From Meteorologist Nathan Motz.....
Another warm and dry day across west central Texas this Sunday, when will we break the monotony? Not for a few more days it appears as temperatures will remain in the low to mid 90's area-wide through at least Wednesday.
By Thursday we begin to pick up a slight chance for rain as the center of high pressure over the southern half of the country slides to the west and allows weak northerly flow aloft to develop overhead. Weak disturbances in the northerly flow aloft could cause isolated t-storms on Thursday into Friday.
The best chance of rain will hold off until Saturday as a weak cool front will try to make its way into the area. This is the time of year that we begin to see the first cool fronts of the season make their way south after the long hot summer months (which weren't really all that hot this summer). The front is forecast to stall across the area and if it decides to hang around a while, rain chances may have to be increased for next Sunday as well.
Overnight lows remain in the low to mid 70's throughout this upcoming week.
Have a wonderful Sunday!
Sunday, August 26, 2007
Saturday, August 25, 2007
Saturday Evening Post
From Meteorologist Nathan Motz......
Not too many changes to discuss today, although there were a few isolated showers that did pop up to the northeast of Abilene in eastern Shackelford county. These showers fired up around the hottest part of the day and persisted until around 7 pm before dying out as the sun began to sink over the western horizon.
For the rest of tonight, a few upper level clouds will continue to drift across the area and temperatures will fall into the low to mid 70's. Winds will remain calm out of the south at 5-10 mph.
A couple more warm & dry days separate us from changes coming up towards the end of the work week as a cool front will try to push south across the area late Thursday night into Friday morning. As it does we will begin to see a chance for isolated to widely scattered showers & t-storms starting on Wednesday and continuing into the early part of next weekend. Right now, however, it appears that the best chance of rain will be on Friday as the cool front actually passes through the area.
Have a sensational Saturday!!!
Not too many changes to discuss today, although there were a few isolated showers that did pop up to the northeast of Abilene in eastern Shackelford county. These showers fired up around the hottest part of the day and persisted until around 7 pm before dying out as the sun began to sink over the western horizon.
For the rest of tonight, a few upper level clouds will continue to drift across the area and temperatures will fall into the low to mid 70's. Winds will remain calm out of the south at 5-10 mph.
A couple more warm & dry days separate us from changes coming up towards the end of the work week as a cool front will try to push south across the area late Thursday night into Friday morning. As it does we will begin to see a chance for isolated to widely scattered showers & t-storms starting on Wednesday and continuing into the early part of next weekend. Right now, however, it appears that the best chance of rain will be on Friday as the cool front actually passes through the area.
Have a sensational Saturday!!!
Friday, August 24, 2007
Friday Night Update
Good Evening from Meteorologist Kristen Connolly...
It was a warm, breezy and sunny day across the area as temperatures stayed in the upper 80's to low 90's. We are going to continue to see dry weather in our area through the weekend.
A cold front has stalled out just to the North of the panhandle with showers and thunderstorms popping up along the boundary. The front shouldn't make any more of a progression southward so the activity should stay isolated to the panhandle and red river valley area. With high pressure to the east we will see lots of sunshine and temperatures around average in the low 90's. The winds which have been a relief this week should kick back a bit but still bring in some moisture hence the humidity is going no where fast.
As the kids head back to school they can leave the rain gear at home but should keep it close. Tuesday we will return the rain chances to the forecast. They best chance will come mid week as a different cold front will move through the area. This should knock temperatures just a few degrees back but will bring with it a lot more cloud cover and scattered showers.
Have a great weekend!
It was a warm, breezy and sunny day across the area as temperatures stayed in the upper 80's to low 90's. We are going to continue to see dry weather in our area through the weekend.
A cold front has stalled out just to the North of the panhandle with showers and thunderstorms popping up along the boundary. The front shouldn't make any more of a progression southward so the activity should stay isolated to the panhandle and red river valley area. With high pressure to the east we will see lots of sunshine and temperatures around average in the low 90's. The winds which have been a relief this week should kick back a bit but still bring in some moisture hence the humidity is going no where fast.
As the kids head back to school they can leave the rain gear at home but should keep it close. Tuesday we will return the rain chances to the forecast. They best chance will come mid week as a different cold front will move through the area. This should knock temperatures just a few degrees back but will bring with it a lot more cloud cover and scattered showers.
Have a great weekend!
Thursday, August 23, 2007
Thursday Evening Update
From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We were a little warmer across the Big Country today. Highs were in the upper 80s to low 90s. Brownwood was the hot spot at 97. It was windy today with winds from the south at 2o to 25 mph and gusts of 26 to 31 mph. This was due to a tight pressure gradient being right over us. We have high pressure to our southeast and a low pressure trough to our west. When these features are close together like they are today, we get breezy to windy conditions. A Flood Warning continues for the Clear Fork Brazos River at Fort Griffin in Shackelford county until Friday afternoon. The river is running about 3 feet above flood stage in that area.
Friday and Saturday are looking dry right now with highs in the low 90s under partly cloudy skies.
A stationary front that is currently in the central plains looks to make its way into the Texas panhandle and Oklahoma on Sunday. This may be just close enough for the northern part of the viewing area to see some showers and thunderstorms. The chance for rain is slight. Highs are expected to be in the low 90s.
A slight chance for rain will continue on Monday and Tuesday. Highs should remain in the low 90s.
A cold front is expected to move into the region Wednesday night into next Thursday. This will bring us our best chance for rain in the next seven days. The chance for precipitation is 20%. Highs should be in the low 90s on Wednesday and the upper 80s on Thursday.
