Needed Rains Arrive:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Areas of rain will move across the Big Country today as well needed rains have returned into the forecast. We are expecting rain chances through Saturday across the area. This is probably the best looking forecast package we've seen for the area in months as the setup is there for much needed rainfall across the area. Forecast models indicate we could see 1-2 inches overall for the next few days. This will really help the relieve the drought some across the area.

* Winter Precipitation: Temperatures tonight and Thursday night will be cold enough that there could be a brief bit of wintry mix across mainly the northern counties but still we don't expect much of a travel issue. I think the majority of us see a cold rain.

* Welcome Back Winter: After being spoiled with highs in the 80s and 90s the last few weeks, much colder air is in place. Highs the next couple of days only in the
30s and lows into near freezing.

* Down the Road: Rains end Saturday and we begin to dry out and warm up as we get into next week. Highs by Monday return to the 70s with lows in the 40s and 50s.

Have a great Wednesday...

MUCH COLDER - MUCH WETTER

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

A one-two punch is on the way - Arctic air and much needed rain.

The Arctic front arrives around midnight tonight in Abilene and passes through the entire KRBC viewing area by sunrise. Temperatures will be hard pressed to get out of the 30's during the day on Wednesday, so be ready for drastically colder weather.

The rain should start by Wednesday morning across the southern Big Country and spread to the north. Here in Abilene, the heaviest rain should fall between 2pm and 9pm Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Thursday's rain will be a bit more spotty and hit and miss, but Thursday night another round of steady rain is expected.

With continued disturbances moving through, more rain is anticipated on Friday and Saturday.

Total rain amounts are projected to be between 1 and 2 inches from Wednesday through Friday, heavier in spots.

Temperatures won't vary much between overnight lows and daytime highs through Friday.

High near 38 Wednesday and near 40 on Thursday and Friday. Lows will be close to freezing.

At this time, it appears the area along and west of a Snyder to Haskell line may see some snow Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

We'll monitor this cold airmass closely as a few degrees drop in temperature could cause problems. Right now, we're going all liquid precipitation here in Abilene.

Last Warm Day, Colder & Wetter Ahead:

* A few showers out there early this morning, mainlya cross the western and northwestern areas of the Big Country. Today will be the last warm day as major changes come later tonight. The dry line will push eastward again today, so there could be isolated storms pop up in the afternoon again. I think Abilene and eastward show the best chance for an isolated storm.

* Rain Chances: This is probably the best looking forecast package we've seen for the area in months as the setup is there for much needed rainfall across the area. The best rain chances will be Wednesday and all the way into early Saturday. Forecast models indicate we could see 1-2 inches before the event winds down by late weekend. It's not a drought breaker, but 2 inches would be a nice thing to make a dent in the drought.

* Turning Colder: Winter will make a return appearance for tonight and the rest of the week. Daytime highs will only be in the 40s (compare that to low 90s the last two weeks) and overnight lows very cold in the 30s.

Have a great Monday...

BIG Mid-Week Changes

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ....

A long awaited rain is just around the corner and chances look very good. Along with the rain comes drastically colder temperatures. Here is the scenario:

Monday Night - Slight chance for thunderstorms, mild, low of 60. Some storms could become severe. South wind 10 to 20.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy and windy, high near 83. Southwest and west wind 15 to 25. The dryline could set off a storm or two late afternoon but chances look slim.

Tuesday Night: A cold front arrives, lows near 42, cloudy skies.

Wednesday: Cloudy and MUCH COLDER. High near 42, about what the low was from the night before. Gusty north wind 15 to 25. The good part is that rain should develop during the course of the day Wednesday and keep on going through Wednesday night.

Wednesday Night: Cloudy with rain and thunderstorms likely, low in the low to mid 30's. Gusty north wind. If temperatures get cold enough upstairs, some winter mix could also fall.

Thursday: Continued rain off and on, high only near 42.

Thursday Night: Another round of rain and isolated storms, low mid 30's.

Friday: Another rainy day, high mid 40's.

Friday Night: A decreasing chance for rain (30%), low near 37.

Saturday: Cloudy, continued cool, low 50's with a slight chance for rain.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, low 60's.

Monday: Partly cloudy, slight chance for rain, mid 60's.

Mixed Bag In The Forecast This Week:

*** There is a slight risk for isolated severe thunderstorms this afternoon across the Central and Eastern Big Country, mainly along and east of U.S. 277. ***

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Clouds continue to stick around the area as they have the last week. Another war, day with highs in the lower 80s after a rather mild morning in the 60s, which is about where we should be tonight with lows around 60. The dry line will move east across the area and we expect thunderstorms will develop. These storms will intensify as they move northeast off the dry line. So having said that, we could see isolated storm to severe storms east of Abilene this afternoon and evening.

* Rain Chances: This is probably the best looking forecast package we've seen for the area in months as the setup is there for much needed rainfall across the area. The best rain chances will be late Tuesday, Wednesday and early Thursday as a front drops south and will be the focal point for rain. Southerly flow should get lifted by the front and develop rain from the south that will push north over the area.

* Turning Colder: Winter will make a return appearance for the area by the middle and end of the week. Daytime highs will only be in the 40s (compare that to low 90s the last two weeks) and overnight lows very cold in the 30s.

Have a great Monday...

Needed Rain in the Forecast Much of the Week

From the KRBC Weather Lab, from Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ....

This is one of the better forecasts I've had the chance to talk about in a long time. Mainly because it has rain in it Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. A lot is going on so let's take it one day at a time.

Monday: Warm, the dryline may fire off some thunderstorms in the late afternoon and evening.
High near 80.

Tuesday: A very slim chance for a shower or storm, least likely day to get rain. High near 80.

