Saturday, December 31, 2005

Happy New Year's Eve

From meteorologist Jason Myers......


Happy New Year!
What a warm way to end up 2005. Today's high temperature reached 79 degrees after a low of 40 degrees. Warm and windy conditions are forecasted for tomorrow with southwesterly flow. A low pressure system will move across the Great Plains bringing wind gusts up to 40 mph. A Red Flag Warning and Wind Advisory is in effect for tomorrow. The Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are expected Sunday due to low relative humidity values, dry vegatation, and winds sustained around 20 to 30 mph. The Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph or higher are expected. Please use caution tomorrow because of the dry condions and high winds. Sunday's high will be 80 degrees getting close to tieing or beating the record of 82 degrees. High pressure will be in control this week keeping temperatures mild due to mostly sunny skies. Monday and Tuesday's high temperature will be in the low to mid 70s. A cold front will move through late Tuesday bringing down Wednesday and Thursday's high temperatures in the lower to mid 60s.


For 2005 in Abilene(courtesy the NWS):

Finishing the year- precipitation is 4.12" below normal.
Hottest Temperature: 105 degrees on July 3rd
Lowest Temperature: 10 degrees on December 8th
January-March 2006 Outlook:
Above normal temperatures, and below normal precipitation.

It's been a wild 2005 with weather. Happy New Year!

Friday, December 30, 2005

9:00 p.m. Friday Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

As with previous days, there really isn't much to add to our previous discussions here.

A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for the entire Big Country and KRBC viewing area for Sunday. The National Weather Service will upgrade the watch to a Red Flag Warning Saturday for Sunday. The National Weather Service may also issue a Red Flag Warning for Saturday afternoon as well. Winds will be at or near required criteria necessary for a Red Flag Warning Saturday. Sunday there is no question that we will meet the criteria and exceed it.

By next week the warm and dry conditions will continue with weak cold fronts passing Sunday night and Tuesday night.

Just a reminder, ALL fireworks have been banned across the KRBC viewing area because of the dry conditions. Regardless of the ban, please do not use any fireworks this holiday weekend. Also, remember to not burn anything outdoors at all. Plus, something some folks do not realize, but if you live on a farm or ranch, or anywhere with an open field, do not drive or park your vehicle on that dry ground, keep you vehicle on paved or gravel roadways. The heat from your engine block could very easily start a grass/brush fire as well.

Finally, no one should ever throw a cigarette butt out of a window anyhow, but, please do not do so now. It will only take one ember to start a fire that would get out of control quickly and could endanger property and life.

PLEASE, go out and make it a SAFE & GREAT New Year's Weekend!

Friday Morning Update

From meteorologist Jason Myers....

Today will be 8-10 degrees cooler than yesterday as a cold front is currently moving across the Big Country and Texas. After a few clouds this morning brought in by the cold front, skies should turn mostly sunny today. The high will be in the low to mid 60s across the community with a high of 64 degrees in Abilene. Breezy conditions will continue from the north-northwest around 10 to 15 mph. For the weekend, warm temperatures will return with highs in the lower to upper 70s for Saturday and Sunday. Saturday's high will be 74 degrees with mostly sunny skies and Sunday's high will be 77 degrees with partly cloudy skies. The record high for New Year's Day (Sunday) is 82 degrees set back in 1910, so we'll close to tieing or beating the record. New Year's Day will be very windy as an upper level disturbance moves to our north giving the Big Country a tight pressure gradient and wind gusts up to 40 mph. A Fire Watch has been issued by the NWS for Sunday. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?

Again, please use extreme caution with the dry vegetation. Sunday looks to be the worst with windy conditions yet there will be a steady breeze over the next few days.
Warm temperatures will start off next week before another cold front moves through Tuesday into Wednesday bringing the high temperatures down into the 60s.

Have a happy and safe New Year's Day!

Thursday, December 29, 2005

9:45 p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

The National Weather Service in Norman, OK has now issued a Fire Weather Watch for Knox County for Sunday, New Year's Day.

We now have four counties under a Fire Weather Watch for New Year's Day; Knox, Stephens, Eastland and Comanche.

A fire weather watch, as defined by the National Weather Service, means that critical fire weather conditions are forecasted to occur.

As mentioned in previous posts, Sunday looks to be a potentially very dangerous day with strong, gusty winds, similar to this past Tuesday afternoon.

Here's a map we use in the KRBC weather center provided by the Texas Forest Service. This is their 5-day forecast for fire danger across the Lonestar State:

http://webgis.tamu.edu/tfs/rawsd/raws5d.png

6:00 p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Unfortunately, there really isn't much to add to previous forecast discussions I've given over the past few days. The dry weather will continue through the foreseeable future.

Fire weather watches have already been issued for New Year's Day for Stephens, Eastland and Comanche counties.

A fire weather watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. A fire weather watch is also issued in advance, and with the conditions as dry as they are, the watch will more than likely be upgraded to a Red Flag Warning.

Fireworks have now been banned across the Big Country and the majority of the Lone Star State. Please, if you already have purchased fireworks, save them for another holiday. They are officially banned anyhow, but please do not risk your safety, and the safety of others.

Thursday Morning Update

From meteorologist Jason Myers.....

Today will be warm with temperatures 20 degrees warmer than what's expected for a high temperature this time of the year. The afternoon high will top out in the low to mid 70s for much of the Big Country, with a high of 75 degrees in Abilene. A pacific cold front will move through tomorrow morning bringing clouds and cooler temperatures. Tomorrow will be about 10 degrees cooler with a high of 64 degrees in Abilene. Sunny skies will return for Saturday bringing the temperatures back into the lower 70s, with warm temperatures lasting into 2006.
2006 looks to start off warm and dry. With the dry conditions and burn bans in effect be extra cautious outdoors.
For more on the Fire Danger here's a link to a NWS "Special Weather Statement":

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ127&warncounty=TXC441&local_place1=Abilene&product1=Special+Weather+Statement

Wednesday, December 28, 2005

5:45 p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Fire conditions improved today across the Big Country today as winds finally remained calm. The system responsible for those winds has moved into the Northeast this evening.

Our main problem over the next week or so will be the persistent dry weather and the passing of systems to our North. These systems will continue to filter in dry air and create strong, gusty winds across the Big Country.

The next system looks to form Thursday afternoon and winds will kick back up to 10 to 20 miles per hour. I don't expect the winds to be as strong as Tuesday, but any increase in winds will increase the fire danger tremendously. By Friday the system will push a cold front through and bring gusty winds out of the North and Northwest. So both Thursday and Friday could be potentially dangerous for fire weather.

Saturday looks better, but Sunday could be a repeat of Tuesday across the Big Country. We will watch yet another system pass to our North and create a tight pressure gradient at the surface here. That tighter pressure gradient will kick winds up to 20 to 30 miles per hour New Year's Day.

Needless to say, fireworks are a bad idea for this New Year's Holiday. They are banned in most counties anyhow, but if you have any, please, save them for another year.

Wednesday Morning Update

From meteorologist Jason Myers....

Cooler temperatures will occur today across the Big Country due to a cold front that passed through yesterday. Currently, clouds are moving in keeping temperatures from warming up very fast. The cloud cover will really dictate how high the temperature rises today, yet today's highs should only reach the upper 60s. There will be lighter winds today from the west at 5-10 mph.