Have a fantastic Friday!
We were a little warmer across the Big Country today. Highs were in the upper 80s to low 90s. Brownwood was the hot spot at 97. It was windy today with winds from the south at 2o to 25 mph and gusts of 26 to 31 mph. This was due to a tight pressure gradient being right over us. We have high pressure to our southeast and a low pressure trough to our west. When these features are close together like they are today, we get breezy to windy conditions. A Flood Warning continues for the Clear Fork Brazos River at Fort Griffin in Shackelford county until Friday afternoon. The river is running about 3 feet above flood stage in that area.
Friday and Saturday are looking dry right now with highs in the low 90s under partly cloudy skies.
A stationary front that is currently in the central plains looks to make its way into the Texas panhandle and Oklahoma on Sunday. This may be just close enough for the northern part of the viewing area to see some showers and thunderstorms. The chance for rain is slight. Highs are expected to be in the low 90s.
A slight chance for rain will continue on Monday and Tuesday. Highs should remain in the low 90s.
A cold front is expected to move into the region Wednesday night into next Thursday. This will bring us our best chance for rain in the next seven days. The chance for precipitation is 20%. Highs should be in the low 90s on Wednesday and the upper 80s on Thursday.
Have a fantastic Friday!
Thursday Morning Forecast
Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly...
We are starting the day off with a bit of cloud cover and temperatures in the low 70's. Its still a bit muggy with dew points in the 70's.
We are going to see a fairly comfortable afternoon compared to what it could be for this time of year . Temperatures will stay in the low 90's with plenty of sunshine and scattered clouds. We could see an isolated shower in our southern counties but most of us will just see perfect weather for the afternoon.
As high pressure builds in from the east we will see warmer temperatures and less cloud cover for the beginning of the weekend. The kiddos will be able to enjoy the beautiful weather before they have to hit the classes next week. A front will approach the panhandle by Saturday which could bring a few showers to our Northern counties for the end of the weekend to the beginning of next week.
Tropical Depression Deans last advisory was issued this morning it is now just a low pressure system that will bring rain to the southwest.
Have a great day!
We are starting the day off with a bit of cloud cover and temperatures in the low 70's. Its still a bit muggy with dew points in the 70's.
We are going to see a fairly comfortable afternoon compared to what it could be for this time of year . Temperatures will stay in the low 90's with plenty of sunshine and scattered clouds. We could see an isolated shower in our southern counties but most of us will just see perfect weather for the afternoon.
As high pressure builds in from the east we will see warmer temperatures and less cloud cover for the beginning of the weekend. The kiddos will be able to enjoy the beautiful weather before they have to hit the classes next week. A front will approach the panhandle by Saturday which could bring a few showers to our Northern counties for the end of the weekend to the beginning of next week.
Tropical Depression Deans last advisory was issued this morning it is now just a low pressure system that will bring rain to the southwest.
Have a great day!
Wednesday, August 22, 2007
Wednesday Evening Update
From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Below average temperatures continued for us today with highs mainly in the mid 80s to low 90s. Brownwood was a little warmer at 95. The Clear Fork Brazos River is still running about three feet above flood stage at Fort Griffin in Shackelford county. It will crest tomorrow morning and does not look to go back below flood stage until Friday afternoon.
We may see a few sprinkles tomorrow, but Friday and Saturday look to be dry. Highs should be in the low 90s under partly cloudy skies.
A cold front looks to make it as far south as the Red River on Sunday. This could send some showers and thunderstorms into at least the northern portions of the viewing area. Upper level disturbances may cause some rain for us early next week. The chance for rain Sunday through next Wednesday is slight. Highs should be in the low 90s.
Hurricane Dean made its second landfall in Mexico this morning near the town of Tecolutla. It's maximum sustained winds at that time were 100 mph which is a category 2 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Tonight, the storm has weakened all the way down to a tropical depression. It is expected to continued moving through central Mexico tonight and tomorrow.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Below average temperatures continued for us today with highs mainly in the mid 80s to low 90s. Brownwood was a little warmer at 95. The Clear Fork Brazos River is still running about three feet above flood stage at Fort Griffin in Shackelford county. It will crest tomorrow morning and does not look to go back below flood stage until Friday afternoon.
We may see a few sprinkles tomorrow, but Friday and Saturday look to be dry. Highs should be in the low 90s under partly cloudy skies.
A cold front looks to make it as far south as the Red River on Sunday. This could send some showers and thunderstorms into at least the northern portions of the viewing area. Upper level disturbances may cause some rain for us early next week. The chance for rain Sunday through next Wednesday is slight. Highs should be in the low 90s.
Hurricane Dean made its second landfall in Mexico this morning near the town of Tecolutla. It's maximum sustained winds at that time were 100 mph which is a category 2 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Tonight, the storm has weakened all the way down to a tropical depression. It is expected to continued moving through central Mexico tonight and tomorrow.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Wednesday Morning Forecast
Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly...
Tuesday was a comfortable afternoon across the Big Country with highs only reaching the upper 80's. We will continue to see below average temperatures for a few more days however mid 90's will return with a High pressure moving in.
For today and tomorrow we are still watching the tropical upper level sitting Northern Mexico. It is bring with it gulf moisture and popping showers in the Hill Country. Because of this system there will be a chance for isolated showers mainly for our south and southeastern counties for today and tomorrow. Temperatures will stay in the low 90's.
