cool air. The combination of the dryline and frontal system should bring another round of showers and thunderstorms to the area Thursday.

I do not expect to see too impressive of rain fall totals, but isolated areas could see up to an inch or more of rainfall, depending upon where the showers and storms form. The best chance for heavy rainfall will be in the Eastern and Southeastern portions of the viewing area.

Friday should be very sunny and warm, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. By Saturday, moisture returns to the area. Sunday, we could see another round of showers and thunderstorms.

Monday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off mild this morning with temperatures in the low 50s to low 60s across the area. Temperatures will only warm up into the mid 60s to low 70s thanks mainly to a cold front that will move through the Big Country this morning. Mostly cloudy skies is the other reason temperatures will not warm up as much. Winds are not expected to be as bad as yesterday. It will be a little breezy from time to time with winds from the north-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

There is a chance for showers and thunderstorms beginning today and lasting through Thursday. Our chances for rain today and tomorrow are due to the cold front that will be moving through the Big Country today. This front is expected to stall to our south and act as lifting mechanism for the moisture. Some showers and thunderstorms could fire along it and move into our area. Another reason for our rain chances is a trough that will set up to our west. An upper level low should form and send a few disturbances towards us tomorrow through Thursday. The low itself is expected to move across the Texas panhandle late Wednesday into Thursday. This will help drag the dryline through west central Texas on those days. Any storms we see over the next four days have a potential to be severe, but the best possiblity of severe storms will be late Wednesday into Thursday. Right now, our rain chances are about 20% for today and 30% for Tuesday through Thursday.

Skies should clear for Friday through Sunday, so the weekend looks good for now with highs in the mid to upper 70s.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Friday, March 24, 2006

Friday Afternoon Discusion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After a chilly start this morning across the Big Country we warmed up nicely into the upper 50s areawide. Tonight, I'm expecting cool conditions, but not quite as cool as this morning. Most places will stay above freezing with lows in the middle to upper 30s. The only exception will be in low-lying areas, like Brownwood for instance, where I expect a light frost tonight.

The weekend still looks fabulous. For Saturday you can expect mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s to right at 70. Sunday, even warmer, but a bit breezy, with highs in the middle 70s.

Changes are coming next week though. Monday will be warm with partly cloudy skies and highs in the middle 70s. Monday night a weak cold front will pass through, it won't cool us off much, but it will be a focussing mechanism for a few isolated showers and thunderstorms possibly Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday, we will be watching an upper level system to our North and West. This system, combined with a dryline that may form, could bring us stronger thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday. Right now I'm only calling for a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, but I expect I will be raising those chances unless something drastically changes between now and then.

By Thursday rain chances come to an end and temperatures rebound back into the upper 70s.

Friday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

It was a cold morning across the Big Country today as temperatures bottomed out in the mid to upper 20s. There was quite a bit of frost on vehicles, so if you left it uncovered last night you probably had to spend a few mintues scraping it off. The good news is this will be our coldest morning for at least the next seven days.

A warming trend begins today as highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s. This is still below average for this time of year, but about ten degrees warmer than yesterday. Winds should be pretty light from the southwest at 5 to 10 mph.

The weekend is looking just about picture perfect. You should be able to enjoy some time in the park or maybe play some golf. Mostly sunny skies are expected on Saturday, while Sunday should be partly cloudy. Highs will be in the low 70s which is what we expect to see this time of year.

A cold front will likely move through the area on Monday. Temperatures won't cool down much at all behind it. Highs will remain in the low to mid 70s for the first half of the work week.

Rain chances of 20% enter the picture for Tuesday through Thursday. A trough looks to be set up to our west during this time period. A few upper level disturbances and an upper level low should help fire off some showers and thunderstorms. We'll keep an eye on this and see if those rain chances increase as we get closer to those days.

Have a fantastic Friday and a wonderful weekend!

