From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
The beautiful and warm weather continued today, but it looks like the above average temperatures will be coming to an end soon. An upper level low is currently moving across the Four Corners region and should move over the Texas panhandle tomorrow. The main dynamics of this system should stay well to our north, but we could see some isolated showers and thunderstormsin the Big Country on Wednesday. The chance for rain, however, is only slight and will likely only be in the northern communities. Highs should be in the upper 80s to low 90s.
A cold front is expected to move across the Big Country late on Thursday. It doesn't look like we will see any rain from the front. It should be a little cooler with highs in the low 80s. Friday and Saturday continue to look dry with highs in the low to mid 70s. If you plan on going to Friday night football, the weather is still looking good, but you might need a jacket.
Another cold front should arrive on Sunday, and it looks to bring a chance of rain with it. For now, I am going to go with a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm with highs around 70.
Tropical Storm Wilma turned into Hurricane Wilma earlier today. According to the 8 p.m. EDT (7 p.m. CDT) advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Wilma has sustained winds of 100 mph, which makes it a category 2 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. It is expected to strengthen to a major hurricane (category 3 or stronger) later tonight or tomorrow. The storm is moving to the west-northwest at 8 mph. It is expected make a turn northwest within the next 24 hours. The latest path projection has it moving between the Yucatan pennisula and western Cuba by Friday, and then turning northeast and moving over southern Florida this weekend. It is still too early to tell exactly where this storm is going. However, if you have interests in the northwest Carribean Sea or southern Florida, you need to keep an eye on this storm. We will continue to keep you updated on the latest.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Tuesday, October 18, 2005
Warm Temperatures For A Few More Days....Hurricane Wilma
From meteorologist Jason Myers......
High pressure continues to dominate weather over Texas along with a ridge. Southerly flow is continuing to bring above normal temperatures to West Central Texas. Highs today will be in the upper 80s with a high temperaure of 88 degrees, which is ten degrees above our normal for this time of the year at 78 degrees. A low pressure system that has been parked over southern California, giving California residents plenty of rain, will be moving northeast. The Big Country will not be seeing any rain for the most part, yet north of Abilene, in Knox, Stonewall, Haskell, or Throckmorton counties....those counties have a slim chance of seeing a shower or thunderstorm late Wednesday due to a passing cold front along with the low pressure system discussed earlier. Another cold front will be working it's way across the Big Country late Thursday bringing the temperatures down for Friday and the weekend. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday look to be gorgeous days with highs in the mid-70s and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. In fact another cold front moves through Sunday bringing the high temperatures down into the 60s.
Tropical Storm Wilma has now been upgraded to Hurricane Wilma as of the 11am (EDT) update from the National Hurricane Center. This ties the record set back in 1969 for 12 hurricanes in one hurricane season(NHC). Hurricane Wilma is located at latitude 16.5 north and Longitude 80.6 West, or about 195 miles south-southest of Grand Cayman. Winds are sustained at 75 mph (Category 1) with higher gusts....Wilma is moving toward the northwest at 7 mph. Additional strengthening looks to happen over the next 24 hrs, and Hurricane Wilma could become a major hurricane in the next day or two. Minimum central pressure is 977 mb.
Hurricane Wilma will be moving over very warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico with very little wind shear in the upper atmosphere, meaning that strengthening should cause Wilma to become a major hurricane. Right now the official National Hurricane Center path has Hurricane Wilma turning north and then northeast moving over southern Florida. This turn to the north and northeast will likely happen because a high pressure system over the Southern U.S. is forecasted to move off to the east. Hurricane Wilma is definately a storm to keep an eye on. We'll keep you updated with the latest here at KRBC 9.
High pressure continues to dominate weather over Texas along with a ridge. Southerly flow is continuing to bring above normal temperatures to West Central Texas. Highs today will be in the upper 80s with a high temperaure of 88 degrees, which is ten degrees above our normal for this time of the year at 78 degrees. A low pressure system that has been parked over southern California, giving California residents plenty of rain, will be moving northeast. The Big Country will not be seeing any rain for the most part, yet north of Abilene, in Knox, Stonewall, Haskell, or Throckmorton counties....those counties have a slim chance of seeing a shower or thunderstorm late Wednesday due to a passing cold front along with the low pressure system discussed earlier. Another cold front will be working it's way across the Big Country late Thursday bringing the temperatures down for Friday and the weekend. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday look to be gorgeous days with highs in the mid-70s and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. In fact another cold front moves through Sunday bringing the high temperatures down into the 60s.
Tropical Storm Wilma has now been upgraded to Hurricane Wilma as of the 11am (EDT) update from the National Hurricane Center. This ties the record set back in 1969 for 12 hurricanes in one hurricane season(NHC). Hurricane Wilma is located at latitude 16.5 north and Longitude 80.6 West, or about 195 miles south-southest of Grand Cayman. Winds are sustained at 75 mph (Category 1) with higher gusts....Wilma is moving toward the northwest at 7 mph. Additional strengthening looks to happen over the next 24 hrs, and Hurricane Wilma could become a major hurricane in the next day or two. Minimum central pressure is 977 mb.
Hurricane Wilma will be moving over very warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico with very little wind shear in the upper atmosphere, meaning that strengthening should cause Wilma to become a major hurricane. Right now the official National Hurricane Center path has Hurricane Wilma turning north and then northeast moving over southern Florida. This turn to the north and northeast will likely happen because a high pressure system over the Southern U.S. is forecasted to move off to the east. Hurricane Wilma is definately a storm to keep an eye on. We'll keep you updated with the latest here at KRBC 9.
Monday, October 17, 2005
Above Average Temperatures Continue...For Now
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
It was another beautiful day with warm afternoon temperatures. It looks like temperatures will continue to be above average for a little longer. Tuesday should be nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s across most of the area. Brownwood could reach the low 90s.