We are also seeing high pressure slide into the area from the east. This will keep us warm and dry for the beginning of the weekend. This feature will also help to keep Deans moisture pushed towards southern California and Arizona.
By the beginning of next week a front could push in from the North this will bring back a slight chance for showers for our northern counties.
Hurricane Dean is only a Category one storm and will make its second landfall sometime towards early afternoon in Mexico, near Tuxpan. The storm could strengthen before landfall but will quickly weaken once it makes its passes over land. The only impact the Lone Star state is seeing is a few outer bands bringing in a bit of cloud cover and scattered showers to the Gulf Coast.
Have a great day!
Tuesday was a comfortable afternoon across the Big Country with highs only reaching the upper 80's. We will continue to see below average temperatures for a few more days however mid 90's will return with a High pressure moving in.
For today and tomorrow we are still watching the tropical upper level sitting Northern Mexico. It is bring with it gulf moisture and popping showers in the Hill Country. Because of this system there will be a chance for isolated showers mainly for our south and southeastern counties for today and tomorrow. Temperatures will stay in the low 90's.
We are also seeing high pressure slide into the area from the east. This will keep us warm and dry for the beginning of the weekend. This feature will also help to keep Deans moisture pushed towards southern California and Arizona.
By the beginning of next week a front could push in from the North this will bring back a slight chance for showers for our northern counties.
Hurricane Dean is only a Category one storm and will make its second landfall sometime towards early afternoon in Mexico, near Tuxpan. The storm could strengthen before landfall but will quickly weaken once it makes its passes over land. The only impact the Lone Star state is seeing is a few outer bands bringing in a bit of cloud cover and scattered showers to the Gulf Coast.
Have a great day!
Tuesday, August 21, 2007
Tuesday Evening Update
From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Most of us dealt with below average temperatures this afternoon with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Brownwood was a little warmer at 95. The Clear Fork Brazos River has fallen below flood stage at Nugent in Jones county. The river is still expected to rise above flood stage tonight at Fort Griffin in Shackelford county. It will crest about 4 feet above flood stage Thursday morning. A Flood Warning remains in effect for Shackelford and Throckmorton counties because of this.
Rain chances are looking less than slight for tomorrow through Saturday. An upper level low that was in south Texas is moving to the west-southwest into Mexico. Hurricane Dean will likely make a second landfall between Tampico and Veracruz in Mexico tomorrow. Both of these system are a little too far south to really affect us. It is possible for a few stray showers or thunderstorms to make it into the extreme south-southeastern portions of the viewing area, but it is unlikely. Highs Wednesday through Saturday should be in the low 90s.
A cold front will try to make it into Oklahoma late this weekend into early next week. With a northerly flow aloft expected to set up across our area by that time, it is possible for us to see some showers and thunderstorms move into the region. For now the chance is slight, but that could change as we get closer to Sunday. Highs look to remain in the low 90s.
Hurricane Dean weakend from a category 5 storm to a category 1 by the time it exited the Yucatan Pennisula this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are 80 mph. It should strengthen back to a category 2 or 3 as it moves across the Bay of Campeche on its way to a second landfall in Mexico. We'll continue to keep you updated on the latest with Dean.
Have a wonderul Wednesday!
Most of us dealt with below average temperatures this afternoon with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Brownwood was a little warmer at 95. The Clear Fork Brazos River has fallen below flood stage at Nugent in Jones county. The river is still expected to rise above flood stage tonight at Fort Griffin in Shackelford county. It will crest about 4 feet above flood stage Thursday morning. A Flood Warning remains in effect for Shackelford and Throckmorton counties because of this.
Rain chances are looking less than slight for tomorrow through Saturday. An upper level low that was in south Texas is moving to the west-southwest into Mexico. Hurricane Dean will likely make a second landfall between Tampico and Veracruz in Mexico tomorrow. Both of these system are a little too far south to really affect us. It is possible for a few stray showers or thunderstorms to make it into the extreme south-southeastern portions of the viewing area, but it is unlikely. Highs Wednesday through Saturday should be in the low 90s.
A cold front will try to make it into Oklahoma late this weekend into early next week. With a northerly flow aloft expected to set up across our area by that time, it is possible for us to see some showers and thunderstorms move into the region. For now the chance is slight, but that could change as we get closer to Sunday. Highs look to remain in the low 90s.
Hurricane Dean weakend from a category 5 storm to a category 1 by the time it exited the Yucatan Pennisula this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are 80 mph. It should strengthen back to a category 2 or 3 as it moves across the Bay of Campeche on its way to a second landfall in Mexico. We'll continue to keep you updated on the latest with Dean.
Have a wonderul Wednesday!
Tuesday Morning Forecast
Good Morning from morning meteorologist Kristen Connolly…
It was a breezy and humid day across the Big Country to start off our work week. Temperatures toped off in the lower 90's although it felt closer to 100 with the heat index.
Today we will see plenty of sunshine with scattered clouds. The winds will kick up a bit which should help to keep a breeze, a relief from the heat. Again the humidity will factor in to make it feel 5 to 10 degrees warmer.
Tomorrow we will return the rain chances to the area however i am keeping them only at slight. A tropical upper level low pressure system should push into south Texas but it is a fairly weak system. With it we could see more moisture pushed our way however I think the best chance for any rain will be our south and southeastern counties. We will continue the same for Thursday.
By the beginning of the weekend we will remove the rain chances and bring back the partly cloudy skies.
Through the week temperatures stay in the lower 90's with lows in the lower 70's.