Thursday, March 23, 2006

4:40pm Thursday Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After a very chilly day across the Big Country with highs only climbing into the lower 40s to near 50 we are set up for a very cold night. A freeze warning is in effect for all of the viewing area with the exception of Stonewall, Scurry and Mitchell counties. I expect overnight lows to drop into the middle 20s areawide. With most plants and flowers already blooming I would definately suggest you bring indoors what plants you can. If you can't, cover any them completely to try to save them from tonight's cold. Also, don't forget to cover all exterior, exposed pipes. And last but not least, don't forget to bring the pets indoors.

The good news is, this looks like the last freeze for at least the next 5 to 7 days. Afternoon highs Friday will warm back into the upper 50s to lower 60s. This thanks mainly to sunny skies and a return to Southerly winds.

This weekend looks FANTASTIC. Both Saturday and Sunday we will have mostly sunny skies. Afternoon highs will rand from the low 70s Saturday to the middle 70s Sunday.

Monday looks to be even warmer ahead of our next cold front. Partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 70s are likely.

This next cold front will pass through Monday into Tuesday. It looks like the front will stall in either the Southern Big Country or just to our South. With this boundary around the area, there will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday through Thursday.

By Thursday, another upper level disturbance looks to affect the area. It's just a little too early to tell exactly where this system will pass, so we'll have to wait and see on rain chances.

Freeze Warning Tonight

The National Weather Service offices that serve the KRBC viewing area have issued a Freeze Warning tonight. The only counties not under the warning are Stonewall, Scurry and Mitchell. Those counties are served by the Lubbock weather service and the Midland weather service. I have posted below the statement from The National Weather Service in San Angelo.

Craig Carnesi
Chief Meteorologist

Freeze WarningURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
215 PM CST THU MAR 23 2006


...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM FRIDAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR BY THIS EVENING. WITH LIGHT WINDS...
TEMPERATURES ARE WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE.

FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON-

215 PM CST THU MAR 23 2006
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...


TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. BY SUNRISE...A HARD FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE... PARTICULARLY OVER LOW LYING AREAS.
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL OR SERIOUSLY DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

Thursday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had some light rain and a little snow move through last night. That has pretty much come to an end. There was very little if any accumulation. We could see a few snowflakes early today. This precipitation should be very, very light so no accumulations or travel problems are expected. It was another chilly start to the day with temperatures in the low to mid 30s across most of the Big Country. We'll start with mostly cloudy skies this morning, but by this afternoon enough sunshine should peak through that it will be partly cloudy. Highs will only reach the mid to upper 40s, so it will be a chilly day.

A Freeze Warning is in effect for the entire area tonight. Stonewall, Scurry, and Mitchell counties are the only places not currently in the warning. Everyone should protect their pets, plants, and pipes since lows are expected to be in the mid to upper 20s.

A warming trend begins tomorrow and lasts through the weekend. Highs will range from the upper 50s on Friday to the mid 70s on Sunday.

A cold front is due to move into the area on Monday. This will cool us back down a bit for Tuesday and Wednesday. It looks like we may see a little rain on those days. Right now, the chance for showers and thunderstorms stands at 20%. We'll see if the possibility for rain improves as we get closer to this time period.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, March 22, 2006

4:45pm Wednesday Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Dare I say it, but there is a chance for some snow across the area tonight. Now, before you kids get too excited, it's only a chance for a few wet flurries, and mainly North of Interstate 20. Either way, there's a chance, and we'll talk about it.

Cold air is continuing to filter in from the North, now this is not an Arctic front or anything of that nature. It's actually cold air filtering in from Nebraska and the central US. If you'll remember all of the snow that fell over the area earlier this week, that snow is still on the ground, and still keeping the air above it quite chilly. Now, with winds blowing in from that direction, our air temperatures tonight will at or below freezing for a while. With that, coupled with some upper level energy passing by, we could see a couple of isolated, light showers, with a few snow flurries mixed in. I do not anticipate any travel problems, nor any accumulations. Just possible some Spring snow flurries.

After tonight, the slow warm-up begins. Clouds will begin to decrease across the area Thursday, but temperatures will only climb into the upper 40s to lower 50s.

With clear skies Thursday night, another light to hard freeze will be likely across the area. The National Weather Service has issued a freeze watch for most of the viewing area. Go ahead and bring the pets and plants in the next two nights. I'm calling for a low of 28 to 30 areawide Friday morning.