An upper level low pressure system continues to sit just off the southern California coastline. It is still expected to move across the Four Corners region and the Texas panhandle by Wednesday. We could see a few isolated showers or thunderstorms on Wednesday and Wednesday night due to this system. Rain chances for now are only slight. There is another slight chance for more isolated showers and thunderstorms with the arrival of a cold front on Thursday. Highs on Wednesday should be in the mid to upper 80s with highs on Thursday in the low to mid 80s.
We should be dry on Friday and Saturday with cooler temperatures. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 70s.
Tropical Depression 24 turned into Tropical Storm Wilma today. As Jason stated earlier, this is our 21st named storm of the season and does tie the record for most storms in a season which was set in 1933. According to the National Hurricane Center's 5 p.m. EDT (4 p.m. CDT) advisory, Wilma had sustained winds of 50 mph and was moving south at 2 mph. It is projected to strengthen to hurricane status sometime tomorrow. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the Cayman Islands and portions of the Honduras coastline. A Hurricane Watch is also in effect for the Cayman Islands. The latest path projection has the storm moving west then northwest over the next couple of days. According to this projection, it should be near the Yucatan Pennisula by Friday. We'll continue to keep you updated on the latest.
Have a Terrific Tuesday!
It was another beautiful day with warm afternoon temperatures. It looks like temperatures will continue to be above average for a little longer. Tuesday should be nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s across most of the area. Brownwood could reach the low 90s.
An upper level low pressure system continues to sit just off the southern California coastline. It is still expected to move across the Four Corners region and the Texas panhandle by Wednesday. We could see a few isolated showers or thunderstorms on Wednesday and Wednesday night due to this system. Rain chances for now are only slight. There is another slight chance for more isolated showers and thunderstorms with the arrival of a cold front on Thursday. Highs on Wednesday should be in the mid to upper 80s with highs on Thursday in the low to mid 80s.
We should be dry on Friday and Saturday with cooler temperatures. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 70s.
Tropical Depression 24 turned into Tropical Storm Wilma today. As Jason stated earlier, this is our 21st named storm of the season and does tie the record for most storms in a season which was set in 1933. According to the National Hurricane Center's 5 p.m. EDT (4 p.m. CDT) advisory, Wilma had sustained winds of 50 mph and was moving south at 2 mph. It is projected to strengthen to hurricane status sometime tomorrow. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the Cayman Islands and portions of the Honduras coastline. A Hurricane Watch is also in effect for the Cayman Islands. The latest path projection has the storm moving west then northwest over the next couple of days. According to this projection, it should be near the Yucatan Pennisula by Friday. We'll continue to keep you updated on the latest.
Have a Terrific Tuesday!
Warm Temperatures Continue.....New Record In The Tropics
From Meteorologist Jason Myers......
Another above average high temperature for today. Temperatures in the upper 80s for the Big Country, and lower 90s as you head toward Dallas/Fort-Worth. High pressure is in control over the southern U.S., and that will allow temperatures to remain warm for most of the work week.
In the tropics.....
We have our 21st named storm, with Tropical Storm Wilma, tieing the record of 21 named storms set back in 1933. Wilma is the last name on the 2005 name list, so if we have another named storm the Greek Alphabet will be used, starting with Alpha.
Tropical Storm Wilma became a tropical storm this morning with the latest winds at 40 mph, gusting up to 50 mph. It's moving to the SW at 3 mph and will continue to move slowly west; depending on the high pressure in the southern U.S., T.S. Wilma could turn north. If T.S. Wilma moves north it will move over warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico, turning T.S. Wilma into possibly another major hurricane. Tropical Storm Wilma is definately something Gulf Coast states need to keep an eye on. We'll keep you updated with the latest here at KRBC 9 and on the weather blog.
Another above average high temperature for today. Temperatures in the upper 80s for the Big Country, and lower 90s as you head toward Dallas/Fort-Worth. High pressure is in control over the southern U.S., and that will allow temperatures to remain warm for most of the work week.
In the tropics.....
We have our 21st named storm, with Tropical Storm Wilma, tieing the record of 21 named storms set back in 1933. Wilma is the last name on the 2005 name list, so if we have another named storm the Greek Alphabet will be used, starting with Alpha.
Tropical Storm Wilma became a tropical storm this morning with the latest winds at 40 mph, gusting up to 50 mph. It's moving to the SW at 3 mph and will continue to move slowly west; depending on the high pressure in the southern U.S., T.S. Wilma could turn north. If T.S. Wilma moves north it will move over warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico, turning T.S. Wilma into possibly another major hurricane. Tropical Storm Wilma is definately something Gulf Coast states need to keep an eye on. We'll keep you updated with the latest here at KRBC 9 and on the weather blog.
Sunday, October 16, 2005
Warm Temperatures Continue
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
I hope you were able to get out and enjoy the beautiful Sunday weather we had. If not, don't worry because the warm temperatures will be hanging around a little longer. Monday and Tuesday should be nice with partly cloudy skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s.
There is an upper level low pressure system just off the southern California coastline right now, which is expected to be in the Four Corners region by mid-week. This should stay far enough to our west-northwest that we won't see any rain from it. However, a weak cold front looks to move through the Big Country Wednesday night through Thursday. It is only expected to cool us down a little bit, and give us a small chance for showers and thunderstorms. Wednesday and Thursday will be partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain and highs in the low to mid 80s. Friday should be dry with highs around 80.
Tropical Depression 24 continues to move slowly in the Carribean Sea. The 5 p.m. EDT (4 p.m. CDT) advisory from the National Hurricane Center tells us that the depression has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and is moving to the west-northwest at 2 mph. T.D. 24 is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm within the next 24 hours. If it does reach tropical storm status, it will be named Wilma and would be the 21st named storm of the season. This would tie the record of 21 storms set back in 1933. The latest path projection puts the tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico by Friday. We will continue to keep you updated on the latest.