Hurricane Dean made landfall near Chetumal, Mexico early this morning around 3:30 am. It reached a category 5 hurricane with winds topped at 165 mph. It is the third most intense hurricane to make landfall after the Labor Day hurricane in 1935 and Gilbert in 1988. The hurricane will move back into the Bay of Campeche after pushing over the Yucatan peninsula today. It will make another impact in southern Mexico by tomorrow after reintensifying. With its current track we should see no effects from the storm.
Have a good day!
It was a breezy and humid day across the Big Country to start off our work week. Temperatures toped off in the lower 90's although it felt closer to 100 with the heat index.
Today we will see plenty of sunshine with scattered clouds. The winds will kick up a bit which should help to keep a breeze, a relief from the heat. Again the humidity will factor in to make it feel 5 to 10 degrees warmer.
Tomorrow we will return the rain chances to the area however i am keeping them only at slight. A tropical upper level low pressure system should push into south Texas but it is a fairly weak system. With it we could see more moisture pushed our way however I think the best chance for any rain will be our south and southeastern counties. We will continue the same for Thursday.
By the beginning of the weekend we will remove the rain chances and bring back the partly cloudy skies.
Through the week temperatures stay in the lower 90's with lows in the lower 70's.
Hurricane Dean made landfall near Chetumal, Mexico early this morning around 3:30 am. It reached a category 5 hurricane with winds topped at 165 mph. It is the third most intense hurricane to make landfall after the Labor Day hurricane in 1935 and Gilbert in 1988. The hurricane will move back into the Bay of Campeche after pushing over the Yucatan peninsula today. It will make another impact in southern Mexico by tomorrow after reintensifying. With its current track we should see no effects from the storm.
Have a good day!
Monday, August 20, 2007
Monday Evening Update
From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
It was a hot and dry day here in the Big Country today. That was a good thing considering all of the rain and flooding that we have expereience the past couple of days. We will continue to see some flooding along the Clear Fork Brazos River especially around Nugent and Fort Griffin. A Flood Warning is in effect for Jones, Shackelford and Throckmorton counties because of this.
We will have a slight to 20% chance of rain every day for the rest of the week. An upper level low should continue to move across south Texas through the middle of the week. By the end of the week, we will be keeping our eye on a cold front that should make it into Oklahoma. This could cause a little bit of rain for our northern communties. Highs this week look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.
Hurricane Dean has reached category 5 status. Maximum sustained winds are 160 mph. The latest projected path from the Tropical Prediction Center has the storm making landfall tomorrow morning in the Yucatan Pennisula. At this time, it doesn't look like the storm will make much of an impact on Texas. The extreme southern portions of the state could see some rain from the outer bands, but that is about it. We'll continue to keep you updated on the progress of this storm.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
It was a hot and dry day here in the Big Country today. That was a good thing considering all of the rain and flooding that we have expereience the past couple of days. We will continue to see some flooding along the Clear Fork Brazos River especially around Nugent and Fort Griffin. A Flood Warning is in effect for Jones, Shackelford and Throckmorton counties because of this.
We will have a slight to 20% chance of rain every day for the rest of the week. An upper level low should continue to move across south Texas through the middle of the week. By the end of the week, we will be keeping our eye on a cold front that should make it into Oklahoma. This could cause a little bit of rain for our northern communties. Highs this week look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.
Hurricane Dean has reached category 5 status. Maximum sustained winds are 160 mph. The latest projected path from the Tropical Prediction Center has the storm making landfall tomorrow morning in the Yucatan Pennisula. At this time, it doesn't look like the storm will make much of an impact on Texas. The extreme southern portions of the state could see some rain from the outer bands, but that is about it. We'll continue to keep you updated on the progress of this storm.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
Monday Morning Forecast
Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly....
Record rainfall caused flooding across our area as creeks could not hold the 5 to over 10 inches of rain we saw in just 36 hours. The good news is we should have a break for a few days.
Yesterday the sunshine returned to the Big Country as it became warm and muggy. For the next few days we will continue to see a lot more sunshine but the humidity will help to make the heat indices reach into the upper 90's to low 100's. The winds will kick up gusting up to 25 mph thanks to a trough in the Panhandle. Through the middle of the week we will keep the rain away but by Wednesday an upper level low that is in the Gulf of Mexico could help to bring more moisture our way along with helping to bring convection for a few showers.
We will keep the rain chances at twenty percent through Friday dropping them back to slight by the weekend. We are keeping an eye on Hurricane Dean, still a strong category 4 storm. Consistent model runs have brought it south into Mexico, if it stays on this course this will help to keep our rain chances limited.
Have a great day!
Record rainfall caused flooding across our area as creeks could not hold the 5 to over 10 inches of rain we saw in just 36 hours. The good news is we should have a break for a few days.
Yesterday the sunshine returned to the Big Country as it became warm and muggy. For the next few days we will continue to see a lot more sunshine but the humidity will help to make the heat indices reach into the upper 90's to low 100's. The winds will kick up gusting up to 25 mph thanks to a trough in the Panhandle. Through the middle of the week we will keep the rain away but by Wednesday an upper level low that is in the Gulf of Mexico could help to bring more moisture our way along with helping to bring convection for a few showers.
We will keep the rain chances at twenty percent through Friday dropping them back to slight by the weekend. We are keeping an eye on Hurricane Dean, still a strong category 4 storm. Consistent model runs have brought it south into Mexico, if it stays on this course this will help to keep our rain chances limited.