By Friday afternoon sunny skies will warm us back into the upper 50s to low 60s.

Saturday and Sunday look FANTASTIC with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s Saturday to the middle 70s Sunday.

Monday and Tuesday could bring us our next chance for showers if things all work out. Right now I'm calling for partly cloudy skies and an under twenty percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Highs will reach the lower 70s both days.

NEW- 3:45pm, Freeze Watch Issued

From The National Weather Service in San Angelo, TX:

Freeze WatchURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
331 PM CST WED MAR 22 2006


...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY.
CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS WILL KEEP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR BY THURSDAY EVENING. WITH LIGHT WINDS...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE.


FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON-

331 PM CST WED MAR 22 2006

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS RIVER VALLEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE.


A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.



Wednesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off on the cold side of things once again this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 30s. It looks like another cool afternoon is on tap for us today as highs should only make into the upper 40s to low 50s. Part of the reason it will be cool today is due to the mostly cloudy skies expected through the day. Winds will be from the east at 10 to 15 mph.

A cold front is still expected to move through the area later today. This will reinforce the cool air that is already in place. There is a slight to maybe a 20% chance of a few isolated showers tonight. The main question continues to be whether or not enough moisture will be in place. If we do see any rain, amounts will likely only be a few hundreths of an inch. You'll want to bring in your pets and tender vegetation for the next couple of nights as lows will probably be around freezing or a little below.

Well below average temperatures will continue Thursday and Friday with highs in the low to mid 50s. That's about 15 to 20 degrees below where we should be for this time of year.

Warmer temperatures arrive on Saturday and last into early next week thanks to a high pressure ridge that will build to our west.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, March 21, 2006

Tuesday Afternoon Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Today sure turned out nice, just a little on the cool side. High temperatures struggled to reach the lower 50s areawide. More cool weather is on tap for the next couple of afternoons as well.

Tonight we will see a bit of an increase in cloud cover as the next system to affect us approaches. Overnight lows will flirt with the freezing point tonight as well. I expect most areas to stay at or above 32, but some areas will dip down to 30 to 31, especially South and East of Abilene. Brownwood will likely see a freeze. I would definately suggest leaving tender vegetation covered or brought inside tonight. Go ahead and bring the pets inside as well.

Wednesday clouds will continue to increase and with that high temperatures will remain only in the lower 50s.

Wednesday night the system bringing the cloud cover will pass to our North and pull a cold front through the Big Country. This "Pacific" front will not dramatically drop temperatures, but it will create enough lift for isolated showers Wednesday night. Temperatures will run in the lower 30s when the best chance for rain arrives, so, we could see isolated flurries or sleet with any showers that develop. I do not expect any accumulations though, so kids, you will still have school Thursday. Sorry...

Thursday afternoon we will see clouds decreasing and highs in the lower 50s once again.

Then by Friday into Tuesday, expect temperatures to climb from the low 60s Friday into the middle to upper 70s by Sunday and Monday.

Tuesday Morning Update

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

For our first morning of the spring season, it certainly is cold out there. Lows bottomed out in the low to mid 30s for most of the Big Country. That's about 10 to 15 degrees below average for this time of year. The colder air is thanks mostly to a cold front that moved through last night.

Overall, this first full day of spring should be nice but cool. It will be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 50s. The winds will die down, but remain breezy from the north-northwest at 10 to 20 mph. You'll want to think about bringing the pets and tender vegetation in tonight since lows will be close to freezing once again. Some locations could see a light freeze.

The cool temperatures stick around on Wednesday with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 50s. A cold front is expected to move through by tomorrow evening bringing a reinforcing shot of cold air for the rest of the work week. We could also see a few isolated showers. The question is whether or not we'll have enough moisture in place. For now, I'm going with an optimistic 20% chance of rain. Amounts, if any, look to be very light.

Thursday should be partly cloudy with highs remaining in the low to mid 50s.

We begin a warming trend on Friday that will last into early next week. Highs for this time period should range from the low 60s to mid 70s.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

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