By the way, if you are up around 7:00 a.m. tomorrow (Monday) morning, you may want to take a look at the moon. There is a partial lunar eclipse taking place. A lunar eclipse occurs when the moon is in earth's shadow. The moon will look a little dark and possibly a little copper or orange in color.
Have a magnificent Monday!
I hope you were able to get out and enjoy the beautiful Sunday weather we had. If not, don't worry because the warm temperatures will be hanging around a little longer. Monday and Tuesday should be nice with partly cloudy skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s.
There is an upper level low pressure system just off the southern California coastline right now, which is expected to be in the Four Corners region by mid-week. This should stay far enough to our west-northwest that we won't see any rain from it. However, a weak cold front looks to move through the Big Country Wednesday night through Thursday. It is only expected to cool us down a little bit, and give us a small chance for showers and thunderstorms. Wednesday and Thursday will be partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain and highs in the low to mid 80s. Friday should be dry with highs around 80.
Tropical Depression 24 continues to move slowly in the Carribean Sea. The 5 p.m. EDT (4 p.m. CDT) advisory from the National Hurricane Center tells us that the depression has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and is moving to the west-northwest at 2 mph. T.D. 24 is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm within the next 24 hours. If it does reach tropical storm status, it will be named Wilma and would be the 21st named storm of the season. This would tie the record of 21 storms set back in 1933. The latest path projection puts the tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico by Friday. We will continue to keep you updated on the latest.
By the way, if you are up around 7:00 a.m. tomorrow (Monday) morning, you may want to take a look at the moon. There is a partial lunar eclipse taking place. A lunar eclipse occurs when the moon is in earth's shadow. The moon will look a little dark and possibly a little copper or orange in color.
Have a magnificent Monday!
Saturday, October 15, 2005
Warm Weather Remains, Rain Chances Later In The Week
From Meteorologist Jason Myers.........
Another nice day across the Big Country, especially for everyone involved with homecoming activities at the local universities. After starting off with a morning low temperature of 58 degrees the high reached 82 degrees. High Pressure will remain over east Texas giving us southerly flow, providing warm temperatures, with highs in the mid-80s Sunday through Wednesday. Skies should remain partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Wednesday night a cold front is projected to move across West Texas bringing a slight chance of a thunderstorm late Wednesday and a 20% chance of rain Thursday into the start of next weekend.
In the tropics, as of right now there is Tropical Depression #24 which is projected to become Hurricane Wilma by the beginning of the work week. TD 24 is located southwest of Jamaica and south of the Cayman Islands and Cuba. Winds are 30 mph with a southwest movement at 3 mph. Gulf Coast residents really need to keep an eye on this storm because it will be moving over very warm waters, and intensification into a major hurricane is a strong possibility. Right now a high pressure system over the Gulf of Mexico is keeping TD 24 from moving north, yet this should begin to weaken, allowing TD 24 to turn north headed toward the Gulf Coast states.
Also, Sunday night take some time to go outside and get a peak at the full moon known in the month of October as the "Hunter's Moon" or the "Blood Moon". It's called the "Blood Moon" because the moon has a red or "blood" tint to it due to a partial lunar eclipse. The greatest partial lunar eclipse will be at 12:03 UT or around 7 am our time.
Another nice day across the Big Country, especially for everyone involved with homecoming activities at the local universities. After starting off with a morning low temperature of 58 degrees the high reached 82 degrees. High Pressure will remain over east Texas giving us southerly flow, providing warm temperatures, with highs in the mid-80s Sunday through Wednesday. Skies should remain partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Wednesday night a cold front is projected to move across West Texas bringing a slight chance of a thunderstorm late Wednesday and a 20% chance of rain Thursday into the start of next weekend.
In the tropics, as of right now there is Tropical Depression #24 which is projected to become Hurricane Wilma by the beginning of the work week. TD 24 is located southwest of Jamaica and south of the Cayman Islands and Cuba. Winds are 30 mph with a southwest movement at 3 mph. Gulf Coast residents really need to keep an eye on this storm because it will be moving over very warm waters, and intensification into a major hurricane is a strong possibility. Right now a high pressure system over the Gulf of Mexico is keeping TD 24 from moving north, yet this should begin to weaken, allowing TD 24 to turn north headed toward the Gulf Coast states.
Also, Sunday night take some time to go outside and get a peak at the full moon known in the month of October as the "Hunter's Moon" or the "Blood Moon". It's called the "Blood Moon" because the moon has a red or "blood" tint to it due to a partial lunar eclipse. The greatest partial lunar eclipse will be at 12:03 UT or around 7 am our time.
Friday, October 14, 2005
Warm Afternoons Ahead
Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...
Let the warm-up begin. The upper level low that was influencing West Texas weather the past few days has retrograded to the West and is not influencing our weather currently. The cut-off system will get picked up by the jet stream over the next 24-36 hours. As it lifts North and East, there is an outside chance of a few isolated showers Saturday afternoon and night.
After that low is gone, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies will dominate West Central Texas through the weekend and into next week.
Our next chance for rain will come sometime Wednesday and continue through Friday as another upper level system approaches and eventually will push through and drag a cold front behind it.
Enjoy the above average temperatures while they last! Please, go out and make it a safe and great weekend!
Let the warm-up begin. The upper level low that was influencing West Texas weather the past few days has retrograded to the West and is not influencing our weather currently. The cut-off system will get picked up by the jet stream over the next 24-36 hours. As it lifts North and East, there is an outside chance of a few isolated showers Saturday afternoon and night.
After that low is gone, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies will dominate West Central Texas through the weekend and into next week.
Our next chance for rain will come sometime Wednesday and continue through Friday as another upper level system approaches and eventually will push through and drag a cold front behind it.
