From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
We have at least tied the record high for today of 88 degrees at Abilene Regional Airport. The old record was set in 1918. We will have to wait for the final climate report from the weather service to determine if we were able to break the record or not.
I think we will definately break the record tomorrow. The record for March 1st is 86 set way back in 1899. I'm forecasting a high temperature tomorrow of 88.
The changes begin after tomorrow though. A cold front will arrive early Thursday morning, knocking afternoon highs down into the lower 70s and also bringing with it a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms.
The good news, rain chances and the cooler temperatures will last through Saturday. Friday the skies will stay cloudy all day and we will see a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Then Saturday our rain chances will come to an end with highs in the lower 70s.
Another cold front arrives Saturday night and it will push out all of our moisture. Sunday looks very pleasant with highs in the middle 60s.
Then sunshine and warmth continues Monday and Tuesday.
Tuesday, February 28, 2006
Tuesday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We're starting off mild this morning, but by this afternoon it will be warm. Highs today should reach the low to mid 80s. That will be close to record heat. The record high for today at Abilene Regional Airport is 88 set back in 1904. The winds will lighten up a little bit, but still remain on the breezy side. Winds will be from the southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
The well above average temperatures continue tomorrow with new record highs likely to be set. Highs are expected to make it all the way up to the mid to upper 80s. The record high for tomorrow as I mentioned yesterday is 86 set back in 1899.
Enjoy these warm days because a cooling trend will begin on Thursday with the arrival of a cold front. Highs Thursday through Saturday will be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Skies should be mostly cloudy. There is a 20% to 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms during that time period. Friday looks to be the best day for some rain. The reason we may see the precipitation is due to the subtropical jet stream setting up similar to how it was last week. A few disturbances look to pass us by Thursday through Saturday. We'll just have to wait and see.
Another cold front is expected to arrive late Saturday. This one looks to dry us out and continue the downward trend in temperatures for the end of the week and early next week. Highs Sunday and Monday should be in the 60s.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
We're starting off mild this morning, but by this afternoon it will be warm. Highs today should reach the low to mid 80s. That will be close to record heat. The record high for today at Abilene Regional Airport is 88 set back in 1904. The winds will lighten up a little bit, but still remain on the breezy side. Winds will be from the southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
The well above average temperatures continue tomorrow with new record highs likely to be set. Highs are expected to make it all the way up to the mid to upper 80s. The record high for tomorrow as I mentioned yesterday is 86 set back in 1899.
Enjoy these warm days because a cooling trend will begin on Thursday with the arrival of a cold front. Highs Thursday through Saturday will be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Skies should be mostly cloudy. There is a 20% to 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms during that time period. Friday looks to be the best day for some rain. The reason we may see the precipitation is due to the subtropical jet stream setting up similar to how it was last week. A few disturbances look to pass us by Thursday through Saturday. We'll just have to wait and see.
Another cold front is expected to arrive late Saturday. This one looks to dry us out and continue the downward trend in temperatures for the end of the week and early next week. Highs Sunday and Monday should be in the 60s.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
Monday, February 27, 2006
Monday Night Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
A very pleasant start to the work-week today with afternoon high temperatures climbing into the low to middle 70s across the area.
Winds will remain breezy tonight and overnight lows will stay mild, only falling into the low to middle 50s.
High temperatures will climb into the middle 80s Ttuesday and near 90 Wednesday. I think we will break a record high on Wednesday that was set back in 1899. The old record was 86, right now I'm forecasting 87, but there is the chance we could get even warmer than that.
A cold front will then arrive thursday bringing some relief and setting the stage for showers and maybe even thunderstorms.
Rain chances are under twenty percent thursday, but climb up to thirty percent friday and fall back to twenty percent Saturday.
High temperatures will cool to the middle 70s Thursday, upper 60s Friday and lower 70s again Saturday.
Another cold front arrives Saturday into Sunday that will clear things out and moderate high temperatures to near 70 both Sunday and Monday.
A very pleasant start to the work-week today with afternoon high temperatures climbing into the low to middle 70s across the area.
Winds will remain breezy tonight and overnight lows will stay mild, only falling into the low to middle 50s.
High temperatures will climb into the middle 80s Ttuesday and near 90 Wednesday. I think we will break a record high on Wednesday that was set back in 1899. The old record was 86, right now I'm forecasting 87, but there is the chance we could get even warmer than that.
A cold front will then arrive thursday bringing some relief and setting the stage for showers and maybe even thunderstorms.
Rain chances are under twenty percent thursday, but climb up to thirty percent friday and fall back to twenty percent Saturday.
High temperatures will cool to the middle 70s Thursday, upper 60s Friday and lower 70s again Saturday.
Another cold front arrives Saturday into Sunday that will clear things out and moderate high temperatures to near 70 both Sunday and Monday.
The Warm Up Continues
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
The sunshine and warmer temperatures returned yesterday after a cool and wet Thursday through Saturday. This morning we're starting off with temperatures in the upper 30s to upper 40s. The warming trend continues this afternoon with highs in the low to mid 70s. Windy conditions are expected today as well. Winds will be from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph with gusts as high as 30 to 35 mph. A Lake Wind and Wind Advisory are in effect for most of the area today, so you might want to put off that trip to the lake. Also, be careful if you are in a high profile vehicle on the roadways. Be sure you have a firm grip on the steering wheel.
Even though we got some rain last week, we should still be very cautious when it comes to the fire danger. It can take about 7 to 10 days for the ground and plant life to fully soak in the moisture after rain has fallen. Also the rain we saw last week will help us in the short term, but we still have a way to go before we can overcome the long term dry conditions that we have had.
Tuesday and Wednesday will be very warm and well above average for this time of year. Highs should reach the mid to upper 80s. We could see record highs on Wednesday since the record for that date is 86 set back in 1899.
A cold front is expected to arrive on Thursday. It will cool us down for Thursday through Saturday, but highs should be in the low to mid 70s. There is also a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. Hopefully, we'll add a little more rain to the rain bucket for the year since we're still about a third of an inch behind where we should be.
Another cold front looks to arrive on Saturday. Rain chances with this front look slight at best for now. This front will continue the cooling trend as Sunday's highs should be in the mid 60s.
Have a magnificent Monday!