Wednesday: Major Changes !! Turning colder with showers and isolated thunderstorms becoming more likely. High near 50!

Thursday: A cloudy, cold and rainy day with appreciable amounts - estimates from a half inch to one inch are being issued by our forecast models. High near 45 !

Friday: Remaining cold with a slowly decreasing chance for rain. High near 45 !

Saturday: Partly cloudy, upper 50's.

Sunday: More clouds, near 65, and another slight chance for rain.

Some Rain On The Horizon:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Unseasonably warm weather continues with highs in the lower to middle 80s today and look for cloudy intervals as upper level moisture continues to feed from the west and develop the clouds. Temperatures drop back down into the upper 70s over the weekend and down the road it looks a big cooler toward the middle of next week.

* Fire Threat: Still elevated, although southerly winds will pump some moisture back into the area and keep relative humidity values up over the weekend. Winds will still be an issue, as well as warm temperatures over the weekend.

* Rain Chances: Model runs still showing a chance for storms late Saturday and into early Sunday, mainly the northeastern areas of the Big Country. It still looks that will transition to a southwesterly flow next week, which should bring some upper level disturbances across and hopefully spark some isolated storm. I'm still keeping a slight chance in my forecast package for Monday and Tuesday. The runs this morning are lookign a little more promising for rain toward the middle of next week.

* Time Change: Don't forget we all have to spring forward one hour early Sunday morning at 2:00 AM. It's time once again for us to go back into Daylight Saving Time. Also don't forget to change out the batteries in the smoke and carbon monoxide detectors.

Have a great Thursday...

Keeping Up Hope for Rain

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

First, I had a good time speaking to the Prime Timers group at Pioneer Drive Baptist Church on Thursday morning. I appreciate the hospitality.

Many in the group requested rain so let me start with my thoughts on that.

Our pattern has shifted which at least allows us to talk rain again and it appears the pattern shift will last through much of next week. I hesitate to go any higher than 20 percent at any point in the forecast. Saturday night is our first chance for thunderstorms. I still think Sunday will be a dry day. Late Monday and Monday night, perhaps into Tuesday morning, we stand another 20 percent chance for thunderstorms.

And new to the forecast today, another slight chance for rain next Thursday - could be a chilly, light rain kind of day, hope so anyway, we'll keep you posted.

Temperatures were warmest Thursday, close to 80, give or take a few degrees, each day through Monday. A cold front next Tuesday will drop highs closer to 70 then only around 60 for the middle of next week, as it looks now.

Very Warm & Windy Today:

*** Red Flag Warning for areas along and north of Interstate 20 today from Noon until 6:00 PM ***

*** Lake Wind Advisory for the Big Country area lakes north of Interstate 20 until 6:00 PM ***

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Unseasonably warm weather is expectd today with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s with mostly sunny day conditions. The record high for Abilene today is 93° and we're going to be pretty close to that high by afternoon. Temperatures drop back down into the middle to upper 70sover the weekend and eventually into the 70s early next week, but we are still well above the average daytime hight which is around 66° for early March.

* Fire Threat: Red Flag Waring & Lake Wind Advisory in effect today. Winds will be up today as the trough continues to still sit off just to our west. This will increase winds out of the south and southwest this week, not to mention bring unseasonably warm weather back to the area. Most areas are between an inch and a half to two inches below normal on rainfall for the year.

* Rain Chances: Model runs still showing a chance for storms late Saturday and into early Sunday, mainly from Abilene and eastward. It still looks that will transition to a southwesterly flow next week, which should bring some upper level disturbances across and hopefully spark some isolated storm. I'm still keeping a slight chance in my forecast package for Monday and Tuesday.

* Time Change: Don't forget we all have to spring forward one hour early Sunday morning at 2:00 AM. It's time once again for us to go back into Daylight Saving Time. Also don't forget to change out the batteries in the smoke and carbon monoxide detectors.

Have a great Thursday...

Slight Chance for Rain

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

Don't get your hopes too high, but at least we have a slight 20 percent chance for storms in our forecast from late Saturday through early Sunday morning. The areas which stand the best chance to see scattered storms are from Abilene eastward. The western Big Country won't likely see any storms.

While our weather pattern is evolving into a more favorable situation for us, I hesitate to increase the chance for rain past 20 percent at this time.

Temperatures remain warm, near 90 Thursday, near 82 Friday, near 75 both Saturday and Sunday, near 80 Monday, upper 60's Tuesday and upper 50's next Wednesday.

We also have a very slight chance for thunderstorms on Monday and Monday night.

A strong cold front next Tuesday will likely take away our moisture and return us to a drier pattern again.

So, keep your fingers crossed for some hit and miss storms this weekend.

Same Weather Story, Different Day...

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Unseasonably warm weather is here to stay for the next seven days it seems based on the new data this morning. Today and tomorrow look to be warmest days with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s with mostly sunny days and mostly clear nights. Temperatures drop back down into the lower 80s over the weekend and eventually into the 70s early next week, but we are still well above the average daytime hight which is around 66° for early March.

* Fire Threat: Winds will be up today as the trough continues to sharpens just to our west. This will increase winds out of the south and southwest this week, not to mention bring unseasonably warm weather back to the area. Most areas are between an inch and a half to two inches below normal on rainfall for the year.

* Rain Chances: The model runs this morning are looking a bit better for rain chances this weekend and into early next week. We could see some isolated storms late Saturday to develop along a dryline and then the upper air flow will bring upper level disturbances across West Texas early next week so I've added a 20% chance for rain from late Saturday into Tuesday in my forecast package for this morning.

* Time Change: Don't forget we all have to spring forward one hour early Sunday morning at 2:00 AM. It's time once again for us to go back into Daylight Saving Time. Also don't forget to change out the batteries in the smoke and carbon monoxide detectors.