Enjoy the above average temperatures while they last! Please, go out and make it a safe and great weekend!
Wonderful Weekend Weather
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
After some fog across portions of the area this morning, it looks like partly cloudy skies should rule the day with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. The weather looks nice for football or any other plans you may have this evening. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 50s again tonight with maybe some patchy fog by Saturday morning.
The upper level low responsible for the rain in the western portions of the area yesterday has retrograded back to the west. We will likely remain dry through the weekend, but the low is expected to move just to our northwest on Saturday. Since the low may be close enough to spark a few showers and thunderstorms in the Big Country, I have put in a slight chance of rain from Saturday afternoon through early Sunday morning. Highs this weekend should be in the low 80s with partly cloudy skies. Homecoming activities for the Abilene universities should be fine, just keep an eye on the sky. Taking a look at Monday and Tuesday, we should be warm and dry with highs in the low to mid 80s.
Have a fantastic Friday!
After some fog across portions of the area this morning, it looks like partly cloudy skies should rule the day with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. The weather looks nice for football or any other plans you may have this evening. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 50s again tonight with maybe some patchy fog by Saturday morning.
The upper level low responsible for the rain in the western portions of the area yesterday has retrograded back to the west. We will likely remain dry through the weekend, but the low is expected to move just to our northwest on Saturday. Since the low may be close enough to spark a few showers and thunderstorms in the Big Country, I have put in a slight chance of rain from Saturday afternoon through early Sunday morning. Highs this weekend should be in the low 80s with partly cloudy skies. Homecoming activities for the Abilene universities should be fine, just keep an eye on the sky. Taking a look at Monday and Tuesday, we should be warm and dry with highs in the low to mid 80s.
Have a fantastic Friday!
Thursday, October 13, 2005
Weekend Looks Nice
Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...
The wet weather stayed West today as we expected. A few showers and thunderstorms did fire up in Mitchell and Scurry Counties this morning and a few showers worked West to East across Coke through Brown counties this afternoon.
It appears that we are now set up for a warm and dry extended forecast. Aside from an isolated shower or two popping up tonight, the sun will return tomorrow with afternoon highs climbing back into the lower 80s.
The weekend looks fantastic with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Our next chance for rain and cooler weather will return toward the end of next week.
The wet weather stayed West today as we expected. A few showers and thunderstorms did fire up in Mitchell and Scurry Counties this morning and a few showers worked West to East across Coke through Brown counties this afternoon.
It appears that we are now set up for a warm and dry extended forecast. Aside from an isolated shower or two popping up tonight, the sun will return tomorrow with afternoon highs climbing back into the lower 80s.
The weekend looks fantastic with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Our next chance for rain and cooler weather will return toward the end of next week.
Flooding Rains Just West-Southwest Of The Viewing Area
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Heavy rain continues to fall just outside of the viewing area to our west and southwest. Several counties in that area are under a Flash Flood Watch, and some have already had Flash Flood Warnings. You will want to be very careful if you are traveling west today. In our area, Mitchell and Scurry counties are under a Flash Flood Watch until 4 p.m. this afternoon. We will keep you updated on the latest if these conditions change.
The reason for this rainfall is the upper level disturbance we have been talking about all week. It is transforming into an upper level low in northern Mexico/southern Arizona and will likely become cut-off from the main flow of the jetstream. It looks like it is going to hang out for a couple of days before retrograding west a little bit and then moving northeast sometime this weekend. The low should be just enough west to keep us out of the bulk of the rainfall, but we could still see some showers and thunderstorms in mainly the western portions of the area the next couple of days.
Where you live in the Big Country will determine the type of weather you see today. If you are west of Abilene, you will likely see mostly cloudy skies, a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and highs in the low 70s. From Abilene eastward, you can expect partly cloudy skies, a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Tonight should be partly cloudy area-wide with a 20% to 30% chance of rain and lows in the mid to upper 50s.
On Friday, the western communities may see more showers and thunderstorms depending on where the upper level low has set up. For now, I'll go with a 20% chance of rain from Sweetwater westward. Skies should be partly cloudy with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Football games for Friday night should be okay, but if you are going to a game in the western communities or towards Midland you'll want to put the rain gear in the car just in case. At this time, the weekend and early next week look dry with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Heavy rain continues to fall just outside of the viewing area to our west and southwest. Several counties in that area are under a Flash Flood Watch, and some have already had Flash Flood Warnings. You will want to be very careful if you are traveling west today. In our area, Mitchell and Scurry counties are under a Flash Flood Watch until 4 p.m. this afternoon. We will keep you updated on the latest if these conditions change.
The reason for this rainfall is the upper level disturbance we have been talking about all week. It is transforming into an upper level low in northern Mexico/southern Arizona and will likely become cut-off from the main flow of the jetstream. It looks like it is going to hang out for a couple of days before retrograding west a little bit and then moving northeast sometime this weekend. The low should be just enough west to keep us out of the bulk of the rainfall, but we could still see some showers and thunderstorms in mainly the western portions of the area the next couple of days.
Where you live in the Big Country will determine the type of weather you see today. If you are west of Abilene, you will likely see mostly cloudy skies, a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and highs in the low 70s. From Abilene eastward, you can expect partly cloudy skies, a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Tonight should be partly cloudy area-wide with a 20% to 30% chance of rain and lows in the mid to upper 50s.
On Friday, the western communities may see more showers and thunderstorms depending on where the upper level low has set up. For now, I'll go with a 20% chance of rain from Sweetwater westward. Skies should be partly cloudy with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Football games for Friday night should be okay, but if you are going to a game in the western communities or towards Midland you'll want to put the rain gear in the car just in case. At this time, the weekend and early next week look dry with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.
Have a terrific Thursday!
Wednesday, October 12, 2005
Heavy Rain Likely West of the Big Country
Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...