The sunshine and warmer temperatures returned yesterday after a cool and wet Thursday through Saturday. This morning we're starting off with temperatures in the upper 30s to upper 40s. The warming trend continues this afternoon with highs in the low to mid 70s. Windy conditions are expected today as well. Winds will be from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph with gusts as high as 30 to 35 mph. A Lake Wind and Wind Advisory are in effect for most of the area today, so you might want to put off that trip to the lake. Also, be careful if you are in a high profile vehicle on the roadways. Be sure you have a firm grip on the steering wheel.
Even though we got some rain last week, we should still be very cautious when it comes to the fire danger. It can take about 7 to 10 days for the ground and plant life to fully soak in the moisture after rain has fallen. Also the rain we saw last week will help us in the short term, but we still have a way to go before we can overcome the long term dry conditions that we have had.
Tuesday and Wednesday will be very warm and well above average for this time of year. Highs should reach the mid to upper 80s. We could see record highs on Wednesday since the record for that date is 86 set back in 1899.
A cold front is expected to arrive on Thursday. It will cool us down for Thursday through Saturday, but highs should be in the low to mid 70s. There is also a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. Hopefully, we'll add a little more rain to the rain bucket for the year since we're still about a third of an inch behind where we should be.
Another cold front looks to arrive on Saturday. Rain chances with this front look slight at best for now. This front will continue the cooling trend as Sunday's highs should be in the mid 60s.
Have a magnificent Monday!
Friday, February 24, 2006
Wonderful Rain!
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
What a beautiful, gloomy, dreary, rainy day! Triple Doppler radar shows that just about everyone has seen at least a little bit of rain. A swath of half an inch to just under two inches of rain extends from Southern Mitchell County, through Nolan and Taylor Counties and into Southern Jones and Shackelford Counties.
Triple Doppler also shows rainfall totals on the order of about half an inch or more through Southern Runnels County, through the majority of Colemand and Brown Counties and into Souther Eastland County.
Through the overnight hours tonight there will be another chance of showers as the main upper-level disturbance that has brought us this rain will pass over us. Rain chances will end by Saturday afternoon with skies beginning to clear by Saturday night.
High temperatures will be a little cooler this weekend than what I mentioned yesterday. Saturday should top out in the upper 50s and Sunday should top out in the lower 60s.
A big warm-up is in store for us next week with highs climbing back into the upper 70s and lower 80s by Tuesday.
Another cold front passes through the area by Thursday and, the best part of all, it looks like rain chances will return to the forecast by that time.
What a beautiful, gloomy, dreary, rainy day! Triple Doppler radar shows that just about everyone has seen at least a little bit of rain. A swath of half an inch to just under two inches of rain extends from Southern Mitchell County, through Nolan and Taylor Counties and into Southern Jones and Shackelford Counties.
Triple Doppler also shows rainfall totals on the order of about half an inch or more through Southern Runnels County, through the majority of Colemand and Brown Counties and into Souther Eastland County.
Through the overnight hours tonight there will be another chance of showers as the main upper-level disturbance that has brought us this rain will pass over us. Rain chances will end by Saturday afternoon with skies beginning to clear by Saturday night.
High temperatures will be a little cooler this weekend than what I mentioned yesterday. Saturday should top out in the upper 50s and Sunday should top out in the lower 60s.
A big warm-up is in store for us next week with highs climbing back into the upper 70s and lower 80s by Tuesday.
Another cold front passes through the area by Thursday and, the best part of all, it looks like rain chances will return to the forecast by that time.
Chance For Rain Coming To An End
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We started off a little on the mild side this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 40s. Another batch of showers is moving northeastward through the area. Showers and even a few thunderstorms will be off and on today, so keep the umbrella close by. Highs should only reach the low to mid 50s.
The chance for rain continues tonight and tomorrow morning. A few upper level disturbances are expected to move across the region in advance of an upper level low that is near Baja California. This low will end up becoming an open wave and ride the jetstream into the state. All of the rain activity should be over by the lunchtime to early afternoon hours on Saturday. A cold front looks to move through tomorrow and begin the clearing out process. Highs tomorrow should manage to make it into the upper 50s to low 60s.
A high pressure ridge will likely begin building into the area Sunday and into early next week. This will crank our temperatures up to well above average for this time of year by Tuesday. It looks as though we will also be dry during this period as well.
Have a fantastic Friday!
We started off a little on the mild side this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 40s. Another batch of showers is moving northeastward through the area. Showers and even a few thunderstorms will be off and on today, so keep the umbrella close by. Highs should only reach the low to mid 50s.
The chance for rain continues tonight and tomorrow morning. A few upper level disturbances are expected to move across the region in advance of an upper level low that is near Baja California. This low will end up becoming an open wave and ride the jetstream into the state. All of the rain activity should be over by the lunchtime to early afternoon hours on Saturday. A cold front looks to move through tomorrow and begin the clearing out process. Highs tomorrow should manage to make it into the upper 50s to low 60s.
A high pressure ridge will likely begin building into the area Sunday and into early next week. This will crank our temperatures up to well above average for this time of year by Tuesday. It looks as though we will also be dry during this period as well.
Have a fantastic Friday!
Thursday, February 23, 2006
Damp Weather Continues
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
As of 4:00 p.m. this afternoon we have received .04" of rain at Abilene Regional Airport. I know, that's not a whole lot, but at least it's measurable.
Rain chances will remain in the forecast through tomorrow night. An upper level disturbance will push through the area Friday, creating enough lift for possibly a few thunderstorms. I do not expect anything severe, but brief heavy downpours and lightning will be possible Friday.
As this disturbance exits the region, dry air will replace it and dry pattern will rule for the next week or so.
Weekend high temperatures will warm into the lower to middle 60s, with the lower to middle 70s likely Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday afternoon highs across the area will likely break 80 degrees as another cold front approaches the area. This next cold front looks to be a dry front at this point. It does not look to be an arctic front either, only knocking temperatures back to the middle 60s.
As of 4:00 p.m. this afternoon we have received .04" of rain at Abilene Regional Airport. I know, that's not a whole lot, but at least it's measurable.
Rain chances will remain in the forecast through tomorrow night. An upper level disturbance will push through the area Friday, creating enough lift for possibly a few thunderstorms. I do not expect anything severe, but brief heavy downpours and lightning will be possible Friday.