Have a great day!
Sunday, August 19, 2007
Sunday Afternoon Update
From Meteorologist Nathan Motz......
Things are beginning to dry out across all of west central Texas as the rains brought by the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin have exited to the northeast into Oklahoma.
In its wake, flood waters have continued to rise in the city of Abilene as water from Lake Abilene moves northward through the city, flooding creeks and streams. The good news is that the next couple of days look dry so the water levels should have an opportunity to recede as we head into the early part of the work week.
Highs will warm to the low 90's with overnight low temperatures remaining in the lower 70's.
Our next chance of rain will enter into the forecast on Wednesday and will continue through the weekend. These rain chances will remain low at 20% for Wednesday through Friday and will then drop off to Slight as we head into the weekend. An upper-level low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico will head westward into the state and will cause warm, moist air to head northward into west central Texas, setting the stage for isolated showers & t-storms.
Also, we will have to keep a close eye on hurricane Dean as it spins its way to the west and especially as it emerges into the Gulf of Mexico. Depending on where Dean makes landfall, which should be sometime late Wednesday night or Thursday, those rain chances may have to be increased as we head into the middle part of this week.
Have a super Sunday!!!!!
Things are beginning to dry out across all of west central Texas as the rains brought by the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin have exited to the northeast into Oklahoma.
In its wake, flood waters have continued to rise in the city of Abilene as water from Lake Abilene moves northward through the city, flooding creeks and streams. The good news is that the next couple of days look dry so the water levels should have an opportunity to recede as we head into the early part of the work week.
Highs will warm to the low 90's with overnight low temperatures remaining in the lower 70's.
Our next chance of rain will enter into the forecast on Wednesday and will continue through the weekend. These rain chances will remain low at 20% for Wednesday through Friday and will then drop off to Slight as we head into the weekend. An upper-level low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico will head westward into the state and will cause warm, moist air to head northward into west central Texas, setting the stage for isolated showers & t-storms.
Also, we will have to keep a close eye on hurricane Dean as it spins its way to the west and especially as it emerges into the Gulf of Mexico. Depending on where Dean makes landfall, which should be sometime late Wednesday night or Thursday, those rain chances may have to be increased as we head into the middle part of this week.
Have a super Sunday!!!!!
Saturday, August 18, 2007
Saturday Evening Update
From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
It has been a very wet couple of days for many of us here in the Big Country with some locations in Taylor and Nolan county reporting as much as 10 to 11 inches. Overall, rainfall reports from the central and western portions of the viewing area fell in the 4 to 6 inch range. We had several counties under Flash Flood and Flood Warnings yesterday and today. Our eastern communties did not see as much of the precipitation.
The remants of Erin should move out of the area tomorrow, but some isolated showers and thunderstorms can't be ruled out. The chance for rain is 30% with the best shot being in the northern communties. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.
Monday and Tuesday should be dry with highs in the low 90s under partly cloudy skies.
Our weather for the second half of next week will depend heavily on what track Hurricane Dean takes. Right now, it is a strong Category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of 145 mph. The latest projected path from the Tropical Prediction Center has it moving over Jamaica tomorrow. From there it moves over the Yucatan Pennisula late Monday into Tuesday. By late Wednesday into Thursday, it could make landfall in south Texas or in Mexico. We'll have to wait and see where this storm goes over the next couple of days before we can get a better handle on where it is going to make landfall exactly after getting back into the Gulf of Mexico. If Dean goes into south Texas, we could see some showers and thunderstorms in our area. Right now, the chance for rain is only 20% Wednesday through Friday. That could increase though as we get closer to that time period. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly cloudy skies.
Have a spectacular Sunday!
It has been a very wet couple of days for many of us here in the Big Country with some locations in Taylor and Nolan county reporting as much as 10 to 11 inches. Overall, rainfall reports from the central and western portions of the viewing area fell in the 4 to 6 inch range. We had several counties under Flash Flood and Flood Warnings yesterday and today. Our eastern communties did not see as much of the precipitation.
The remants of Erin should move out of the area tomorrow, but some isolated showers and thunderstorms can't be ruled out. The chance for rain is 30% with the best shot being in the northern communties. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.
Monday and Tuesday should be dry with highs in the low 90s under partly cloudy skies.
Our weather for the second half of next week will depend heavily on what track Hurricane Dean takes. Right now, it is a strong Category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of 145 mph. The latest projected path from the Tropical Prediction Center has it moving over Jamaica tomorrow. From there it moves over the Yucatan Pennisula late Monday into Tuesday. By late Wednesday into Thursday, it could make landfall in south Texas or in Mexico. We'll have to wait and see where this storm goes over the next couple of days before we can get a better handle on where it is going to make landfall exactly after getting back into the Gulf of Mexico. If Dean goes into south Texas, we could see some showers and thunderstorms in our area. Right now, the chance for rain is only 20% Wednesday through Friday. That could increase though as we get closer to that time period. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly cloudy skies.
Have a spectacular Sunday!
Friday, August 17, 2007
Friday Update
Good Evening from Meteorologist Kristen Connolly....
We have seen scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country because of the remnants of Tropical Depression Erin. The storm is currently located just to the west of San Angelo with the heaviest activity staying just to the east of the center. We have seen a lot of activity in our Southern and Western counties and it looks we are going to continue to see the rain.