If you have travel plans on I-20 West toward Midland tomorrow, get ready to some potentially heavy rainfall. Another upper level disturbance is settling in across the SouthWest and is expected to start producting showers and thunderstorms over far West Texas.
Rain chances aren't looking quite as good for the Big Country as they did yesterday. Right now I'm keeping a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for areas on a North-South line West of Knox Co. to Runnels Co.
The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a Flash Flood Watch for the majority of their area effective through Thursday afternoon.
I think the majority of the Big Country will stay dry, but there is a pretty good chance Aspermont through Snyder and Colorado City could see some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Thursday.
After this disturbance pulls out, the Big Country will be left under the control of a ridge of high pressure. This will mean Mostly Sunny to Partly Cloudy skies and afternoon highs right around 80 through the extended forecast.
Please, go out and make it a GREAT day!
If you have travel plans on I-20 West toward Midland tomorrow, get ready to some potentially heavy rainfall. Another upper level disturbance is settling in across the SouthWest and is expected to start producting showers and thunderstorms over far West Texas.
Rain chances aren't looking quite as good for the Big Country as they did yesterday. Right now I'm keeping a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for areas on a North-South line West of Knox Co. to Runnels Co.
The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a Flash Flood Watch for the majority of their area effective through Thursday afternoon.
I think the majority of the Big Country will stay dry, but there is a pretty good chance Aspermont through Snyder and Colorado City could see some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Thursday.
After this disturbance pulls out, the Big Country will be left under the control of a ridge of high pressure. This will mean Mostly Sunny to Partly Cloudy skies and afternoon highs right around 80 through the extended forecast.
Please, go out and make it a GREAT day!
More Rain Possible By Tonight
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
Fog is the main story this morning, especially along and south of I-20 where a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect. Visibilities of less than a quarter of a mile are being reported in some of these locations, so be very careful if you are going to be on the roadways during the morning hours. By this afternoon, the skies should clear and we'll have mostly sunny skies. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s are expected.
The chance for rain returns tonight with the arrival of another upper level disturbance. There is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms with lows in the upper 50s. The rain should hold off until the overnight hours, but you might want to take the umbrella with you if you are going to be out and about late tonight. You'll want to keep that umbrella close by tomorrow since there is a 40% chance of more showers and thunderstorms. It should be a little cooler tomorrow with highs in the mid 70s and mostly cloudy skies. It could be even cooler depending on how widespread the rain and cloud cover is during the day.
As Craig stated in the previous discussion, there are a few questions with this next upper level system. Some of the models are still indicating that it may linger a little longer than originally expected in the form of a cut-off low. So, for now, I am going to bring in a 20% chance of rain Thursday night and into the day on Friday. We should clear things out by Friday night for football, but that could change so stay tuned. The weekend looks good with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Fog is the main story this morning, especially along and south of I-20 where a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect. Visibilities of less than a quarter of a mile are being reported in some of these locations, so be very careful if you are going to be on the roadways during the morning hours. By this afternoon, the skies should clear and we'll have mostly sunny skies. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s are expected.
The chance for rain returns tonight with the arrival of another upper level disturbance. There is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms with lows in the upper 50s. The rain should hold off until the overnight hours, but you might want to take the umbrella with you if you are going to be out and about late tonight. You'll want to keep that umbrella close by tomorrow since there is a 40% chance of more showers and thunderstorms. It should be a little cooler tomorrow with highs in the mid 70s and mostly cloudy skies. It could be even cooler depending on how widespread the rain and cloud cover is during the day.
As Craig stated in the previous discussion, there are a few questions with this next upper level system. Some of the models are still indicating that it may linger a little longer than originally expected in the form of a cut-off low. So, for now, I am going to bring in a 20% chance of rain Thursday night and into the day on Friday. We should clear things out by Friday night for football, but that could change so stay tuned. The weekend looks good with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 80s.
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Tuesday, October 11, 2005
Don't Put The Umbrella Up Just Yet...
Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...
What a wonderfall Fall afternoon across the Big Country Tuesday. After dealing with a few remaining showers and fog in the morning, Mother Nature gave us a wonderful afternoon. Don't get used to it though.
Another upper level low pressure system is working its way toward us as we speak. There are a few question marks with this system though.
Here is what is certain, this system will send disturbances over us starting Wednesday night. This will give us rain chances starting Wednesday night into Thursday. Expect a batch of showers and thunderstorm to push through the Big Country during the overnight hours.
After that, the big question is will this system continue moving and leave us with dry weather behind it, or will it hang around New Mexico for a couple of days? My current thinking is that the system will keep moving and we will see dry weather starting Thursday afternoon and continuing into the weekend.
If the system gets cut-off from the upper level flow, we would see rain chances extend into Friday. For right now though, we'll have to wait and see.
Wednesday afternoon looks very pleasant with light winds and afternoon highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.
A little tropical trivia for you... This morning, Tropical Storm Vince made landfall in Spain. Vince is the first tropical cyclone to ever make landfall in Spain. Vince formed in the Northern Atlantic in waters usually too cool to support a tropical cyclone. None the less, Vince will has become another page in the historic 2005 Atlantic hurricane season.
What a wonderfall Fall afternoon across the Big Country Tuesday. After dealing with a few remaining showers and fog in the morning, Mother Nature gave us a wonderful afternoon. Don't get used to it though.
Another upper level low pressure system is working its way toward us as we speak. There are a few question marks with this system though.
Here is what is certain, this system will send disturbances over us starting Wednesday night. This will give us rain chances starting Wednesday night into Thursday. Expect a batch of showers and thunderstorm to push through the Big Country during the overnight hours.
After that, the big question is will this system continue moving and leave us with dry weather behind it, or will it hang around New Mexico for a couple of days? My current thinking is that the system will keep moving and we will see dry weather starting Thursday afternoon and continuing into the weekend.