As this disturbance exits the region, dry air will replace it and dry pattern will rule for the next week or so.
Weekend high temperatures will warm into the lower to middle 60s, with the lower to middle 70s likely Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday afternoon highs across the area will likely break 80 degrees as another cold front approaches the area. This next cold front looks to be a dry front at this point. It does not look to be an arctic front either, only knocking temperatures back to the middle 60s.
Thursday Morning Update
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We are starting off with temperatures a little cooler than yesterday. We bottomed out in the mid 30s to low 40s across the Big Country this morning. Once again, there is plenty of cloud cover and some fog too. The fog isn't as dense as yesterday, but everyone should still be careful. Showers have also reappeared this morning. They are mainly south of Interstate 20 and will only drop a few hundreths of an inch as they move east across the area.
The chance for rain will continue throughout the day, so keep the rain gear close by. Highs will only make it into the low to mid 50s due to the cloud cover and rain. Tonight the showers will likely become more isolated. Lows should be in the low 40s.
Mostly cloudy skies and the chance for rain will rule the day again tomorrow. It's possible that we may see a few thunderstorms as well. Right now, our rain chance for Friday is 40%. Highs should be similar to today.
Our pattern begins to change this weekend. Our rain chances will come to an end and we start warming up. Skies should become partly cloudy. Highs will likely make it into the low to mid 60s which is average for this time of year.
Looking into the first half of next week, we'll have temperatures returning to well above average levels. Highs should be in the 70s. A few locations may reach 80 by Wednesday.
Have a terrific Thursday!
We are starting off with temperatures a little cooler than yesterday. We bottomed out in the mid 30s to low 40s across the Big Country this morning. Once again, there is plenty of cloud cover and some fog too. The fog isn't as dense as yesterday, but everyone should still be careful. Showers have also reappeared this morning. They are mainly south of Interstate 20 and will only drop a few hundreths of an inch as they move east across the area.
The chance for rain will continue throughout the day, so keep the rain gear close by. Highs will only make it into the low to mid 50s due to the cloud cover and rain. Tonight the showers will likely become more isolated. Lows should be in the low 40s.
Mostly cloudy skies and the chance for rain will rule the day again tomorrow. It's possible that we may see a few thunderstorms as well. Right now, our rain chance for Friday is 40%. Highs should be similar to today.
Our pattern begins to change this weekend. Our rain chances will come to an end and we start warming up. Skies should become partly cloudy. Highs will likely make it into the low to mid 60s which is average for this time of year.
Looking into the first half of next week, we'll have temperatures returning to well above average levels. Highs should be in the 70s. A few locations may reach 80 by Wednesday.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Wednesday, February 22, 2006
Wednesday Afternoon Discussion
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Slight chances for showers remain in the forecast for the next 48 hours or so. After that, a dry pattern looks to set up once again.
For tonight there is only a slim chance of an isolated shower or two. A cold front pushed through the area early this morning and has gone stationary just South of here. Moisture will continue to overrun the cooler air bringing us our slim chance for showers.
A better chance for showers will come Friday as an upper level disturbance passes over us. Rain chances Friday will run about 20 to 30 percent.
By the weekend we were anticipating another cold front passing but unfortunately it looks like that will not happen now. So, the weekend does look nice with highs in the middle to upper 60s and partly cloudy skies.
Some of the long term models are calling for a big time warm-up for the first week of March. Last weekend may have been our last chance for winter, we'll have to wait and see.
Slight chances for showers remain in the forecast for the next 48 hours or so. After that, a dry pattern looks to set up once again.
For tonight there is only a slim chance of an isolated shower or two. A cold front pushed through the area early this morning and has gone stationary just South of here. Moisture will continue to overrun the cooler air bringing us our slim chance for showers.
A better chance for showers will come Friday as an upper level disturbance passes over us. Rain chances Friday will run about 20 to 30 percent.
By the weekend we were anticipating another cold front passing but unfortunately it looks like that will not happen now. So, the weekend does look nice with highs in the middle to upper 60s and partly cloudy skies.
Some of the long term models are calling for a big time warm-up for the first week of March. Last weekend may have been our last chance for winter, we'll have to wait and see.
Keep The Rain Gear Close By
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We are starting off with a range of temperatures across the viewing area this morning. Temperatuers bottomed out anywhere from the upper 30s to upper 40s. Fog has developed once again as well. It will be dense in some locations. Please take your time getting to your destination this morning and use your low beam headlights. We weren't the only ones dealing with dense fog to start the day. A Dense Fog Advisory stretched from our eastern counties all the way to Louisiana and Arkansas. A Dense Fog Advisory is issued when visibilities will be a quarter of a mile or less. As if the fog wasn't enough to deal with this morning, we also had some showers move through as well.
The fog should clear by the mid to late morning hours. We will continue to see mostly cloudy skies. The chance for more isolated showers will also continue at 20%. Highs today should be in the low 60s.
The chance for rain increases tonight through Friday to about 30% to 40%. We may see some isolated thunderstorms during this time period as well. The reason for the rain is because of two features. One, a cold front moved through the area and will stall out to our south. Gulf moisture will ride over this cooler air mass and possibly cause some rain. This process is something we call isentropic lift. We also have the southern branch of the jet stream moving through the state. This will bring in Pacific moisture in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere. Upper level disturbances will ride this jet stream into our area and possibly bring us some rain. Some models are showing total rainfall amounts for the next three days in the half inch to inch category. I feel these models are overdoing it. I think we will only end up with a quarter of an inch to a half inch. Keep you fingers crossed. Anything we get will be better than what we have received lately, which is pretty much nothing. Temperatures for Thursday and Friday should be in the upper 50s.
The colder air that was expected this weekend doesn't look like it is going to make it now. That air looks to remain to our north and east. I have increased our highs to the low 60s for Saturday and Sunday. We should begin the drying out process druing that time too.
By early next week, skies clear out and temperatures will return to well above average levels. We could see highs back in the low 70s by Tuesday.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
We are starting off with a range of temperatures across the viewing area this morning. Temperatuers bottomed out anywhere from the upper 30s to upper 40s. Fog has developed once again as well. It will be dense in some locations. Please take your time getting to your destination this morning and use your low beam headlights. We weren't the only ones dealing with dense fog to start the day. A Dense Fog Advisory stretched from our eastern counties all the way to Louisiana and Arkansas. A Dense Fog Advisory is issued when visibilities will be a quarter of a mile or less. As if the fog wasn't enough to deal with this morning, we also had some showers move through as well.