A Flash Flood watch is in effect for Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Haskell, Taylor, Coke, Runnels, Coleman and Brown counties until tomorrow evening. Also a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Scurry and Mitchell until tomorrow morning. We are going to continue to see the storm move north/northwest through out the next 36 hours. The highest concentration will be closest to the center but scattered showers and thunderstorms should persist through early Sunday. We could see 1 to 3 inches possible around the area with isolated higher amounts. We will keep an eye on the radar with the potential for Flash Flooding.
By Sunday we should decrease the rain chances with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible. Next week we will keep the clouds around Monday decreasing them through middle of the week. Temperatures will be on a gradual increase with low 90's by next week. We are also keeping a close eye on Hurricane Dean which is a major hurricane in the eastern Caribbean and will be in the Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
Have a good weekend and be careful.
We have seen scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country because of the remnants of Tropical Depression Erin. The storm is currently located just to the west of San Angelo with the heaviest activity staying just to the east of the center. We have seen a lot of activity in our Southern and Western counties and it looks we are going to continue to see the rain.
A Flash Flood watch is in effect for Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Haskell, Taylor, Coke, Runnels, Coleman and Brown counties until tomorrow evening. Also a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Scurry and Mitchell until tomorrow morning. We are going to continue to see the storm move north/northwest through out the next 36 hours. The highest concentration will be closest to the center but scattered showers and thunderstorms should persist through early Sunday. We could see 1 to 3 inches possible around the area with isolated higher amounts. We will keep an eye on the radar with the potential for Flash Flooding.
By Sunday we should decrease the rain chances with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible. Next week we will keep the clouds around Monday decreasing them through middle of the week. Temperatures will be on a gradual increase with low 90's by next week. We are also keeping a close eye on Hurricane Dean which is a major hurricane in the eastern Caribbean and will be in the Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
Have a good weekend and be careful.
Friday Morning Update
From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Showers and thunderstorms will continue to be likely today thanks to the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin. It looks like the heaviest rain should be in the southern and western portions of the viewing area, but heavy rain could occur anywhere in the viewing area. A Flash Flood Watch continues to be in effect for Brown, Coleman, Coke and Runnels counties until 7 p.m. this evening. Highs are expected to be in the upper 70s to low 80s today.
Rain will be likely again tomorrow as the remants of Erin should still be close to the area. Highs look to be in the low 80s.
By Sunday, what is left of Erin should be exiting the state. The chance for rain will be 30% for the second half of the weekend. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s.
The first half of next week looks hotter and drier right now. Highs should be in the low 90s.
Have a wonderful and safe weekend!
Showers and thunderstorms will continue to be likely today thanks to the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin. It looks like the heaviest rain should be in the southern and western portions of the viewing area, but heavy rain could occur anywhere in the viewing area. A Flash Flood Watch continues to be in effect for Brown, Coleman, Coke and Runnels counties until 7 p.m. this evening. Highs are expected to be in the upper 70s to low 80s today.
Rain will be likely again tomorrow as the remants of Erin should still be close to the area. Highs look to be in the low 80s.
By Sunday, what is left of Erin should be exiting the state. The chance for rain will be 30% for the second half of the weekend. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s.
The first half of next week looks hotter and drier right now. Highs should be in the low 90s.
Have a wonderful and safe weekend!
Thursday, August 16, 2007
Hello Erin
From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
It was a little cooler across the Big Country today thanks to Tropical Storm Erin making landfall along the middle Texas coast this morning. Moslty cloudy skies as well as some showers and thunderstorms late this afternoon kept us from getting too warm. Highs were in the upper 80s to low 90s.
The remnants of Tropical Storm Erin are expected to move northwest from south Texas to west Texas over the next couple of days. Showers and thunderstorms will be likely in our area Friday and Saturday. Heavy rain and flash flooding will be possible. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Brown, Coleman and Runnels counties until 7 p.m. Friday evening. Highs should be in the upper 70s to low 80s due to the cloud cover and rain.
We will have a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms on Sunday as what is left of Erin should be exiting the state. Highs look to be in the upper 80s under mostly cloudy skies.
The first half of next week should warmer and drier with highs in the low 90s under partly cloudy skies.
Tropical Storm Dean was upgraded to hurricane status today. Maximum sustained winds are 100 mph which makes it a category 2 hurricane. The latest projected path from the Tropical Prediction Center has the storm moving through the Carribean and the Yucatan Pennisula over the next five days. We will continue to keep our eye on this storm and let you know about its latest progress.
Have a fantastic Friday!
It was a little cooler across the Big Country today thanks to Tropical Storm Erin making landfall along the middle Texas coast this morning. Moslty cloudy skies as well as some showers and thunderstorms late this afternoon kept us from getting too warm. Highs were in the upper 80s to low 90s.
The remnants of Tropical Storm Erin are expected to move northwest from south Texas to west Texas over the next couple of days. Showers and thunderstorms will be likely in our area Friday and Saturday. Heavy rain and flash flooding will be possible. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Brown, Coleman and Runnels counties until 7 p.m. Friday evening. Highs should be in the upper 70s to low 80s due to the cloud cover and rain.
We will have a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms on Sunday as what is left of Erin should be exiting the state. Highs look to be in the upper 80s under mostly cloudy skies.
The first half of next week should warmer and drier with highs in the low 90s under partly cloudy skies.
Tropical Storm Dean was upgraded to hurricane status today. Maximum sustained winds are 100 mph which makes it a category 2 hurricane. The latest projected path from the Tropical Prediction Center has the storm moving through the Carribean and the Yucatan Pennisula over the next five days. We will continue to keep our eye on this storm and let you know about its latest progress.