If the system gets cut-off from the upper level flow, we would see rain chances extend into Friday. For right now though, we'll have to wait and see.
Wednesday afternoon looks very pleasant with light winds and afternoon highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.
A little tropical trivia for you... This morning, Tropical Storm Vince made landfall in Spain. Vince is the first tropical cyclone to ever make landfall in Spain. Vince formed in the Northern Atlantic in waters usually too cool to support a tropical cyclone. None the less, Vince will has become another page in the historic 2005 Atlantic hurricane season.
More Rain Possible
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
This morning began with a wide range of temperatures. Snyder was in the mid 40s, while Sweetwater was in the mid 50s. Abilene and Brownwood reached the low to mid 60s. The reason for the difference in temperatures was due to a cold front/wind shift line that was moving through the area. There were also areas of fog which limited visibilities. The eastern half of the Big Country saw a few scattered showers this morning. There is a 20% chance of more scattered showers and maybe a thunderstorm through today. Mostly cloudy skies are expected across most of the area with the exception being the far western communities. It looks like there will be a little more sunshine there, so I'll call it partly cloudy in those locations. Highs should be in the mid to upper 70s and that's if we see sunshine. If the clouds hold strong again today like yesterday, then it will be cooler.
Partly cloudy skies should rule across the entire area tonight with lows in the mid to upper 50s. There is also a slight chance of a few isolated showers or thunderstorms. We could also see areas of fog develop again tonight, so give yourself some extra time to get to your destination if you are going to be out and about. After some possible morning fog tomorrow, it looks like we'll see partly cloudy skies and highs around 80. There is also a slight chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm.
The reason for our continued chance of rain is an upper level trough that will moving toward us over the next couple of days. We will see some disturbances from time to time which will cause the showers and thunderstorms. Our best chance of rain for the next five days looks to be Wednesday night and Thursday, which right now stands at 30%. So, keep the rain gear handy through Thursday. Highs are expected to be in the upper 70s.
We are still looking dry for Friday and Saturday, which should be nice with highs in the low 80s.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
This morning began with a wide range of temperatures. Snyder was in the mid 40s, while Sweetwater was in the mid 50s. Abilene and Brownwood reached the low to mid 60s. The reason for the difference in temperatures was due to a cold front/wind shift line that was moving through the area. There were also areas of fog which limited visibilities. The eastern half of the Big Country saw a few scattered showers this morning. There is a 20% chance of more scattered showers and maybe a thunderstorm through today. Mostly cloudy skies are expected across most of the area with the exception being the far western communities. It looks like there will be a little more sunshine there, so I'll call it partly cloudy in those locations. Highs should be in the mid to upper 70s and that's if we see sunshine. If the clouds hold strong again today like yesterday, then it will be cooler.
Partly cloudy skies should rule across the entire area tonight with lows in the mid to upper 50s. There is also a slight chance of a few isolated showers or thunderstorms. We could also see areas of fog develop again tonight, so give yourself some extra time to get to your destination if you are going to be out and about. After some possible morning fog tomorrow, it looks like we'll see partly cloudy skies and highs around 80. There is also a slight chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm.
The reason for our continued chance of rain is an upper level trough that will moving toward us over the next couple of days. We will see some disturbances from time to time which will cause the showers and thunderstorms. Our best chance of rain for the next five days looks to be Wednesday night and Thursday, which right now stands at 30%. So, keep the rain gear handy through Thursday. Highs are expected to be in the upper 70s.
We are still looking dry for Friday and Saturday, which should be nice with highs in the low 80s.
Have a terrific Tuesday!
Monday, October 10, 2005
Rain Chances Stick Around
Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...
There's not a whole lot for me to add to Brandon's discussion below, so this will be short and sweet.
Rain chances will continue through mid-week as the upper-level trough to our west slowly moves east. This trough with the associated upper-level low will continue to send disturbances through West Texas. Although the threat for severe thunderstorms remains low, we could see a few storms produce strong winds with small hail. Unlike the showers and storms that moved through the area last night, I expect any rain that moves through to be more isolated in nature.
Rainfall totals will all depend on where the disturbances pass and where the stronger showers form. The rain chances will only run from 40% tonight to 20% the next few days.
By Friday a ridge of high pressure looks to take control, bringing us mostly sunny, warm afternoons and clear and cool nights.
So, now that all of the meteorologist speak is done, the simple forecast from this forecaster is to go ahead and keep that umbrella with you through Thursday. After that, enjoy a pleasant weekend before our next chance of rain, next week.
There's not a whole lot for me to add to Brandon's discussion below, so this will be short and sweet.
Rain chances will continue through mid-week as the upper-level trough to our west slowly moves east. This trough with the associated upper-level low will continue to send disturbances through West Texas. Although the threat for severe thunderstorms remains low, we could see a few storms produce strong winds with small hail. Unlike the showers and storms that moved through the area last night, I expect any rain that moves through to be more isolated in nature.
Rainfall totals will all depend on where the disturbances pass and where the stronger showers form. The rain chances will only run from 40% tonight to 20% the next few days.
By Friday a ridge of high pressure looks to take control, bringing us mostly sunny, warm afternoons and clear and cool nights.
So, now that all of the meteorologist speak is done, the simple forecast from this forecaster is to go ahead and keep that umbrella with you through Thursday. After that, enjoy a pleasant weekend before our next chance of rain, next week.
The Chance For Rain Continues
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
The band of showers and thunderstorms that began moving across the Big Country last night exited the viewing area early this morning. Rainfall totals of a little over an inch were recorded towards Sweetwater and Snyder. Abilene Regional Airport had 0.17" of rain.
There is an upper level trough set up just to our west, which will move towards us over the next couple of days. We will see some disturbances from time to time. This means the chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue for the next couple of days. We won't see a total washout, but you should definitely keep the umbrella handy.