Have a great Wednesday...

Thunderstorms? Really?

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

Before I get to weather, it's time for "Shameless Station Promotion". Today, my fellow KRBCers - Downing Bolls, Kyna Grigsby and Michelle Dapper, set out on a mission.

The mission is to eat for five days with only $15 to spend. That's right. You'll be seeing more about our adventure on our newscasts - but we're all committed to 1) surviving and 2) helping one another survive. It should be fun. But I can tell you right now, when five days are over, I'm headed to my favorite steak house, cause steak sure isn't on the menu right now!!

Now to the weather. Warm, windy and dry through Friday. Yuck! Same old stuff.

But, we have changes on the horizon. Gulf moisture makes a return Friday, Friday night and Saturday - some of that warm, humid air that leaves the smell of moisture in the air on Spring mornings! You'll notice and feel the difference.

Moisture is something we've obviously lacked all winter, so now that it's back, what will "ignite" it for some rain. We have a little jetstream energy coming our way late Saturday and Saturday night, and a dryline in the area, so that should help develop at least a few storms.

Then, next Monday night or Tuesday, another system brings a slight chance for storms.

While the long term pattern is drier than normal and warmer than normal, at least we should start seeing occasional chances for storms as we enter the severe weather season.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with gusty south wind, highs in the low to middle 80's.

Thursday: Mostly sunny and windy, highs in the upper 80's to low 90's.

Friday: Partly cloudy, highs around 80, continued windy.

Saturday: Slight chance for late day storms, highs near 80.

Another Warm & Windy Late Winter Day:

** Red Flag Warning in effect for Taylor, Nolan, Callahan, Jones, Fisher, Shackelford, Coke, Runnels, Throckmorton, and Haskell from 11:00 AM - 6:00 PM. ***

*** Red Flag Warning in effect for Stephens, Eastland, and Comanche County from
11:00 AM - 8:00 PM ***

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Unseasonably warm weather is back in the forecast for the next couple of days are were are anticipating upper 80s and low 90s by midweek across the area. In fact, temperatures look to say above normal in the 70s and 80s across the area the next seven days. A few high clouds will work through the area today and tonight. Highs today will approach 80 and tonight we will drop into the low to middle 50s.

* Fire Threat: Red Flag Warnings in effect for later today across the area. Winds will be picking up as a trough develops and sharpens just to our west. This will increase winds out of the south and southwest this week, not to mention bring unseasonably warm weather back to the area. Most areas are now between an inch and a half to two inches below normal on rainfall for the year.

* Rain Chance: Forecast models this morning are still hinting at a small rain chance for Sunday across the Big Country. I think this will be another setup where the eastern counties will have the better chance than the rest of the area. (For now I will say Abilene and eastward) At least someone is hopeful of some rainfall. Other than this, there is no other rain in the forecast.

* 90-Day Outlook: Not so good news from the U.S. Government Forecasters for the spring months. NOAA predicts that the drought will persists into March, April and May and that we stand a good chance of below average rainfall. (Note: these are usually our wetter months)

* Time Change: Don't forget we all have to spring forward one hour early Sunday morning at 2:00 AM. It's time once again for us to go back into Daylight Saving Time. Also don't forget to change out the batteries in the smoke and carbon monoxide detectors.

Enjoy your Tuesday...

Agonizing Drought Continues

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

I went to the tire store this morning for my regular tire rotation (which I can't believe I remembered). Four people ask me the same question. "When is it going to rain?"

I have one very slight chance for rain in my seven day forecast, this coming Sunday. In fact, I hesitated putting it in there but hey, close enough for me, I'll take anything at this point.

The overall pattern is a killer for rain through Thursday, but the pattern changes a little from Friday through the weekend, still not what we need to make it rain around here.

By Friday or so you should notice more moisture in the air but without some type of front, dryline or low to lift the moisture, it does us no good.

I'll keep monitoring and mention anything new I see here on the blog.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, a few high clouds, low near 40. South wind 5 to 15.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny and 77. Southeast wind 15 to 25.

Wednesday: Sun and 85.

Thursday: Sun and 90.

Friday: Partly cloudy and 78.

Saturday and Sunday: Partly cloudy, around 80.

Warming Trend Ahead:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* After a chilly weekend, highs will be warmer today into the lower 70s across the area with a southerly breezy by afternoon and a few high clouds from time to time. It will be a bit warmer tonight as most spots should only dip into the lower to middel 40s, still with just a few clouds.

* Fire Threat: Winds will be picking up as a trough develops and sharpens just to our west. This will increase winds out of the south and southwest this week, not to mention bring unseasonably warm weather back to the area. Most areas are now between an inch and a half to two inches below normal on rainfall for the yea.

* Rain Chance: The long-range forecast models have been hinted on the last couple of runs of a small chance for rain for the later half of the upcoming weekend on Sunday. For now the chance looks small but anything is better than nothing.

Warming Trend Begins Monday

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

After a chilly weekend, temperatures will rebound to around 70 Monday, low 80's by Wednesday, near 90 by Thursday, before dropping back to around 80 going into the weekend.

I don't have any cool temperatures (like we experienced over the weekend) in the forecast for the next seven days.

I also don't have any rain in the forecast through Saturday, but went ahead and slipped in a slight 10% chance next Sunday - but confidence in this scenario playing out is very low at this time.

Wildfire danger will remain high this week as gusty wind returns Monday and will be a daily concern.