The gusty winds from yesterday were due to a low pressure system that was to our north, which is currently in the Mississippi Valley, allowing for the lighter winds today. With the dry conditions, please continue to use extreme caution with fire. Many fires broke out yesterday, while much of the Big Country was under a Red Flag Warning. Windy conditions look to occur again on Thursday meaning that Red Flag Warnings may be issued once again, however at this time there is no Red Flag Watch.

Mild and dry conditions will continue through the holiday weekend.

Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Fire Danger Continues

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

The grass fire danger will continue through the early evening hours tonight. The low pressure system we talked about yesterday is currently moving through the Eastern half of Oklahoma. This system is responsible for the tighter pressure gradient which caused the strong winds today.

The worst fire we have heard reported today has been in the Cross Plains community. This fire has damaged or completely burned down too many structures to count at this time. There have been reports of numerous other grass fires across the KRBC viewing area as well.

The fire danger is going to continue over the next 5 to 10 days as well. There is still no rain in the extended forecast, and it appears that we will see more cold fronts and low pressure systems that will produce strong, gusty winds as well. The next system is not expected to pass until Friday. Before that, we can expect wind speeds anywhere from 10 to 30 miles per hour each afternoon. The strongest winds should be Friday and Sunday afternoons.

Tuesday Morning Update

From meteorologist Jason Myers.....

Another warm day with a high temperature of 75 degrees and a few clouds. A Red Flag Warning is in effect today due to dry and windy conditions. It only takes a spark for brush fires to easily get out of hand, so please use caution outside. There is also a Windy Advisory in effect for much of the Big Country due to west winds 20-30 mph with wind gusts up to 45 mph. The windy conditions are all due to a low pressure system to our north giving the Big Country a tight pressure gradient. This low pressure system has a trailing pacific cold front that will move through this afternoon. The cold front will help keep temperatures cooler for Tuesday with highs in the upper 60s. Thursday, with mostly sunny skies tempearatures will warm into the lower 70s, with another pacific cold front moving through in the afternoon/evening. Friday will be cooler because of this pacific cold front with temperatures in the lower 60s. New Year's Eve Weekend looks to be mild and dry.

Have A Great Week!

Monday, December 26, 2005

5:00 p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

We set a new record high today at Abilene Regional Airport. The old record was 74 set in 1988 and tied in 2003. Our high today topped out at 80.

The reason for all of this warmth is the very dry air in place and the abundant sunshine. One other factor is the Southwest wind. Winds will come around to the West Tuesday, and really pick up in strength.

Winds Tuesday will run anywhere from 20 to 35 miles per hour sustained. Wind gusts will possibly be as strong as 50 miles per hour.

The winds will pick up because of a tightening pressure gradient across the area as a surface low pressure system forms to our North. With high pressure to our South and East, we will be smack in the middle of both of these systems.

As the system to our North passes by, a cold front will swing through Tuesday night, bringing afternoon high temperatures back down into the middle 60s for a day. By Thursday afternoon hgihs will be back into the lower 70s.

Another cold front, this one a little stronger will pass Thursday night.

It looks like we will finish 2005 on a dry note. That means we will wrap up the year just about 4 inches below our average annual rainfall.

Monday Morning, December 26th, 2005

From meteorologist Jason Myers....

Another warm day with a record breaking high temperature of 79 degrees in Abilene and a few locations reaching the 80 degree mark. The record high for today is 74 degrees set back in 2003.
High pressure to the Big Country's southeast and low pressure in the panhandle will create a tight pressure gradient over the Big Country, giving us windy conditions from the south-southwest at 10-20 mph. Combining these high winds with low relative humidities and warm temperatures will cause a Red Flag Warning to be in effect today from 10 a.m. to 6 p.m. A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather is occuring or will occur shortly. There is also a Fire Weather Watch in effect for Tuesday, meaning that critical fire weather is forecasted to occur.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ127&warncounty=TXC441&local_place1=Abilene&product1=Red+Flag+Warning

A pacific cold front will move through the Big Country Tuesday afternoon/evening allowing a few more clouds on Tuesday keeping temperatures a few degrees cooler than today. Mild temperatures will stay around this week. Temperatures on Wednesday will be 66 degrees due to the cold front. Another pacific cold front will move through on Friday. However, with these cold fronts, precipitation does not look likely because of the dry air in place over the Big Country.


Enjoy the mild weather!

Sunday, December 25, 2005

Sunday, December 25th, 2005

From meteorologist Jason Myers....

A beautiful day across the Big Country with highs in the low to mid 70s. Abilene's high temperature for today reached 73 degrees, and tomorrow we will probably see record breaking high temperatures with highs in the upper 70s. The record for Abilene on December 26th is 74 degrees set back in 2003. Lee surface troughing will continue to bring southerly flow and limited moisture, creating this unseasonably warm temperatures with dry conditions. A Fire Watch in in effect for Monday, meaning that critical fire weather conditions are forecasted to occur. Tuesday will continue the warm trend with highs in the mid to upper 70s. A pacific cold front will move through on Tuesday bringing the temperatures down into the mid-60s for Wednesday. No rain is expect with this cold front due to the lack of moisture present. Thursday and Friday high tempeatures will stay mild with lower 70s on Thursday and lower 60s on Friday as another pacific cold front moves through the Big Country. Expect to see dry conditions, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies to persist for at least the next 7 days; ending 2005 on a dry note. New Year's weekend looks to be mild and dry.

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!

Friday, December 23, 2005

11:30p.m. Late Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Just a quick holiday weekend update for you.

The weather looks fantastic this weekend. Aside from windy conditions Saturday, sunny skies and afternoon high temperatures in the 60's will rule the Big Country.

The majority of the viewing area is under a Fire Weather Watch for Saturday, with the exception of our Eastern Counties which are under a Red Flag Warning. For the latest advisories, please visit the National Weather Service in San Angelo's website below.

Please, go out and make it a SAFE and GREAT holiday weekend!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sjt/

Nice Weather This Holiday Weekend

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off this morning with a little chill in the air as temperatures were in the upper 30s to upper 40s. It will be a warm afternoon with highs reaching the mid to upper 70s. This is about 20 degrees above average for this time of year. Breezy conditions are also expected with winds from the southwest at 10 to 20 mph. If you are traveling on the highways in a high-profile vehicle you will want to be careful due to the high winds.

A cold front should move through the area tonight, but it won't cool us down that much. Lows will likely be in the low 40s. Highs for Christmas Eve will be in the mid 60s. Breezy conditions are expected to continue.

Christmas Day will start off a little cold with lows at or slightly below freezing. By the afternoon, it will be nice for those of you wanting to ride your new bikes or test out your new golf clubs. Highs should reach the mid to upper 60s.

The warm temperatures continue Monday and Tuesday with highs in the low 70s. Another cold front arrives on Tuesday night, which will cool us down a little bit again. Unfortunately, no rain is expected with this front either. If we end up not seeing another drop of rain this year, we will end 2005 a little over 4 inches below average. Hopefully we will see some rain soon because we really need it.

Have a fantastic Friday and a happy holiday weekend!