The fog should clear by the mid to late morning hours. We will continue to see mostly cloudy skies. The chance for more isolated showers will also continue at 20%. Highs today should be in the low 60s.
The chance for rain increases tonight through Friday to about 30% to 40%. We may see some isolated thunderstorms during this time period as well. The reason for the rain is because of two features. One, a cold front moved through the area and will stall out to our south. Gulf moisture will ride over this cooler air mass and possibly cause some rain. This process is something we call isentropic lift. We also have the southern branch of the jet stream moving through the state. This will bring in Pacific moisture in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere. Upper level disturbances will ride this jet stream into our area and possibly bring us some rain. Some models are showing total rainfall amounts for the next three days in the half inch to inch category. I feel these models are overdoing it. I think we will only end up with a quarter of an inch to a half inch. Keep you fingers crossed. Anything we get will be better than what we have received lately, which is pretty much nothing. Temperatures for Thursday and Friday should be in the upper 50s.
The colder air that was expected this weekend doesn't look like it is going to make it now. That air looks to remain to our north and east. I have increased our highs to the low 60s for Saturday and Sunday. We should begin the drying out process druing that time too.
By early next week, skies clear out and temperatures will return to well above average levels. We could see highs back in the low 70s by Tuesday.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Tuesday, February 21, 2006
Wet Weather Possible
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Good news, rain chances are in the forecast and temperatures will stay above freezing so we will not have the travel concerns and problems we had this weekend.
Rain chances will begin as early as overnight tonight. The first thing to lead to our rain chances will be the passage of a weak cold front overnight tonight. That front will reinforce the cooler air at the surface and give the moisture something to lift over.
The second and main source for our chances for rain will come in the middle levels of the atmosphere as the Southern branch of the jet stream sets up shop directly over us beginning Wednesday. Numerous upper level disturbances will then pass by and bring us more chances for showers.
Unfortunately all of this will come to an end Friday evening as another cold front blows through and pushes all of this out of our area.
By the weekend partly cloudy skies and cool conditions will rule. Highs will run in the middle 50s. The dry pattern will then continue through most of next week.
Good news, rain chances are in the forecast and temperatures will stay above freezing so we will not have the travel concerns and problems we had this weekend.
Rain chances will begin as early as overnight tonight. The first thing to lead to our rain chances will be the passage of a weak cold front overnight tonight. That front will reinforce the cooler air at the surface and give the moisture something to lift over.
The second and main source for our chances for rain will come in the middle levels of the atmosphere as the Southern branch of the jet stream sets up shop directly over us beginning Wednesday. Numerous upper level disturbances will then pass by and bring us more chances for showers.
Unfortunately all of this will come to an end Friday evening as another cold front blows through and pushes all of this out of our area.
By the weekend partly cloudy skies and cool conditions will rule. Highs will run in the middle 50s. The dry pattern will then continue through most of next week.
Keep The Umbrella Handy
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
No, you are not seeing things. I have titled this entry "Keep The Umbrella Handy." We have several chances for rain over the coming days. First, though, let's talk about this morning and today. We started off with a wide range of temperatures. In Sweetwater and Snyder, the temperature got below freezing. However, in Abilene and Brownwood, temperatures only bottomed out in the upper 30s to low 40s. Fog has once again developed across the viewing area this morning. It is dense in a few locations, so be careful and give yourself plenty of time to get to your destinations. The fog should clear out later this morning. Mostly cloudy skies will remain. Highs today should still make it into the upper 60s to low 70s thanks in part to winds from the south-southwest at 10 to 15 mph.
A cold front is expected to move through tonight and into early tomorrow. We may have just enough moisture in place that some showers are possible. The chance is only 20%. Lows tonight will be mild in the mid 40s.
The chance for rain continues Thursday and Friday at 30% to 40%. We may even see some thunderstorms on Wednesday night and Thursday. Highs on Thursday look to be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Warmer temperatures are expected Friday with highs in the upper 60s.
There are several reasons why we have the chance for rain. The southern branch of the jetstream is going to be running right over the Lone Star State. Some disturbances are projected to move along the jetstream for the next few days. This means nothing if there isn't enough moisture in place. That has been our problem for most of the past four to five months. This time however, we may have just enough in place. Pacific and Gulf moisture should continue moving into the area during the Tuesday through Friday time period. So, keep your fingers crossed that we get as much rain as possible with this opportunity.
Another cold front is expected to arrive on Saturday. It looks to be bringing with it a little bit colder air mass. Right now, it doesn't seem to be anything like what we saw last weekend. Temperatures will be below average for this time of year with highs in the low 50s. We may see a few showers this weekend. It really depends on how much moisture we have left at that point. We'll just have to wait and see.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
No, you are not seeing things. I have titled this entry "Keep The Umbrella Handy." We have several chances for rain over the coming days. First, though, let's talk about this morning and today. We started off with a wide range of temperatures. In Sweetwater and Snyder, the temperature got below freezing. However, in Abilene and Brownwood, temperatures only bottomed out in the upper 30s to low 40s. Fog has once again developed across the viewing area this morning. It is dense in a few locations, so be careful and give yourself plenty of time to get to your destinations. The fog should clear out later this morning. Mostly cloudy skies will remain. Highs today should still make it into the upper 60s to low 70s thanks in part to winds from the south-southwest at 10 to 15 mph.
A cold front is expected to move through tonight and into early tomorrow. We may have just enough moisture in place that some showers are possible. The chance is only 20%. Lows tonight will be mild in the mid 40s.
The chance for rain continues Thursday and Friday at 30% to 40%. We may even see some thunderstorms on Wednesday night and Thursday. Highs on Thursday look to be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Warmer temperatures are expected Friday with highs in the upper 60s.
There are several reasons why we have the chance for rain. The southern branch of the jetstream is going to be running right over the Lone Star State. Some disturbances are projected to move along the jetstream for the next few days. This means nothing if there isn't enough moisture in place. That has been our problem for most of the past four to five months. This time however, we may have just enough in place. Pacific and Gulf moisture should continue moving into the area during the Tuesday through Friday time period. So, keep your fingers crossed that we get as much rain as possible with this opportunity.