Record Warmth & High Wildfire Threat:

*** Red Flag Warning for Taylor, Nolan, Jones, Fisher, Mitchell, Scurry, Throckmorton, Haskell, Stonewall, and Knox County from Noon until 6:00 PM this evening. ***

Good Morning from KRBC Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Record Warmth: Forecast highs will climb today into the lower and middle 90s which is about 20 to 25° above normal for late February. The record high today for Abilene is 89° which was set back in 1917. I do expect we will set a new record today.

* Fire Threat: Gusty southwest winds will blow across the area today bring critial to extreme wildfire danger to the area. As mentioned above a red flag warning is in effect for areas of the Big Country this afternoon and early evening.

* Cooling Trend Ahead: A decent cold front will move through late tonight and bring much cooler weather for Friday and into the weekend. Temperatures will be about 30° cooler on Friday than forecasted today. Also cool over the weekend with upper 50s and lower 60s.


* Next Week: Get ready for another developing warming trend for next week with highs back in the 70s and 80s. No rain is seen in the extended periods.

* Quick Note: San Angelo NWS will conduct a practice tornado warning drill this morning at 9:30 AM as part of Texas Severe Weather Awareness Week.

Have a nice Thursday...

Hot Then Cold Then Warm

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ....

We (the KRBC Weather Team) have been working on a severe weather special called "Weathering the Storm" to be broadcast in March. I'll let you know the date as soon as we know. We worked on a portion of it today in the studio and had some good fun.

After that, it was time to forecast and what I ended up with, I didn't necessarily like. I didn't like it because there was no rain in the forecast, again, for the next seven days. But, what I did find was this:

Thursday will be hot, around 92 for a high with a westerly wind at 15 to 25.

Thursday Night will be cooler, thanks to a cold front, low near 48. North wind 10 to 20.

Friday will be much cooler than Thursday, about 62 for the high.

Saturday and Sunday highs will be around the 60 mark, with some reinforcing cool air dropping in.

Early next week, a warming trend, with highs back in the 70's by Monday and the 80's Tuesday and Wednesday.

I'll keep looking for rain. Thanks for reading my blog.

Randy

Another Tease Of Summer Weather:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* This Is Late Winter? We should normally be sitting in the lower 60s for highs but we sure did get a taste of summer on Tuesday across the area. Abilene officially reached 90° which was close to the record of 91° from 1918. Would you believe Breckenridge was the warmest spot we could find in the Big Country reaching 95°!

* Another Warm Day: Winds will not be so back so temperatures should be a few degrees cooler but still unseasonably warm into the middle and upper 80s. A few high clouds will work in from the west during the day so we should see partly cloudy conditions later in the day. A very mild night tonight with lows into the middle 50s with a few clouds.

* Thursday: Winds will pick back up tomorrow so temperatures will climb back in the lower 90s across the area. We are expecting a cold front overnight Thursday and we normally see a really warm day ahead of a decent front to most spots will be in the lower to middle 90s. I'm forecasting a high tomorrow of 92. (One forecast model (NAM) is going 97!)

* Weekend: Above mentioned cold front will bring cooler air for Friday and the weekend as highs drop back to where they should be in the upper 50s and lower 60s with some chilly nights into the 30s by late weekend.

* Next Week: Get ready for another developing warming trend for next week with highs back in the 70s and 80s. No rain is seen in the extended periods.

* Quick Note: We have a time change coming up on Sunday, March 8th as we go back to Daylight Saving Time. You may recall Congress and the former President Bush extended daylight saving time a few years ago.

Enjoy your Wednesday...

Whew, It's Hot !!!

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

If temperatures today are a sign of things to come, I shiver to think how hot it may be this summer around here. Abilene's temperature at 2pm today was 90 degrees, just one degree away from the record of 91 which dates back to 1918. It's entirely possible that we'll tie or perhaps break the record, we'll know by about 5:30pm today when the official report is issued.

In case you are wondering, the normal high for today's date is 63.

The next two days will be close to this warm, with my forecast highs being 87 on Wednesday and 90 on Thursday.

The next cold front is Thursday night which will drop our afternoon highs close to 65 degrees for Friday, very close to normal for this time of year.

Another cold front is due Saturday night which means Sunday, with a high near 60, may turn out to be the coolest day of the next seven.

Rain isn't in my forecast at this time, although one model hinted at bringing showers up from the south Sunday night, although confidence in that is very low at this time. I'll leave the forecast a dry one.

This Is Late Winter?

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* We should normally be seeing high temperatures into the lower 60s for the end of February but it is going to see like late May or June out there today with highs climbing into the upper 80s and a few spots in the lower 90s today across West Central Texas. High pressure off to our east and a strong low pressure to our west are pulling a strong pressure gradient across the Big Country which simply means windy conditions today. Those south/southwest winds are the reason it's going to be so warm today. A few high clouds are possibly today across the area. Tonight we drop into the lower 50s with a few upper 40s but still breezy.

* Another very warm day tomorrow with middle to upper 80s and still into the lower to middle 80s on Thursday. A cold front will arrive overnight Thursday/early Friday cooling us back into the 60s for highs over the weekend before another slight warming trend early next week.

* Rainfall Outlook: Not Good... We remain about a inch and a half below normal for the year and as you can see above on the graphical rain breakdown over the last several months, not much has happened as far as rain goes since October of last year. All of the area remains under severe stage drought conditons according to the NOAA Climate Data. Extreme drought can be found along the Colorado River in the Heartland.

Have a great day...

Wow, It's Warm !!

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ....

Several weather stories going on now, none helpful in terms of bring us rain.

First, gusty wind persists Tuesday into Wednesday, leading to yet another Fire Weather Watch Tuesday.

Secondly, unusually warm temperatures are forecast Tuesday, into the middle 80's, thanks to a southwest and westerly wind.

Thirdly, the warmth lingers through Friday.