Thursday, December 22, 2005

4:45p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Not a whole lot to talk about today. More of the same sunny and warm weather is on tap for the next several days.

We will see a cold front pass through the area Friday night into Saturday. This front will only knock temperatures out of the 70s and down into the 60s for Saturday and Sunday. By Monday, we will be right back into the low 70s.

We've gone from a very active pattern of weather across the United States to a very, quite frankly, boring pattern. The polar jet stream has retreated to the North, and with that, all of the low pressure systems are staying in the Northern Plains and moving into New England from there. At this point in time, I don't see much change to this pattern for the next 5 to 7 days or so.

Another cold front will pass through the Big Country by Wednesday, but for now, it doesn't look like it will do much for us except to get temperatures closer to normal. The dry pattern doesn't look to be broken anytime soon.

Above Average Temperatures Continue

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had a cold start to the day this morning with temperatures at or below freezing in Snyder and Brownwood. The temperature at Abilene Regional Airport bottomed out in the upper 30s. So while you probably need the jackets and coats this morning, you won't by this afternoon. Mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s to low 70s are expected. Tomorrow will be even warmer with highs in the mid to upper 70 and breezy conditions.

A cold front should move through the area early Saturday morning, which will cool us down a little bit. Highs on Christmas Eve will likely be in the low to mid 60s. Christmas Day should start off on the cold side with morning lows in the low 30s. Highs that afternoon should be in the low 60s.

It looks like a nice day to be out and about doing some after Christmas shopping on Monday. Mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s are expected. It still looks like we won't see any rain for the next five to seven days.

Have a terrific Thursday!

Wednesday, December 21, 2005

4:30 p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Winter officially arrived today with the Winter Solstice occuring at 12:30 p.m. Now, you'd think with winter arriving, colder weather would arrive as well. Being we are in Texas, we just have to do things different. Temperatures will climb all the way back into the middle 70s Friday afternoon.

A cold front will arrive Friday night knocking afternoon highs on Saturday and Sunday (Christmas day) back down to near 60.

This pattern of above average temperatures and dry weather looks to hold strong through the next 7 days at least.

For those of you interested in the timing of Santa's arrival into the Big Country this weekend, don't forget to watch the KRBC News Saturday night at 6 and 10 p.m. as I break out the Triple Doppler SANTA TRACKER!!!

Let The Warm Up Begin

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off cold across most of the viewing area this morning with temperatures in the low to mid 20s. It was a little warmer in Brownwood, which bottomed out in the mid 30s. On top of the cold conditions this morning, we also saw some fog. It was dense in some commmunities with visibilities as low as a quarter of a mile during the early morning hours. All of the fog should burn off by late this morning and we should end up having a nice afternoon. Mostly sunny skies are expected with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s.

The jetstream pattern over the next week looks to be a ridge in the west and a trough in the east. What this usually means for us is warm temperatures and manily dry conditions. Highs on Thursday and Friday should range from the upper 60s to low 70s. A cold front, really more of a cool front, is expected to arrive early on Saturday. This will cool temperatures down a little bit for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Highs will likely be in the low 60s. These temperatures will be well above average for this time of year. If you were wishing for a mild Christmas, it looks like you will get your wish. If you wanted a white Christmas, we'll have to try again next year. No precipitation is expected for at least the next five to seven days.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, December 20, 2005

4:55 p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

After a gloomy, dreary Tuesday across the Big Country, big chances are coming in the form of a major warm up.

High pressure will dominate our weather pattern over the next several days, which will bring us sunny skies and afternoon highs approaching the 70 degree mark by Friday.

A weak cold front will push through the Big Country Saturday, bringing temperatures back down into the lower 60s for afternoon highs. One computer model this afternoon is showing a little cooler air arrive Saturday night than the others, but the difference isn't too much. We could see highs on Christmas day running anywhere from the low 50s to the mid 60s depending upon high much cool air filters in.

Otherwise, the dry conditions look to last through the next 7 to 10 days.

Wintry Precipitation Across Portions Of The Area This Morning

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off this morning with a wide range of temperatures across the viewing area. It was at or below freezing north of a line from about Snyder to Roby to Anson to Throckmorton. In Abilene, temperatures bottomed out in the mid 30s. Brownwood only made it down to the mid 40s. It was in the northern communities that we saw (and continue to see as I write this) some wintry precipitation due to an upper level disturbance this morning. Looking at the radar over the past couple of hours, it looks like there was some snow in Knox county. Stonewall, Haskell and Throckmorton counties saw mixed precipitation. Everyone else saw just rain and drizzle since it is above freezing in the rest of the Big Country. A few snowflakes or sleet pellets may be mixed in where you see the rain, but nothing to get too excited about. Something else you need to watch out for this morning is fog. Reduced visibilities are possible across the area. If you were planning on traveling to the northern Big Country, Oklahoma, or the Texas panhandle, you will want to wait until tomorrow. All of these areas were under a Winter Weather Advisory this morning. A Winter Weather Advisory means that snow, sleet, or freezing rain is expected and will cause travel difficulities. There could be some slippery roads, bridges, and overpasses. The good news is that by this afternoon, everyone should be above freezing so any precipitation will likely be all liquid. The disturbance causing the precipitation should be pulling out of our area by early this afternoon. Highs will range from the upper 30s in the northern counties to low 50s in the southern counties.

Tonight, lows will likely be in the upper 20s to low 30s due to light winds and clearing skies. We could possibly be a little colder if the skies clear quick enough and the winds go calm. You will want to protect your pets, plants, and pipes.

Wednesday through Saturday look great. Traveling on those days will be much better. Mostly sunny skies are expected. Highs will be in the 60s. Some areas may be in the low 70s on Friday. A cold front, really more of a cool front, should arrive early on Saturday and cool temperatures down a little bit. Overall, it looks like we will have above average temperatures through the Christmas weekend and into early next week.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, December 19, 2005

9:15p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

It looks like the majority of the viewing area dodged a bullet with this round of winter weather. The extreme Northern Big Country isn't out of the woods just yet.

The National Weather Service has issued Winter Weather Advisories for Knox and Stonewall Counties through Tuesday morning. The advisories mean that periods of sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for slippery roads and limited visibilities.

The best chances for precipitation will occur overnight Monday into Tuesday as an upper level disturbance passes by.

There is also a dense fog advisory in effect for Mitchell and Scurry counties until 10a.m. Tuesday morning. Calm winds and temperatures cooling to the dew point have allowed visibilities to drop down to below a quarter of a mile. The fog problems stretch from Midland all the way North through the panhandle.

There is a chance of fog and drizzle across the rest of the viewing area tonight. By late tomorrow evening and tomorrow night the skies will begin to clear. After that, afternoon high temperatures will warm into the middle to upper sixties through the holiday weekend.

As for all of you snow lovers wondering what happened to our snow chances there is actually a fairly simple two-part answer. Number one, the cold air just didn't make it far enough South. The computer models I spoke about Saturday origonally forcasted the cold air to move much farther than it did. Number two, because of the jet stream not dipping as far South as anticipated, the disturbance that we were expecting to bring us our winter precipitation chances will end up well North of our area. Thus, bringing the winter precipitation to the extreme Northern portions of our viewing area and into Oklahoma.