Have a fantastic Friday!
Wednesday, August 15, 2007
Rain Chances Are Looking Better
From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
We continued to have above average temperatures today as highs were in the mid to upper 90s. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms developed in Brown and Comanche counties late this afternoon.
Tropical Depression Number 5 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Erin this morning. Maximum sustained winds with the fifth storm of this hurricane season are 40 mph. The latest projected path has the storm making landfall on the Texas coast near Corpus Christi during the late morning to early afternoon hours tomorrow. From there, it should move northwest and be north of Del Rio by Friday afternoon. This means an increase in the chance for rain for us in the Big Country. For Thursday that chance is 30%. With the remnants of Erin closer to us on Friday, the chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase to 60%. What is left of Erin could still be close to the area on Saturday so we'll keep a 50% chance of rain in the forecast. By Sunday, the chance falls to slight. Heavy rain will be possible for the second half of the week as well as flash flooding. Stay tuned for any watches or warnings that are issued. Highs for tomorrow should be in the upper 80s to low 90s. For Friday and Saturday, it will be cooler due to the cloud cover and rain. Highs look to be in the low to mid 80s. For Sunday, highs should rebound back into the upper 80s to low 90s.
The early part of next week is expected to be dry with highs in the low 90s under parlty cloudy skies.
We are keeping an eye on another tropical cyclone in the Atlantic Ocean. Tropical Storm Dean has maximum sustained winds of 65 mph according to the latest statement from the Tropical Prediction Center. It is about 910 miles east of the Lesser Antilles so it is still way out in the Atlantic. The latest projected path has it near Jamaica by Sunday night. We still have plenty of time to watch this storm and see if it ends up in the Gulf of Mexico.
Have a terrific Thursday!
We continued to have above average temperatures today as highs were in the mid to upper 90s. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms developed in Brown and Comanche counties late this afternoon.
Tropical Depression Number 5 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Erin this morning. Maximum sustained winds with the fifth storm of this hurricane season are 40 mph. The latest projected path has the storm making landfall on the Texas coast near Corpus Christi during the late morning to early afternoon hours tomorrow. From there, it should move northwest and be north of Del Rio by Friday afternoon. This means an increase in the chance for rain for us in the Big Country. For Thursday that chance is 30%. With the remnants of Erin closer to us on Friday, the chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase to 60%. What is left of Erin could still be close to the area on Saturday so we'll keep a 50% chance of rain in the forecast. By Sunday, the chance falls to slight. Heavy rain will be possible for the second half of the week as well as flash flooding. Stay tuned for any watches or warnings that are issued. Highs for tomorrow should be in the upper 80s to low 90s. For Friday and Saturday, it will be cooler due to the cloud cover and rain. Highs look to be in the low to mid 80s. For Sunday, highs should rebound back into the upper 80s to low 90s.
The early part of next week is expected to be dry with highs in the low 90s under parlty cloudy skies.
We are keeping an eye on another tropical cyclone in the Atlantic Ocean. Tropical Storm Dean has maximum sustained winds of 65 mph according to the latest statement from the Tropical Prediction Center. It is about 910 miles east of the Lesser Antilles so it is still way out in the Atlantic. The latest projected path has it near Jamaica by Sunday night. We still have plenty of time to watch this storm and see if it ends up in the Gulf of Mexico.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Wednesday Morning Forecast
Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…
Summer took a while to get here, but hot weather has continued across the Lone Star State for the last couple weeks however it should only dominate for one more day. If you enjoy getting out to the pool you might want to take advantage of today. We will see plenty of sunshine with temperatures hitting the mid to upper 90's.
By tonight we should begin to see a change in our pattern as more moisture will help to return the clouds back to West Central Texas. By tomorrow we should see partly to mostly cloudy skies around the area with the rain beginning towards the later part of the day. This change is all because of Tropical Depression 5 that is currently 365 miles east/southeast of Brownsville with winds of 30 mph. It is on a track towards the Northwest around 10 mph. The coast line is already under a tropical storm watch as this disturbance should from into a tropical storm before landfall if we can increase the winds to above 39 mph. This storm will continue to make an impact in our weather through the early part of the weekend. I think the best rain chances right now will be from Thursday evening through Saturday. Winds should not be a problem as the disturbance will weaken once it hits landfall but tropical systems bring lots of rainfall which could cause the potential for flooding. With the rain and cloud cover high temperatures through the weekend will stay in the upper 80's to low 90's. We will be keeping a close eye on the system and keep you updated with the latest.
On top of Tropical Depression 5, we have Tropical Storm Dean which is currently far out in the Atlantic. We will be keeping an eye on the track of this system as it has the potential for US landfall.
Have a good day!
Summer took a while to get here, but hot weather has continued across the Lone Star State for the last couple weeks however it should only dominate for one more day. If you enjoy getting out to the pool you might want to take advantage of today. We will see plenty of sunshine with temperatures hitting the mid to upper 90's.
By tonight we should begin to see a change in our pattern as more moisture will help to return the clouds back to West Central Texas. By tomorrow we should see partly to mostly cloudy skies around the area with the rain beginning towards the later part of the day. This change is all because of Tropical Depression 5 that is currently 365 miles east/southeast of Brownsville with winds of 30 mph. It is on a track towards the Northwest around 10 mph. The coast line is already under a tropical storm watch as this disturbance should from into a tropical storm before landfall if we can increase the winds to above 39 mph. This storm will continue to make an impact in our weather through the early part of the weekend. I think the best rain chances right now will be from Thursday evening through Saturday. Winds should not be a problem as the disturbance will weaken once it hits landfall but tropical systems bring lots of rainfall which could cause the potential for flooding. With the rain and cloud cover high temperatures through the weekend will stay in the upper 80's to low 90's. We will be keeping a close eye on the system and keep you updated with the latest.