Whether or not a cold front drops our temperatures this weekend is still a question up in the air, in my view. For now, I'm leaving temperatures warm this weekend with no rain in the forecast.

Warm and Windy Weather This Week

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ..

As of early Monday morning, temperatures had only dipped to the upper 40's, thanks to a persistent southerly wind overnight.

The big weather stories this week will continue to be the drought, high wildfire danger, gusty wind and warmer than normal temperatures.

Concerning the dry weather, it doesn't appear any rain relief is on the way anytime soon, no rain in my forecast through the next seven days.

Concerning the high wildfire danger, you know the drill. EVERYDAY is a high wildfire danger day this week.

Concerning the gusty wind, areas of low pressure will keep the wind machine cranked on a daily basis much of this week.

Concerning the temperatures, if you like Spring, you'll love this week's temperatures. In the 70's today (Monday) but in the 80's Tuesday through Thursday.

Sunday night I wrote the next cold front was due Thursday night. But new forecast data Monday morning suggests the front may be delayed, and not as strong, arriving on Friday. Even then, temperatures aren't expected to take much of a plunge, back closer to normal highs and lows for this time of year.

I wished I had better news concerning rain, but the dry pattern continues.

Much Warmer This Week

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ....

Spring Fever is in the air this week in the Big Country and Heartland. Warm air from the southwest overspreads the area starting with the 70's on Monday with 80's on Tuesday through Thursday.

One cold front this week is expected on Thursday night so Friday will be our coolest day of the week with highs around 60. A warming trend will return for the upcoming weekend.

Rain? I wished I had better news, but I don't. No rain is in my seven day forecast.

Wind? Yes, always, plenty of it this week, especially Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

Bottom line - the wildfire danger will persist and temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal most of the week.

High Wildfire Threat Today:

*** Red Flag Warning in effect from 12:00 PM - 6:00 PM for Taylor, Nolan, Mitchell, Scurry, Fisher, Jones, Callahan, Shackelford, Eastland, Haskell, Throckmorton, Stonewall, Knox, Stephens, Coke, Runnels, Coleman, Brown & Comanche County. (All of the KRBC Viewing Area)

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Very high fire threat for the area today as gusty southwest winds will bring one of the ingredients for wildfires across the area. Another factor is it will be a very warm day with highs in the middle 70s, not to mention our dry weather pattern continues.

* A cold front will arrive overnight bringing cooler weather for the weekend with highs in the middle to upper 50s. The winds will still be going but out of the north bringing in the cooler air across our area.

* Next Week: Models the last two days have really been pushing a major warming trend for next week with highs in the upper 70s and some spots touching 80 by mid-week. The pattern remains dry and the fire threat high.

Have a great weekend...

Cooler & Less Winds Today:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Much cooler day for the Big Country thanks to a weak cold front that slipped in from the north last night. As I blog this just after 4:00 this morning, temperatures are in the 30s across many areas. Daytime highs today will only climb to near 60° in many locations. Another cool night in the area with lows in the middle 30s. Ample sunshine today and clear conditions are expected overnight.

* A quick warming trend for your Friday as well as the winds picking back up out of the southwest so the fire threat will have to be monitored across the area. A decent cold front will move in Friday night and cool us back down over the weekend with highs near 60° once again with mostly sunny conditions.

* Rain Chances: Still not looking good over the next seven days for the area. We really need some rain as severe to extreme drought conditions are in effect across West Central Texas.

Have a great Thursday...

Not Much Change In The Forecast:

*** Red Flag Warning in effect for Taylor, Nolan, Mitchell, Callahan, Shackelford, Jones, Fisher, Scurry, Stonewall, Haskell, Throckmorton, Coke, Runnels, Coleman, Brown, Stephens, Eastland & Comanche County for Today ***

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Wildfire threat still a concern today across West Central Texas with the dry conditions and northwesterly winds that will stream across the area today. Fire Weather Watch for most areas with a Red Flag Warning in place for the eastern counties.

* Not much change in the weather. The windy conditions will keep us warm today, but as the winds let up we should see some slightly cooler weather work in there for Thursday before the winds pick back up and warm us up again on Friday. A front Friday night should push some cooler weather back into the area over the weekend.

* Looking Ahead: We begin to warm back up early next week with highs back in the upper 60s and lower 70s. There is no rain chance for the area the next seven days.

Enjoy Your Wednesday...

Extreme Wildfire Threat Today:

*** Red Flag Warning from 11:00 AM - 7:00 PM for Taylor, Jones, Shackelford, Haskell, Throckmorton, Knox, Fisher, Nolan & Coke ***

*** Lake Wind Advisory from 11:00 AM - 7:00 PM for Taylor, Jones, Nolan, Haskell ***

*** Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday Morning - Wednesday Evening for all of the Big Country, Hearland & Northern Concho Valley ***

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Extreme wildfire threat today due to gusty southwest winds and temperatures that will warm quickly into the middle and upper 70s this afternoon. Clouds will begin to decrease as we work into the day and tonight.

* A cold front will arrive this evening and bring slightly cooler air back to the area by Wednesday but the air will modify and warm back up before another cold front on Friday brings another back of cooler air by the weekend. The airmass behind the fronts is not too cold, but it will be cool enough to hold highs in the middle 50s to middle 60s. No rain chances for the next seven days are anticipated.

Enjoy your Tuesday...

Isolated Light Showers Possible

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

The isolated light showers referred to in the title are only around Monday night into Tuesday morning, that's it. I wish I could give you better news, but that's the extent of our rain chances for this week, the way it looks right now.

Looking ahead to Tuesday, it should be considerably warmer, by 25 to 30 degrees, over what we had Monday. Tuesday will also be a very windy day as winds shift into the west during the afternoon and become gusty. This leads to the ever present high wildfire danger.