Freezing Precipitation Possible, But Not As Likely As Earlier

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

Well it looks like we probably won't get as much of the frozen precipitation as I thought we would when I looked at things on Friday. As I said in my earlier discussions, everything has to play out perfectly in order to see snow or even ice. Things have definitely changed over the weekend. The cold airmass that was supposed to move through the area is shallow and will likely not make it much past the Interstate 20 corridor. This means that most of the area will not be cold enough to support any type of frozen precipitation. The first of the disturbances that is expected to move through the Big Country between now and Tuesday is further east than initially anticipated. This means that only the northern counties, such as Knox, may see any precipitation from this disturbance. If you have any travel plans that take you north into the Texas panhandle or Oklahoma, you may want to wait. There are Winter Weather Advisories and Freezing Rain Advisories in effect in those areas. Travel may be difficult and treacherous with slick roadways.

With all this being said, the forecast now looks like this. Today, we will see cloudy skies with occasional fog and drizzle. There is a 20% chance of showers. Highs will range from the mid 30s in the northern portions of the area to the mid 40s in the southern portions. As of right now, the only area that may see freezing rain or drizzle are the northern portions of the area. So, everyone north of I-20 needs to keep an eye on road conditions and be careful if you have to be on the roadways. I'm not expecting much, if any, accumulations. You may see some glazing of bridges or overpasses, expecially in Knox county where there is a Winter Weather Advisory until 1:00 p.m. this afternoon.

Tonight, we should see lows in the 30s with cloudy skies and a 20% chance of rain. There could again be some freezing rain or drizzle in the northern communities where temperatures will likely drop to or below freezing. Most of the area should remain warm enough to support just rain. Fog is also possible tonight and tomorrow morning, so give yourself plenty of time to get to your destination if you have to travel.

Tomorrow, mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of rain is expected. Highs will range from the mid 30s to low 40s. The northern communities could see some frozen precipitation during the morning hours, so again be careful if you have to travel.

Changes begin on Wednesday and look to last through the Christmas weekend. Mostly sunny skies should rule through at least Friday. Highs are expected to be above average in the upper 50s to mid 60s. It looks like we can expect a nice and mild Christmas holiday.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Sunday, December 18, 2005

Sunday, December 18th, 2005

From meteorologist Jason Myers.....


Temperatures across the Big Country have stayed in the 40s and upper 30s in the northern Big Country, yet lower 50s for Brownwood. Overnight temperatures will fall to around the freezing mark. With the possibility of light rain showers, freezing rain may happen by tomorrow morning. Fog will also be around, making traveling difficult. Monday and Tuesday will be cloudy with the chance for seeing freezing rain in the morning and evening hours. During the day drizzle and fog will be the may problems. A high pressure system in the Great Plains is pushing cold air into Texas. An approaching upper level disturbance late Tuesday will add to the lift in the atmosphere giving us the chance to also see a few flurries mixed in with the rain. The main concern will be traveling on wet roads when the temperatures fall below the freezing mark in the night and morning hours. Afternoon temperatures should manage to get into the upper 30s for locations in the Big Country during the Monday and Tuesday time-frame. Wednesday we'll start to see clearing skies with temperatures getting into the upper 40s. By Thursday and Friday, skies will be mostly sunny with a few clouds on Friday; high temperatures will be mild with highs in the lower 60s.
For now, make sure you take a little extra time when traveling Monday and Tuesday.


We'll keep you updated on the latest.

Saturday, December 17, 2005

Saturday, December 17th, 2005

From meteorologist Jason Myers.....


A chilly day today with mostly cloudy skies staying in the Big Country, until clearing skies by the late afternoon. Today's high at the Abilene Regional Airport reached 47 degrees which will be about the warmest temperature we'll see until Thursday. Tonight temperatures will drop at or a few degrees above freezing for locations across the Big Country. Sunday mostly cloudy skies will return with high temperatures only reaching the low to mid 40s across the Big Country. There will be a slight chance of a late afternoon shower. Sunday night temperatures will fall below freezing so any rain that does fall looks to be freezing rain. Monday and Tuesday high temperatures will stay in the low to mid 30s with the chance of seeing a rain/snow mix during the day. There will be a 50% chance of seeing wintry precipitation on Monday and a 60% chance on Tuesday. Right now the biggest problem with this wintry weather is the chance for seeing icy conditions especially late in the day and in the morning hours; all this will make traveling dangerous for Monday and Tuesday. A high pressure system over Canada will push cold arctic air down into Texas on Sunday, keeping temperatures cold. A gradual warm-up begins to happen Thursday into Christmas weekend with high temperatures getting back into the upper 50s.

Stay tuned as we get closer to Monday and Tuesday for the latest updates!

3:30p.m. Statement From NWS

From The National Weather Service... (Click The Link Below For Full Text)

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ127&warncounty=TXC441&local_place1=Abilene&product1=Special+Weather+Statement

12:30p.m. Saturday Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Just a quick upadate on next week's possible winter weather. For an update on this weekend's forecast and next, be sure to join meteorologist Jason Myers on the KRBC News tonight at 6 & 10.

Now, you always hear meteorologists talk about computer models. They are one of, if not the best aid in forecasting the weather. The only reason computers will never replace people when it comes to forecasting the weather is because sometimes they are wrong, and sometimes they change their mind more times than I do about what tie to wear.

One of the models we use, known as the GFS, or Global Forecast System, has really been "flip-flopping" but is getting a little more consitent. This model was the first to show the winter weather and was the model that was consistently showing 3 to 5 inches of snow/ice. As of late though, this model has really backed off and has kept temperatures above freezing and all precipitation as liquid. The only problem with this is, the GFS has a tendency to show temperatures much warmer than they will end up being during winter. This is what we call a warm bias. More on this in a minute.

Now, on the other end of the spectrum, the NAM, or North American Mesoscale, or North American Model, is consistently showing the very cold air arriving with no problem. The NAM also shows much better precipitation chances than the GFS as well.

Now, before looking at all of this, a meteorologist must look at current conditions to see what is actually happening the atmosphere. Well, it's only 22 in Hastings, NE at 12 p.m. Saturday. Then temperatures drop down into the teens North of there. So, there is plenty of cold air for the cold front to tap into. Basically, we just have to wait until Sunday evening, when the next cold front arrives, and see exactly how much of that cold air moves our direction. But, with that much cold air bottled up, that's why I believe temperatures will be much colder than the GFS that I mentioned earlier is showing.

Now, there are numerous other computer models, but these are two of longer-range models we use. As we get into Sunday, most of the medium range models and short range models will begin to pick up on this event. So, by Sunday afternoon, we will have a much better idea of what is going to happen.

I just wanted to give you a little insight into what the KRBC team of meteorologists use to forecast the weather for you.

And yes, today is my day off, and yes, my wife is getting annoyed that I'm on the computer and not helping her clean the house before my parents arrive for Christmas weekend. The only answer I have is, she married a weather geek, and a weather geek I will always be!

Friday, December 16, 2005

5:30 p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Some folks in the Big Country saw some snow today... The good news is, surface temperatures have stayed above the freezing point, allow the snow to melt when it hits the ground. Also, winds at the surface are running 10 to 15 miles per hour. This should dry up most roadways tonight, so when temperatures get to the freezing point, hopefully most roadways will be dry.