On top of Tropical Depression 5, we have Tropical Storm Dean which is currently far out in the Atlantic. We will be keeping an eye on the track of this system as it has the potential for US landfall.
Have a good day!
Tuesday, August 14, 2007
Get Your Rain Gear Ready
From Chief Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Hot temperatures remained across the area today. Highs were mainly in the upper 90s with Brownwood reaching 100. It was the hottest day of the year so far here in Abilene with the airport reporting a high of 97 this afternoon.
Hot and dry conditions are expected to remain through tomorrow. We could be a degree or two cooler due to a few more clouds, but highs will likely be in the mid to upper 90s.
The tropical disturbance that is currently in the Gulf of Mexico looks to be our next rainmaker. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft, known as the hurricane hunters, investigated this system today and could not find a well-defined center. This means it is not a tropical cyclone, but it could still develop into a tropical disturbance or tropical storm in the next 24 hours. Conditions are becoming more favorable for this low pressure system to become organized and strengthen. Either way, it should be right on the Texas coast by late tomorrow night. From there, the low should move into south Texas before reaching west Texas this weekend. Our chance for rain begins on Thursday at 30% and increases to 40% on Friday. By Saturday, the chance for rain decreases back to 30% with only a slight chance on Sunday. Since this system is tropical in nature, heavy rain and flash flooding will be possible during this time period. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.
Monday and next Tuesday should be dry with highs in the low 90s under mostly sunny skies.
Tropical depression number 4 strenghtened today and is now Tropical Storm Dean. It has winds of 40 mph and is continuing to move to the west. The storm is about 1390 miles east of the Lesser Antilles according to the latest statement from the National Hurricane Center. With it being so far out in the Atlantic Ocean right now, we have plenty of time to watch where this system goes. Stay tuned for updates.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Hot temperatures remained across the area today. Highs were mainly in the upper 90s with Brownwood reaching 100. It was the hottest day of the year so far here in Abilene with the airport reporting a high of 97 this afternoon.
Hot and dry conditions are expected to remain through tomorrow. We could be a degree or two cooler due to a few more clouds, but highs will likely be in the mid to upper 90s.
The tropical disturbance that is currently in the Gulf of Mexico looks to be our next rainmaker. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft, known as the hurricane hunters, investigated this system today and could not find a well-defined center. This means it is not a tropical cyclone, but it could still develop into a tropical disturbance or tropical storm in the next 24 hours. Conditions are becoming more favorable for this low pressure system to become organized and strengthen. Either way, it should be right on the Texas coast by late tomorrow night. From there, the low should move into south Texas before reaching west Texas this weekend. Our chance for rain begins on Thursday at 30% and increases to 40% on Friday. By Saturday, the chance for rain decreases back to 30% with only a slight chance on Sunday. Since this system is tropical in nature, heavy rain and flash flooding will be possible during this time period. Highs look to be in the upper 80s to low 90s.
Monday and next Tuesday should be dry with highs in the low 90s under mostly sunny skies.
Tropical depression number 4 strenghtened today and is now Tropical Storm Dean. It has winds of 40 mph and is continuing to move to the west. The storm is about 1390 miles east of the Lesser Antilles according to the latest statement from the National Hurricane Center. With it being so far out in the Atlantic Ocean right now, we have plenty of time to watch where this system goes. Stay tuned for updates.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Tuesday Morning Forecast
Good Morning from Morning Meteorologist Kristen Connolly…
It was hot across the area with Abilene regional airport reporting the hottest temperature yet this year sitting at 96. We will continue to see the hot and dry conditions for the next couple days but by the end of the week rain may make a return to the Big Country.
With high pressure still dominating temperatures today will again top off in the mid to upper 90's with abundant sunshine across the area. Be careful if you will be outdoors as heat indices could again get into the triple digits.
For the remainder of the week we are keeping an eye on an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico. This area is currently sitting north of the Yucatan peninsula and should be on a track more north/northwest. We could see this area become a depression over the next 24 hours. With moisture returning, we should start to see more cloud cover by tomorrow. This disturbance could move into southern Texas toward the end of the week which will increase our rain chances from Thursday at 20% to Friday and Saturday both at 30%. With the clouds and the rain, temperatures will be cooler with highs in the lower 90's.
Have a good day!
It was hot across the area with Abilene regional airport reporting the hottest temperature yet this year sitting at 96. We will continue to see the hot and dry conditions for the next couple days but by the end of the week rain may make a return to the Big Country.
With high pressure still dominating temperatures today will again top off in the mid to upper 90's with abundant sunshine across the area. Be careful if you will be outdoors as heat indices could again get into the triple digits.
For the remainder of the week we are keeping an eye on an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico. This area is currently sitting north of the Yucatan peninsula and should be on a track more north/northwest. We could see this area become a depression over the next 24 hours. With moisture returning, we should start to see more cloud cover by tomorrow. This disturbance could move into southern Texas toward the end of the week which will increase our rain chances from Thursday at 20% to Friday and Saturday both at 30%. With the clouds and the rain, temperatures will be cooler with highs in the lower 90's.
Have a good day!
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