Another cold front is expected to arrive on Saturday. It looks to be bringing with it a little bit colder air mass. Right now, it doesn't seem to be anything like what we saw last weekend. Temperatures will be below average for this time of year with highs in the low 50s. We may see a few showers this weekend. It really depends on how much moisture we have left at that point. We'll just have to wait and see.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
Monday, February 20, 2006
Let The Warm Up Begin
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Before I get into this morning's discussion, I would like to wish everyone a happy President's Day.
It was a very cold weekend for us. We dropped below freezing Friday morning and most of us in the Big Country haven't gotten above 32 degrees since then. The western communities did manage to make it to the mid 30s yesterday due to some late day sunshine. We also had some light freezing rain, freezing drizzle, and small snowflakes off and on throughout the weeekend. Most of it did not make it to the ground however due to it being too dry at the surface. There were some locations in the Big Country that saw a few icy spots on the roads because the freezing rain and drizzle was just heavy enough to cause a few travel problems.
This morning we are starting off at or below freezing across the entire viewing area. There is also fog and mist in some spots. Be sure to give yourself plenty of time to get to your destinations. Also, remember to use your low beam headlines when it is foggy. Because temperatures are at or below freezing, some of this fog and mist may cause some slick spots on the roadways so be careful.
By this afternoon, all of the cold weather should be just a memory as everyone will be well above freezing. Mostly cloudy skies will remain, but temperatures should reach the mid to upper 50s.
The warming trend continues tomorrow. Partly cloudy skies are expected. With more sunshine and winds from the southwest, temperatures will climb well above average again. Highs will likely be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
A cold front is expected to move through early Wednesday. This will cool temepratures back down into the 6os for the middle to late portions of the work week. Also, there is a slight to 20% chance Tuesday night through Friday for some off and on showers. The best chance is going to be in the southeastern and eastern portions of the viewing area. That is where the most moisture will be built up.
It looks like another arctic surge will be making its way towards the central and eastern portions of the United States for the weekend. Another cold front will likely make its way through the Big Country late Friday and into Saturday. Right now, temperatures should cool down below average for this time of year. The question is how much. At this time, I'm calling for highs in the low 50s, but those numbers may have to be lowered as we get closer to that time period. It also looks to be dry this weekend as well. We'll continue to keep you updated about this situation throughout the week.
Have a magnificent Monday!
Before I get into this morning's discussion, I would like to wish everyone a happy President's Day.
It was a very cold weekend for us. We dropped below freezing Friday morning and most of us in the Big Country haven't gotten above 32 degrees since then. The western communities did manage to make it to the mid 30s yesterday due to some late day sunshine. We also had some light freezing rain, freezing drizzle, and small snowflakes off and on throughout the weeekend. Most of it did not make it to the ground however due to it being too dry at the surface. There were some locations in the Big Country that saw a few icy spots on the roads because the freezing rain and drizzle was just heavy enough to cause a few travel problems.
This morning we are starting off at or below freezing across the entire viewing area. There is also fog and mist in some spots. Be sure to give yourself plenty of time to get to your destinations. Also, remember to use your low beam headlines when it is foggy. Because temperatures are at or below freezing, some of this fog and mist may cause some slick spots on the roadways so be careful.
By this afternoon, all of the cold weather should be just a memory as everyone will be well above freezing. Mostly cloudy skies will remain, but temperatures should reach the mid to upper 50s.
The warming trend continues tomorrow. Partly cloudy skies are expected. With more sunshine and winds from the southwest, temperatures will climb well above average again. Highs will likely be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
A cold front is expected to move through early Wednesday. This will cool temepratures back down into the 6os for the middle to late portions of the work week. Also, there is a slight to 20% chance Tuesday night through Friday for some off and on showers. The best chance is going to be in the southeastern and eastern portions of the viewing area. That is where the most moisture will be built up.
It looks like another arctic surge will be making its way towards the central and eastern portions of the United States for the weekend. Another cold front will likely make its way through the Big Country late Friday and into Saturday. Right now, temperatures should cool down below average for this time of year. The question is how much. At this time, I'm calling for highs in the low 50s, but those numbers may have to be lowered as we get closer to that time period. It also looks to be dry this weekend as well. We'll continue to keep you updated about this situation throughout the week.
Have a magnificent Monday!
Friday, February 17, 2006
Winter Precipitation Still Possible
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
In case you didn't notice, the cold air has arrived. Yesterday afternoon we were in the middle to upper 80s across the area, today we are 50 degrees cooler with temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s.
Only a few areas have gotten above freezing today. After tonight, I do not expect most areas to get above freezing again until Sunday afternoon.
Freezing drizzle and rain will be possible tonight through early Sunday. Chances still do not look great for significant accumulations, but there could be some slick spots on bridges and overpasses.
There is currently a Winter Weather Advisory for Stephens, Eastland and Comanche counties through midnight Saturday night.
By Sunday, rain and winter precipitation chance will come to an end. Then, warmer temperatures and dry conditions are back in the forecast for the rest of the extended forecast.
In case you didn't notice, the cold air has arrived. Yesterday afternoon we were in the middle to upper 80s across the area, today we are 50 degrees cooler with temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s.
Only a few areas have gotten above freezing today. After tonight, I do not expect most areas to get above freezing again until Sunday afternoon.
Freezing drizzle and rain will be possible tonight through early Sunday. Chances still do not look great for significant accumulations, but there could be some slick spots on bridges and overpasses.
There is currently a Winter Weather Advisory for Stephens, Eastland and Comanche counties through midnight Saturday night.
By Sunday, rain and winter precipitation chance will come to an end. Then, warmer temperatures and dry conditions are back in the forecast for the rest of the extended forecast.
The Arctic Air Is Here
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
As I write this, temperatures are continuing to fall across the Big Country behind the cold front that moved through last night. Just about everyone is in the 20s expect in the southeastern portions of the area where it is in the mid 30s. It will remain chilly all day. Highs for today pretty much occurred around midnight. We'll be lucky if temperatures make it much past the mid 30s during the day. Breezy conditions are expected as well. This means wind chills should be below freezing all day. You should bundle up and dress in layers if you are going to be outdoors.