For today, Columbus Day, we will see partly cloudy skies overall and a 30% chance of mainly scattered showers. A few thunderstorms can't be ruled out. It will be a little breezy with winds from the southeast at 10 to 15 mph. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 70s, however if the clouds hold strong it will be a little cooler.
Tonight, the chance for rain continues at 20%. We should see partly cloudy skies with lows in the mid to upper 50s. You should still keep the rain gear close by tomorrow. The chance for showers and possibly a few thunderstorms is 30%. Mostly cloudy skies are expected with highs in the mid 70s.
Another disturbance or two may pass by the Big Country Wednesday and Thursday, so I'll keep a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the forecast. Highs should be in the upper 70s to low 80s, which is at or slightly below average for this time of year. Right now, Friday and Friday night football are looking good with dry conditions and highs around 80.
Have a magnificent Columbus Day!
The band of showers and thunderstorms that began moving across the Big Country last night exited the viewing area early this morning. Rainfall totals of a little over an inch were recorded towards Sweetwater and Snyder. Abilene Regional Airport had 0.17" of rain.
There is an upper level trough set up just to our west, which will move towards us over the next couple of days. We will see some disturbances from time to time. This means the chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue for the next couple of days. We won't see a total washout, but you should definitely keep the umbrella handy.
For today, Columbus Day, we will see partly cloudy skies overall and a 30% chance of mainly scattered showers. A few thunderstorms can't be ruled out. It will be a little breezy with winds from the southeast at 10 to 15 mph. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 70s, however if the clouds hold strong it will be a little cooler.
Tonight, the chance for rain continues at 20%. We should see partly cloudy skies with lows in the mid to upper 50s. You should still keep the rain gear close by tomorrow. The chance for showers and possibly a few thunderstorms is 30%. Mostly cloudy skies are expected with highs in the mid 70s.
Another disturbance or two may pass by the Big Country Wednesday and Thursday, so I'll keep a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the forecast. Highs should be in the upper 70s to low 80s, which is at or slightly below average for this time of year. Right now, Friday and Friday night football are looking good with dry conditions and highs around 80.
Have a magnificent Columbus Day!
Sunday, October 09, 2005
Sunday Night Rain
Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi here...
Showers and thunderstorms are working their way through the Big Country tonight thanks to upper level energy.
We talked about this a bit last week. A deep trough in the jet stream has developed in the Southwest and is moving our direction. Fast moving air about 30,000 feet up will round the base of that trough and speed up directly over West Texas. The first of these "disturbances" is what is responsible for our showers and thunderstorms tonight.
This upper-level trough will be around the area for the first half of the week as well. With more disturbances passing though, we will see a few wet days this week. These disturbances are very hard to predict time-wise. So exactly when we will see the rain during the week is uncertain. We will continue to see showers though, with at least a few embedded thunderstorms.
Afternoon highs this week will remain at or just below average. Our average high temperature is 82-81 degrees this week. Overnight lows will run above the 57 degree average for this time of year.
Looking just beyond the extended forecast, next weekend so far looks dry with seasonal temperatures.
Please, go out and make it a GREAT day!
Showers and thunderstorms are working their way through the Big Country tonight thanks to upper level energy.
We talked about this a bit last week. A deep trough in the jet stream has developed in the Southwest and is moving our direction. Fast moving air about 30,000 feet up will round the base of that trough and speed up directly over West Texas. The first of these "disturbances" is what is responsible for our showers and thunderstorms tonight.
This upper-level trough will be around the area for the first half of the week as well. With more disturbances passing though, we will see a few wet days this week. These disturbances are very hard to predict time-wise. So exactly when we will see the rain during the week is uncertain. We will continue to see showers though, with at least a few embedded thunderstorms.
Afternoon highs this week will remain at or just below average. Our average high temperature is 82-81 degrees this week. Overnight lows will run above the 57 degree average for this time of year.
Looking just beyond the extended forecast, next weekend so far looks dry with seasonal temperatures.
Please, go out and make it a GREAT day!
Saturday, October 08, 2005
The Wonderful Weather Rolls On . . . For Now
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
I hope you got outside and enjoyed the super Saturday weather we had. It was pretty much picture perfect. After a chilly start in the mid 40s, we warmed up nicely to the mid 70s with light winds and low humidity. Sunday looks to be pretty nice too. Partly cloudy skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. The wind is expected to be a little stonger tomorrow from the south-southeast at 10 to 20 mph.
An upper level trough continues to dig across the western portions of the U.S. and looks to be affecting us here in the Big Country by tomorrow night. There is a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows should be in the low 60s with winds from the south-southeast at 10 to 15 mph.
If you have any outdoor plans on Columbus Day or Tuesday be sure to have the rain gear handy. Right now, the chance for showers and thunderstorms stands at 40%. Skies should be mostly cloudy with highs in the mid to upper 70s. It could be cooler depending on how much rain we see during the day.
A few showers or thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday, so only a slight chance of rain that day. A little more sunshine is expected so I'll call it partly cloudy with highs in the upper 70s. On Thursday, partly cloudy skies continue with highs in the mid 70s.
We have yet another system in the tropics. It's subtropical depression 22. Subtropical means that a low pressure system is showing characteristics of both a tropical and non-tropical cyclone. Accoring to the National Hurricane Center as of 8 p.m. EDT (7 p.m. CDT), the depression has maximum sustained winds near 35 mph and is moving west at 20 mph. It is 265 miles southeast of Bermuda, which is currently under a Tropical Storm Watch. If this system makes it to tropical or suptropical storm status, it will be named Vince and would be the 20th named storm of the season. The latest models have this system strengthening and continuing to move west-northwest over the next couple of days. We will continue to keep you updated.
Have a spectacular Sunday!