If there are any bridges with moisture remaining on them, use extra caution when travling Saturday morning. Afternoon highs will climb to the lower to middle 40s.

The weekend looks dry for the most part, so I won't go into too much detail there. Right now there is an under 20% chance of a couple of isolated, light showers.

Now, onto next week. The Arctic air will begin to arrive late Sunday into Monday. I don't expect temperatures on Monday or Tuesday to get out of the 30s.

As for precipitation, will it rain? Will it snow? Will there be ice? Yes, Yes, and Yes. Start Monday afternoon I expect precipitation to start as a light mix of rain and snow, but mostly snow. By Tuesday, I think we will see a day of snow, with accumulations possible. Right now it's a little too soon to tell how much, but I think most areas could see at least an inch on the low end, and up to 5 inches on the high end. Remember, we still have a ways to go, and you should expect this forecast to be modified as the days go by.

I will work to keep this blog updated a few times a day, even on the weekend.

If you missed out on seeing any of the snow today, watch the KRBC News at 6p.m. and 10p.m., our production manager, Karen Yarbrough was nice enough to snap a few digital pictures for us. Also, if you have any pictures you would like to share, please e-mail them to me at ccarnesi@krbc.tv.

Winter Weather Possibilities

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We have some rain mixed with snow falling across the area this morning. The problem however, as of right now as I write this, is that we are still too dry at the suface for the precipitation to make it all the way to the ground. The upper level distubance causing the rain and snow is still off to our west, and more precipitation is developing. We should eventually moisten up the atmosphere enough at the surface to see some rain mixed with snow early in the day, but by this afternoon it will likely be all rain. If we do see any snow, I'm not expecting much in the way of accumlations (if any) since the ground is too warm and it will be mixed with rain. There's a chance of some lingering isolated showers tonight, but for the most part we should stay above freezing so anything that does fall should be rain. A few flurries mixed in is not out of the question though. Tomorrow, there is a 20% chance of isolated showers. This too should be all rain since we will likely be well above freezing.

Another disturbance looks to possibly arrive on Sunday. With a cold front expected late in the day and into the night, we may see a wintry mix by Sunday night. It all depends on if it gets cold enough and if there is enough moisture in place. This system is one that has popped up in the latest computer model runs, so we will have to wait and see if this still looks possible later today and into tomorrow.

The main winter weather show arrives late Monday and into Tuesday. Arctic air is expected to arrive on Monday. Another upper level disturbance should be moving into the area as well. For now, it looks like we will begin with mainly rain that should change over to all snow Monday night and Tuesday. Chances at this point are only running about 20% to 30% during that period. It is possible that we could, and I stress the word could, see some accumulations. As Craig stated in his last entry, the models we use to help us forecast have been backing off on this event lately. At this moment, I feel confident that we will see some snow next week. However, a lot can change between now and then. Usually in order to see snow, everything has to fall in place perfectly. So, stay tuned and we will continue to keep you updated with the latest tonight and into the weekend.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, December 15, 2005

Late Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

I apologize for the late update, it has been a crazy day in the Weather Center... But, it is the beginning of changes down the road... More on that another day...

For now, how does some snow sound? We've been talking about it for awhile now, and chances still look good for early next week. We may even see some flurries mixed in with light rain Friday.

Although temperatures at the surface will climb above the freezing mark Friday, just above the surface, the temperatures remain below freezing. So, it will be possible to see some snow mixed in with light rain tomorrow. The best chances will be in the Western KRBC viewing area. Now, any frozen precipitation that does fall will melt on the ground, so we should not see any travel problems with this round of precipitation.

Next week though, that could be a different story. Monday, Arctic air will begin to filter into West Central Texas. As that happens, an upper-level system will approach from West filtering in moisuture ahead of it.

The big wrench in this whole plan is, the models we use to aid in forecasting your weather, have been backing off of the cold air, and keep all of our precipitation as rain. Now, computer models sometimes do this, and back off on winter precipitation chances. After carefull consideration, for now I'm choosing to keep the snow in the forecast. But, as we get closer to Monday, if the models continue their warm trend, I may have to give some thought into not calling for snow. Stay tuned, Brandon will have the latest numbers Friday morning on West Texas Today.

Wednesday, December 14, 2005

10p.m. Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

First I'd like to thank everyone who donated food or money today to the 20th annual Share Your Christmas drive benefitting The Food Bank of West Central Texas. We can't thank you enough for all of your donations.

Secondly, it may not be too late to ask Santa for a snow shovel, although, you may need it before he arrives. We are setting up for a very cold week next week and possible a snowy week as well.

As the jet stream takes a big dip or forms a trough in the central and southern United States, we will begin to feel the arctic air by Monday. In fact, Monday's high temperatures will likely take place overnight and temperatures will hold in the middle to lower 30s through the day or maybe even drop as the day goes on.

The next forecast problem will be precipitation. We have an under 20% chance of rain/freezing rain/sleet Friday night into Saturday. I'm not too concerned about this event. The bigger concerns lie with Monday through Wednesday. We already know the cold air will get here, the next question will be moisture. I'm fairly certain, we will begin to see precipitation in some form Monday afternoon. Then by Monday night, it should change over to snow in the Northern and Central Big Country. One computer model is calling for 3 to 5 inches on the ground by Tuesday evening. I'm not totally convinced of this just yet, we'll have to wait and see how things work out.

Either way, stay tuned over the next few days. As we get closer to next week we will have a much better handle on how things will evolve.

The Cooling Trend Has Begun

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

A cold front moved through the Big Country this morning, which will cool temperatures down from what we saw yesterday. Highs should be in the upper 50s, which is what we average this time of year. Clouds are expected to decrease throughout the day. By tonight, it will likely be mostly clear with lows in the mid to upper 20s. You will want to protect your pets, plants, and pipes with these below freezing temperatures. Tomorrow should be a nice day. Mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 50s are expected.

It still looks like things could be interesting for this weekend. Much colder air may settle in beginning Friday and last into early next week. A few upper level disturbances are expected during that time period as well. The first of these should be here late Friday into Saturday. The second looks to affect us on Monday. Depending on how cold it is and whether or not we have enough moisture in place will be the two main factors that determine if we see just rain or wintry precipitation. In these type of situations, everything has to play out just right in order to see snow or even ice. You'll want to continue to stay tuned throughout the week as we get closer to these time periods.

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Tuesday, December 13, 2005

4:45pm Discussion

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Some light rain and drizzle has fallen and continues to fall across the Big Country this afternoon. This is all in association with an upper level low to our North and the sub-tropical jet stream bring mid-level moisture in from the Pacific.

The rain will end tonight from West to East across the area and we will see clearing skies as well. Overnight lows tonight will run from the lower to middle 40s.

Sunny skies will dominate Wednesday and Thursday, then we will begin to see clouds and rain chances return Friday.

Friday night through Saturday night could be tricky across the area. With colder air seeping in from the North, and moisture overriding this air from the South and West, we could be setting up for some winter precipitation this weekend. I will definately recomend you stay tuned, as the closer we get to the weekend, the better idea we will have as to the precipitation type we should expect.