Windy weather continues into Wednesday as winds shift to the northwest, then to the north behind a front. Wednesday temperatures should be in the 60's but Thursday will be different.

Highs Thursday are forecast only in the 50's. Friday is a brief warming trend back to the 60's but Saturday and Sunday look cooler, similar to last weekend, highs forecast in the 50's.

Freezing temperatures are forecast overnight on Wednesday night and Saturday night so your plants aren't out of danger yet.

I think we still have plenty more shots of cold to go this winter.

Cloudy Start To The Week:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Cloud cover continues to stream along the subtropical jet stream out of the Pacific Ocean, across Northern Mexico and into West Texas and the Big Country this morning. Clouds will stick around all day and into tonight as well. There may be enough moisture to squeeze out an isolated shower in spots but it looks like most of us will be dry today. Temperatures hold in the lower to middle 50s and tonight we only dip into the upper 40s.

* Wildfire Threat: Winds will be on the increase later today and especially tomorrow ahead of a cold front that will move through Texas in the afternoon. We'll have a high wildfire danger thanks to the winds tomorrow. Remember, just about all the counties in our viewing area are under a burn ban.

* Rest of the Week: Windy and Warm Tuesday with 70s before the front sweeps across and the rest of the week going into the weekend looks mostly sunny to partly cloudy with highs in the middle 50s to middle 60s and overnight lows into the 50s. The forecast pattern looks to remain dry.

Have a great Monday...

Isolated Showers Possible Monday

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

Skies will remain cloudy through Monday and much of Tuesday. We have a slight chance for light showers developing Monday and Monday night as a weak energy source traverses our area. Don't expect much. Most will miss out entirely.

Temperatures will be up and down this week. Monday is cool with highs in the 50's. Tuesday is probably the warmest day of the week as we shoot up to the middle 70's. Wednesday is pleasant, in the 60's, but Thursday is cold again, in the 50's. The upcoming weekend shouldn't be too bad, not as cold as the weekend we just finished.

Besides the slight chance for rain Monday, the chance for rain doesn't look good and a dry forecast is anticipated Tuesday through Sunday.

Fire weather will increase Tuesday with gusty wind and warm and dry conditions.

Don't forget Storm Spotter Training, coming up this Saturday, February 21st, at Abilene Christian University, starting at 9:00am. This year, it will be a much shorter day for spotters. We'll try to finish up everything by 1pm and call it a day. Basic and advanced training will be held in the morning and we will have a storm chaser speak to the group. This is all free and open to everyone to attend. Storm spotters who routinely provide safety information are urged to attend and brush up, just in time for the Spring storm season. I'll see you there !

Randy

Front Arrives Today:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* From the NWS/San Angelo:

A relatively quiet weather pattern is indicated for our region during the next 7 days. Considerable high cloudiness associated with southern stream upper jet is overspreading our region. Low-level moisture transport is bringing low clouds into the southern third of our counties. The cloudiness is limiting the radiational cooling and fog development looks unlikely. Thus have removed fog from the forecast this morning.

A weak and dry cold front will drop South across West Central Ttexas later today. A reinforcing cold front will push down across our region on Sunday. This should help to keep highs cooler than what we have seen in recent days. Early next week an upper low and trough off the California coast is progged to open into a wave and eject east across the central rockies and into the Central Plains by Tuesday afternoon.

With this setup the surface low is progged to develop in the lee of the Colorado Rockies by Tuesday morning with a surface trough extending south along the Texas/New Mexico border. Surface trough/dryline progged to advance east across west central texas on tuesday. This would bring elevated fire weather conditions with intrusion of much drier air and gusty southwest to west winds. With such weak surface and upper support indicated for our area Monday/Monday night have removed the pops from our eastern counties. At this point looks like a dry forecast into the middle of next week.

Ho-Hum !!

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

Wind is the story again today into tomorrow, not as high as we saw earlier this week, but breezy nonetheless.

A cold front late in the day Friday will drop our temperatures to around freezing by early Saturday morning. Temperatures this weekend will be cooler than they are now, highs middle 50's on Saturday and near 60 on Sunday.

There is one slim glimmer of hope for rain and that comes with a weak system passing through the area Monday night. Honestly, chances don't look good. I wished I had better news concerning rain, but it just looks dry for the next week.

So, as the title suggests, a rather ho-hum type weather pattern right now. Warm days, then cool days, back to warm to start next week.

Take care !!

Warm and Breezy Thursday

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

Mostly clear skies prevail Wednesday night and Thursday across the KRBC viewing area.

We'll see temperatures climb into the low 70's on Thursday but the wind will also increase during the afternoon, from the south, at speeds between 10 and 20 with a few higher gusts.

For those of you making plans for the weekend, dry weather is in store. Friday's high in the middle 60's will be followed by slightly cooler air this weekend, around 60 Saturday and mid 50's to 60 on Sunday.

I'm still including a 20 percent chance for rain and temperatures in the 50's for Monday.

Fire danger remains a concern.

A Quiet Weather Day...

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Winds are starting to let up this morning after a crazy evening yesterday with severe weather in the eastern areas and blowing dust across the rest of the Big Country. This morning it's still a bit breezy but the winds will subside later this morning, generally back down in the 5-10 mile per hour range. According to the NWS data, Abilene had a peak wind gust yesterday of 52 mph and so far since midnight we say a wind gust to 38 miles per hour.

* Sunny and a bit cooler today with highs back in the middle to upper 60s and quiet tonight with lows down in the lower 40s. Tomorrow looks nice but warming back up into the middel 70s as the wind picks back up from the south.