You'll also need to protect your pets, plants, and pipes this weekend. We will be below freezing for several hours. Lows tonight and tomorrow night should be in the mid 20s. Highs on Saturday will likely only be in the upper 20s to low 30s. We should finally get above freezing again by Sunday afternoon with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s.
As if the cold air wasn't enough to be concerned about, we also have a chance of wintry precipitation. Warm and moist air is expected to ride over the cold air beginning tonight and lasting through Sunday. This is a situation we call overrunning. There is a 20% chance of freezing rain and freezing drizzle tonight. Tomorrow and tomorrow night, we increase that chance to 30% and add some sleet to the mix. That 30% chance continues into Sunday. It looks like it will start as a wintry mix and then change over to rain once we get temperatures above freezing in the afternoon. This should be mainly an ice event due to the cold air being shallow. In the northern communities, however, the cold air could be deep enough that some snow could fall.
As far as amounts go, I think we'll see about a tenth to a quarter of an inch here in the Big Country. A few isolated spots could see more depending on how quickly we can moisten the atmosphere. We are still too dry at the surface for the precipitation to make it all the way to the ground. Of course, it doesn't take much ice at all to cause problems. I think our biggest travel concerns will be for bridges and overpasses. They will be the first to ice over. There could be a few slick spots on other parts of the roadways, but it may take a little while. The ground is warm and will take some time to cool down. There is a Winter Storm Watch in effect for Stephens, Eastland, and Comanche counties beginning tonight and lasting through Sunday afternoon. That watch extends into the eastern portions of the state towards the Dallas/Fort Worth area as well as Texarkana. If you have travel plans towards that direction this weekend, you will want to be very careful and possibly postpone them depending on how travel conditions are when you want to leave. If you have to travel this weekend at all, please be careful and take your time.
By early next week, this all just a memory as temperatures will warm back up closer to the 50s and 60s for highs.
Be sure to keep it tuned to KRBC and this blog for all the latest weather information.
Have a fantastic Friday!
As I write this, temperatures are continuing to fall across the Big Country behind the cold front that moved through last night. Just about everyone is in the 20s expect in the southeastern portions of the area where it is in the mid 30s. It will remain chilly all day. Highs for today pretty much occurred around midnight. We'll be lucky if temperatures make it much past the mid 30s during the day. Breezy conditions are expected as well. This means wind chills should be below freezing all day. You should bundle up and dress in layers if you are going to be outdoors.
You'll also need to protect your pets, plants, and pipes this weekend. We will be below freezing for several hours. Lows tonight and tomorrow night should be in the mid 20s. Highs on Saturday will likely only be in the upper 20s to low 30s. We should finally get above freezing again by Sunday afternoon with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s.
As if the cold air wasn't enough to be concerned about, we also have a chance of wintry precipitation. Warm and moist air is expected to ride over the cold air beginning tonight and lasting through Sunday. This is a situation we call overrunning. There is a 20% chance of freezing rain and freezing drizzle tonight. Tomorrow and tomorrow night, we increase that chance to 30% and add some sleet to the mix. That 30% chance continues into Sunday. It looks like it will start as a wintry mix and then change over to rain once we get temperatures above freezing in the afternoon. This should be mainly an ice event due to the cold air being shallow. In the northern communities, however, the cold air could be deep enough that some snow could fall.
As far as amounts go, I think we'll see about a tenth to a quarter of an inch here in the Big Country. A few isolated spots could see more depending on how quickly we can moisten the atmosphere. We are still too dry at the surface for the precipitation to make it all the way to the ground. Of course, it doesn't take much ice at all to cause problems. I think our biggest travel concerns will be for bridges and overpasses. They will be the first to ice over. There could be a few slick spots on other parts of the roadways, but it may take a little while. The ground is warm and will take some time to cool down. There is a Winter Storm Watch in effect for Stephens, Eastland, and Comanche counties beginning tonight and lasting through Sunday afternoon. That watch extends into the eastern portions of the state towards the Dallas/Fort Worth area as well as Texarkana. If you have travel plans towards that direction this weekend, you will want to be very careful and possibly postpone them depending on how travel conditions are when you want to leave. If you have to travel this weekend at all, please be careful and take your time.
By early next week, this all just a memory as temperatures will warm back up closer to the 50s and 60s for highs.
Be sure to keep it tuned to KRBC and this blog for all the latest weather information.
Have a fantastic Friday!
Thursday, February 16, 2006
Winter Returns...
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
The much anticipated cold front is pushing through the Big Country tonight. Overnight low temperatures will run anywhere from the middle 20s to lower 30s North to South across the area tonight.
Precipitation chances will come into the forecast beginning Friday night into Saturday morning. Right now, any precipitation we could see will be light. The most impressive totals I've seen looking at computer models only adds up to two tenths of an inch. Now, the only problem is, with temperatures hovering at or below freezing beginning Friday night through Sunday afternoon, two tenths of an inch of ice will stick to bridges and overpasses. So, there could be come patchy travel problems beginning early Saturday until Sunday afternoon.
The National Weather Service out of Fort Worth has already issued a Winter Storm Watch for Stephens, Eastland and Comanche counties effective from Friday afternoon through Sunday afternoon.
As I mentioned above, I expect temperatures to stay at or below freezing beginning Friday night and lasting until Sunday afternoon. Please remember to bring the pets indoors during this time, cover or wrap all exterior, exposed pipes and take care of tender vegetation.
All of this winter weather will be a thought of the past by the time we head into next week. By Monday, afternoon highs will be near 60 once again.
For the latest winter weather forecast, visit this blog, as we will be updating it a little more frequently, and of course, stay tuned to KRBC, Abilene's First News and Weather.
The much anticipated cold front is pushing through the Big Country tonight. Overnight low temperatures will run anywhere from the middle 20s to lower 30s North to South across the area tonight.
Precipitation chances will come into the forecast beginning Friday night into Saturday morning. Right now, any precipitation we could see will be light. The most impressive totals I've seen looking at computer models only adds up to two tenths of an inch. Now, the only problem is, with temperatures hovering at or below freezing beginning Friday night through Sunday afternoon, two tenths of an inch of ice will stick to bridges and overpasses. So, there could be come patchy travel problems beginning early Saturday until Sunday afternoon.
The National Weather Service out of Fort Worth has already issued a Winter Storm Watch for Stephens, Eastland and Comanche counties effective from Friday afternoon through Sunday afternoon.