Next week, we will be watching a fairly decent amount of Arctic air moving into the US. Depend on where this air ends up, we could also be setting ourselves up for a winter precipitation event next week. Again, we still have a long way to go between now and then, so stay tuned.

Colder Temperatures On The Horizon

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off chilly this morning with temperatures mainly in the low to mid 30s. Brownwood bottomed out at 27. There were two factors for the colder weather this morning. First, there were several breaks in the clouds so clear skies occurred at times. Second, the winds were light. When you have clear skies, light winds, and a dry airmass, you can cool down quite a bit.

It looks like we will have above average temperatures again today with highs in the mid to upper 60s. Mostly cloudy skies should rule the day as the subtropical jetstream continues to bring moisture in at the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere. An upper level disturbance is still projected to arrive later today. If enough moisture has returned to the Big Country by the time it gets here, we may see some showers and possibly a few thunderstorms develop late this afternoon and tonight. The good news is that we should see winds from the south at 10 to 20 mph. That will help bring some moisture into the area. Right now, I am calling for a slight chance of rain across the entire area for today. Tonight, that rain chance increases to 20% for mainly the south and eastern portions of the area. This is the part of the Big Country were we may have enough moisture in place to support some rain.

A cold front is expected to arrive early tomorrow which will cool temperatures back down to the 50s for Wednesday and Thursday. Skies should be mostly sunny.

Things get interesting towards the end of the week. Highs for Friday and Saturday will likely only be in the low to mid 40s with mostly cloudy skies. Overnight lows should be right around freezing. It also looks like an upper level disturbance may be moving toward us at that time. For now, I am calling for a 20% to 30% chance of precipitation. I say precipitation since the lows at night may be around freezing. I don't want to get anybody excited, but there is (at least right now) a small potential that we could see some frozen precipitation somewhere in the viewing area. Of course, there are several factors that are left to be played out. So for now, this something that we will be watching very closely. We will continue to keep you up to date on the latest.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Monday, December 12, 2005

Chances For Rain This Week

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off a bit on the chilly side this morning with temperatures in the upper 30s to mid 40s across the area. Conditions today will be similar to what we saw yesterday. Highs are expected to reach the low 60s with mostly cloudy skies. A weak cold front should move through the area later today. It won't cool us down, but will shift our winds around to the north for the afternoon.

A disturbance will likely move through the area tomorrow giving us a chance for isolated showers and maybe even a thunderstorm. Right now, the chance for rain is only slight to 20%. We may have just enough moisture in place at the surface in order to see this rain. I think those of you in the south and southeastern portions of the Big Country have the best chance to see the precipitation.

Another cold front is expected to arrive early on Wednesday. This will likely cool temperatures back down below average for this time of year. Highs Wednesday through Friday should be in the 50s.

While we likely won't see any rain with the front on Wednesday, there is a slight chance of rain late Friday and possibly into the weekend due to another system moving into the area. It really depends on whether or not we have enough moisture in place. Right now, it looks like we might. So, keep your fingers crossed because we could really use the rain.

Have a magnificent Monday!

Sunday, December 11, 2005

Sunday, December 11th, 2005

From meteorologist Jason Myers......


Cloudy skies have stayed with us today keeping today's high temperatures a few degrees cooler. Today's highs have still gotten up to around 60 degrees for many locations. All the cloud cover is due to a subtropical jet stream that is bringing the high clouds over Texas. High pressure is helping to bring a southerly flow which is helping to keep the temperatures mild. The biggest question is whether or not the southerly flow can bring enough moisture up into West Central Texas. A cold front will move through early Wednesday which will bring a slight chance of rain with it for late Tuesday night into early Wednesday. As the cold front moves through expect to see a return to sunny skies Wednesday afternoon. Any rain that does fall looks to be minimal; or a few hundreths of an inch if any. It's really going to depend how moist the atmosphere will be when the cold front arrives. Right now, don't expect to see much in rainfall amounts due to the continued dry air in place over West Texas. Temperatures should stay close to seasonable for Wednesday through Friday, with highs in the mid-50s. For now enjoy the mild tempearatures for Monday and Tuesday with high in the lower 60s.

Have a great week!

Saturday, December 10, 2005

Saturday, December 10th, 2005

From meteorologist Jason Myers.......


A beautiful Saturday across the Big Country. With high pressure in control and sunny skies, today's high temperatures across the Big Country have warmed into the upper 50s and lower 60s. High pressure will continue to dominate over the next few days giving us a southerly flow, providing mild temperatures in the lower to upper 60s. Sunday skies will remain mostly sunny, yet Monday we'll have mostly cloudy skies due to the southern branch of the jet stream bringing in middle to high altitude clouds. A pacific cold front will move through the Big Country Tuesday afternoon and evening, bringing the temperatures down. There will be a slight chance of rain for locations east and southeast of Abilene due to more of a moisture supply, yet it looks like everyone in the Big Country will stay dry. Since this cold front is a Pacific cold front, it will not have as much cold air behind it as last week, when we saw cold, arctic fronts move through. Wednesday and Thursday's high temperatures will remain in the mid 50s.

Enjoy the beautiful weather!

Friday, December 09, 2005

The Warming Trend Continues

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We had another very cold morning with lows ranging from 9 to 19 across the area. Temperatures finally went above freezing late this morning for the first time in about 60 hours. The good news is that temperatures will continue to warm up over the coming days. Tonight will not be as cold, but still below freezing with lows in the upper 20s to low 30s. A cold front is expected to arrive during the day tomorrow. It's really more of a wind shift line because our temperatures won't really cool down from what we saw today. In fact, highs should be in the mid to upper 50s.

Sunday through Tuesday are looking nice. Mostly sunny skies are expected on Sunday. Partly cloudy skies should be here on Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures will be above average for this time of year with highs in the 60s.

Things begin to change again on Wednesday. A much stronger cold front is expected to arrive early in the day. There is a chance we could see some arctic air behind the front. It's still a little too early to tell exactly how cold we will be. For now, it looks like we will see temperatures back below average with highs in the low to mid 50s. We'll continue to keep an eye on this, so stay tuned. Unfortunately, no rain is expected for at least the next five days.

Have a wonderful weekend!

Wednesday, December 07, 2005

6:30p.m. Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

The good news is, the chances for winter precipiation across the Big Country has just about ended. Roads are dry. The bad news is, temperatures are dropping and will do so all night long.

If you have any travel plans tonight or tomorrow anywhere East of the Big Country, say to the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex, you might want to hold off. Freezing rain, sleet and snow are continuing to fall at this hour and will continue to do so overnight. The National Weather Service is calling for possible one to two inches of snow by morning. Roads are already slick and getting slicker by the hour. Temperatures will likely stay below freezing there as well until Friday.

Back here at home, there is still a slight chance of wintry precipitation from Eastland county, to Brown and Comanche counties. The chances will likely end just after midnight.

Temperatures will fall into the single digits, 9 to be exact in Snyder tonight. The rest of the area will see lows around 10 degrees or a few degrees warmer.

For updates on all of the warnings and advisories, please visit the National Weather Service's website: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sjt/ Just click on your county and the next page will have all of the current advisories for your area.