* A cold front will move into the Big Country Friday evening and bring much cooler weather for the Valentines Day weekend with highs on Saturday only into the 50s and lows at night around freezing. Looks like our next small rain chance will be overnight Monday/early Tuesday.

Enjoy your Wednesday...

Extreme Fire Threat & Severe Storms Possible Today:

*** Red Flag Warning for Taylor, Nolan, Jones, Fisher, Coke & Runnels County from 1:00 PM - 9:00 PM ***

*** Wind Advisory for Taylor, Nolan, Jones, Fisher, Coke, Runnels, Haskell & Throckmorton County from 11:00 AM - 9:00 PM ***

*** High Wind Warning for Mitchell & Scurry County until 9:00 PM ***

*** Blowing Dust Advisory for Mitchell & Scurry County until 9:00 PM ***

*** High Wind Watch for Stonewall County until 9:00 PM ***

*** Severe Weather: Slight Risk Issued by SPC For the Eastern Big Country and Eastern Heartland. Strong to Severe Storms Possible along the dryline this afternoon and evening. Area roughly along and east of U.S. Highway 277, including the U.S. 183 & 283 Corridor and the I-20 Corridor east of Abilene. ***

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited....

* I think the advisories above just about cover it for today. Extremely high fire danger across the area this afternoon behind a dryline that will advance eastward today. Along and ahead of the dryline, isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop. Also we will be dealing with blowing dust at times today to make matters worse.

* Please see the KRBC Forecast: Tuesday AM video forecast for more detail on the events today and of course stay with KRBC News and BigCountryHomepage.Com during the day for breaking weather news.

Here Comes More Wind !!

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

After mostly light rainfall through the area early this morning, we return to our dry and windy ways. Another fast moving upper level low will swing across the area Tuesday. It might possibly create a storm or two across our eastern viewing area but doubtful. It will, however, produce much wind, especially during the afternoon hours. Expect wind gusts between 30 and 40 to be common which increases the threat for wildfires once again. The wind should die down Tuesday night, remain fairly tranquil Wednesday, but increase once again Thursday and remain gusty through the upcoming weekend.

Chances for more rain over the next seven days are slim to none. Temperatures will be a little above normal for this time of year.

Wet Morning, Dry Afternoon

Good Moring from the KRBC Triple Doppler Weatherlab...

* The front has pushed through the forecast area this morning with a sunny day is on tap for this afternoon with afternoon temperatures around 70 degrees and breezy conditions over the area. Next upper level system is digging down the west coast this morning and will be over New Mexico by early tomorrow. Tuesday will be warm and windy ahead of the next system with temperatures in the upper 7os. The windy conditions combined with very dry air over the western half of the cwa will create a fire danger tuesday afternoon. As the second upper level system moves over the panhandle area late Tuesday with another cold front will push through the area during the day. Moisture return back into the forecast area will be limited. The best chance of shower activity on Tuesday will be over our extreme eastern counties tuesday evening where the best moisture will be located.

* An approaching strong upper level disturbance moving into new mexico will push a dryline into western portions of the forecast area on tuesday. A combination of warm temperatures, dry air and gusty winds behind the dryline may bring critical fire weather conditions to roughly the western half of west central Texas Tuesday afternoon.

Storms Sunday Night / Fire Watch Tuesday

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

Hope for rain Sunday night and Monday morning will be replaced by the same scenario we've grown accustomed to, wildfire danger by Tuesday.

Thunderstorms look likely from late Sunday night through the overnight and early morning hours of Monday, followed by clearing skies.

Another fast moving upper level disturbance will crank the wind from the west Tuesday, drying out the area causing a rise in the fire danger. Don't be surprised to see dust blow into the area Tuesday. The following statement was released by the National Weather Service Sunday afternoon, regarding the Tuesday wildfire potential.


...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.WITH THE APPROACH OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE FROM NEW
MEXICO...A DRYLINE WILL ADVANCE EAST ACROSS PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS ON TUESDAY.

A COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES...DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS BEHIND THE DRYLINE MAY BRING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO ROUGHLY THE WESTERN HALF OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH AT THE 20 FT LEVEL
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR TUESDAY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 20 PERCENT.

THE COMBINATION OF THESE FACTORS WILL ELEVATE THE FIRE WEATHER DANGER TO CRITICAL LEVELS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

Strong to Severe Storms Tonight:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
724 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS WEST TEXAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND PUSH INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS DURING THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING TIME PERIOD. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BRIEFLY REACH SEVERE LEVELS...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF A HASKELL TO SWEETWATER TO SAN ANGELO LINE. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE LINE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE EXITING WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING. A SECOND STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND DRYLINE WILL ENTER THE REGION FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO EASTERN SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...STRONG WEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM BEHIND THE DRYLINE. AREAS THAT DO NOT SEE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TONIGHT MAY SEE HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED ACROSS THE WESTERN BIG COUNTRY
AND THE WESTERN CONCHO VALLEY SUNDAY EVENING.

Strong Storms Possible Sunday Night:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
711 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR TODAY DUE TO
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND THE RECENT DRY SPELL. OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THAT COULD RESULT IN THE GENERATION OF A FIRE SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TX MAINLY WEST OF AN ABILENE TO SAN ANGELO LINE SUNDAY EVENING. THE MAIN POTENTIAL HAZARD WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL BEING SECONDARY. A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO EJECT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND WILL INTERACT WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TO PRODUCE A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BECOME SEVERE...THAT WILL SWEEP ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TX. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO A LACK OF INSTABILITY.

THERE IS ANOTHER RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TX. THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AS YET ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THERE WILL BE MORE INSTABILITY FOR THIS SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO THIS SITUATION BEARS WATCHING AS THIS TIME NEARS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

Rain Chances On The Horizon:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Warming up and very windy during the day today with south winds ranging anywhere between 20-35 miles per hour. Highs will climb into the middle and upper 70s today. Sky conditions will be mostly sunny but clouds will begin to increase tonight as we drop into the middle 50s.