As I mentioned above, I expect temperatures to stay at or below freezing beginning Friday night and lasting until Sunday afternoon. Please remember to bring the pets indoors during this time, cover or wrap all exterior, exposed pipes and take care of tender vegetation.
All of this winter weather will be a thought of the past by the time we head into next week. By Monday, afternoon highs will be near 60 once again.
For the latest winter weather forecast, visit this blog, as we will be updating it a little more frequently, and of course, stay tuned to KRBC, Abilene's First News and Weather.
Arctic Air Will Be Here Soon
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
After being a little under the weather yesterday, I'm back today. Thanks to Craig Carnesi for filling in for me while I was out.
It will be another warm and windy day for us today. Highs should reach the low 80s. The record high for today at Abilene Regional Airport is 83 set back in 1971. Winds are expected from the west-southwest at 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts possible. Red Flag Warnings are in effect for most of the area this afternoon. Please continue to follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires.
Big changes begin tonight as a cold front is expected to arrive during the evening hours. Lows will be in the upper 20s to low 30s. No precipitation is expected with the front. Arctic air will continue to build in behind it though. Highs will likely not make it past the mid to upper 30s on Friday. With breezy conditions expected, wind chills will be at or below freezing all day.
A few upper level disturbances are expected to bring warm and moist air over the cold and dry air in a situation we call overrunning Friday night through Sunday. Since temperatures will be below freezing Friday night and Saturday night, there is a chance we will see rain change to some wintry precipitation. I expect to see mainly freezing rain, freezing drizzle and sleet across most of the Big Country. The northern portions of the viewing area may see a little snow. The reason we will see mainly ice instead of snow is due to the cold air being shallow. Basically, it won't be cold enough throughout the entire atmosphere to support snow. Amounts are expected to be light. I don't expect much in the way of travel problems since there won't be much accumulation. There may be a few slick spots on some bridges and overpasses. Also since temperatures have been very warm the past couple of days, the ground is not cold enough to support whatever does accumulate for too long. Highs on Saturday look to be in the mid 30s, while on Sunday they should reach the mid 40s. This is how the situation looks right now. Things could change, so be sure to stay tuned for the latest information.
Looking into early next week, temperatures should warm back up closer to average for this time of year.
Have a terrific Thursday!
After being a little under the weather yesterday, I'm back today. Thanks to Craig Carnesi for filling in for me while I was out.
It will be another warm and windy day for us today. Highs should reach the low 80s. The record high for today at Abilene Regional Airport is 83 set back in 1971. Winds are expected from the west-southwest at 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts possible. Red Flag Warnings are in effect for most of the area this afternoon. Please continue to follow all the necessary precautions in order to prevent fires.
Big changes begin tonight as a cold front is expected to arrive during the evening hours. Lows will be in the upper 20s to low 30s. No precipitation is expected with the front. Arctic air will continue to build in behind it though. Highs will likely not make it past the mid to upper 30s on Friday. With breezy conditions expected, wind chills will be at or below freezing all day.
A few upper level disturbances are expected to bring warm and moist air over the cold and dry air in a situation we call overrunning Friday night through Sunday. Since temperatures will be below freezing Friday night and Saturday night, there is a chance we will see rain change to some wintry precipitation. I expect to see mainly freezing rain, freezing drizzle and sleet across most of the Big Country. The northern portions of the viewing area may see a little snow. The reason we will see mainly ice instead of snow is due to the cold air being shallow. Basically, it won't be cold enough throughout the entire atmosphere to support snow. Amounts are expected to be light. I don't expect much in the way of travel problems since there won't be much accumulation. There may be a few slick spots on some bridges and overpasses. Also since temperatures have been very warm the past couple of days, the ground is not cold enough to support whatever does accumulate for too long. Highs on Saturday look to be in the mid 30s, while on Sunday they should reach the mid 40s. This is how the situation looks right now. Things could change, so be sure to stay tuned for the latest information.
Looking into early next week, temperatures should warm back up closer to average for this time of year.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Wednesday, February 15, 2006
Cold Air Is Moving
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
Big changes are still ahead in your forecast. One more warm and windy day lies ahead before the changes though.
Thursday afternoon winds will run anywhere from 10 to 30 miles per across the Big Country as the pressure gradient tightens up ahead of our BIG cold front.
The front will begin to push through the area late in the afternoon and should clear IH-20 by 7:00 or 8:00 p.m. The front will arrive dry, but set the stage for precipitation chances beginning Friday night.
Friday's high temperatures will struggle to reach the middle 30s. Winds will remain blustery throughout the day with wind chill readings at or below freezing all day.
Friday night, moisture looks to begin overrunning the cold air. It will take a little while to moisten up the lower levels of the atmosphere. I expect the best chances for precipitation will come Friday night through early Sunday.
Now, the big question is, what will the precipitation be? Frozen, liquid, both?
Right now it looks like we will mostly see freezing drizzle or rain across the viewing area. There will be a chance for snow and sleet, mainly in the Northern viewing area, but I just don't think the cold airmass will be deep enough to support an all-freezing precipitation event.
Either way, it will be cold, and there is a chance of some ice slickened roads beginning Friday night and Saturday night. Even with the chance, I do not think we will see widespread travel problems this weekend across the area. As always, stay tuned for the latest forecast information.
Big changes are still ahead in your forecast. One more warm and windy day lies ahead before the changes though.
Thursday afternoon winds will run anywhere from 10 to 30 miles per across the Big Country as the pressure gradient tightens up ahead of our BIG cold front.
The front will begin to push through the area late in the afternoon and should clear IH-20 by 7:00 or 8:00 p.m. The front will arrive dry, but set the stage for precipitation chances beginning Friday night.
Friday's high temperatures will struggle to reach the middle 30s. Winds will remain blustery throughout the day with wind chill readings at or below freezing all day.
Friday night, moisture looks to begin overrunning the cold air. It will take a little while to moisten up the lower levels of the atmosphere. I expect the best chances for precipitation will come Friday night through early Sunday.
Now, the big question is, what will the precipitation be? Frozen, liquid, both?
Right now it looks like we will mostly see freezing drizzle or rain across the viewing area. There will be a chance for snow and sleet, mainly in the Northern viewing area, but I just don't think the cold airmass will be deep enough to support an all-freezing precipitation event.