I'll have the latest radar imagery tonight at 10:00 p.m. on the KRBC-9 News.

Winter Weather Update 12:45p.m.

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

I probably don't have to tell you this, but it is bitterly cold outside. Temperatures across the Big Country are in the teens, and I don't expect that to change for at least another 24 hours from now.

As far as winter precipitation, we have seen a little bit of freezing rain/sleet in extreme Eastern Comanche county and some snow in extreme Northeastern Throckmorton county. As of now, that is it. I do expect another round of precipitation to threaten the Easter viewing area this afternoon, but for the most part, I expect the worst travel conditions to be East of our area and into the Metroplex. Also South of Dallas, on Interstate 35, travel will be hazardous as well.

Our "ticker" will be running constantly throughout the day and night on KRBC to keep you updated on the current conditions and forecasts across the area.

Please, use extra caution, SLOW DOWN, and bundle up when going outdoors for the next couple of days.

Here are the current warnings and advisories from The National Weather Service...

Winter Storm Warning: Brown & Comanche
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ140&warncounty=TXC049&local_place1=Brownwood&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning

Winter Storm Warning: Eastland County
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ129&warncounty=TXC133&local_place1=Carbon&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning

Winter Weather Advisory: Throckmorton, Shackelford, Callahan & Coleman
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ128&warncounty=TXC059&local_place1=Baird&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory

Winter Weather Advisory: Stepehens County
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ115&warncounty=TXC429&local_place1=Breckenridge&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory

Wind Chill Advisory: Taylor, Jones, Nolan, Fisher, Haskell, Coke & Sterling

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ127&warncounty=TXC441&local_place1=Abilene&product1=Wind+Chill+Advisory

Tuesday, December 06, 2005

Winter Weather Update 6:45p.m.

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Stephens, Eastland, Comanche and Brown counties through Wedensday evening.

The National Weather Service has also issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Throckmorton, Shackelford, Callahan and Coleman counties through Wednesday evening.

A Winter Storm Warning is issued when significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice are expected, or are occuring, which will make travel very hazardous.

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepare for slippery roads and limited visibilities.

Here's what I am expecting...

The cold front will push through the Big Country overnight. Temperatures will hold in the lower 20s through the morning Wednesday, then drop into the teens by late afternoon. Precipitation chances will begin by late morning across the entire area. I expect that the Western, Northern and Central Big Country will only see flurries. The Eastern and Southeastern viewing area will see freezing rain quickly changing over to sleet, with perhaps a little bit of snow.

The best chance for accumulating ice and or snow will more than likely be in the extreme Eastern portions of the viewing area and the extreme Southeaster portions.

For the latest information, please watch the KRBC-9 News tonight at 10:00 p.m.

New Winter Storm Watch 3:00p.m.

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

The National Weather Service in San Angelo has issued a Winter Storm Watch for the following counties: Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland, Shackelford, Stephens and Throckmorton.

For the complete text of the watch click on the following link:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ128&warncounty=TXC059&local_place1=Baird&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch

During a conference call with the National Weather Service in San Angelo this afternoon, we were informed that they will be issuing a Winter Storm Warning for Brown County at 4:00p.m. When that warning is issued, look for another update here shortly after.

11:30a.m. Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

The cold front is on the way. The front has already entered the Texas panhandle and has pushed through Amarillo this morning. The temperature there at 11:00 a.m. is 20 degrees! The National Weather Service in Amarillo is forecasting a low tonight of 7 with a high of only 17 tomorrow, then a low of 2 tomorrow night.

As far as precipitation chances, my thinking is still the same as last night. I do believe we will see some light snow, sleet and freezing rain. I do not believe it will be enough to shut down any roads or schools though. Now, if you have travel plans to the East, there could be some travel problems when you near the Metroplex. A winter storm watch remains in effect for Stephens, Eastland and Comanche counties through Wednesday night. Remember a winter storm watch is issued when any form of winter precipitation could hinder travel. For all of the details on the watch from The National Weather Service in Fort Worth, click the following link.:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ129&warncounty=TXC133&local_place1=Carbon&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch

Now, we're not going to get quite as cold as Amarillo, but it will be close. I expect the front to pass through the Big Country later tonight shortly after midnight. Our high temperature for Wednesday will occur just before the front passes, and temperatures will stay in the mid 20s through the overnight and then drop during the day Wednesday as the cold air continues to filter in. Afternoon temperatures on Wednesday will more than likely be in the upper teens to right around 20. Wind chill values will more than likely run in the single digits. North winds will be a steady 10 to 20 miles per hour Wednesday.

Ironically, today is National Winter Weather Awareness Day. For more information, please click on the following link to the National Weather Service's website about Winter Weather Awareness Day. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sjt/html/preparedness/public.html

I'll have more details on the timing of the cold front and any precipitation here on the blog later today. For the most up to date information, please watch the KRBC-9 News at 5:00p.m. and 6:00p.m.

Monday, December 05, 2005

From The National Weather Service....

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Get ready, a strong cold front is on the way. Over the next few days, please stay tuned to KRBC for the most up to date forecast. I will be using the blog to mainly to keep you updated with the latest advisories.

Here are the links to the advisories issued thus far by The National Weather Service...

Winter Storm Watch (Stephens, Eastland & Comanche Counties)
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ129&warncounty=TXC133&local_place1=Carbon&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch

Special Weather Statement (Northern, Central & Southerm Viewing Area)
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ127&warncounty=TXC441&local_place1=Abilene&product1=Special+Weather+Statement

Special Weather Statement (Western Viewing Area)
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TXZ048&warncounty=TXC415&local_place1=Snyder&product1=Special+Weather+Statement

Sunday, December 04, 2005

Sunday, December 4, 2005

FROM METEOROLOGIST JASON MYERS......


WHAT A CHANGE ONE DAY CAN MAKE. WITH SATURDAY'S HIGH REACHING A RECORD 87 DEGREES, TEMPERATURES QUICKLY DROPPED BY SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ONLY REACHING 46 DEGREES AT THE ABILENE REGIONAL AIRPORT....ALL THANKS TO A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE BIG COUNTRY YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COLD TEMPERATURES WILL BE STAYING AROUND A LITTLE LONGER THIS WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS MONDAY AND TUESDAY PROVIDING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE, AND A NORTHERLY WIND ON MONDAY, HIGHS WILL BE STAYING RATHER CHILLY. MONDAY WILL START OFF COLD WITH A LOW OF 23 DEGREES MONDAY MORNING AND THEN REACHING 49 DEGREES BY THE AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER AS THE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST GIVING US A SOUTHERLY FLOW, PROVIDING WARMER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE BIG COUNTRY.
TUESDAY WILL BE SEASONAL WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 58 DEGREES.
TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING, A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BIG COUNTRY, BRINGING IN SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR WE'VE SEE ALL SEASON.
MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE 28 AND 20 DEGRESS, RESPECTIVELY.
HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL NOT GET OUT OF THE LOW TO MID 30S, WITH THE COLD, ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEEING SOME SNOW FLURRIES ON WEDNESDAY, YET THAT IS ONLY A SLIM CHANCE, BECAUSE THE AIR IS SO DRY OVER THE BIG COUNTRY.
THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING A SNOW FLURRY WOULD BE TOWARD THE EAST AND SOUTH OF ABILENE, DUE TO MORE OF A MOISTURE SUPPLY.
AT THIS POINT, ANY FLURRIES THAT DO APPEAR WILL ONLY BE LIGHT AND OCCASIONAL...GIVING NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION.
BUNDLE UP THIS WEEK AND MAKE SURE YOU WEAR LAYERS IF YOU'RE OUTSIDE.