* Rain Chances: Still looks like a line of thunderstorms will sweep through the Big Country late Sunday night and early Monday morning, which will probably bring us the best rain chances we've had since all the way back in October. The SPC has a slight risk for severe weather outlined for Sunday for an area just to our west from Midland-Odessa to about Dalhart. The line of storms could be strong to severe as it moves through our area...the primary threat being winds and hail. Stay with us over the weekend as we monitor the event. There is also another chance for rain, although slight, for late Tuesdy and into the day on Wednesday.

Have a great weekend...

Wind Woes / Rain Hopes

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

The gusty wind isn't going anywhere, anytime soon. We'll experience gusty wind for the next week or so as systems approach and pass through our area.

We are entering a more progressive weather pattern allow rain to enter the forecast. On Friday and Saturday, gusty south wind helps return Gulf moisture to the area. By late Sunday, as a vigorous upper level storm moves our way, a squall line of thunderstorms is expected to develop and move through our area. This will most likely occur Sunday night into early Monday morning. A few of the storms could become severe.

Another upper level storm may provide a chance for thunderstorms Tuesday night or Wednesday, as it follows the first storm.

Friday and Saturday: Very windy. Morning low clouds, then mostly sunny skies. Highs 71-75 both days. South wind 20 to 30 with higher gusts. Overnight lows in the low 50's.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, continued windy, high 68 with a 20% chance for late day storms.

Sunday Night: Thunderstorms likely, some severe. Low near 52.

Monday: Morning thunderstorms, then partly cloudy and windy. High 68.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy and windy, high 70 with a cold front approaching late.

Warm & Windy Today:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* Warming up and very windy during the day today with south winds ranging anywhere between 20-30 miles per hour. Highs will climb into the lower 70s today and we should see a few high clouds working in the area later today.

* Fire Danger: The fire threat remains elevated thanks to the severe drought and the very windy conditions the next few days. Moisture will return from the southeast raising the relative humidity values before our next rain event. As of today, the NWS says they will not issue any advisories due to relative humidity values above
20% today, but having said that the threat is still high. All counties in the KRBC viewing area are under a burn ban.

* Warming Trend: Daytime highs in the 70s will be paramount as we head into Friday and the weekend with partly cloudy conditions. Nice weekend for outdoor activities.

* Rain Chances: Still looks like a line of thunderstorms will sweep through the Big Country late Sunday night and early Monday morning, which will probably bring us the best rain chances we've had since all the way back in October. There is also another chance for rain, although slight, for late Tuesday and into the day on Wednesday.

Have a great Thursday...

Window of Opportunity for Rain

From KRBC Chief Meteorologist Randy Turner ...

Welcome to the blog, dry most of the time, wet every once in a while.

What we have coming up is a three day stretch of dry and warm weather - Thursday through Saturday, the gusty south wind will dominate keeping temperatures higher than normal but also increasing the wildfire danger.

We're watching a large upper level low pressure center, located off the west coast of California Wednesday evening. It will move east and bring us a chance for rain by Sunday.

It appears our "window of opportunity" for rain will be between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning, most likely overnight Sunday night. Some showers are possible along with a line of thunderstorms. It will be a brief opportunity, but hopefully some, if not all, of us will benefit from some rain. Amounts won't likely be impressive.

Temperatures trend above normal in the 70's Thursday, Friday and Saturday.
Overnight lows above normal around 50.

A Bit Cooler Today, Warmer & Windy Tomorrow:

* Another nice day across the area today, although it will be a few degrees cooler thanks to the front that moved through late yesterday afternoon across the Big Country. Highs today will reach the lower 60s and we'll cool down to only the lower 40s tonight. Winds will begin to pick up tonight as well.

* Fire Danger: Winds will really begin to pick up the next few days as we also start a warming trend. The fire threat remains elevated thanks to the severe drought and also looks to increase. By late weekend moisture will return raising the relative humidity values before our next rain event.

* Warming Trend: Daytime highs in the 70s will be paramount as we head into Friday and the weekend with partly cloudy conditions. Nice weekend for outdoor activities.

* Rain Chances: Still looks like a line of thunderstorms will sweep through the Big Country late Sunday night and early Monday morning, which will probably bring us the best rain chances we've had since all the way back in October. Instability and dynamics are not looking so impressive this morning on the threat of severe weather, but having said that we could see a strong storm or two. Stay tuned as we get closer to the event and get a better feel for the threat.

Have a great Wednesday...

A Nice Day Ahead:

Good Morning from Meteorologist Chris Whited...

* A very nice day ahead with plenty of sunshine and highs in the upper 60s across the Big Country. A cold front moved through late this evening and overnight work a slightly cooler air mass works into Texas.Highs tomorrow will be about 10 degrees cooler around 60 in most spots.

* Warming Trend: Daytime highs in the 70s will be paramount as we head into Friday and the weekend with partly cloudy conditions. Nice weekend for outdoor activities.

* Fire Danger: The fire threat remains elevated thanks to the severe drought and also looks to increase as we get toward the weekend with gusty winds from the southwest that warm the daytime highs into the 70s. Late weekend returns raising the relative humidity values.

* Rain Chances: Model runs this morning are looking better for a chance of rain late Sunday and into Monday morning. Last night and this mornings models are hinting at a possible squall line moving through the area which would bring us a little better rain chance but then again looking at the parameters right now for right now, we have some dynamics in place for possible strong storms. Something to keep an eye on, otherwise the big story here is some rain!

Enjoy your Tuesday...