I hope you got outside and enjoyed the super Saturday weather we had. It was pretty much picture perfect. After a chilly start in the mid 40s, we warmed up nicely to the mid 70s with light winds and low humidity. Sunday looks to be pretty nice too. Partly cloudy skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. The wind is expected to be a little stonger tomorrow from the south-southeast at 10 to 20 mph.
An upper level trough continues to dig across the western portions of the U.S. and looks to be affecting us here in the Big Country by tomorrow night. There is a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows should be in the low 60s with winds from the south-southeast at 10 to 15 mph.
If you have any outdoor plans on Columbus Day or Tuesday be sure to have the rain gear handy. Right now, the chance for showers and thunderstorms stands at 40%. Skies should be mostly cloudy with highs in the mid to upper 70s. It could be cooler depending on how much rain we see during the day.
A few showers or thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday, so only a slight chance of rain that day. A little more sunshine is expected so I'll call it partly cloudy with highs in the upper 70s. On Thursday, partly cloudy skies continue with highs in the mid 70s.
We have yet another system in the tropics. It's subtropical depression 22. Subtropical means that a low pressure system is showing characteristics of both a tropical and non-tropical cyclone. Accoring to the National Hurricane Center as of 8 p.m. EDT (7 p.m. CDT), the depression has maximum sustained winds near 35 mph and is moving west at 20 mph. It is 265 miles southeast of Bermuda, which is currently under a Tropical Storm Watch. If this system makes it to tropical or suptropical storm status, it will be named Vince and would be the 20th named storm of the season. The latest models have this system strengthening and continuing to move west-northwest over the next couple of days. We will continue to keep you updated.
Have a spectacular Sunday!
Friday, October 07, 2005
Live From KRBC... It's FRIDAY NIGHT!
Chief Meteorlogist Craig Carnesi here...
What a day across the Big Country! Some folks may complain that it is a little cool, but I'll take it!
Highs today are only in the lower 60s. The sun finally returned leaving us with a fantastic Friday afternoon.
Unfortunately, this beautiful weather won't last too long. But, the weekend does look great.
Expect plenty of sunshine this weekend with highs Saturday in the mid 70s, Sunday, highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. We will begin to see signs of change though by late Sunday, with a few more clouds rolling in and rain chances by Sunday night. An upper level trough will dig into the Southwest this weekend and begin to push our direction by Sunday night.
Columbus day and Tuesday look to bet a little on the wet side. There is the potential for heavy rainfall beginning Monday. It's still a little to soon to predict exactly how much rain, but with a trough set-up like this, we could be looking at another 2 to 3 inches of rain Monday-Tuesday.
By Wednesday the trough will lift out and leave us with drier weather behind it.
For tonight though, get out and enjoy the near-perfect football weather across the Big Country. Don't forget a sweater or jacket though, as game-time temperatures will be in the mid 50s to upper 40s by the end of the games.
Please, go out and make it a GREAT weekend!
What a day across the Big Country! Some folks may complain that it is a little cool, but I'll take it!
Highs today are only in the lower 60s. The sun finally returned leaving us with a fantastic Friday afternoon.
Unfortunately, this beautiful weather won't last too long. But, the weekend does look great.
Expect plenty of sunshine this weekend with highs Saturday in the mid 70s, Sunday, highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. We will begin to see signs of change though by late Sunday, with a few more clouds rolling in and rain chances by Sunday night. An upper level trough will dig into the Southwest this weekend and begin to push our direction by Sunday night.
Columbus day and Tuesday look to bet a little on the wet side. There is the potential for heavy rainfall beginning Monday. It's still a little to soon to predict exactly how much rain, but with a trough set-up like this, we could be looking at another 2 to 3 inches of rain Monday-Tuesday.
By Wednesday the trough will lift out and leave us with drier weather behind it.
For tonight though, get out and enjoy the near-perfect football weather across the Big Country. Don't forget a sweater or jacket though, as game-time temperatures will be in the mid 50s to upper 40s by the end of the games.
Please, go out and make it a GREAT weekend!
Warmer, But Still Cool
From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...
The rain will be coming to an end this morning. By this afternoon, we should see some breaks in the clouds. So with a little sunshine, highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s across the area. Winds will remain from the north at 5 to 15 mph.
With cool temperatures expected this evening, you will definitely want to have the jacket or at least some long sleeves if you are heading out to dinner and a movie or going to a football game. Skies will continue to clear throughout the night. With mostly clear skies and light winds expected overnight, lows should be in the low to mid 40s.
It will be a super Saturday with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid 70s. A great day for some outdoor activties. Winds will be from the east-southeast at 5 to 10 mph. Sunday should be nice as well with highs in the upper 70s.
An few upper level disturbances and another cold front are expected to make their way towards us Sunday night through Tuesday. There is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms during that time period. Right now, it looks like highs will be in the low 80s on Monday and the mid 70s on Tuesday. We'll continue to keep our eyes on this and keep you updated. For now, enjoy the cool and drier weather for the next couple of days.
Have a fantastic Friday!
The rain will be coming to an end this morning. By this afternoon, we should see some breaks in the clouds. So with a little sunshine, highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s across the area. Winds will remain from the north at 5 to 15 mph.
With cool temperatures expected this evening, you will definitely want to have the jacket or at least some long sleeves if you are heading out to dinner and a movie or going to a football game. Skies will continue to clear throughout the night. With mostly clear skies and light winds expected overnight, lows should be in the low to mid 40s.
It will be a super Saturday with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid 70s. A great day for some outdoor activties. Winds will be from the east-southeast at 5 to 10 mph. Sunday should be nice as well with highs in the upper 70s.
An few upper level disturbances and another cold front are expected to make their way towards us Sunday night through Tuesday. There is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms during that time period. Right now, it looks like highs will be in the low 80s on Monday and the mid 70s on Tuesday. We'll continue to keep our eyes on this and keep you updated. For now, enjoy the cool and drier weather for the next couple of days.
Have a fantastic Friday!
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