Either way, it will be cold, and there is a chance of some ice slickened roads beginning Friday night and Saturday night. Even with the chance, I do not think we will see widespread travel problems this weekend across the area. As always, stay tuned for the latest forecast information.
Early Wednesday Morning Forecast
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
All our best wishes for a return to healthy Brandon Rector this morning. He's a little under the weather unfortunately, so you have to put up with me this morning. Brandon apologizes, and promises to be back as soon as possible. :-)
Not much has changed, get ready for another windy and warm afternoon today. Highs will warm into the lower 80s areawide this afternoon. This is thanks to abundant sunshine and a dry, downsloping West-Southwest wind. Red Flag Warnings are posted for all of the viewing area with the expception of Stonewall County who is under a Fire Weather Watch.
The BIG changes come Thursday night. That's when the BIG cold front arrives. Temperatures Friday will struggle to get into the middle 30s.
Then, we have to actually worry about precipitation. I never thought I'd say that after how dry we have been, but we're talking winter precipitation here.
Beginning Friday night through Sunday, we will have a window of oppurtunity for rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow. Right now, it looks like the extreme Northern viewing area will have the best chance of seeing some snow, Central viewers will likely see a mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet and maybe a few snowflakes. The Southern viewing area will probably only see freezing rain.
If we do see this precipitation, I expect totals to be very light. Therefore, I do not predict any major travel problems. Things could still change between now and this weekend, so stay tuned for the latest forecast.
PLEASE, go out and make it a GREAT day!
All our best wishes for a return to healthy Brandon Rector this morning. He's a little under the weather unfortunately, so you have to put up with me this morning. Brandon apologizes, and promises to be back as soon as possible. :-)
Not much has changed, get ready for another windy and warm afternoon today. Highs will warm into the lower 80s areawide this afternoon. This is thanks to abundant sunshine and a dry, downsloping West-Southwest wind. Red Flag Warnings are posted for all of the viewing area with the expception of Stonewall County who is under a Fire Weather Watch.
The BIG changes come Thursday night. That's when the BIG cold front arrives. Temperatures Friday will struggle to get into the middle 30s.
Then, we have to actually worry about precipitation. I never thought I'd say that after how dry we have been, but we're talking winter precipitation here.
Beginning Friday night through Sunday, we will have a window of oppurtunity for rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow. Right now, it looks like the extreme Northern viewing area will have the best chance of seeing some snow, Central viewers will likely see a mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet and maybe a few snowflakes. The Southern viewing area will probably only see freezing rain.
If we do see this precipitation, I expect totals to be very light. Therefore, I do not predict any major travel problems. Things could still change between now and this weekend, so stay tuned for the latest forecast.
PLEASE, go out and make it a GREAT day!
Tuesday, February 14, 2006
80 degrees one day, Maybe 39 the next...
From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...
You really have to love West Texas weather. We enjoyed a warm afternoon today with highs in the low 70s. Tomorrow, afternoon highs will climb into the lower to middle 80s! We are warming up thanks to the dry air in place, the abundant sunshine and the strong winds thanks to a surface trough and low pressure system to our West and North. Then, the changes begin...
Thursday starts off warm and windy, but will finish much colder. A strong cold front will begin to push into the Northern viewing area Thursday evening and will clear the area by Friday morning.
There will be enough mositure for mostly cloudy skie Friday. Because of the cloud cover and the cold front, high temperatures Friday will struggle to reach the upper 30s. Winds will stay breezy and blustery out of the North keeping wind chills at or below freezing all day Friday.
Now, on to those rain/snow/sleet/freezing rain chances we have been talking about the last few days.
It still looks like we will see some precipitation in some form beginning Friday night and through the day Saturday. My current thinking is that we will see a mix, North to South across the area, ranging from Snow/Sleet in the Northern area, to Snow/Sleet/Freezing Rain in the Central areas, to more of a Freezing Rain scenario South.
Everything is going to depend upon how shallow of a cold air mass we end up dealing with. Right now, it appears the coldest air will be at the surface, which would not allow for precipitation to freeze until it gets all of the way down to here. If that changes just a little bit, we could be looking at an all freezing precipiation scenario.
I do not expect major travel problems because of this system though. Right now it looks like all precipitation will be very light, and accumulations will be light as well.
With winter weather, as with most weather, the closer we get to Friday, the better idea we will have of what kind of situation we will be looking at. So, stay tuned...
And, if you like the cold weather, get ready, it looks like we will see another decent cold front Monday into Tuesday. This front so far looks to arrive dry but will keep temperature below average for the beginning of next week.
You really have to love West Texas weather. We enjoyed a warm afternoon today with highs in the low 70s. Tomorrow, afternoon highs will climb into the lower to middle 80s! We are warming up thanks to the dry air in place, the abundant sunshine and the strong winds thanks to a surface trough and low pressure system to our West and North. Then, the changes begin...
Thursday starts off warm and windy, but will finish much colder. A strong cold front will begin to push into the Northern viewing area Thursday evening and will clear the area by Friday morning.
There will be enough mositure for mostly cloudy skie Friday. Because of the cloud cover and the cold front, high temperatures Friday will struggle to reach the upper 30s. Winds will stay breezy and blustery out of the North keeping wind chills at or below freezing all day Friday.
Now, on to those rain/snow/sleet/freezing rain chances we have been talking about the last few days.
It still looks like we will see some precipitation in some form beginning Friday night and through the day Saturday. My current thinking is that we will see a mix, North to South across the area, ranging from Snow/Sleet in the Northern area, to Snow/Sleet/Freezing Rain in the Central areas, to more of a Freezing Rain scenario South.
Everything is going to depend upon how shallow of a cold air mass we end up dealing with. Right now, it appears the coldest air will be at the surface, which would not allow for precipitation to freeze until it gets all of the way down to here. If that changes just a little bit, we could be looking at an all freezing precipiation scenario.
I do not expect major travel problems because of this system though. Right now it looks like all precipitation will be very light, and accumulations will be light as well.
With winter weather, as with most weather, the closer we get to Friday, the better idea we will have of what kind of situation we will be looking at. So, stay tuned...
And, if you like the cold weather, get ready, it looks like we will see another decent cold front Monday into Tuesday. This front so far looks to arrive dry but will keep temperature below average for the beginning of next week.
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