ALSO, HERE IS LIST OF SOME IMPORTANT REMINDERS FOR COLD WEATHER FROM A "SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT" PUT OUT BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EARLIER TODAY:

SOME OTHER GOOD IDEAS TO PREPARE FOR THE UPCOMING COLD WEATHER IS...
1- ENSURE YOUR HEATING DEVICES ARE CLEAN AND IN GOOD WORKING ORDER.
2- KEEP ALL COMBUSTIBLE MATERIALS AWAY FROM HEATERS.
3- ENSURE ALL EXPOSED PIPES ARE PROPERLY INSULATED.
4- YOU ARE URGED TO HAVE A CARBON MONOXIDE DETECTOR TO KEEP YOU AND YOUR FAMILY SAFE THIS WINTER.
5- TAKE IT EASY OUTSIDE BECAUSE YOUR HEART HAS TO WORK EXTRA HARD DURING THE COLD WEATHER.
6- IT IS A GOOD IDEA TO WEAR LAYERS OF CLOTHING IF YOU HAVE TO BE OUTSIDE.
7- MAKE SURE YOUR PETS AND LIVESTOCK HAVE PLENTY OF FOOD AND HAVE A WARMPLACE TO TAKE SHELTER FROM THE COLD.

STAY WARM AND SAFE THIS WEEK. WE'LL KEEP YOU UPDATED ON THE COLD WEATHER HERE AT KRBC 9 YOUR COMMUNITY CONNECTION!

Saturday, December 03, 2005

Saturday, December 3rd, 2005

From Meteorologist Jason Myers......

After a record high of 87 degrees, big changes are on the way with temperatures. Currently, a cold front is moving through the Big Country changing the winds to the north, and bringing cold, Canadian air with it. Overnight low temperatures will range from 31 degrees in Haskell, Snyder, and the northern Big Country, to 33 degrees in Abilene and Eastland; the Brownwood, Ballinger, and the southern Big Country will see low temperatures drop to 34 degrees.
Sunday, patchy clouds and cold air will keep high temperatures chilly, with a high of 47 degrees. Sunday night into Wednesday night low temperatures will all be at or below freezing. Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be in the low to mid 50s.
An even stronger cold front will move through Tuesday afternoon and evening bringing the coldest temperatures we've seen in West Central Texas for the season.
With cloudy skies, HIGH temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday will stay in the 30s with a high of 39 and 37, respectively.

On an interesting note, Hurricane Epsilon has sustained winds at 80 mph with a movement to the east at 12 mph. Hurricane Epsilon will not effect any part of the U.S. and is meandering in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean. Epsilon should begin to weaken tonight and over the next couple of days as it moves over colder water.

Enjoy your weekend and have your winter coat, gloves, and hat before going outside this week.

Friday, December 02, 2005

10:00p.m. Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Hold on to your hats... Another windy day across the Big Country Saturday. West-SouthWest winds will run from between 15 and 25 miles per hour through the day. Expect Red Flag Warnings across all of the area. The low relative humidity values, combined with dry grounds and strong winds will increase the threat of fires considerably.

By Saturday evening, a strong cold front will push through the area.

This cold front will bring afternoon high temperatures back down to below normal. We're talking maybe 50 for a high Sunday.

Expect a hard freeze Sunday night into Monday morning. In fact, we could be seeing overnight lows at or below freezing starting Sunday night and continuing each night for the next week.

An even stronger cold front will arrive early Wednesday. This cold airmass looks to hang around awhile as well. I don't expect high temperatures to climb out of the 30s Wednesday afternoon.

For now, it looks like we will remain dry through these next two fronts. Although some models were hinting at a slim chance of precipitation Wednesday, I think the best chances will be East and Southeast of the KRBC viewing area.

Please, go out and make it a SAFE & GREAT weekend!

Warm and Windy...For Now

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

We started off chilly in most locations this morning with lows in the mid to upper 30s. Brownwood was the cold spot with a low of 25. Everyone will be warm and windy by this afternoon with highs in the mid 70s. Winds are expected to be from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph. Higher gusts are possible. Some of the area is under a Red Flag Warning today because of gusty winds, low relative humidity values, and dry conditions. The counties under the Red Flag Warning are: Knox, Stonewall, Haskell, Throckmorton, Fisher, Jones, Nolan, and Taylor. You will want to put off any outdoor burning plans you may have had for not only today, but tomorrow as well. Warm and windy conditions return tomorrow with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. The record high at Abilene Regional Airport for December 3 is 81 set back in 1977. It looks like we may set a new record high on Saturday.

Changes begin Saturday night with the arrival of a cold front. No rain is expected, but much cooler temperatures are. Highs Sunday through Tuesday should be in the low to mid 50s. Lows will likely be below freezing Sunday and Monday night.

A strong cold front is expected late Tuesday. It looks like there will be a major arctic blast behind the front. Highs may only be in the upper 30s to low 40s for Wednesday and Thursday. We'll continue to keep an eye on the situation and keep you updated.

Have a fantastic Friday!

Thursday, December 01, 2005

9:00 p.m. Update

From Chief Meteorologist Craig Carnesi...

Go ahead and bring the pets and plants in tonight. We'll see a light freeze across the majority of the Big Country. The freezing temperatures will probably not last long though, as winds will increase out of the South to about 15 miles per hour by sunrise. The stronger winds will bring temperatures back above freezing overnight.

Warm & windy conditions will prevail Friday afternoon. Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches will likely be issued by the National Weather Service due to the strong winds expected and the low relative humidity values.

Another cold front will push through the Big Country Saturday afternoon and evening. This front will knock afternoon highs down into the upper 40s and lower 50s for Sunday and Monday.

Tuesday night, get ready, a strong cold front will arrive in the Big Country that could keep our high temperatures down into the 30s Wednesday.

Cool Today, Mild Tomorrow

From Meteorologist Brandon Rector...

I want to start off apologizing for not updating the blog yesterday. It was a busy day. A cold front moved through the area last night, so it will be much cooler this afternoon. Highs will only reach the mid to upper 50s. The chilly nights will continue tonight with lows in the mid to upper 30s. It could be colder if the winds go calm.

Temperatures will rebound back up for Friday and Saturday with highs in the low to mid 70s. Windy conditions are expected tomorrow with winds from the south-southwest at 15 to 25 mph.

Another cold front is expected to arrive Saturday night. This will cool us back down for Sunday and Monday. Highs will be in the low to mid 50s. No rain is expected with the front. It looks like the cold air will stick around a little longer this time because some models are indicating highs in the 40s for the middle of next week. The models have been back and forth the past couple of days on exactly how cold (or warm) it will be. We'll continue to watch the situation and keep you updated.

Have a terrific Thursday!

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